Shouldn't we prioritize the hole in the ground with the crawly things?
I mostly wanted to see if I could get the fancy poll tally thing working.

To that end, @Ipsos Custodes would you consider changing the name of your EM Nuke plan to have [EM Nuke] at the front? That way action plans and EM Nuke plans can be tallied separately. (Reduces visual noise.)

@Paperclipped @Velorien @eaglejarl can we get a deadline and ideally some guidelines for voting in an EM Nuke plan?
 
[X] Things we should probably do

Can we please also include Kagome. For once this is actually his area of expertise. Not just sealing and sealing failures, but also perimeter control and mass demolition/extermination.

Fake edit: Not for the Isan part. Obviously. But honestly, those two things don't actually have to happen at the same time, do they?
 
[X] [EM Nuke] No Comment
  • Ask Asuma about the official story.
  • Optimize/practice with Mari.
  • If questioned about Isan generally:
    • Don't volunteer information unprompted, but don't be withholding. Have a natural conversation.
    • He hasn't heard anything about Isan recently. Yuno doesn't talk about it much or in any detail (painful memories), Kei was exiled, and Goketsu's only other point of contact would be Kagome, who trades the occasional letter with one of their sealmasters. Hazo thinks they're flirting.
  • If questioned about the EM nuke test:
    • It was determined that what happened was the result of a sealing failure. You're not at liberty to say more.
    • If they want first-hand details, Mari was part of the team sent to investigate.
  • If told that Isan was destroyed by something similar to EM nuke:
    • The Hokage needs to know, immediately. If this was intentional, it's an AMITY violation.
  • If Asuma gives Hazo permission to speak with the questioner freely:
    • Give whatever story Asuma gave you.
Hazō and Mari SCs to investigate that the failure is not continuing to get worse.
Can we try to tap Naruto, too? Once he's done some initial, 'you won't immediately die' recon, we can get some Hazos and Maris down there.
 
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[X] Things we should probably do


Can we please also include Kagome. For once this is actually his area of expertise. Not just sealing and sealing failures, but also perimeter control and mass demolition/extermination.

Fake edit: Not for the Isan part. Obviously. But honestly, those two things don't actually have to happen at the same time, do they?
I'm going to the gym now, I'll add Kagome to that part of the conversation when I get back home.
 
[] [EM Nuke] No Comment
He hasn't heard anything about Isan recently. Yuno doesn't talk about it much or in any detail (painful memories), Kei was exiled, and Goketsu's only other point of contact would be Kagome, who trades the occasional letter with one of their sealmasters. Hazo thinks they're flirting.
Suggestion: Kei thinks they're flirting. Hazou is unconvinced, because Kagome believes such things are undefined behavior.
If questioned about the EM nuke test:
  • It was determined that what happened was the result of a sealing failure. You're not at liberty to say more.
  • If they want first-hand details, Mari was part of the team sent to investigate.
I observe that the EM nuke test killed hundreds-thousands of civilians. Hazou should really lean into that; for example, he could briefly show grief before snapping into calm tranquility while refusing to talk about it, and if pressed, he acknowledges it's a sealing failure (his fault, his fault, his fault). Let him practice snapping into this mode via IN so he can do it on command.
If told that Isan was destroyed by something similar to EM nuke:
  • The Hokage needs to know, immediately. If this was intentional, it's an AMITY violation.
I think this goes too quickly into "if this was intentional" territory. Remember, as far as Hazou is supposed to know, the EM nuke test was a catastrophic sealing failure. My model of Hazou, if told that Isan was destroyed by a icehell storm, would snap somewhere around "another sealing failure, they were probably researching [insert class of seal Hazou is pretending he was researching]" and later, once he thinks over why he's being asked, "wait you think I did this FUCK YOU I WOULDN'T SLAUGHTER INNOCENT CIVILIANS THAT IS AGAINST EVERYTHING I STAND FOR".
 
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Suggestion: Kei thinks they're flirting. Hazou is unconvinced, because Kagome believes such things are undefined behavior.
I think we have WoG that Hazo thinks they're flirting and I don't want to lie any more than necessary.
I observe that the EM nuke test killed hundreds-thousands of civilians. Hazou should really lean into that; for example, he could briefly show grief before snapping into calm tranquility while refusing to talk about it, and if pressed, he acknowledges it's a sealing failure (his fault, his fault, his fault). Let him practice snapping into this mode via IN so he can do it on command.
Is the official line that this was one of Hazo's tests that went wrong?
I think this goes too quickly into "if this was intentional" territory. Remember, as far as Hazou is supposed to know, the EM nuke test was a catastrophic sealing failure. My model of Hazou, if told that Isan was destroyed by a icehell storm, would snap somewhere around "another sealing failure, they were probably researching [insert class of seal Hazou is pretending he was researching]" and later, once he thinks over why he's being asked, "wait you think I did this FUCK YOU I WOULDN'T SLAUGHTER INNOCENT CIVILIANS THAT IS AGAINST EVERYTHING I STAND FOR".
Fair, yeah.

I'll make some updates.
 
Is the official line that this was one of Hazo's tests that went wrong?
"Nothing of any importance, that's for sure. Nothing suggestive that would make me start thinking about anything. Sure, these tracks seem to be centered around Akane, but I'm sure that's a coincidence, as is the fact that they only started appearing after that chakra beast extermination mission she was specifically assigned to instead of it being posted on the board for anyone who wanted it. I'm also very sure these tracks have nothing to do with the sealing failure you caused last week. The one that created that massive storm which was very clearly a seal failure and not anything else."
 
[X] [EM Nuke] No Comment
You... know this just leaks everything, right? It's not even putting up a fight. Like, the main threat model here is that some major player connects Isan to the storm in Fire, then arranges for someone — probably a social specialist — to talk to Hazou and fish for information (because he's known as the weapons developer and the top-tier sealmaster and someone bad at INFOSEC). The things the enemy will read off are Hazou clearly knowing something that he isn't saying, plus Hazou feeling some guilt/responsibility/horror about it. Whatever tactic we're using needs to destroy these signals, make seeing these emotions non-informative/misleading by providing convincing explanations for them that are distinct from the truth.

Just stonewalling won't work. @faflec's point about how the EM nuke test killed hundreds of civilians is a good starting point.

Another feature that I think is warranted is preparing to wrestle control of the conversation. If the social specialist has the liberty to keep talking and testing out arbitrary tactics on Hazou, who's just standing there and passively taking it, they're going to win. We need a tactic that prevents this.

Example: my "aggressively technobabble at them" approach.
 
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  • If questioned about the EM nuke test:
    • It was determined that what happened was the result of a sealing failure. You're not at liberty to say more.
    • If they want first-hand details, Mari was part of the team sent to investigate.
Not super keen on this phrasing. Why wouldn't we be at liberty to talk about a random sealing failure? This feels like the sort of thing that gives bread crumbs to a would-be investigator. Instead, I'd recommend something like Noumero's suggestion, where we play the part of someone fascinated by what the "sealing failure" might have done:
Oooooh! I know precisely how to handle it!

We just tell them upfront that we know what happened, then honestly share that knowledge.

But with a twist.

Hazou just got promoted to Sealing spec-jounin, right? At sixteen. He then threw a party about that, etc., his head is very big and he thinks he's devastatingly brilliant. Upon being asked about what caused the storm, or what might've happened to Isan, he's going to adopt a self-important know-it-all attitude, then talk your ear off about speculative arcane energies and physics that might've caused this behavior, how these energies may be harnessed for the good of mankind, about what he'd seen of Isan's seal tradition and how its various peculiarities may have resulted in a failure of grand scale; if informed that the storm and Isan are linked, he for sure will find a dozen potential connections between their sealcrafting tradition and the aforementioned speculative mechanics, etc. etc. etc.

He's going to be 100% truthful and honest on all of this, too; as in, those would be his genuine speculations on the mechanics involved.

It's just that no-one would understand a word he's saying. (Think the Skyslider Team's technobabble.)

Or believe that he actually has any idea what happened, instead of just being so full of himself he's managed to convince himself he totally understands everything.

It's going to be fucking hilarious.

We probably want to ensure that Isan's fate is common knowledge now, though, so that Hazou isn't expected to freak out if someone tells him about it. As in, the above tactic would let us divert suspicions about Hazou knowing what happened to Isan, but not about the fact that Hazou knows that something happened to Isan. Example: a foreign social-spec walks up to Hazou and asks him about his feelings on Isan, and there's a microexpression of guilt and horror on his face, even though he isn't supposed to know something's wrong with Isan.
Put into plan form, It'd go something like this:
  • If questioned about the EM Nuke test:
    • Overwhelm them with a barrage of sealing technobabble about how a failing seal could wind up channeling that much power. You're very excited by the topic and while you know sealing failures are impossible to recreate you can't help but think about it. Explosions are a Goketsu signature, after all, and that storm exceeds any explosion you've seen before or since.
Could maybe be polished up a bit, but I think "exuberant sealing theory enthusiast" mixed with "these guys really do love explosions, don't they?" makes a better cover than "This sealing failure was classified for some reason."
 
  • If told that Isan was destroyed by something similar to EM nuke:
    • ....What do you mean, destroyed?
    • The Hokage needs to know,immediately. If this was intentional, it's an AMITY violation.
Taking a moment before understand dawns will help us sell that we didn't already know about it.

If questioned about the EM nuke test:
  • It was determined that what happened was the result of a sealing failure. You're not at liberty to say more.
  • If they want first-hand details, Mari was part of the team sent to investigate.
Unsatisfied with this. Maybe just say "sealing failure" and enter SSA mindset as we stare into the Out for an increasingly uncomfortable moment. Then snap back into reality and say "I don't want to talk about it"
 
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Hazou should adopt a policy of randomly refusing to talk about various subjects, so that if a subject is OPSEC-sensitive he can refuse to talk about it, and people will be like 'ah, the Mad Clan Lord, back at it again'.
 
enter SSA mindset as we stare into the Out
I don't think we're allowed to do that anymore:
He briefly considered tapping into his experience of the Out, throwing his mind into that off-kilter and inhuman perspective that allowed him to see behind the Paint and be such a brilliant sealmaster. Anything to get his mind out of its current useless rut.

No. The Out was useful when dealing with seals and actively harmful when attempting communication with other humans about delicate social matters. Yes, Hazō had gotten very lucky, once, when the Out had made him so disconnected that he had mocked Itachi instead of being afraid of him. Yes, he had walked out of that encounter alive and successful, but only through incredible luck. He hadn't known what he was saying and had driven Itachi into a murderous rage, the consequences of which he only survived because he amused Hidan. If Hazō tried the same trick again then he would be speaking to and probably angering Hidan, and there was no other demigod around to save him. No, the Out would never be useful for anything aside from sealing.
If we are allowed to do that, then @Inferno Vulpix, @FaintlySorcerous, I extend my "cover up EM by telling the truth in technobabble" idea with "cover up nuking Isan by telling the truth in eldritchbabble". As in, Hazou dips into Out, then straight-up confesses that Leaf did it, but using terminology like "burning clunks of meat conjured forth a vortical disturbance".

Buuut if we're allowed to do that that's kinda OP (can cover up knowledge of anything by appearing insane), so we're probably not allowed to do that.

(Or maybe we are??? Can that be a stunt too? Ohh, maybe make it a stunt that lets us replace a defensive Deceit check with a Resolve check of "avoid falling into Out"? It can even scale with the difficulty of the opposed Deceit roll, as in "how deep do you have to go to ensure you're too inhuman for them to catch you?".)
 
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[X] Things we should probably do
  • Sealing Failure
    • Hazō, Mari, and Naruto SCs to investigate that the failure is not continuing to get worse.
    • Pangolin scout to investigate caverns.
    • Block opening until forces are ready
      • Kagome explosive assistance?
      • Force Walls and traps?
      • Skyslicers along the opening?
      • Straight up rocks?
    • Asuma, Mari, Kagome meeting.
    • Recover from consequences if time permits.
    • Prepare seals to outfit assault forces.
    • Hazō, Kei, Noburi, Kagome should prepare combat summons.
    • Send SCs in first.
      • If combat level appropriate, fill up SCs on chakra, distribute seals, and have willing chunin+ Goketsu investigate cave system.
        • Invite Ino and Lee?
      • If SC are dying, use Zoo rush + more SC instead
  • Asuma, Mari, Kagome
    • Inform of sealing failure.
    • Cave system discovered just outside Leaf.
    • Extent is unknown, could lead into the city.
    • If situation is out of control, request assistance in clearing the cave.
      • ANBU/jonin strike force, authorizing Zoo rush, mobilizing Leaf S-rankers.

Can we please also include Kagome. For once this is actually his area of expertise. Not just sealing and sealing failures, but also perimeter control and mass demolition/extermination.

Fake edit: Not for the Isan part. Obviously. But honestly, those two things don't actually have to happen at the same time, do they?
Done.
Can we try to tap Naruto, too? Once he's done some initial, 'you won't immediately die' recon, we can get some Hazos and Maris down there.
Done.
What does this mean exactly? Are we requesting assistance if there is a clear danger? That bullet point doesn't parse for me. I suggest rewording since we have WC.
Reworded it a bit. Let me know if that's clearer please.

Seems like this is going in a separate vote so I removed it.
  • Assist in coming up with a story regarding EM/Isan.
    • Sealing failure based on Isanese sealing tradition?
    • Have multiple Isan seals as reference, can fabricate a plausible sounding issue.
    • The dangers of sealing based on summoning scrolls.
    • Hazō had corresponded to Isanese sealmasters urging them to not attempt the infusion.
    • Forge letters using calligraphy and Mari's deceit?
 
OMAKE: Chapter 6OP
OMAKE: Chapter 6OP



Asuma sprinted into the sky. The new information from his armsdealer née treason bunny née civilian sympathizer née --


It refused to coagulate into a coherent picture. Slivers of infinite despair warred against bleak, chosen, fated evil. Lesser evil, yes, but the lessons of Warmth and Protection his father left him warped and screamed at the thought of slaughtering hundreds of innocents - no, worse. Allies.


HHisSelf
began to Tear


"Halt!" Asuma whipped out a hand, signalling his desire for his attendants to build a skytower. Thirty seconds later Asuma knelt above the clouds, charcoal and paper in hand.



The Will of Fire is the will to protect, to use violence towards peaceful ends. Death, by his hand is obviously just if his ends are peaceful. Are they?


The Will of Fire also recognizes that using violence changes a person. Each time you reach for it you flinch a little less. You consider it earlier and earlier, until you're unrecognizable to your past self
.


Shikamaru's logic holds. Does it? I must know.

The Hokage began jotting down notes, muttering under his breath as he went, "Relevant factors are my current trajectory, the probability that Hazō successfully creates an EM countermeasure within a year - he has a fantastic track record here and he's confident enough to beg me. I'll give him an 80% chance. I'm split, so my prior isn't a consideration. If the world starts to end, I give him a 1% chance to turn it around. Shikamaru gave me an 8% chance for the world to end in the next year. Ah fuck, how does this all go together?"



P(A|B) = [(.8) * (.5)]/[(.92 * .8) +(.08 * .01)]



Asuma blitzed through the calculations, decades of training having prepared his mind for this moment.


.543 - less than a tenth in favor of mercy.


His mouth set in a grim line, Asuma made two sharp moments once again, and resumed running to Isan.



More thought is required
 
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No part of this mission plays to Ino's strengths at all, and I don't want her to die.
I do want to run missions with her, but this is a bad opportunity for it.

Including Lee means either breaking MARS/Vampiric Dew OpSec or endangering ourselves by holding back our best tools.

(Non-central bonus objections: He can't participate in SC-based approaches, and his personality may clash with the "go slow and clear everything with kagome-level caution" approach. He doesn't offer much that an extra Mari clone wouldn't provide)
 
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