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I think we can probably jump straight to checking PLTR 125? With our PS where it is now, if we can't do it at 125 with no veterancy the research avenue is probably not worth pursuing. Plus, there's a non-zero chance that the weaker versions are actually harder.

(Also, thank you very much for remembering that this idea existed without my prompting it - it is very much appreciated!)

That said, I think I agree with @Left-Hand Mutant 's point that it seems like a bad idea to skip ahead by a month and a half and dump a huge quantity of research on the QMs when they're already backlogged on research, so for now I think I'm inclined to continue voting for interludes until we get the outstanding research back (as the QMs have said is ok for us to do).
 
I think we can probably jump straight to checking PLTR 125? With our PS where it is now, if we can't do it at 125 with no veterancy the research avenue is probably not worth pursuing. Plus, there's a non-zero chance that the weaker versions are actually harder.

(Also, thank you very much for remembering that this idea existed without my prompting it - it is very much appreciated!)

That said, I think I agree with @Left-Hand Mutant 's point that it seems like a bad idea to skip ahead by a month and a half and dump a huge quantity of research on the QMs when they're already backlogged on research, so for now I think I'm inclined to continue voting for interludes until we get the outstanding research back (as the QMs have said is ok for us to do).
Paper seems excited about it. His reaction was literally "finally some good fucking research"

Making rolls on stuff that has already decided is not high spoon for the QMs it's generating new TNs that's the problem
 
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I don't understand why these use cases are different. Force Domes also provide significant defensive utility and are anti-Deidara. When would we want to deploy Storm Runes that Force Domes wouldn't work for?
And even if Storm Runes only take a week research, I'd rather spend that time on something that is both mission-critical and not largely redundant with another Rune We've research
I don't understand what is confusing about this, they are very different runes. Are you unaware that Storm Runes call down a large amount of lighting over a huge area? This is very different than creating a dome of invulnerable force, as Force Domes do.

Storm Runes are specifically Deidara countermeasures because lighting can prematurely detonate his constructs and he likely can't dodge something so indiscriminate if he's directly overhead when it's triggered.

Force Domes are simply good area defense runes. Storm Runes are area denial with anti-Deidara flavor.
How? The pokespace isn't movable, so it won't help us approach.
If we want to set up multiple runes it will make things easier, but the pokespacer itself will take take to set up. Are you imagining a situation were we will have 6 uninterrupted hours to set up one rune in secrecy, but not 12 hours to set up two runes
I can easily imagine a scenario in which we close to ~a few miles away and want to set up our attack of the course of ~hours. We can infuse a PokeSpace in 10 minutes and then be approximately safe from detection. Rather than having to fear being detected by a patrol.

We can also use them to bait in Akatsuki to seemingly harmless areas, then drop them to reveal traps.
hat's very annoying to me, we did the prep day for a reason.
You could at least list "Kagome's Tears(if difficulty is medium or easier)" or something.
But also, why are you pushing for a big research update when the QMs are already backlogged on research? Let them catch up first
I don't think Kagome's Tears is a useful rune

The QMs are backlogged on generating new TNs, making rolls on already generated TNs is a low-spoon activity.

Paper was suggesting (tongue-in-cheek) that the current batch would be done in December, I'm not waiting that long.
We have done prep days on several Konan counters and are waiting for the results.
Can you explain why you are so set on "moving forward without waiting for the prep days to come back"?
We have other useful stuff to research so it's not necessary to work on anti-Konan stuff immediately.
t's not obvious to me that that patch of nowhere in iron is to hot to return to, or that researching rifts is impossible given the chakrascope reading we already have.
And why would researching a rift-maker be gated behind offensive runes? We can reserch them in parallel, and given that it's the start of a runechain(links of which can't be parallelized), starting it soon is more important for it than for the average rune
Specifically Naruto is going to be sending all of Leaf's hunter ninja through Iron and Snow during this update, did you forget?

Researching Rift Runes requires access to a Rift. We have WoG on this. Chakrascope will not cut it.

We can of course, research Rift runes and I'm not even opposed, but they are lower priority than offensive runes.
 
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Is Kei able to FOOM at all, or are we eating all the spare chakra?
We are eating it all (mostly) also she's stagnated so I'd rather divert any additional we have to Nobs's research than worry about getting her 0.2 additional XP (literally)

207 (SC + 5 Clones) + 880 (SC for 11 blocks) = 1087 CP => 1.1 FOOM Mult and 0 additional blocks to use. With 228 additional chakra remaining Hazou can cast SC 1 additional time to help Noburi research
We could have her get one block with this.

However assuming that we get 0.35 (1 block)* 0.6 (Stagnancy) = ~0.2 SC XP

Additionally, she'll quickly get more stagnated. So it's even less over time. I don't think it's worth the effort tbh.
 
[X] Sealing SOP: Runemaster
This is way too long, and I would reject it in its current state. It needs to be usable for me to use it.

This old one is a great example of being super usable:
[X][Sealing SOP] Safety is Default
  • Prep one day for every new seal to gauge difficulty.
  • If the perceived difficulty is "genin-level", proceed with SSA, no prep, and no rerolls.
  • If the perceived difficulty is "chūnin-level", proceed with SSA, 5 days prep, and no rerolls.
  • If the perceived difficulty is "jōnin-level", proceed with SSA, full prep, reroll -3 or worse.
  • If the perceived difficulty is "Jiraiya", do not proceed.
Specific things it does:
  1. If a plan says to "research a seal", 'pilot should prep at least one day first to gauge difficulty.
  2. Once difficulty has been checked, exactly what procedure to follow is clear.
In contrast:
This SOP can be overridden by an action plan, however, this requires the plan-writer to specifically write that they disregard it. By default, this should trump action plans.
  • This is for instances where the players vote in something with imperfect knowledge about the difficulty.
  • Hazoupilot should be considered here, if he thinks something is mildly risky but he has FP for rerolls etc. then he should be willing to accept a minimal amount of risk.
  • If he ever feels like something is very dangerous he should abort research, this overrides even statements disregarding this SOP, the action plan should be ended and the players given the choice of continuing with that course of research.
I don't want it to be "SOP overrides plan, plan specifying overriding SOP overrides SOP, but SOP overrides plan specifying overriding SOP in this one particular situation." The SOP should be just the base that I consult if the plan doesn't specify details, otherwise I follow the plan. Done.

More specific comments:
Do not work on projects that Hazou thinks have significant danger of failing (fails on a fully prepped roll for infusion or ES/Calligraphy at a -6) with fewer than 3 FP, if possible, buy up to 3 and continue, if insufficient XP exists, pivot to an easier project.
Can be shorter as "If Hazou thinks he will fail on a -6, buy up to 3 FP or abort."

  • Do not dual track projects that will fail on a -3 with full prep. One at a time at the most
  • If Hazou thinks the project will fail on a -3 with full prep, do not research at all.
Mutually exclusive?

At the beginning of all cycles, Hazou should buy up to 2 FP if he's dual tracking, and 1 FP if he's single tracking.
This is both good and concise.

Reroll projects for safety only at <4 FP. At >=4 FP reroll difficult projects for progress and safety. Off tracks should be rerolled for safety only to preserve FP.
Don't need to specify reroll for safety, since 'pilot will already do that.

If we are dual-tracking projects, make an effort align the prep requirements so that we can minimize cycle length. However, note that Hazou can ignore one DoB inflicted Consequence, so if prep days do not align for whatever reason (mostly for researching a rune and a seal at the same time), extending the length of one of the cycles is preferred to abandoning the project.
  • If Hazou pivots to researching an easier version of one of the seal/runes after the first version of the idea is too difficult, extend the cycle rather than dropping prep on the first cycle.
'Pilot will also already do this.

For Seals, on the first roll for research,
  • If Trivial/Genin - can be rolled with no-prep and no-DoB
  • If Chunin - can be rolled with full-prep and no-DoB, or no-prep and yes-DoB, or IFF we have research notes or lots of veterancy, >2 days-prep and no-DoB.
  • If Jounin - can be rolled with full-prep and yes-DoB, reroll agressively. If we have research notes/significant veterancy, reroll normally.
  • If Jiraiya - can be rolled with full-prep and yes-DoB IFF we have research notes, reroll agressively
Ideally this becomes much more concise, like the SOP above.

  • If the prep requirements can't be met, abort the cycle and research something easier.
  • After the first roll, drop or add prep days as Hazoupilot gets comfortable with the infusion rolls. Be conservative here. If he feels he came close to failure, add prep, if that's not possible, don't continue. If he feels it was easy, drop prep days instead.
These caveats don't need to be on both seals and runes, and can also be more concise. For instance, if 'pilot thinks he needs prep to do a rune or seal safely, he'll just abort by default, so you just don't need to specify that.

My attempt at rewriting your SOP into a usable form (Note that this is not endorsement; this could still cause sealing/runic failures):
  • Always do a prep day to test difficulty first.
  • Rerolls to Hazou's intuition, default is -9 or worse.
    • If >3 FP, reroll for extra progress.
  • Buy to:
    • 1 FP if single-tracking.
    • 2 FP if dual-tracking.
    • 3 FP if Hazou thinks a project will likely fail on a -6 or worse.
  • Abort projects if Hazou thinks it will likely fail on a -3 or worse.
  • After the first roll, adjust prep days based on Hazou's intuition.
  • Seals:
    • Trivial/Genin: Neither prep nor DoB.
    • Chuunin: One of full prep or DoB.
      • With notes or significant veterancy: 2 days prep, no DoB.
    • Jounin: Both full prep and DoB, reroll -3 or worse.
      • With notes or significant veterancy: reroll as normal.
    • Jiraiya: Don't research.
      • With notes or significant veterancy: Both full prep and DoB, reroll -3 or worse.
  • Runes:
    • Trivial: Neither prep nor DoB.
    • Easy: 2 days prep, no DoB.
    • Medium: Both full prep and DoB.
    • Hard: Don't research, attempt to find easier version.
      • With veterancy: Both full prep and DoB, reroll -3 or worse, Invoke.
 
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Nope, since there is a severe backlog of new TNs, I have no plans to do substantial numbers of new ones until the QMs say they have spoons for it
I feel like if we can't try new ideas, we may want to vote interludes until the QM spoon drawer is refilled. I don't want to feel like we have to spend IC time (which is very limited) researching ideas that we're not ~90% confident will work.

(To be clear, I'm not complaining about the spoon situation. I'm perfectly fine with more interludes while the QMs recover.)
 
I feel like if we can't try new ideas, we may want to vote interludes until the QM spoon drawer is refilled. I don't want to feel like we have to spend IC time (which is very limited) researching ideas that we're not ~90% confident will work.

(To be clear, I'm not complaining about the spoon situation. I'm perfectly fine with more interludes while the QMs recover.)
We have plenty of stuff that we need to research in the meantime. We have a workable kit (with a couple holes)
 
Did Hazō leak any aura in the chapters where he learned Akane was missing and started searching for her?
The only time that would plausibly have happened was when he was talking to Ruka in the mission office, but at that time he wasn't in a mental state to know if he was doing it.

I'd say "Fuck you" but calling someone by their first name already kinda implies being lovers and even the thought of that is discusting
My understanding, and the way that I write it, is more nuanced than this. Calling someone by their first name can indicate close friendship/romantic relations, or it can simply mean that someone is inferior to you and does not require the courtesy of using their surname.
 
Re: prep days vs research timeskips etc etc.

For me, a lot of it boils down to: I dont think a massive pile of new ideas is going to help us. We already cooked up a bunch and ran difficulty checks on like 50 of them. We thought through how to use these effectively or what we would gain from having them. I think sifting through that stuff, doing what portion of them we can, and iterating on results is going to yield better outcomes.


I think that if you boil this mission down to a more abstract tractable problem it goes like:

  1. Probe search space
  2. Isolate 10-20 viable candidates or candidate pathways
  3. Figure those out
  4. Finetune
  5. Implement

FMPOV if we're running into time pressure (assuming we are on the clock less than we believe but moreso than the QMs seem to think for arguments sake), well, we have already done a great deal of "probe search space" and some amount of "isolate some viable candidates" and a smaller amount of "figure 'em out". I am not sure we get much comparative utility here from devoting 60% of our daily Hazou-time to this one beyond rerunning the probes on stuff to get an accurate assessment of where we now stand, while we work on steps 2 and 3. Some of those guys could be working on reading notes or scribing skywalkers for instance (which we need).

I think some of you were not impressed by the chakra pool buff, but I note that the QMs thought it was pretty good, so if they have to factor that (as applied to whatever N Leaf ninja are fighting in any given instance) in to some sort of abstract death-sim, it'll probably be a small but significant overall boost to Team Leaf there. I think that is more worthwhile to try to pursue than having that same clone just run prep days on whatever increasingly cartoonish superweapon designs we cook up. That buff is real and we've interacted with it and we can go back and interact with it again if we need to do some finishing touches. The "Turn Akatsuki Into Ice Cream Sundaes with Sprinkles"-inator (nb: as a comedic abstraction) or any other "I just win the thing" (nb: as a less comedic and more distilled simplification of what the intent is) stuff is not going to happen FMPOV. This is not a strategy so much as it is a desperation move.

I think there's still stuff looking into, but its all variations of stuff we've already hashed out to death, have an idea on how to easily implement, have objective examples of (ex: the element negation arrays -> "No Fire Ninjutsu in this fight, good luck and have fun mate" Rune). I think that's worth checking out. We're probably going to have to run some prep days on rune variants when we get to the "Finetune" step, cuz I doubt that we'll get it all right the first try. That makes sense to me, that's good engineering.

I don't want to keep voting in random shit to difficulty check just based on some shallow Pascal's Mugging based analysis of "Well if it works then we win so even if there's a 1% chance then..." because that is unlikely to lead to good outcomes when you go from any individual instance to 20-30 instances, plural. That is not how expected value and variance terms work. I don't think that style of approach is going to work well compared to tweaking all of the stuff we've already wargamed out mentally or otherwise hashed out a bunch in thread or in Discord. This does not make sense to me to do. [1]

Let's pick some ideas, commit to getting viable and impactful final products that can be reasonably implemented from as big of a subset of them as we can, and stop fucking around.



[1] It is also going to waste a big pile of QM spoons to juggle that and is probably going gum up the works a bit. This seems unwise to me for a variety of reasons, but one pertinent one that we have just run into is that things get busy, we end up voting in chapters or interludes to wait on stuff to catch up, and we look up and suddenly we spent like half a month on a sidequest. I do not think this is a coincidence? I think that (taking things to a comedic extreme) that the memetic "Waiter, I would like a 2 months long filler arc and 100 research results simultaneously please" would be an incredibly jerk move to do. Paring the expectations down here: If you have some writers and QMs who are strapped for time, enjoy modeling stuff out mechanically, but ultimately pride themselves on being able to regularly write updates for things ... if spoons are an issue, and "Both please" is off the table, well do you expect the mechanical paperwork to be put to the side or do you expect the thing they actually like to be put to the side? Can we like spare two seconds of thought to examine it from this perspective, please? Does that sound like a fun time to you?
 
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Re: prep days vs research timeskips etc etc.

For me, a lot of it boils down to: I dont think a massive pile of new ideas is going to help us. We already cooked up a bunch and ran difficulty checks on like 50 of them. We thought through how to use these effectively or what we would gain from having them. I think sifting through that stuff, doing what portion of them we can, and iterating on results is going to yield better outcomes.


I think that if you boil this mission down to a more abstract tractable problem it goes like:

  1. Probe search space
  2. Isolate 10-20 viable candidates or candidate pathways
  3. Figure those out
  4. Finetune
  5. Implement

FMPOV if we're running into time pressure (assuming we are on the clock less than we believe but moreso than the QMs seem to think for arguments sake), well, we have already done a great deal of "probe search space" and some amount of "isolate some viable candidates" and a smaller amount of "figure 'em out". I am not sure we get much comparative utility here from devoting 60% of our daily Hazou-time to this one beyond rerunning the probes on stuff to get an accurate assessment of where we now stand, while we work on steps 2 and 3. Some of those guys could be working on reading notes or scribing skywalkers for instance (which we need).

I think some of you were not impressed by the chakra pool buff, but I note that the QMs thought it was pretty good, so if they have to factor that (as applied to whatever N Leaf ninja are fighting in any given instance) in to some sort of abstract death-sim, it'll probably be a small but significant overall boost to Team Leaf there. I think that is more worthwhile to try to pursue than having that same clone just run prep days on whatever increasingly cartoonish superweapon designs we cook up. That buff is real and we've interacted with it and we can go back and interact with it again if we need to do some finishing touches. The "Turn Akatsuki Into Ice Cream Sundaes with Sprinkles"-inator (nb: as a comedic abstraction) or any other "I just win the thing" (nb: as a less comedic and more distilled simplification of what the intent is) stuff is not going to happen FMPOV. This is not a strategy so much as it is a desperation move.

I think there's still stuff looking into, but its all variations of stuff we've already hashed out to death, have an idea on how to easily implement, have objective examples of (ex: the element negation arrays -> "No Fire Ninjutsu in this fight, good luck and have fun mate" Rune). I think that's worth checking out. We're probably going to have to run some prep days on rune variants when we get to the "Finetune" step, cuz I doubt that we'll get it all right the first try. That makes sense to me, that's good engineering.

I don't want to keep voting in random shit to difficulty check just based on some shallow Pascal's Mugging based analysis of "Well if it works then we win so even if there's a 1% chance then..." because that is unlikely to lead to good outcomes when you go from any individual instance to 20-30 instances, plural. That is not how expected value and variance terms work. I don't think that style of approach is going to work well compared to tweaking all of the stuff we've already wargamed out mentally or otherwise hashed out a bunch in thread or in Discord. This does not make sense to me to do. [1]

Let's pick some ideas, commit to getting viable and impactful final products that can be reasonably implemented from as big of a subset of them as we can, and stop fucking around.



[1] It is also going to waste a big pile of QM spoons to juggle that and is probably going gum up the works a bit. This seems unwise to me for a variety of reasons, but one pertinent one that we have just run into is that things get busy, we end up voting in chapters or interludes to wait on stuff to catch up, and we look up and suddenly we spent like half a month on a sidequest. I do not think this is a coincidence? I think that (taking things to a comedic extreme) that the memetic "Waiter, I would like a 2 months long filler arc and 100 research results simultaneously please" would be an incredibly jerk move to do. Paring the expectations down here: If you have some writers and QMs who are strapped for time, enjoy modeling stuff out mechanically, but ultimately pride themselves on being able to regularly write updates for things ... if spoons are an issue, and "Both please" is off the table, well do you expect the mechanical paperwork to be put to the side or do you expect the thing they actually like to be put to the side? Can we like spare two seconds of thought to examine it from this perspective, please? Does that sound like a fun time to you?
Post-work brain is strong, but seconding this
 
[Can we Declare that we did this? That we stashed 10+ skysliders in Dog?]

That's too much for a Declare, sorry.
@eaglejarl @Paperclipped
Would it be within the realm of a declare that, along with the other clan documents, jutsu scrolls, etc that Hazou copied or took, he also made a copy of the Skyslider blueprints? From there, Hazou and Kagome and the Arachnids could try to construct more...

(This may literally be the only time in the story they're relevant so I'm tryna get them involved :V)
 
I'd say "Fuck you" but calling someone by their first name already kinda implies being lovers and even the thought of that is discusting
My understanding, and the way that I write it, is more nuanced than this. Calling someone by their first name can indicate close friendship/romantic relations, or it can simply mean that someone is inferior to you and does not require the courtesy of using their surname.
Also, to be clear to everyone, that quote of me saying that is from a reaction post where I was 'talking' to our hated Hagoromo enemy. That was not something I said in thread during an actual discussion.
 
Would it be within the realm of a declare that, along with the other clan documents, jutsu scrolls, etc that Hazou copied or took, he also made a copy of the Skyslider blueprints? From there, Hazou and Kagome and the Arachnids could try to construct more...


(This may literally be the only time in the story they're relevant so I'm tryna get them involved )
Yes, it would be reasonable to Declare that, among the documents that Mari took from the clan as she left, skyslider designs were among them ("blueprint" probably implies too much technical precision for the science/tech level).
 
How long does Yuno have left on her Consequence? It's been 16 (subjective) days since she was hurt, so does Noburi estimate she has about ~1 week left? He estimated about 3 weeks with regular care and she's been receiving it.
Yes, Noburi estimates around a week. Maybe 10 days to be extra-safe.


Thanks for the quick response, just one quick follow up, without the pool, can I assume 500 CP budget?
Yes, your chakra-budget will be around 500 CP without the pool, unless you want to start cutting into your teammates' training.
 
[X] Action Plan: The Short Haul
Word Count: 298
Intended Duration: Subjective: Until we finish Force Domes lol (Solar: However long that is/1.4)
  • Sanity check all Uplift
  • Research - until Yuno heals
  • Leave the grotto, travel west, loop around Bear and camp on the far side.
  • Set up a research base
    • Place a TR140 far underground wrapped in ELF explosives. The AoE should be flush with the ground. Build the base there. Earthshape out an area of accelerated time.
      • Defend the base with Kagome's trap array/SCSA/SSSA/skyslicers etc.
      • Send out Yuno SCs to scout any nearby chakra beasts and/or nests.
      • After ~1 solar month, displace a few hundred miles -- keeping Bear between Uplift and the EN
        • ES the ground to cover the AoE of accelerated time so that it looks natural
  • Research
    • As XP becomes available raise the following:
      • PS -> 31
      • Mednin 0 -> 10
      • Sealing -> 54 (spend 40 Notes XP)
      • PS -> 32
    • Dual track rune research, follow the Sealing SOP
    • If Iron Earth completes before Force Domes, begin Ninja-Radar, if that completes, or is Hard, research Mirror Dragon Runes. If that is Hard, end the update early.
    • Follow the chakra budget. Read notes when chakra is unavailable.
    • When notes are finished, scribe seals.
    • Once the pool effect ends and FOOM blocks decrease, redo all previously difficulty checked but unresearched runes, starting with the Great Seal and any ...well within..., then move to ...maybe..., then ...beyond...
      • This is higher priority than notes, but lower than learning mednin or FOOM
      • Start studying mednin with Noburi.
      • Recheck Chakra Soothing Runes once Hazou learns Mednin
      • Difficulty check on PLTR 125
  • Kagome
    • Keep researching Banshee Fuckers
    • Declare (-1FP) that we have skyslider designs and ask him to build them once BFs are done.
  • Noburi
    • Continue to research SC interactions with his bloodline, and teach Hazou mednin
      • Teach him SC once he's finished researching it
 
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