For those that want to return, can someone tell me what people think Leaf is like right now?
Okay, I have a few issues with this interpretation that could be boiled down to "I don't think this happened and Leaf is broadly as we expect it, with Naruto in charge and whatnot."
First, basically all of this is contingent on the assumption that Naruto failed a bunch of critical social rolls. We don't know exactly how the confrontation in chapter #666 went down roll-wise, or if there even was a roll. Naruto may have opted not to use FP, for instance. I expect that with more marbles on the line, he wouldn't fold as easily.
Secondly, frankly, Naruto was in a shit position anyway and he knew it. I wouldn't be surprised if he folded in part because he knew the gig was up. Think about it; Itachi is in Leaf, suspects we're doing dimensionalism, and they want us back pronto. How much can we
really delay that situation? A week or two? We wouldn't get jack done in a week or two; it's been months and we're still not ready to go back.
The time for delaying was
before Itachi is sitting in Leaf asking pointed questions about us. The goal was to slip under the radar.
From the start, this deception was ideally a way for us to avoid going missing, and worst-case it was a delay to keep the hunter-nins off of us for longer. When the time came, Naruto gave us the decision we knew we'd have to make, and we weren't ready.
Maybe we could have been ready if we prioritized differently and didn't do time runes, but oh well.
Third, don't be so sure that Akatsuki is eager and looking to kill another Kage. The first one was a accident, and if Akatsuki makes a trend of it then everyone else is going to be mighty nervous. Especially with a flimsy excuse like "They were researching- actually no nevermind, Leaf broke a deal.".
And the club of "people trying to figure out how to kill Akatsuki" is, well, everyone. Probably including some members of Akatsuki! Why would Itachi try to dig deep into every black-ops program aimed in his general direction? He knows they exist, he knows there are plausible excuses lined up for each and every one, and he knows that if he stops taking those excuses at face value then he'll have to bomb half of the EN back to the stone age.
Ninja.
Fourth, and finally, the meta. The vibes. It's a bit of a dirty info source, but it is. The QMs leak little bits of information, and my impression from what I've seen is not that Leaf is a bombed out husk.