- Location
- Europe
Please don't commit international terrorism on our planet until some of us have evacuated it.
Well there are some people on the ISS currently, that counts right?
Please don't commit international terrorism on our planet until some of us have evacuated it.
My assumption was that they were the ones performing the bombardment. So, not really.Well there are some people on the ISS currently, that counts right?
Okay, so the [120 graduates per year, 90/9/1 ratio] input set gave us decent numbers for Genin but possibly too-large numbers for Chuunin and Jounin. Does your average Jounin really live to 50, or should it maybe be closer to 40?
What we can do here is take the number of genin deaths per year from that input set (108) and fix it in place. Actually, 19-23 averages 21, or 9 years, so let's fiddle with it a little:
So let's fix in place our numbers of 125 dead Genin per year, with the average Genin lifespan being somewhere between 18 and 22. Now we want to figure out how many Chuunin and Jounin die per year on top of that. We had 10.8 Chuunin dead per year and 1.2 Jounin dead per year, and these gave us kind of large numbers. What if we tweak them a little?
- If we have 120 deaths per year, we get 10 & 6.7, average 8.4 years of service.
- If we have 130 deaths per year, we get 9.2 & 6.2, average 7.7 years of service.
- If we have 125 deaths per year, we get 9.6 & 6.4, average 8.0 years of service exactly.
If we go with those numbers, the average Academy class size is 142 ninja. Of those ninja, 15 of them are going to get promoted to Chuunin and only 2 of them are going to make it to Jounin. Does that sound reasonable?
- Let's assume 15 Chuunin dead per year. That gets us 17 & 11 years of service for a lifespan of about 27-33 years.
- Let's assume 2 Jounin dead per year. That gets us 25 & 17 years of service for a lifespan of about 38-48 years.
Borders don't really pop up that much since ninja are so fast and can wall-walk, so this seal isn't going to be very useful and there's no reason for it to have been invented.Lightning Jutsu: Earth Breaker
The user sends a large surge of lightning chakra through the ground, breaking it and any object or structure on it apart and leaving behind piles of rubble and torn ground.
Casting Speed: Standard
Duration: Instant
Effect: Removes (Effect) levels of Border from the selected zone boundary, to a minimum of 1. The user can also choose to leave the boundary as high as (Effect) Border if it would otherwise have been lower (e.g. if you cast it with Effect 5 then you could reduce a Border 3 down to Border 1 or up to Border 5).
(I don't really know how Borders work in practice but I think the general idea of what the jutsu does can still be made use of if this version is wrong)
Lightning Jutsu: Glare of Death
The user looks at someone and laser beams shoot out at them, crossing vast distances in the blink of an eye to electrocute the target.
Casting Speed: Standard
Duration: Instant
Effect: Regular attack jutsu, can be aimed up to two zones away.
Stunt: Cross-eyed
Requirements: GoD 30.
Cost: 150 XP
Effect: You can use Glare of Death on two enemies simultaneously, provided they are in the same zone as each other, at a 1 AB penalty [Cross-Eyed].
Stunt: Eagle-Eyed
Requirements: GoD 50.
Cost: 300 XP
Effect: You can use Glare of Death up to three zones away, at a 1 AB penalty [Specks in the Distance].
(The intent for this jutsu is that it's a fairly decent ranged jutsu, and if you can get it to the higher levels then there are some expensive stunts that take it from fairly decent to pretty strong.)
Demographics & Promotion Rates
Modification requested:
We'd like to see the lifespans be shorter than suggested above. The average genin graduates at 12 and dies at 16-18. A large plurality of those who make it to chūnin (typically around the age of 18) die within a year due to suddenly being sent on more difficult missions. Those who make it past that first year will probably make it to 22-25, at which point they get promoted to jōnin or special jōnin. Jōnin have another high-mortality year after promotion and nearly all of them die within 5 years. Those who make it past 30 are likely going to become S-rank badasses who are able to live to 60 or 70 before dying of relatively natural causes like old age or disease.
The implication is that only the top genin get to go to the Chūnin Exam at ~14-16.
We would know anyway, I'm pretty sure.We've been up really high, so the curvature of the planet should be obvious unless we're on one of those Jupiter*10 sized xianxia planets (I think).So we've been talking in discord, and if the ENs act anything like Earth (round and rotating) it should be pretty obvious due to skywalkers.
Since angular momentum on the ground is lower than what is needed to maintain position at altitude this means you can stand in place and the planet will visibly rotate under you if you are a few kms up. So if this doesn't happen the ENs do not rotate.
This happens because skywalkers lock to you and preserve your angular momentum - otherwise they would risk tearing your legs off.
We'd like to see the lifespans be shorter than suggested above. The average genin graduates at 12 and dies at 16-18. A large plurality of those who make it to chūnin (typically around the age of 18) die within a year due to suddenly being sent on more difficult missions. Those who make it past that first year will probably make it to 22-25, at which point they get promoted to jōnin or special jōnin. Jōnin have another high-mortality year after promotion and nearly all of them die within 5 years. Those who make it past 30 are likely going to become S-rank badasses who are able to live to 60 or 70 before dying of relatively natural causes like old age or disease.
We would know anyway, I'm pretty sure.We've been up really high, so the curvature of the planet should be obvious unless we're on one of those Jupiter*10 sized xianxia planets (I think).
Aside: "Flat earth" as it pertains to our world is also a common historical misconception, and it wasn't really ever a thing (various other astronomy related kerfuffles are a different story). Like some other stuff (some interesting trivia there I recall being told at some point but never knew were actually false), supposedly.
Might be conflating this with "that other experiment proposed one of those last times this topic came up that takes like three seconds to do."I have been told by someone in this community that we wouldn't still be able to see the curvature even though we went really high up.
The specs for your modification are actually word-for-word what you gave me on Discord a while ago and I made a second calculation sheet based on it a while back:@Inferno Vulpix (and others?), you did a bunch of work on ninja demographics and death rates for us. We were looking for a modification, but I've lost the reference for it, and I'm unsure if we ever came to a conclusion and signed off. Could you please find us the pointer if we did, or offer the modification requested below if we didn't?
Back then you said the numbers I was working with were non-confirmed, should I take it that they now have general approval from the QMs?The following is a non-confirmed quote from eaglejarl on the discord about ninja demographics that he wants checked for plausibility:
Now, as a recap, Konoha in a 'stable state' (i.e. before the USoUD and BotG) has about 1200 Genin, 250 Chuunin, and 50 Jounin. Okay, let's go.
Genin:
Genin have a fairly even death rate here, let's average that out and say that a Genin lives from 12 to 17, five years. This means that 240 Genin die, get promoted, or go missing a year and 240 Genin graduate from the Academy each year.
Chuunin:
Chuunin can be put in two groups: doomed Chuunin and Jounin-track Chuunin. Doomed Chuunin die in less than a year, let's round that off to a flat year for simplicity. Jounin-track Chuunin stay Chuunin for about six years before becoming Jounin. This means that for every year of Doomed Chuunin there are six years of Jounin-track Chuunin to work with.
There are 250 Chuunin in Konoha. If 2/3 of new Chuunin are doomed Chuunin, then there are (1/3 * 6) = 2 years of Chuunin, 3 times as many Jounin-track Chuunin as doomed Chuunin walking around at a given moment. That means there are about 190 Jounin-track Chuunin and about 60 doomed Chuunin in Konoha.
This amounts to a draw of about 90 Genin a year, meaning that of the 240 Genin that graduate from the Academy, about 150 will die as Genin, about 60 will die as doomed Chuunin, and about 30 will likely hit Jounin.
Jounin:
There are three categories for Jounin here: doomed Jounin, regular Jounin, and S-track Jounin. Doomed Jounin die within the first year, and the regular Jounin population die within five years (let's say an average of 3), leaving only the S-track Jounin alive beyond that.
There are 50 Jounin in Leaf in a stable state. That means that there's one year of doomed Jounin, three years of regular Jounin, and something like thirty years of S-rank Jounin that together equal 50.
Starting from the S-rankers, let's make a generous estimate that Konoha averages about 5 S-rankers normally. That drops our Jounin pool down to 45 between the doomed and regular Jounin.
At a draw of 30 new Jounin per year, n of them are doomed Jounin and m of them are regular Jounin. With a total non-S-track Jounin population of about 45, we get the following equations: n + 3m = 45 and n + m = 30. Rearrange for n = 30 - m and substitute as (30 - m) + 3m = 45 and solve for m = 7.5. Round that off and we can conclude that of the 30 new Jounin Leaf gets each year, 22 of them are doomed Jounin and 8 of them are Regular Jounin. Or, in other words, 73% of Jounin die in their first year and 27% die within five years.
(S-rankers have been omitted from these calculations because 5 S-rankers at 30 years per S-ranker is one S-ranker every six years, a rounding error of the Jounin population).
In Conclusion:
Taking the not confirmed numbers eaglejarl provided on discord and making a few small assumptions to extrapolate from them:
edit: math error in Chuunin calcs.
- The Academy class size is something like 240 Genin a year.
- About 150 of those Genin (63%) will die as a Genin, and the other 90 will be promoted to Chuunin.
- About 60 of those Chuunin (67%) will die within a year, and the other 30 will be promoted to Jounin.
- About 22 of those Jounin (73%) will die within a year, and the rest will die within five years.
- S-rankers are a rounding error.
edit2: improved Jounin model and fixed calcs.
Lightning Jutsu: Earth Breaker
The user sends a large surge of lightning chakra through the ground, breaking it and any object or structure on it apart and leaving behind piles of rubble and torn ground.
Casting Speed: Standard
Duration: Instant
Effect: Removes (Effect) levels of Border from the selected zone boundary, to a minimum of 1. The user can also choose to leave the boundary as high as (Effect) Border if it would otherwise have been lower (e.g. if you cast it with Effect 5 then you could reduce a Border 3 down to Border 1 or up to Border 5).
(I don't really know how Borders work in practice but I think the general idea of what the jutsu does can still be made use of if this version is wrong)
Borders don't really pop up that much since ninja are so fast and can wall-walk, so this seal isn't going to be very useful and there's no reason for it to have been invented.
Maybe flip it so that it creates a Border in the former of a zappy energy fence/wall?
Not confirmed yet, sorry. I've put the updated version in our QUINOA and asked the others to take a look.Back then you said the numbers I was working with were non-confirmed, should I take it that they now have general approval from the QMs?
Would you mind factoring in @Briefvoice 's suggestion below?If you want me to expand the model to calculate more numbers, or if you spot a mistake or something you don't like in how things shake out, let me know and I'll take a second pass through it.
Last time this came up, I believe I suggested you should include a factor for some percentage of female ninja temporarily or permanently leaving the "ninja workforce" in order to have children and raise them. How many do that and if they stay out permanently or only until the child reaches a certain age varying from clan to clan, person to person, etc., etc., but population-wide you should be able to put a number on it.
EDIT: Also that "casualties" aren't the same as "deaths" and a good number of ninjas will be out due to permanently disabling injuries rather than actually dying.
@Inferno Vulpix got it for me, thanks.@eaglejarl could you confirm what I'm looking for? It sounds to me that you want a confirmation that you signed up to make ninja lifespan shorter, or the original quote suggesting it should be made shorter? It looks like you've already found the latter quote, so I'm not sure if I got this right.
There are people who believe it today, despite literally having photos from space that show it's round.Aside: "Flat earth" as it pertains to our world is also a common historical misconception, and it wasn't really ever a thing (various other astronomy related kerfuffles are a different story). Like some other stuff (some interesting trivia there I recall being told at some point but never knew were actually false), supposedly.
Are microscopes canonical in MfD? I don't remember actually showing one, but my brain is cheese.Well, the Aburame do have microscopes, and they do sell lenses to outsiders willing to pay. They could probably put a telescope together on contract since the concept isn't secret.
#VelorienDidNothingWrong
Hey, it isn't poor!
He's learning! 🏆"What is she doing, Shikamaru?" Hazō asked with frustration, only just stopping himself from lashing out at Shikamaru for what was, ultimately, Hazō's own interpretation of ambiguous wording.
In other words, yes she is."Tell me she's bringing half of Leaf with her," Hazō said.
"Both of the other coordinators, as well as a KEI escort.
Technically? I don't think this update really progressed the plot in any way. I'll update it accordingly.
I'll say!
"Shikamaru," Hazō said with forced patience, "the next time you lie to me on Ami's instructions, I will turn the full power of my creativity in your general direction, and I promise you that you will not enjoy it."
Shikamaru swallowed.