I agree with that, or at least my set of estimates for the range of things you could mean with that (esp. the definitions of "Almost all", and "some basis in truth") is in an interval that contains 3:1.

I just want to point out the @eaglejarl's post isn't reason to take Kagome more seriously than we would have otherwise. It has very different connotational and denotational meanings, and the latter hasn't added noew information to the pile.
For what it's worth, I have not really factored in the post that you quoted into my analysis of if Kagome's story is true or not.
 
Sooooo...

There is no Naruto, there is only the Nine-tailed Fox.

Huh.

Ever read The Empty Cage?

I will point out that jinchuuriki being complete meat-puppets is one of the points that are most likely to come mainly Kagome's paranoia fueled speculation.

If the bijuu are unfriendly superintelligences, Naruto has had more than enough freedom to wreak complete havok, above and beyond what he would gain by waiting to become Hokage or something. In order for the meatpuppet thing to be true you have to give a plausible explanation of what motive the meatpuppet has for acting like a bratty kid. (remember Jiraiya mistook Hazou for Naruto for a second)
 
I will point out that jinchuuriki being complete meat-puppets is one of the points that are most likely to come mainly Kagome's paranoia fueled speculation.

If the bijuu are unfriendly superintelligences, Naruto has had more than enough freedom to wreak complete havok, above and beyond what he would gain by waiting to become Hokage or something. In order for the meatpuppet thing to be true you have to give a plausible explanation of what motive the meatpuppet has for acting like a bratty kid. (remember Jiraiya mistook Hazou for Naruto for a second)

I am pretty sure he has a good reason to believe this (given he is Kagome); i.e. - there is almost certainly a true thing from this we could glean that would make Kagome think that.
 
I will point out that jinchuuriki being complete meat-puppets is one of the points that are most likely to come mainly Kagome's paranoia fueled speculation.

If the bijuu are unfriendly superintelligences, Naruto has had more than enough freedom to wreak complete havok, above and beyond what he would gain by waiting to become Hokage or something. In order for the meatpuppet thing to be true you have to give a plausible explanation of what motive the meatpuppet has for acting like a bratty kid. (remember Jiraiya mistook Hazou for Naruto for a second)

It's more likely that the bijuu have massive influences on the host if the seals wasn't designed properly. Hence the Mizukage being a total jackass.
 
Define "Almost all" and "some basis in truth" more precisely and I might think about taking the bet. As it is those terms are too vague and there are definitions of them that I would rank both above and below 9:1.

I'd have to go back and reread, but to clarify I would say that with the (possible) exception of a statement or two, everything he says has been prompted by information he has encountered that lead him to generate his hypotheses. Given that we know something about Kagome and how he thinks, we can generate possible data points he might have encountered, and then generate more reasonable hypotheses to explain that data. Further, I don't think this will be exceptionally challenging, given that we know QMs started from canon, and what events they're trying to explain.
 
Last edited:
I'd have to go back and reread, but to clarify I would say that with the (possible) exception of a statement or two, everything he says has been prompted by information he has encountered that lead him to generate his hypotheses. Given that we know something about Kagome and how he thinks, we can generate possible data points he might have encountered, and then generate more reasonable hypotheses to explain that data. Further, I don't think this will be exceptionally challenging, given that we know QMs started from canon, and what events they're trying to explain.

Sure, that I believe. That said, there's a gigantic space of possible interpretations for sparse data.

I can absolutely see the actual world being very different from canon and Kagome just happening to come upon an interpretation that looks like canon (40%). This is @eaglejarl we're talking about, he loves trolling us.

Edit: Also keep in mind that the QMs actively detest canon worldbuilding.
 
Last edited:
In repayment for abandoning Keiko to her karmic fate with Minami earlier, Hazō jumped to the rescue. "Sir, I wanted to ask you about socializing," he said. "Last time we were here we got on very well with Team Sarutobi and reasonably well with Team Gai. Would it be possible for us to see them again?" He licked his lips. "Also...when will we officially be Leaf-nin?"
We never got an answer to the first question.
 
Last edited:
That said, there's a gigantic space of possible interpretations for sparse data.

Yes, but conceptspace is unfathomably big to start with. I still think this still narrows it down considerably, to the point that we might have a decent shot at reverse engineering the precise details of the setting (or at least including something that is mostly accurate among a dozen or so other interpretations.)
 
Yes, but conceptspace is unfathomably big to start with. I still think this still narrows it down considerably, to the point that we might have a decent shot at reverse engineering the precise details of the setting (or at least including something that is mostly accurate among a dozen or so other interpretations.)

I agree with that, with the caveat that similarity to canon at any level smaller than major details (existence of the Sages, high level histories of villages,etc...) and character personalities isn't really evidence for or against any specific interpretation.
 
Hm... the Sage & Dummy prefer to replace kids without families or prominent contacts... in other words, orphans. Wonder if the Sage is Naruto. It would kiiinda explain the weird story Hazou heard about Naruto and Gaara's fight, as well as Jiraiya saying that Hazou resembles Naruto philosophically.

Plus, the Sage is usually the Hokage, and Naruto really wants to be the Hokage. Not nearly enough data to draw anything approaching a reliable conclusion, but on a meta level it would be a somewhat elegant in-universe way to explain Naruto's overpoweredness.
 
Sure, that I believe. That said, there's a gigantic space of possible interpretations for sparse data.

I can absolutely see the actual world being very different from canon and Kagome just happening to come upon an interpretation that looks like canon (40%). This is @eaglejarl we're talking about, he loves trolling us.

Edit: Also keep in mind that the QMs actively detest canon worldbuilding.

We don't know what the threat will look like, but I think it pretty much confirm what we're going to do anyway.

1) Ninja need to stop fighting each other. It's completely idiotic and an eventual existential threat, a fact that Shikaku failed to contradict.

2) Develop world changing technologies.

3) Increasing the survival rate of civilians, therefore long term growth.

All the conspiracy theories did was shook us out of our complacency and false sense of security. We'll also need to remember not to be like Kagome-sensei who see enemies everywhere, like thinking Kabuto is an enemy agent(maybe or maybe not). It's not good for us to be jumping at shadows and hurting someone innocent after all.
 
Hm... the Sage & Dummy prefer to replace kids without families or prominent contacts... in other words, orphans. Wonder if the Sage is Naruto. It would kiiinda explain the weird story Hazou heard about Naruto and Gaara's fight, as well as Jiraiya saying that Hazou resembles Naruto philosophically.

Plus, the Sage is usually the Hokage, and Naruto really wants to be the Hokage. Not nearly enough data to draw anything approaching a reliable conclusion, but on a meta level it would be a somewhat elegant in-universe way to explain Naruto's overpoweredness.

Naruto being the Sage ('s child) is regular series canon after all. Sort of. In a twisty reincarnation way where Naruto has his "energy" and a predisposition to certain actions, but not actually the consciousness.
 
Hm. Okay, again at the risk of just saying this because I'm attached to my previous belief:

Jiraiya gave Mari-sensei one more glare before turning back to Hazō. "Kid, you have to understand, Shikaku really is that smart.

When you are interacting with a sufficiently smart person, and you feel a certain way, then the way that you feel is the way that you are supposed to feel.

In other words, "Sure is convenient that Shikaku inhabits a social framework in which he gets to "respect" somebody by putting them off-balance. I wonder who that benefits."
 
Hm. Okay, again at the risk of just saying this because I'm attached to my previous belief:

When you are interacting with a sufficiently smart person, and you feel a certain way, then the way that you feel is the way that you are supposed to feel.

In other words, "Sure is convenient that Shikaku inhabits a social framework in which he gets to "respect" somebody by putting them off-balance. I wonder who that benefits."

Yes I am pretty sure he acted like that in order to make the revelation you quote happen. It seems like a good course of emotions for hazo to have from his point of view. Be scary and threatening, then get to set himself up as a benevolent not-quite-teacher. Now raw intelligence does not lead that sort of manipulation necessarily (look at Keiko's family) but I see no reason he wouldn't be trained in social interaction and apply his intelligence to it.

Sooooo...

There is no Naruto, there is only the Nine-tailed Fox.

Huh.

Ever read The Empty Cage?
See I doubt this, because how would Kagome know? His priors would strongly prefer possession rather than containment, because it's worse. (That's how paranoia works, and why it short term can be a good idea...being that cautious long term has big issues though, especially with how humans don't update on new evidence enough.)
 
Last edited:
So the sage and dummy are incredibly powerful immortals who have worked to make the world a better place and this is the best they could do?

I have to ask are they even trying?
 
Hm. Okay, again at the risk of just saying this because I'm attached to my previous belief:



When you are interacting with a sufficiently smart person, and you feel a certain way, then the way that you feel is the way that you are supposed to feel.

In other words, "Sure is convenient that Shikaku inhabits a social framework in which he gets to "respect" somebody by putting them off-balance. I wonder who that benefits."

Yeah, either: A) he meant to manipulate us/put us off-balance and we have to downgrade our assessment of his benevolence, or B) he didn't mean to, and we have to downgrade our assessment of his social intelligence. And we haven't heard anything about the Nara being asocial geniuses like the Mori or whatever, so I'm heavily biased towards A.
 
Back
Top