Vecht said:
We do have pretty good socials which will likely put us net positive if we enacted pure Level-1 strategies, maybe even 100 points or so.

Preemptively stating I was wrong and miscalibrated here. I expected everyone to do much better at level-1, ourselves included. Updating towards ~90% of level-1 players ending net negative.
 
I do/did like the Chunin Exams as well but I really just want to get the tournament stage already and see more straight forward punching. Nearly all of the events have been playing against our strengths (with a good IC explanation at least) so sometimes it feels like an uphill battle.
FWIW the swamp event seemed mostly geared towards face punching, the players just decided to pursue a more involved strategy. I don't think social/infiltration events are particularly bad for us, because I feel like we have more control of the outcome there. It rests more on how good the plan is, rather than the build-and-dice stat-check that a fight is.
 
We need to decide now whether we're treating this as an assassination attempt or a "removing from event" attempt.

The former activates our lethal combat protocols.
 
We need to decide now whether we're treating this as an assassination attempt or a "removing from event" attempt.

The former activates our lethal combat protocols.
It's a "removing from event" attempt, a poor one. If they wanted us out they'd have made a Henge'd clone and had it drag us to a proctor, before dispelling itself.
 
We didn't miss anything. We decided to play conservatively, and fucked ourselves over in the process. Vecht made a huge post on ways to go about this event a while ago.

No, not that part. The part where it turned out to be a lot more physical/combat-y. I overestimated the coverage proctors would have and how much of a detterence that would be to near-murder attempts. (Or to the blatant henge breaking attempt of "Shiba").
 
Ok we are safe to tunnel out since Kei is covering for us but we will need to make a move soon
 
The tunnel collapse was predicated on someone falling for another trap, which Noburi triggered when he went in for Hazou.

But does intent matter? I don't think it does.

If we can identify who did this to us, then we could definitely spin this as an assassination attempt and reap the benefits. Of course, the hard part is figuring out the people responsible.
 
Make no mistake: the Tunnel Collapse was most definitely an assassination attempt. On the other hand, there is no guarantee that the same person that drained us is the one behind it.

Still, it is definitely something we should look into.
 
[X] Plan lurkingluck
Tunnel in a perpendicular direction to previous destroyed tunnel as far as reasonable (not much time, not so far that we're out of bounds). Select the span where the biggest and more concentrated roots are for vegetation cover.
Listen for movement avoveground. If you ever had an upstairs neighbour, you know this is feasible. If possible, mist sense before emerging with a thin layer through soil permeability/humidity. If possible, poke a small hole first to ascertain surroundings. If no people around, emerge & regroup. Else, retry in perpendicular direction. Else, retry in random direction. Else, shrug and detonate for ground sinking as much as possible with half of stock, emerge during chaos, incapacitate if detected, regroup.

Not part of the plan:
The problem with more new people contributing is that they have trough the story, learn the mechanics, learn the mistakes made, and then maybe their plans won't horribly kill us all. I've lurked for what seems like years and this is the quality of plan I can offer. I do not see myself contributing except very sporadically, and it should be obvious I am not fluent with the mechanics. I think quality contribution is a very hard thing to do in this setting. I have never voted before. I do not even know if i have used the correct characters so that this plan is counted. I thought that it might inspire a better plan.

As always, I quite still enjoy the work you all put in. You're all making a cool thing.

Any attempts to coerce me to invest myself further by being nice and/or encouraging will result in me learning how to properly vote, and then vote for armageddon initiative. Any attempts to fake niceness/encouragement in order to get me to vote for armageddon will be ignored and not count towards previous statement.

The length of this post brought to you by the sunken cost fallacy.
 
Hazou Philosophy: Develop Causal Decision Theory as a descriptive method for how society functions
I initially read read this as "Deep Causal Decision Theory", in the vein of 'deep neural networks', and honestly it made a lot of sense.

Or can a ? + ? have a secret negative score?
Question marks can totally be negative, yes.

@Velorien, @OliWhail, @eaglejarl how far beneath the surface are we?
Within several meters.

except for one thing: Has this been advertised on r/rational before? I think they would be into it.
It has, yeah :)

JIRAIYA: The least damaging interpretation is that the Mizukage can't control her ninja. :3
I think you mean
>:3c
 
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