You know what'd be hilarious? If we decided to go out and do punching things for the update that Velorien comes back to us, and then went back to diplomacy for eaglejarl's.
e: But that's too mean to do, even to them.
Well, I mean, if we go out and punch out a bunch of the other teams then there will be fewer active seals in circulation. This goes double if we target Mist-nin who know the trick of the seals (and therefore are saving all their chakra for the last 24 hours. We take them out, they don't activate any seals).
It would even reinforce our trading plans, because if we leave alone people who trade their seals for party tricks but actively hunt the others then trade also provides a level of safety.
Okay, this is from a few pages back, but this stood out to me enough that I have to respond to it.A few reasons.
1) Hazou's estimation of sealing failures is artificially high due to his experiences in the woods - A village's resources to contain and deal with sealing failures are far superior to a missing-nin's. This means that while a seal may fail, it will, at worst, kill a few genin before being contained.
2) The chances of something going bad are actually fairly low - it's not how many seals are in play, it's how many seals are hit by aoe attacks - we can actually reduce this via disencentivizing violence via our current plan
The above means that the danger is not as large as Hazou thinks it is from his experiences. Additionally, let's examine other options of what might be the case:
1) The single seal Hazou saw might be different from the other seals, meaning they don't have the same failure problems
2) It's possible that, as Hazou's specialty is not sealing failures, the person who designed this seal manipulated it such that it doesn't fail unsafely (i.e. Hazou might have messed up a sealing background check leading to errant conclusions)
So, all the above means it is likely not as bad as Hazou made it out to be. Now let's examine the political capital that needs to be burned to stop this:
To the average ninja, this (night light seals) doesn't seem like a dangerous thing, and it is difficult to demonstrate the danger. It will require trusting Jiraiya (or whomever Hazou uses) to stop the exam. The danger also cannot be well demonstrated beyond to a small subset of people (i.e. sealmasters). This means Mist will likely be able to spin the story such that Leaf and/or Hazou thought the exam was too hard and were too weak ninja to continue it. Mist will not just graciously say "oh yeah, my bad." In fact, there's a strong chance that Mist will resist attempts to stop the event until either the event is over or a sealing catastrophy occurs (in which case Hazou's warning did little to nothing, though he'll recoup the political capital spent).
You know what'd be hilarious? If we decided to go out and do punching things for the update that Velorien comes back to us, and then went back to diplomacy for eaglejarl's.
e: But that's too mean to do, even to them.
Except we made a promise not to attack anybody. Although that isn't necessary the case for other Leaf teams.
Panashe said:"Ah, excellent. I was afraid I'd need to explain it. Well, as you are probably aware, Summoner Keiko's brother is a sealmaster. He knows how to modify the seals so that they can be switched on and off. My Summoner and her family intend to set up a fortress somewhere near or around one of the proctors. It won't be hard to find; just look for the explosions going off overhead. The Summoner is prepared to trade. For every two lit seals, or three burned-out seals, they will give you one seal that can be turned on and off. That means you could get the seals today before much of the competition is going after them, then trade them for seals that will last until the end of the event. So long as you do not attack the Summoner or her family, they will not attack you and therefore I will not need to gut you and bury your eviscerated body in the muck for the leeches to consume. Have I been clear?"
The deal is with respect to approaching our base and trading the seals, not as a whole.
Yeah, fair enough.Wrong. The deal is with respect to the intention of our plan, not with respect to approaching our base. The whole point was to turn this exam into a cooperative game rather than a competitive one and to implement Hazō's diplomatic vision.
I'm torn, a bit, between spending our time making Party Trick seals and making deathlights. After all, they're fairly safe as long as we avoid combat, so we can keep them stowed away in the fortress and minimize the danger they pose while maximizing our seal output. I wouldn't be disappointed, though, if we took 20% seal output from Party Trick for the sake of safety.
Personally am against making any death lights. They will cost us chakra to activate which we might need for the next stage of the exam
If we spend 30 hours making seals, we will be able to produce 360 more party trick seals. Depending on how many people take us up on trading, it may be difficult to produce sufficient quantities -- additionally, producing enough to give us an edge in points will be difficult, too.Personally am against making any death lights. They will cost us chakra to activate which we might need for the next stage of the exam
I just generally don't vote until it's getting toward the end of the voting time -- I don't want to bias myself against other plans by doing so.So still relatively new to making plans but can I ask what is preventing people from voting for this plan? Any key actions missing or just generally opposed to something in it?
I for one think that this plan is too noncommittal; the current situation's central statistic is so magnified that either the entire Death Swamp becomes a sealing failure clusterfuck or nothing at all happens; your plan fails to commit to either resultant plan of action. Obviously I belong to the "sealpocalypse imminent, shut the whole damn thing down", but I don't think your plan accomplishes the other thing either.So still relatively new to making plans but can I ask what is preventing people from voting for this plan? Any key actions missing or just generally opposed to something in it?
So still relatively new to making plans but can I ask what is preventing people from voting for this plan? Any key actions missing or just generally opposed to something in it?
I for one think that this plan is too noncommittal; the current situation's central statistic is so magnified that either the entire Death Swamp becomes a sealing failure clusterfuck or nothing at all happens; your plan fails to commit to either resultant plan of action. Obviously I belong to the "sealpocalypse imminent, shut the whole damn thing down", but I don't think your plan accomplishes the other thing either.
As far as I can tell, we've done the reevaluation just now; the final scene in that chapter is Hazou going over his knowledge. Admittedly, Hazou hasn't studied failure modes heavily, but I suspect that multiple seal failures compounding each other is nothing you want to be near.@huhYeahGoodPoint Might I suggest a few tweaks to your plan, so long as you don't think they violate its spirit?
For one, I think that we desperately need a "take a breath, take a walk, re-evaluate" phase before anything else. Hazō, for better or worse, is a pupil of Kagome, and has a hair-trigger about these things. We should take a moment to re-center and make sure things are actually as dangerous as we think before committing ourselves.
For another (though this is a quibble) I think the whole "throw all the explosives everywhere" bit lacks some nuance. Something more general like "get out of the swamp as quickly/safely as possible and get an official's attention" as a goal with a few ideas as sub-points (throw explosives, shout emergency-forfeit passphrases, claim it's an emergency, etc.) gives the QMs/team a bit more leeway on how best to accomplish our core aim of quick egress from the swamp.
-I also think explosive-throwing might be counterproductive, and encourage proctors to treat us as hostile or the like, thus ultimately slowing us down.
Between three and four hundred ninja.Edit to this: We should have knowledge of everyone in this exam since we were the last group to enter the Widdle SoD and thus should know how many teams went before us. Multiple that by three to know the number of ninjas.
As far as I can tell, we've done the reevaluation just now; the final scene in that chapter is Hazou going over his knowledge. Admittedly, Hazou hasn't studied failure modes heavily, but I suspect that multiple seal failures compounding each other is nothing you want to be near.