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think that we were missing something here, and I think it was the Isan sealing angle. One, it's a good way to stop people asking Hazo about Isan. Two, if it comes up and they push to the failure, Hazo's status as a weird seal guy is cemented (without him having had to lie). Three, we're establishing a plausible link between what happened in Fire and what happened in Isan: research of similar seals. Four, it gives us a great reason to shut the fuck up if pressed on potential links between Fire and Isan: we're terrified by the idea that this might proliferate and Asuma has told us, again and again, to stop and come to him if things rise above our pay grade.
Can you add a line to the effect of:
  • Optimize/practice with Mari. Afterwards, tell Asuma our workshopped plan and ask for approval/suggestions.
 
Can you add a line to the effect of:
  • Optimize/practice with Mari. Afterwards, tell Asuma our workshopped plan and ask for approval/suggestions.
Added:
Well, since I didn't get any word back on this and so the official word is still that only the [EM] tag counts for the OPSEC plan, I'm going to repost my OPSEC plan and ask everyone who voted for the old one to switch over (as well as anyone else who sees it and happens to like it, of course):

[X] [EM] Make them wish we said "No Comment"
  • Ask Asuma about the official story.
  • Optimize/practice with Mari. Afterwards, tell Asuma our workshopped plan and ask for approval/suggestions.
  • If questioned about Isan generally:
    • Don't volunteer information unprompted, but don't be withholding. Have a natural conversation.
    • We haven't been to Isan in a long time. Yuno doesn't talk about it much or in any detail (painful memories), Kei was exiled, and Goketsu's only other point of contact would be Kagome, who trades the occasional letter with one of their sealmasters. Hazo thinks they're flirting.
      • Their sealing tradition seems based entirely in locking mechanisms, which is fascinating. Discuss the technical implications, becoming more and more verbose as the conversation continues.
  • If questioned about the EM nuke test:
    • Start guilty, slowly become enthusiastic about sealing, snap back to guilt, build back to sealing enthusiasm. Repeat as necessary.
    • Guilt:
      • Hide your guilt (practice with Mari) but not too well. You're distraught that civilians died because you were careless.
      • Don't verbalize any of that unless prompted. If prompted, talk about your feelings, and then discuss Uplift.
    • Overwhelm them with a barrage of sealing technobabble about how a failing seal could wind up channeling that much power. You're very excited by the topic and while you know sealing failures are impossible to recreate you can't help but think about it. Explosions are a Goketsu signature, after all, and that storm exceeds any explosion you've seen before or since.
      • Make the technobabble authentic, but purely theoretical, in case it's a sealmaster who's questioning us.
      • If pressed by someone with authority: you had some ideas about Isanese seals. It went badly wrong. Asuma made you burn the notes and swear not to pursue the field further until you had more experience.
  • If told that Isan was destroyed:
    • Visibly take the situation very seriously.
    • The Hokage needs to know, immediately. If this was intentional, it's an AMITY violation.
    • If they reveal that it was similar to the first EM test:
      • Get to Asuma even faster. Yes, you have theories as to what happened, but you need to talk to Asuma immediately. If Isanese seals propagate, this could be a disaster. You aren't saying anything further until you've spoken to Asuma.
  • If Asuma gives Hazo permission to speak with the questioner freely:
    • Give whatever story Asuma gave you.
The original location and version of the plan can be found here. It is currently identical except in that it uses the [EM Nuke] tag instead of [EM]. But them's the breaks, I guess.
 
What are the chances that Ami lets us see her sheet in exchange for FOOM?

We have some negotiating power here, plus if she asks for our sheet it could be a bonding moment? Dangerous though
AMI: You want to see my sheet? Finally. I was starting to think I'd been too subtle these last two years.

HAZŌ: What are you--

AMI: Hurry, there's no time to waste!

The next morning, Ami's bedroom...

HAZŌ: As long as the mods and Kei don't find out, that was the best miscommunication ever.
 
  • Ask Asuma about the official story.
  • Optimize/practice with Mari. Afterwards, tell Asuma our workshopped plan and ask for approval/suggestions.
I offer a mildy-shortened version of this section:
  • Optimize/practice with Mari.
    • Confirm the official story with Asuma, and get his approval for our plan.
Their sealing tradition seems based entirely in locking mechanisms, which is fascinating. Discuss the technical implications, becoming more and more verbose as the conversation continues.
Maybe this is just a continuation of my discomfort with Hazou going full technobabble, but my read of Hazou is that he probably wouldn't launch into it just like that. I feel that in order to make his segue into Isan's Sealing tradition we need to bridge [General info on Isan] to [Isan's Sealing tradition]. My suggestion is to ping Kagome's interactions with Yoshida, by saying that Yoshida's most recent letter/flirting/puzzle was a commonly-used seal that was made differently, and go further into why that is in order to bridge that gap.
If pressed by someone with authority: you had some ideas about Isanese seals. It went badly wrong. Asuma made you burn the notes and swear not to pursue the field further until you had more experience.
So I'm concerned that this may prompt a Deceit check, since Asuma has done nothing of the sort. My best alternative may do the same, but I'm going to post it in case it interests you.
  • If pressed by someone with authority: you've been thinking about the Isanese seals you've seen, and have only recently gotten around to examining them; but we've split between a couple of projects and, well...
Feel free to use or change this, or don't.
Get to Asuma even faster. Yes, you have theories as to what happened, but you need to talk to Asuma immediately. If Isanese seals propagate, this could be a disaster. You aren't saying anything further until you've spoken to Asuma.
So...are we pretending that the seals Hazou used are fully-functioning Isanese seals (since that's the only way they can propagate)? Because a) it sounds from earlier in the plan that the EM Nuke was a Sealing failure; and b) Itachi/Ami/whoever is talking to Hazou will rightly conclude that Hazou should be killed for the greater good.

Side note: Imagine if it were Yuno or Kagome who came asking.
 
If there are challenging combats, wait for Hazou's Medium to heal, and send in Noburi, Kei, and Hazou Prime to take it out.

There's no narrative reason to do this, which is kinda the concern with stagnancy. Unless Kei and Noburi were saying how they really need an excuse to stretch their fighting skills/they're feeling restless, why would they opt for intentionally placing themselves into avoidable danger. That would be illogical and unreasonable.

I think stagnancy plays an important role, but choosing for the characters to be dumb rather than doing the smart thing isn't the solution.
 
I offer a mildy-shortened version of this section:
  • Optimize/practice with Mari.
    • Confirm the official story with Asuma, and get his approval for our plan.
Added, thanks.
Maybe this is just a continuation of my discomfort with Hazou going full technobabble, but my read of Hazou is that he probably wouldn't launch into it just like that. I feel that in order to make his segue into Isan's Sealing tradition we need to bridge [General info on Isan] to [Isan's Sealing tradition]. My suggestion is to ping Kagome's interactions with Yoshida, by saying that Yoshida's most recent letter/flirting/puzzle was a commonly-used seal that was made differently, and go further into why that is in order to bridge that gap.
I think I got something that bridges the gap? It might be a little awkward, but I think it services to signal our intent.
So I'm concerned that this may prompt a Deceit check, since Asuma has done nothing of the sort. My best alternative may do the same, but I'm going to post it in case it interests you.
  • If pressed by someone with authority: you've been thinking about the Isanese seals you've seen, and have only recently gotten around to examining them; but we've split between a couple of projects and, well...
Feel free to use or change this, or don't.
You are... quite right that what I currently have would provoke a Deceit check. Your version looks a lot safer, so I've swapped it out for that.
So...are we pretending that the seals Hazou used are fully-functioning Isanese seals (since that's the only way they can propagate)? Because a) it sounds from earlier in the plan that the EM Nuke was a Sealing failure; and b) Itachi/Ami/whoever is talking to Hazou will rightly conclude that Hazou should be killed for the greater good.

Side note: Imagine if it were Yuno or Kagome who came asking.
The impression I have is that we're suggesting that the kind of sealing failure that produces the storm might be unique to Isan's sealing tradition. As in, we failed an Isan seal and got a storm, then someone in Isan failed a seal of their own (perhaps after cross-pollination with the EN's sealing tradition?) and got a storm of their own.

Looking at what I have a little more closely, I think that could be made more clear. How about "Get to Asuma even faster. Yes, you have theories as to what happened, but you need to talk to Asuma immediately. In the worst case, all research into Isanese seals needs to stop. You aren't saying anything further until you've spoken to Asuma."?

Current changes (most recent suggestion pending peer review):
Well, since I didn't get any word back on this and so the official word is still that only the [EM] tag counts for the OPSEC plan, I'm going to repost my OPSEC plan and ask everyone who voted for the old one to switch over (as well as anyone else who sees it and happens to like it, of course):

[X] [EM] Make them wish we said "No Comment"
  • Optimize/practice with Mari.
    • Confirm the official story with Asuma, and get his approval for our plan.
  • If questioned about Isan generally:
    • Don't volunteer information unprompted, but don't be withholding. Have a natural conversation.
    • We haven't been to Isan in a long time. Yuno doesn't talk about it much or in any detail (painful memories), Kei was exiled, and Goketsu's only other point of contact would be Kagome, who trades the occasional letter with one of their sealmasters. Hazo thinks they're flirting.
      • But the things they discuss are quite interesting! Isan's sealing tradition seems based entirely in locking mechanisms, which is fascinating. Discuss the technical implications, becoming more and more verbose as the conversation continues.
  • If questioned about the EM nuke test:
    • Start guilty, slowly become enthusiastic about sealing, snap back to guilt, build back to sealing enthusiasm. Repeat as necessary.
    • Guilt:
      • Hide your guilt (practice with Mari) but not too well. You're distraught that civilians died because you were careless.
      • Don't verbalize any of that unless prompted. If prompted, talk about your feelings, and then discuss Uplift.
    • Overwhelm them with a barrage of sealing technobabble about how a failing seal could wind up channeling that much power. You're very excited by the topic and while you know sealing failures are impossible to recreate you can't help but think about it. Explosions are a Goketsu signature, after all, and that storm exceeds any explosion you've seen before or since.
      • Make the technobabble authentic, but purely theoretical, in case it's a sealmaster who's questioning us.
      • If pressed by someone with authority: you've been thinking about the Isanese seals you've seen, and have only recently gotten around to examining them; but we've split between a couple of projects and, well...
  • If told that Isan was destroyed:
    • Visibly take the situation very seriously.
    • The Hokage needs to know, immediately. If this was intentional, it's an AMITY violation.
    • If they reveal that it was similar to the first EM test:
      • Get to Asuma even faster. Yes, you have theories as to what happened, but you need to talk to Asuma immediately. If Isanese seals propagate, this could be a disaster. You aren't saying anything further until you've spoken to Asuma.
  • If Asuma gives Hazo permission to speak with the questioner freely:
    • Give whatever story Asuma gave you.
The original location and version of the plan can be found here. It is currently identical except in that it uses the [EM Nuke] tag instead of [EM]. But them's the breaks, I guess.
 
You are... quite right that what I currently have would provoke a Deceit check. Your version looks a lot safer, so I've swapped it out for that.
Removing this removes any reason that Hazo would feel guilty - if he's only just started with Isanese seals then they wouldn't have been involved in the storm.

Asuma will sign off and we can workshop something.

Putting something back in to keep everything tied together is going to be smart.

They'll know we lied, but not about what. Maybe we didn't destroy all our notes.
 
Removing this removes any reason that Hazo would feel guilty - if he's only just started with Isanese seals then they wouldn't have been involved in the storm.

Asuma will sign off and we can workshop something.

Putting something back in to keep everything tied together is going to be smart.

They'll know we lied, but not about what. Maybe we didn't destroy all our notes.
Ah, I see what you mean. We can't disguise the feeling of guilt, but we can redirect it into something non-incriminating. I'm not sure I agree that the current phrasing removes avenues for Hazou to feel guilty though: the storm was only about four months ago IC, which compared to the total time we've had the Isan seals is very recent. "I only recently started" feels consistent with the timeframe we're hinting at, especially since we easily admit that we haven't been to Isan in years and haven't had all that much contact with it since.

Still, I'm open to finding a more clear and solid way of expressing this, that doesn't include an outright lie. I personally think that being seen as consciously lying about something is a bad outcome, because it means not only are we hiding something but we're consciously aware that this is information that others cannot have, which looks worse than "he's not telling me the full story" imo. Knowing that there's a conspiracy of any kind at play already gets people way closer to the finish line than I'd like, and I don't want to give away a clue about that so easily.
 
I hate to say it but after we get Earth Infusion we should probably spend three or so weeks funneling FOOM XP into Deceit until we're high enough level to pass the "is there a secret to discover" passive checks.

There's now a lot of secrets we know that would be catastrophic if they got out. Plus it's the only way Ami will share any Forbidden Lore with us.
 
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I hate to say it but after we get Earth Infusion we should probably spend three or so weeks funneling FOOM XP into Deceit until we're high enough level to pass the "is there a secret to discover" passive checks.

There's now a lot of secrets we know that would be catastrophic if they got out. Plus it's the only way Ami will share any Forbidden Lore with us.
Sure, I'd be okay with that.
 
Looking at what I have a little more closely, I think that could be made more clear. How about "Get to Asuma even faster. Yes, you have theories as to what happened, but you need to talk to Asuma immediately. In the worst case, all research into Isanese seals needs to stop. You aren't saying anything further until you've spoken to Asuma."?
I'm still ambivalent on it, since the implication is that Isan has somehow several hundred years of Sealing research without an nuclear-level Sealing failure, and they just now exploded. Within the same year that Hazou did the same thing.

Edit: Hm. Could we attempt to claim that the same Sealing failure was responsible for the EM Nuke test and Isan's destruction? Like, the literal same Sealing failure?
 
There's no narrative reason to do this, which is kinda the concern with stagnancy. Unless Kei and Noburi were saying how they really need an excuse to stretch their fighting skills/they're feeling restless, why would they opt for intentionally placing themselves into avoidable danger. That would be illogical and unreasonable.
I don't think narrative is king here, the fights that unstagnated Hazou in Neck were a bunch of random chakra beast encounters in the Cave of Mild Peril, whose importance to the narrative became clear literal years later. We just need close fights with stakes to unstagnate. IMO it's illogical to stagnate when given the option not to when you live in a ninja deathworld and might be called on at any moment to fight.
I think stagnancy plays an important role, but choosing for the characters to be dumb rather than doing the smart thing isn't the solution.
Since this has gotten repeated pushback I want to expand my thoughts on this a little more.

This is the perfect opportunity to unstagnate. We are close to Leaf, so all our Summoners can retreat to the 7th Path if they get overwhelmed and wait for our friendly essies to extract us.

It also means we have access to infinite chakra to summon our combat summons and refill, unlike in the field where we'd need to pay with Nob's chakra that he can only refill by draining our ninja. That means we can afford chakra intensive things like having multiple summons out at once.

This is why I don't want to bring Yuno or Shinji, they can't retreat to the Seventh Path. So they'll be cut off if we need to pull an emergency retreat.

There will be no better opportunity to unstagnate in the near future. Since we need one now, I don't see how this is stupid. It's taking advantage of an opportunity that literally fell into our laps.
 
Since you aren't interested in discussing the topic the following is to convince the general thread audience, not you specifically, that I don't make unnecessarily overcomplicated arguments.

EJ is going to confirm that minor 'sealing failures' happen over the course of normal research and do not, broadly, pose any danger or potential for becoming threatening sealing failures. He will then clarify that we are at effectively zero risk of major sealing failures if we do not fail a roll, but that minor failures are commonplace and have always happened to us (and every other research sealmaster we know) at effectively the same rate.
I agree. However, this is a deviation from the existing rules (unless you want to be very technical/rules lawyery of what the rules imply). My theories were discussing the consequences if the rules remained unchanged.

Your arguments frequently fail to satisfy Occam's Razor and when confronted with this fact, you make them more complicated, seemingly missing the point of Occam's Razor.
My arguments are complicated but the alternatives to them are either
a) also complicated. but I expect people don't view them as complicated because they don't view assuming the more probable option as a step in the chain of logic, combined with their different priors causing to believe different options are the more probable one. For example, person A has a lightswitch that often works and person B has a lightswitch that often doesn't. Person A expect flipping a light switch they've never seen before to turn the light on and doesn't even consider that an assumption for Occam's razor, but Person B would say person A is assuming that mice haven't gnawed the electrical cords.
b) simple, but on net still just as unlikely as the complicated arguments. Because the fewer assumptions the simple argument makes, are very unlikely assumptions. and people disagree because they have different priors on how unlikely they are.

Also, I think that when I propose a complicated theory it will often be because I am trying to argue that a certain null hypothesis is incorrect. And I propose a complicated theory to explain why that could be. The focus is on saying the null hypothesis is incorrect, not that the specific theory I am proposing is correct. Therefore you should actually compare the combined likelihood of all theories that are not the null hypothesis, instead of the specific proposal I am saying. The specific proposal merely helps to get an idea of what likelihoods the alternative theories might have.

It might appear that this explanation is complicated, compared to the theory that I make unnecessarily overcomplicated arguments. But point b) apply for this as well.
 
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[X] Training Plan - Kei: Deceit
[X] Training Plan - Noburi: Mednin
[X]Action Plan: Dora the Explorer

As important as the [EM] plan is, I would be remiss to not also vote for the main action plan this cycle.
 
My prediction: EJ is going to confirm that minor 'sealing failures' happen over the course of normal research and do not, broadly, pose any danger or potential for becoming threatening sealing failures. He will then clarify that we are at effectively zero risk of major sealing failures if we do not fail a roll, but that minor failures are commonplace and have always happened to us (and every other research sealmaster we know) at effectively the same rate.
It's like you know me or something.

Yes, this is precisely my headcanon. There has not been specific discussion among the QMs but I'm confident that @Velorien and @Paperclipped will either agree with this, or at least will not care if I write it like this when it's my update.
 
[X] [EM Nuke] Make them wish we said "No Comment"
[X] [EM] Make them wish we said "No Comment"

[X] Training Plan - Kei: Deceit
[X] Training Plan - Noburi: Mednin

Am I the only one worried that Hazou's headaches are another hint by the QMs that he is facing Out problems? I notice that it has not been discussed by the players despite two chapters in a row with mentions of those hints. Is it being ignored because it is not a concern (eg, the headaches are acknowledged as a temporary setback rather than being indicative of a more severe condition) ?
 
Am I the only one worried that Hazou's headaches are another hint by the QMs that he is facing Out problems? I notice that it has not been discussed by the players despite two chapters in a row with mentions of those hints. Is it being ignored because it is not a concern (eg, the headaches are acknowledged as a temporary setback rather than being indicative of a more severe condition) ?
IIRC, there's no indication of permanent damage caused by SSA, according to the Stunt description.

If the QMs have decided that SSA should cause permanent damage, then I have faith that they'll tell us about that change OOC, before it impacts the narrative of the quest.

...Unless, of course, it's another case of unknown differing QM/Player unspoken assumptions, like with regard to Opsec around the Goketsu Clan Secrets.
 
Am I the only one worried that Hazou's headaches are another hint by the QMs that he is facing Out problems? I notice that it has not been discussed by the players despite two chapters in a row with mentions of those hints. Is it being ignored because it is not a concern (eg, the headaches are acknowledged as a temporary setback rather than being indicative of a more severe condition) ?
Just in case you're not aware, Sealing Scroll Acolyte - the stunt that gives Hazou +24(!) to Sealing, means that all his research attempts give him a Mild Mental Consequence, those are the headaches mentioned in the chapter. We have been doing non-stop sealing for a while, so those headaches get mentioned in the narrative frequently.
 
Just in case you're not aware, Sealing Scroll Acolyte - the stunt that gives Hazou +24(!) to Sealing, means that all his research attempts give him a Mild Mental Consequence, those are the headaches mentioned in the chapter. We have been doing non-stop sealing for a while, so those headaches get mentioned in the narrative frequently.
Yup, I am aware of the mental consequences. I guess the increasing frequency of the mentions concerns me. Now that I think about it, lately there's also been repeated mentions of Hazou staring blank for a while at a time. I don't think it used to happen all that much? (edit: I realize I don't remember why I associate those blank stares with Out consequences, so it could have nothing to do with the subject. I guess it could simply point to Hazou needing a break from sealing research?)
My brain could simply be fixating on justifying my conclusion, but it sounds potentially important so I'd rather raise the flag lest we overlooked something.

IIRC, there's no indication of permanent damage caused by SSA
That was my understanding as well, which is why I'm being cautious. It feels like the beginning of a trend toward worsening symptoms, so I wanted to see if I was overlooking something myself.
 
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Yup, I am aware of the mental consequences. I guess the increasing frequency of the mentions concerns me. Now that I think about it, lately there's also been repeated mentions of Hazou staring blank for a while at a time. I don't think it used to happen all that much?
My brain could simply be fixating on justifying my conclusion, but it sounds potentially important so I'd rather raise the flag lest we overlooked something.
Seems easy enough to answer, imo.

@eaglejarl, @Velorien, @Paperclipped

Are y'all trying to narratively signal something about SSA that the playerbase should be picking up on, or are you simply displaying the known headaches from SSA?
 
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