I was looking at Inferno Vulpix's decoding threadmark to see where we're at with the notes, because they include seems especially relevant given that the notes include
Personal information on various people that he wants to be on the good side of -- their food preferences, birthdays, etc
Which took place on February 28. It was April 9-11 as of Chapter 343, 5 chapters ago, so in total we have the following progression:
- January 2-3, Kagome starts decoding at hobby-speed.
- February 21-23, 50 days later, Kagome may or may not speed up some.
- February 28, 7 days later, Kagome starts decoding at full speed.
- April 9-11, 40 days later plus change, is where we are now.
This appears to add 55 more days from where we were.
the total time needed to about 1.3 years (~489 days), of which he has completed 17% and has 406 days remaining.
He should be another 11% of the way through now, putting us at 28% total. In chapter 354 Akane states that she can only hold a Shadow Clone for 3 minutes. It's currently at level 10 (AB 2), so on the time ladder that puts her at half an hour. We have enough XP to get her to SC 26 (6XP left over), which moves us to an hour on the time ladder. Regardless, we have to make sure we're solid on the resolve checks first so I'll let the spreadsheet control people determine that. Therefore it's likely that SC!Akane hasn't contributed to the decryption efforts.
However, Akane has. Given that ninja have apparently insane work ethic, I think it would be reasonable for Akane to spent 4h per day helping Kagome (1/4 of his 16h days used in IV's estimate). Since she probably isn't great at cryptography, let's say it takes her twice as long to decode. Then we take the 17% Kagome did *0.125 and Akane did another 2.215% of the notes, putting us at 30% done.
Akane's contribution to the notes has been negligible so far, and will most likely remain so unless she spends more time or gets better at Shadow Clone. When she hits level 30 with AB 4, we can quadruple her production at minimum (assuming 2 of her, likely x8 the FOOM spreadsheet assumes 3 SC. Depends on if we want her to prioritize decrypting or training. Thoughts?), making the assumption she's probably gotten used to decryption and thus won't take my arbitrary 1/2 complexity penalty (Kagome's just giving her the cipher anyway).
@ people who know what they're talking about, does this sound reasonable? (
@eaglejarl @Velorien @OliWhail in specific. Also I'm not sure if I should be tagging you - do you read the thread in sufficient detail to catch things like this?)
Conclusion: We would be better served putting a line in plans this update to ask Kagome if he remembered seeing anything about Orochimaru in his decrypting, and if he can point us to it. Since only 30% has been decrypted, we might not even have the most relevant information about him there. So we ask Kagome, get his answer, and then next plan cycle we can read his notes if the result is favorable. (I assume the QM's will roll for this).
@Oneiros do you have space in the plan for this? It shouldn't take many words, something like "Ask Kagome if information on Orochimaru was in the notes" (10 words)
Edit: I don't suppose someone has worked out a statistical distribution of probability of failing resolve checks? Is the FOOM spreadsheet contingent on assuming we auto-pass resolve checks? Speaking of which, does a tie mean we pass the resolve check? I'll make a decoding progress sheet once I'm confident I understand the mechanics of SC and find out how Akane's time is being spent.
Edit2: Does Akane even have a FOOM spreadsheet? And while I'm asking way too many questions, what does ponwog/pongwog mean?