Mmkay, so, here's the deal. I think that negotiating for a chance to brainwash/rehabilitate Oro (in the form of (bi)weekly philosophical discussions during which he isn't allowed to threaten us) is the highest-value thing we can get out of it. I'll outline all my arguments for this below; bear with me for now.
The issue is, I don't think we can get that unless we send Hazou off into the negotiations with the explicit instructions to be willing to compromise on quite a lot of everything else – get worse deals for jutsu/seals, etc. – but not allow Orochimaru to negotiate this term away. My expectations is that, while Orochimaru won't view this as a threat, he'd be fairly annoyed at the idea. He'd also expect that it's something
we aren't strongly committed to. So all throughout the negotiations, he'd be weakly trying to fold that term away. We'll need to not let him, which means e. g. waving away offers like "2x as many seals but I don't have to put up with talking to you".
I'd like to get a feel for how willing we are to do that.
My arguments:
1A. S-rankers' minds are easier to change than you think.
Essies systemically suffer from the textbook case of the Dictator's Problem: they end up surrounded by yes-men.
The setting's pressures mold them into temperamental, quirky assholes as they rise to power. Once they're S-rank, other people know to fear them, or to try and get stuff out of them, which means people try to learn their quirks and avoid triggering them. Even fellow S-rankers are like this – after all, pissing off one of the few other people who may be able to kill you is a bad idea. Better play along with their neuroses and get what you want out of them this way, right?
Which means nobody ever
pushes back on those neuroses. Anyone who tries, dies, with the essie not paying their blabbering any mind afterwards. And if the irritant is an essie themselves – well, they're probably not pushing back by trying to
change your mind, but by flexing their power in an attempt to get their way by force. Alternatively, by
manipulating, rather than confronting, your neuroses, the way Ami's always been doing. Genuine attempts to
engage are probably extremely rare.
So an essie's life experience involves basically-zero introspective doubt. They could spend a lifetime making decisions that are incoherent and impulsive even by their own standards, and never realize, because no-one would dare or bother to critique them. And this isn't just bad for others, it's bad for
them too. This sort of self-ignorance prevents them from achieving their goals; they end up making decisions that they themselves would regret, if someone forced them to view the bigger picture.
Moreover, this setup – this sort of life philosophy that's been
insulated from criticism – is necessarily
unstable. If anyone
does manage to meaningfully engage, they'd likely find the essie's worldview surprisingly moldable. Not trivially and arbitrarily so, but much less implacable than the essie's aura-flexing would suggest.
And we have a case study: Itachi.
"Truthfully," Itachi said, "no one had spoken to me that way for a long time indeed. Even the others have a general sense of where to draw the line, and you crossed it with wild abandon. It was beyond suicidal. However… that is not the same as wrong."
Hazō stared.
"Scattered within your vitriolic, oddly alien ranting were a handful of points I may well have needed to hear, as Hidan put it. Nearly drowned out by the volume of the rest, perhaps, but not entirely silenced. Had I killed you as I originally intended, I would have missed out on the first words of value I'd heard since… well, since I found myself with only Hidan for company in the aftermath of the final battle. There is a part of me that resents you for your violation of the things most precious to me, and I suspect always will. The rest, however…"
Pretty much exactly what I'd like to pull on Oro. Except without limiting our push-back to just one conversation; but to a whole
series of them.
Another case study: Hidan. Once we have an in, once he's willing to listen to our bullshit, it's laughably easy to
spin up arbitrary frameworks and make him buy them.
1B. Orochimaru's mind, specifically, can be changed.
One of the first things we learned about
MfD!Orochimaru is:
"Who is Orochimaru?" Noburi asked.
"Another of the Three," Akane told him. "He was also a hero of the Third Great Ninja War, and he was famous for being a biological research and sealcrafting prodigy. But he betrayed the village—our textbooks don't say how—and now he's one of our worst missing-nin."
"Do you know what he did?" Hazō asked Jiraiya, perhaps incautiously, but aware that this was a rare opportunity to get a real answer to a question that might turn out to be important later.
"He decided it was easier not to care about people," Jiraiya said heavily. He did not elaborate.
The
Shed Skins interlude offers some more context, painting the picture of someone who'd started off intensely empathetic ("I had a personal failing of character during the vivisection and prematurely terminated the subject..."), and then carved away pieces of that empathy as a self-defence mechanism from witnessing constant tragedy and failure ("... I have identified the problem and will do better in the future").
And as per 1A,
that defence mechanism is likely quite fragile. If we can actually force him to
engage with the arguments against his worldview, we should be able to unravel it piece by piece. We'd been able to do that to Mari and Ami, social-specs with highly complicated identity issues. Oro, by comparision, is one of the most narrow-minded essies there are. He's likely surprisingly uncomplicated. If we can get as much information on his interior as we have on Mari's, and get half as many opportunities to work on him?
His mind will be putty in our hands.
2. It'd be insanely valuable.
Orochimaru is one of the strongest ninja characters in the setting, arguably sharing the top spot with Tsunade. He also has a specialization highly compatible with our own. He also has a world-view parts of which are highly compatible with our own – the vision of a deathless world foremost of them. He's also one of the few characters I'd struggle to figure out how to kill.
And right now, he's essentially our enemy. A massive obstacle that we're going to have to deal with sooner or later.
What if we could turn him to our side, however?
In the long-term, that'd be much, much more beneficial than any amount of seals or jutsu he can give us. Primarily, because turning him to our side would effectively
give us all of the seals and jutsu he has! Including the S-rank techniques he'd never, ever part with. They won't be given to us personally, maybe, but they'd be made to serve our broad cause.
Right now, he's a massive
negative presence in the world, canceling out the world's utility and hindering our plans. Turning him won't simply remove it. It'd
flip the sign, transmuting the obstacle of him into an additional engine powering our plans.
Also: Just imagine Ami's face when she shows up again and we're all buddy-buddy with Oro. Just imagine it!
To recap: My suggestion is that, during the lithosealing trade, one of our terms should be "for the next 1-2 years, Orochimaru agrees to (bi)weekly spend 1-2 hours talking to Hazou about philosophy; during these segments, he agrees to genuinely engage with Hazou's thoughts, and not to act on any offence Hazou might give him during that time (i. e., no physical or metaphysical threats)".
I think we'll need to make that one of our core terms. Something Hazou wouldn't easily budge on; something for which he'd be willing to sacrifice significantly better terms for jutsu/seal trade.
Now, impromptu poll. React to this post in order to indicate your opinion.
- Insightful = "I agree that we should make this the core term of our deal."
- Like = "I agree that we should push for this hard, but it should have a lower priority than one (1) other term I have in mind."
- Informative = "I'm willing to throw it in, but not to compromise on anything concrete for that."
- Funny = "I don't care for this idea at all."
I understand that you might want to get more information by e. g. talking to Mari or Tsunade about the viability of it first. But imagine that we're not allowed to do that. What are your
current feelings about this idea, with all the uncertainties priced-in?