I don't expect this is entirely true, and would imagine that, especially close to the source and in the crater, there are sizeable remaining pools of LN2 that will potentially last days. This deduction is around what you might find out when experimenting with that material after the jutsu stops.

Maybe it does just immediately soak into the ground, but I'd imagine that's less applicable once you blast away the porous surface layer and freeze the ground underneath, so if they investigate as soon as they can it should still be around. The earth itself is not very thermally conductive, and the crater will act as a collection mechanism.
You are refusing to engage with my point. Please go back, reread what I wrote, and answer the question I asked.
 
You are refusing to engage with my point. Please go back, reread what I wrote, and answer the question I asked.
I think we're just talking completely cross-purposes.

I've (explicitly!) never advocated for Hazō concluding Option 1, especially not given those observations. I think him assuming it's a chakra construct as of right now in the story makes a ton of sense.

Hazō is able to make more observations than you gave, including new observations by doing experiments on the material produced, and (eg.) seeing that it never fades from reality, and including old observations like noticing that the jutsu has always functioned by direct action on air, and that the nuke version was pulling a lot of air into it. He might also notice that the speed of snowfall in weaker versions correlates with wind speed, or test it directly in an enclosed space.

I'm trying to engage earnestly but I'd rather pull my plan if this is going to become a thing.
 
Last edited:
[X] Action Plan: Heart to Heart

@FaintlySorcerous I would highly recommend asking Asuma why Gaikotsu Bay is being suggested over Aisu Bay, given that the former is closer to Cloud (known to use Skywalkers) while the latter is closer to Rock (not known to use Skywalkers). Is there trade or ships moving around Aisu Bay which we are not aware of?

We should, in all honesty, tell Mari about the latter part of our report to Asuma: the !bribes that we got. It'll clue Mari in on what's going on (that the nuke was somehow valuable enough for Asuma to offer all that shit for it), and give her a timeline to work with. It'll also let her warn us if and when we are forced to emergency-mission tomorrow or the day after, if she believes Asuma plans to kill us.
Bumping for @FaintlySorcerous.
 
  1. Air is a gas
    • People know this? In the sense that 'gas' means 'air-like' at this stage of science.
  2. Gases can become liquids at temperatures far lower than any human has ever seen
  3. Cryogenic liquids are extremely hard to maintain and will immediately shift back into being a gas upon touching anything sort of warm, like the ground
  4. Gases will automatically equalize their pressure throughout a volume
  5. Liquids are more dense than gases
    • People also know this in that they clearly have different masses
    • The main observation here would actually be 'this small amount of liquid turned into this much larger amount of air when captured underwater.'
    • He doesn't need to know this for the plan
  6. When the gases turn into liquids, they reduce the pressure in that area and cause surrounding air to push into the area of liquifaction
  7. Therefore, the most likely explanation for what I saw was that the extreme cold caused cryogenic precipitation of the atmosphere
    • Hazō doesn't need to work out how the jutsu functioned, and I would not expect him to
Some direct comments on the thing I think you think I am arguing for, but that I'm not.
The hypothesis I actually want is more like
  1. Air was flowing into the jutsu
  2. Liquid was coming out
  3. Those two things (the air and the liquid) caused most of the damage
  4. The liquid that comes out seems to turn back into the air (per experiments)
  5. ...so the two things are probably correlated
    • ...and if there's less air going in, there might be less liquid coming out
  6. So if they do it somewhere that there's not much air, probably there's less wind and less liquid
    • ...which is probably safer
  7. Per historic use of the jutsu, there doesn't seem to be a direct interaction with other things
    • ...so if the plan fails to reduce the storm, it's still probably at least not going to make things worse
None of this looks like 'assume a bunch of modern knowledge about physics'.
 
Last edited:
3 takes smarts/insight
well more like direct knowledge of the rules. ninja don't even have chakra quantification, because chakra is a troll. Without the rules we wouldn't know how quickly FOOM could get up to how much of a multiplier. It's quite plausible that if the rules were a bit different the skill columns would have made it prohibitely expensive and slow. but i get your point about opsec.

edit:
We should, in all honesty, tell Mari about the latter part of our report to Asuma: the !bribes that we got.
i don't want mari to guess from bribe clues that the nuke is repeatable/important
 
Last edited:
i don't want mari to guess from bribe clues that the nuke is repeatable/important
Except we kind of have to, just to make arrangements to leave the Shimura estate and tell Noburi/Akane(?) about the apprenticeship with Tsunade and yadda yadda yadda.

Actually @eaglejarl @Velorien @Paperclipped Does Hazou think he is fine to share with Mari details on the shinies he got from Asuma?
This is on my to do list for today: expect it in a few hours at most.
FYI voting ends tomorrow @ 5AM EST, which is a little less than 12 hours from now.
 
Except we kind of have to, just to make arrangements to leave the Shimura estate and tell Noburi/Akane(?) about the apprenticeship with Tsunade and yadda yadda yadda.
in case the QMs don't respond in time.
we don't have to tell her now. the estate and apprenticeships can be brought up later (the estate isn't ready yet) when it is less suspiciously right after the storm. and with fake (or omitted since we don't want to lie to mari. and she'd catch it anyway) justifications.
edit:
actually. i guess mari might be even more suspicious if she somehow learns that we delayed telling her about the shinies. if we tell her now she might think asuma want closer eye on hazou after seal failure and shinies are appeasement, but if seal failure hazou wouldn't have reason to delay telling her.
edit2:
but if we tell her shinies and we moving. mari will probably ask us why and not rely solely on her guesses. and if we say we aren't allowed to say why that's suspicious. even if we wait and asuma makes public announcement instead that goketsu moving decent chance mari will ask hazou for details.
 
Last edited:
honestly i'd be less concerned if it was only leaf's supply

edit:
if veedrac's plan wins i hope hazou/asuma pick one of the EM location options instead of trying all of them.
 
Last edited:
I've been thinking: I don't think the jutsu will fail. We'll be over the ocean, and at high altitude - both factors that favor unusually cold temperatures over unusually hot ones.
 
Some direct comments on the thing I think you think I am arguing for, but that I'm not.
The hypothesis I actually want is more like
  1. Air was flowing into the jutsu
  2. Liquid was coming out
  3. Those two things (the air and the liquid) caused most of the damage
  4. The liquid that comes out seems to turn back into the air (per experiments)
  5. ...so the two things are probably correlated
    • ...and if there's less air going in, there might be less liquid coming out
  6. So if they do it somewhere that there's not much air, probably there's less wind and less liquid
    • ...which is probably safer
  7. Per historic use of the jutsu, there doesn't seem to be a direct interaction with other things
    • ...so if the plan fails to reduce the storm, it's still probably at least not going to make things worse
None of this looks like 'assume a bunch of modern knowledge about physics'.
See, *that* is way more sensible and plausible than what you originally stated, which was:

The only conclusion needs to be 'when the atmosphere was getting pulled into the jutsu and the liquid was coming out, probably it was doing something like turning the atmosphere into the liquid somehow'. I don't particularly care if they are entirely wrong about how that works, and assume it's some random weird thing that it's not.

...which basically amounts to Hazō instantly guessing the key physics.

If you want to do research on the nuke, feel free to put it in a plan. I'm not convinced that there are going to be large puddle of LN2 lying around, but I haven't done/heard any modeling either. Maybe there are.
 
See, *that* is way more sensible and plausible than what you originally stated, which was:

...which basically amounts to Hazō instantly guessing the key physics.
I really don't see the substantive difference between these two comments, or why the latter would mean guessing the key physics.
  • when the atmosphere was getting pulled into the jutsu and the liquid was coming out,
    • these are direct observations
  • probably it was doing something like turning the atmosphere into the liquid somehow
    • roughly equivalent statement to "the two things are probably correlated and if there's less air going in, there might be less liquid coming out"
 
Last edited:
@Paperclipped is there anything in my plan that leaps out to Hazou as unworkable?
Except for the core concept which I'm sure you understand might be contested, nothing really.

Some direct comments on the thing I think you think I am arguing for, but that I'm not.
The hypothesis I actually want is more like
  1. Air was flowing into the jutsu
  2. Liquid was coming out
  3. Those two things (the air and the liquid) caused most of the damage
  4. The liquid that comes out seems to turn back into the air (per experiments)
  5. ...so the two things are probably correlated
    • ...and if there's less air going in, there might be less liquid coming out
  6. So if they do it somewhere that there's not much air, probably there's less wind and less liquid
    • ...which is probably safer
  7. Per historic use of the jutsu, there doesn't seem to be a direct interaction with other things
    • ...so if the plan fails to reduce the storm, it's still probably at least not going to make things worse
None of this looks like 'assume a bunch of modern knowledge about physics'.
Quickly reviewing your plan, it also seems like a reasonable attempt at science. If science happened, I would probably enjoy writing it, though no comment on how willing Asuma will be to do so.

Actually @eaglejarl @Velorien @Paperclipped Does Hazou think he is fine to share with Mari details on the shinies he got from Asuma?
Hazō expects that he's fine to say "Asuma warned me that a Shimura has shown up with a claim to our land. Asuma said that he would arrange for us to buy a new compound inside the walls and move everyone there. The exact price he's demanding ties into some classified topics that I can't discuss."

would EM over ocean disrupt the fishing food supply across the EN?
HDK
 
I really don't see the substantive difference between these two comments, or why the latter would mean guessing the key physics.
If you don't see a difference between "instant and casual casual assertion that X is the cause" and "multi-step logical pathing that at least promotes X to be a possibility for consideration", then I don't know what to tell you.

That said, "it was a chakra construct" is still the most obvious answer for someone in Hazō's position. I haven't talked to the other QMs about this so maybe they disagree, but my expectation of where we're going to land is: If you want to write a plan that Does Science in hopes of building up enough foundation to get to the actual answer, cool. It's not going to be remotely as easy as you are blithely implying it will be. Putting this sort of thing together is the stuff of an arc, not an update.

But, like I said: I haven't spoken to the others. Maybe they'll say I'm being silly and that this really is as easy to put together as your posts are making me think you believe.
 
Hazō expects that he's fine to say "Asuma warned me that a Shimura has shown up with a claim to our land. Asuma said that he would arrange for us to buy a new compound inside the walls and move everyone there. The exact price he's demanding ties into some classified topics that I can't discuss."
So...does Hazou think he's fine to say "Asuma is giving us restricted seals/ninjutsu, and offered to have Akane/Noburi apprenticed under Tsunade"?
 
Is the descendant a shinobi? Mari needs to dig up all the dirt on this person to see how deep in Asuma's pocket they are. Many normal heirs would be happy to rent the land to us.
TBH I suspect that the will won't exist until Asuma has a Tower scribe create it and that the Tower probably owes Shimura a favour, or he's in their pocket already and will just so happen to use the former Goketsu estate for Tower purposes.

Plan updates. The spirit is IMO intact but I needed to rework the wording and flow in many places to make wordcount.

@TalonofAnathrax, @faflec, @MadScientist, @CommunismWillWin, @Cariyaga, @Inferno Vulpix, @Kiba, @RandomOTP, @Halberdier, @Lysbeth Succubus, feedback please and thank you. I'm open to making changes - this applies to everyone, but you lot especially. If you're thinking of de-voting please ping me on Discord first - I'm around and can make changes.
[X] Action Plan: Heart to Heart
Word count: <300
  • Asuma
    • Request a private moment: Akane waits or goes home.
    • Why Gaikotsu Bay (near Cloud/Skywalkers) vs. Aisu Bay (near Rock/no Skywalkers)?
    • May we discuss Shimura etc. with our clan?
    • We have a request.
      • Tone: Not threatening antagonism, lecturing, veering out of our lane, etc.
      • The Will of Fire is everything good. It defeated Pain and drives AMITY. (Implication: the WoF's spread is saving the world.)
      • Akane's gotten to know civilians all over the world.
        • Those who live in Fire have the Will of Fire, but others never have that chance. It's sheer luck. (Parallel Hidan's dice games.)
        • She's seen us - Mist nin - accept the WoF, given the chance. Anyone sane who experiences it accepts it.
        • Whenever someone dies before they've had that chance, she sees a tragedy.
      • The grief of so many dead by her hand when she razed that village before seeing the WoF almost broke her.
        • Implied conclusion: because of her devotion to the WoF, the implications of EM are agony for her.
      • You aren't your father, You are his son. You're, forgive us if we overstep, a good man.
        • Protecting the WoF and those who carry it is paramount for everyone, the Hokage most of all.
        • But when someone who could have held it dies without that spark, it's a tragedy, even if it's necessary.
      • We're worried for Akane's safety and sanity.
        • She will obey your orders no matter what.
        • But you speaking with her about this - not minimizing the tragedy, not helping her accept it, but letting her know you understand that grief and that it matters to you - might help her.
    • Apologize, again, for our foolishness.
    • Thank him for his time and consideration.
  • Go home. Obey Asuma's orders (incl. EM testing). Brief the clan if possible. Offer Akane comfort and space.
 
Those who live in Fire have the Will of Fire, but others never have that chance. It's sheer luck. (Parallel Hidan's dice games.)
Suggestion: "...don't have that chance" instead of "never have that chance".

I also don't think we should "parallel Hidan's dice games"; Asuma might not appreciate the reminder of Hazou's past interactions with the Akatsuki given how tense things are.
Go home. Obey Asuma's orders (incl. EM testing). Brief the clan if possible. Offer Akane comfort and space.
I think this would look better if we separated obeying Asuma's orders into its own line, like:
  • Go home. Brief the clan if possible. Offer Akane comfort and space.
  • Obey Asuma's orders (incl. EM testing).
At least, I'm assuming obeying his orders is mostly in reference to the mission we're getting; tell me if I am wrong.
 
Suggestion: "...don't have that chance" instead of "never have that chance".
I think 'never' hits harder, and the reality is that Joe Schmoe in a Mist fishing village is never, ever getting that chance.
I also don't think we should "parallel Hidan's dice games"; Asuma might not appreciate the reminder of Hazou's past interactions with the Akatsuki given how tense things are.
Eeeh Asuma was pretty thrilled with how that interaction specifically went with Hidan, but it does get me some words back, so, fine.
At least, I'm assuming obeying his orders is mostly in reference to the mission we're getting; tell me if I am wrong.
I mean, his overall orders about shutting up/acting normal, but that, too. That said, I agree with your flow comments; I'll work on it.
 
Back
Top