Guys, I apologize, but I may have been wrong about your certainty of the tournament.
Funny.
If someone wanted to gather up known score information from the first 4 events, that would be appreciated to the time of +3 XP.
We've apparently decided to drown you in quotes:
There are 45 Leaf genin (15 teams) in the Exams. 4 of them (including you) were in the Doom Fortress and each of you brought in 49 or 50 seals. Other than that:

0 (Taken out by a team from Rock, escorted out of the Swamp and DQ'd)
0 (Taken out by a team from Lightning, knocked out, thrown out of Swamp and DQ'd)
5/5/6
11/11/12
14/15/14
21/22/21
27/27/27
33/33/34 (Hinata/Shino/Kiba)
49/49/49 (Ino/Shika/Cho)
49/49/49 (Neji/Tenten/Lee)
49/49/49 (Akane/Sakura/Haru)
49/49/50 (Team Uplift)
78/78/77
81/81/81
82/82/83

Note that these are the Leaf totals. You don't know how other nations' teams did.

"Seals will not be distributed evenly," Keiko replied. "Teams will have been taken out and looted by stronger teams. Some of those teams will in turn have been taken out by yet-stronger teams. It is reasonable to believe that the top three to five teams have acquired on the order of fifty percent of the available pool. That is two thousand seals divided among twelve to fifteen people, or approximately one hundred and seventy seals each. It is likely that at least half of those will have been acquired on the first day, before anyone knew that they would expire. In that case they are now expended, reducing the likely total per person to only eighty or ninety each, or perhaps even as low as seventy. Regardless, we need to do some looting of our own."
"Team Gōketsu from Leaf: congratulations, you have demonstrated skill and responsibility as bodyguards and escorts. <...> she gave you a fifteen point review. <...>"

"Regardless of how you did it, I must congratulate you on your victory. With three hundred and fifteen points, you are solidly in the lead for this event.

"As an example of a different kind of success, I would like to compliment Team Asuma of Leaf. <...> they came in third, even going so far as to earn exactly two hundred and ninety-nine points so that they wouldn't seem so threatening as those who had scored above three hundred.
"We of course want to recognize those who actually pulled out performances that were something other than utterly contemptible and deserving of nothing so honorable as being turned into worm shit. For example," he began, grinning maniacally, "Aburame Shino and Hyuuga Hinata of Leaf, and Sakamoto Shiina of Waterfall, for garnering over two hundred points. And of course the equally impressive feat of the Gouketsu siblings, the final group of ninja to avoid being kicked out at this stage, and furthermore, the only ninja to move to the next round of the exams having scored less than negative two hundred this event."
Event 5

It was my understanding that we are above all but ISC. And that that is a guarantee. The math demands it.
He is just being mean. Obviously he could have been wrong. It doesn't mean that he was, or that he thinks that he was.
 
@eaglejarl

Heres the final total, its got everything summed up nice and neat with supporting quotes! (ty @faflec) (I am a fucking l33t wizard ma dude)


Also Ren is a memelord.
 
we don't need the word halves to qualify for the tournament, right?
I dunno. Personally I'd rather win the First Event as well since "Team Goketsu got first in the Third and Fifth Event, and got last in the Fourth Event" is less ammunition than "Team Goketsu got first in the First, Third, and Fifth Event, and got last in the Fourth Event".
 
I dunno. Personally I'd rather win the First Event as well since "Team Goketsu got first in the Third and Fifth Event, and got last in the Fourth Event" is less ammunition than "Team Goketsu got first in the First, Third, and Fifth Event, and got last in the Fourth Event".
Ammunition for... who? Proctors? Kages? Leaf clans? Other contestants? Random civilians? First three will know exactly what happened: we crushed everyone, dominated the Fif— fuck it— E5 and E1 in one fell swoop, then gave half of our word-halves to our compatriots. Latter won't know about such technicalities anyway; they'll maybe know that we punched everyone in E5, and also the outcome of the tournament.
 
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Ammunition for... who? Proctors? Kages? Leaf clans? Other contestants? Random civilians? First three will know exactly what happened: we crushed everyone, dominated Fifth and First events in one fell swoop, then gave half of our word-halves to our compatriots. Latter won't know about such technicalities anyway.
Ammunition for Jiraiya, both domestically and internationally. It's a small up in our reputation relative to everything else, yes, but it's still a non-zero benefit.
 
Ammunition for Jiraiya, both domestically and internationally. It's a small up in our reputation relative to everything else, yes, but it's still a non-zero benefit.
I disagree. Holding onto some abstract points that we didn't need anyway vs. helping a fellow Leaf team reach the tournament? I think the latter is more politically advantageous.
 
I disagree. Holding onto some abstract points that we didn't need anyway vs. helping a fellow Leaf team reach the tournament? I think the latter is more politically advantageous.
@faflec

Also trouncing them in the tourny is miles more embarassing because it answers on an international stage: "Hey could these clan heirs beat the Hyuga heiress?" With "Literally like fighting a small child."

This would be great for J.

Being nice to them is also great for our personal relationships. Theyll never figure out our true plan! Bwa ha ha.
 
I disagree. Holding onto some abstract points that we didn't need anyway vs. helping a fellow Leaf team reach the tournament? I think the latter is more politically advantageous.
@faflec

Also trouncing them in the tourny is miles more embarassing because it answers on an international stage: "Hey could these clan heirs beat the Hyuga heiress?" With "Literally like fighting a small child."

This would be great for J.

Being nice to them is also great for our personal relationships. Theyll never figure out our true plan! Bwa ha ha.
I am, ah, not completely convinced we have the word-halves needed to get Kurenai's score high enough to make the tournament.
 
This would be great for J.

Thing is, do we think there won't be a vote during the one month period as to who gets to be the new Hokage? We did quite a bit to help Jiraiya so I am not saying it will not be him going back to Mist in a month but I do think that the tournament result itself might not actually factor into the vote itself.

Reasoning: The three month period of Jiraiya being the interim Kage are over and the month long break should be enough of an excuse for Hiashi to call in a vote for the "real" Hokage.
 
Hazo (to Jiraiya): Sir, respectfully request permission to donate several word-halves to Hinata, Kiba, and Shino so they can make the tournament.

Jiraiya: Oh? And why would I want that?

Hazō: Sir, an additional 3 Leaf in the tournament would increase Leaf prestige. Additionally, Hinata has been faithful in dealings throughout the tournament, and I'd, I mean we'd want to extend an olive branch to her, despite the Hyūga's general enmity.

Jiraiya (eyebrow raised and smug grin forming): So you want this do you?

Jiraiya puts on a show of thinking it over.

Jiraiya: Oh yes. I remember in Keiko's last report. I can tell you want another chance to test the strength of your body against that "team's" prodigious assets.

Tears of pride forming.

Jiraiya: I approve.
 
Im going to remind all present that everything ongoing here is still subject to Jiraiyas final say.
 
Thing is, do we think there won't be a vote during the one month period as to who gets to be the new Hokage? We did quite a bit to help Jiraiya so I am not saying it will not be him going back to Mist in a month but I do think that the tournament result itself might not actually factor into the vote itself.

Reasoning: The three month period of Jiraiya being the interim Kage are over and the month long break should be enough of an excuse for Hiashi to call in a vote for the "real" Hokage.
IMO there won't be a vote <in the future> because there already was one in an earlier Interlude.
Obviously, the meeting wasn't binding, but as soon as the clan heads had agreed to put the matter to a vote, they'd accepted that vote's legitimacy by definition. Anyone who later went against the consensus would end up losing face before the rest.
 
Reasoning: The three month period of Jiraiya being the interim Kage are over and the month long break should be enough of an excuse for Hiashi to call in a vote for the "real" Hokage.
But there are no real alternatives. Unless the alliance negotiations go south (which evidently isn't happening), the Hyuuga are doomed:
  • Their Neji had an enormous accident.
  • Their Hinata either barely made it into the tournament, or made it only with the Gouketsu's help, or didn't make it at all.
  • The Gouketsu utterly dominated the Exams, contrary to Hiashi's statements.
  • Jiraiya somehow got ridiculously good trade agreements.
Shikaku won't be the Hokage, and what alternatives do they have?
I am, ah, not completely convinced we have the word-halves needed to get Kurenai's score high enough to make the tournament.
It's the thought that counts.
 
@MMKII, @eaglejarl, I think nobody considers one detail... all we know about event 1 is that losing your word half disqualifies you. Points for enemy halves are speculation, though likely.

So, we need to give team Kurenai their own word halves back, else they lose event 1 and can't gain points for it.

On the other hand, every team whose word halves we stole loses points for event 1, probably in the order of -100 points. That estimate is based on round 2 being worth around that much, the GM's could have set it higher (later events were around 300 points, after all).

That pushes all non-Leaf teams (except R1 and ISC's Blue teammates) down considerably, helping team Kurenai.
 
But there are no real alternatives. Unless the alliance negotiations go south (which evidently doesn't happen), the Hyuuga are doomed:
  • Their Neji had an enormous accident.
  • Their Hinata either barely made it into the tournament, or made it only with the Gouketsu's help, or didn't make it at all.
  • The Gouketsu utterly dominated the Exams, contrary to Hiashi's statements.
  • Jiraiya somehow got ridiculously good trade agreements.
Shikaku won't be the Hokage, and what alternatives do they have?
Hatake Kakashi, Senju Tsunade, Might Guy...
It's the thought that counts.
...well, you're not wrong :p
 
[X] Loose Ends

OOC it would be nice to see Hinata in the tournament, because high level punching, but I don't know if IC it makes a lot of sense for Hazo to help out much. Plus, they explicitly said they don't want to cooperate any further after last event.
 
@MMKII, @eaglejarl, I think nobody considers one detail... all we know about event 1 is that losing your word half disqualifies you. Points for enemy halves are speculation, though likely.

So, we need to give team Kurenai their own word halves back, else they lose event 1 and can't gain points for it.

On the other hand, every team whose word halves we stole loses points for event 1, probably in the order of -100 points. That estimate is based on round 2 being worth around that much, the GM's could have set it higher (later events were around 300 points, after all).

That pushes all non-Leaf teams (except R1 and ISC's Blue teammates) down considerably, helping team Kurenai.
This is a good point. @MMKII I would recommend that we give Team Kurenai their word-halves back at the least.
 
@faflec

If the QMs are to head our arguments regarding "we should have about ~100 of rhese actually in all likelihood" then 1/4 should suffice to boost them each by aboit 70.

I think this is more than sufficient.


At worst they can kill Kiba.


This is a good point. @MMKII I would recommend that we give Team Kurenai their word-halves back at the least.
If thats a factor then this will certainly do the trick with the 1/4, 50 word halves at our disposal or more.

@Nachtigall thanks for pointing that possibility out
 
As far as I am aware, there was never an official statement that word halves were worth points, nor if they are, how many points each word half might be worth. Did I miss it?

But there are no real alternatives. Unless the alliance negotiations go south (which evidently isn't happening), the Hyuuga are doomed:
  • Their Neji had an enormous accident.
  • Their Hinata either barely made it into the tournament, or made it only with the Gouketsu's help, or didn't make it at all.
  • The Gouketsu utterly dominated the Exams, contrary to Hiashi's statements.
  • Jiraiya somehow got ridiculously good trade agreements.
Shikaku won't be the Hokage, and what alternatives do they have?

On the other hand, Jiraiya failed in his promise to track down and retrieve Naruto, which was half of his justification for being Hokage.

And Hiashi could ask with a straight face why exactly the relative performance of a bunch of kids in the Exams should affect anyone's vote for the position of Hokage. Well? He's not proposing any of them should be Hokage.

Which just leaves good trade agreements.
 
IMO there won't be a vote <in the future> because there already was one in an earlier Interlude.
From the same Interlude:
but I think if it was you in Mist right now as the Fifth, you would want to be judged by your success or failure—if you succeeded, that would be proof enough that you had what it took, and if you failed, then you would accept the consequences without excuses."

I read that as Mari saying "Wait until Jiraiya is back from Mist, then we can decide whether we need a different Hokage or if he can stay as proper Hokage" and for that there would, presumably, be a new vote instead of a Yes/No decision to keep Jiraiya.

Shikaku won't be the Hokage, and what alternatives do they have?

I also think Hiashi is out of the running but I have to wonder about why the Raikage thought that once Jiraiya's time as interim Hokage runs out naturally that it would be a Nara in his place. That and when Mari mentioned she had to stay in Konoha to make sure Jiraiya doesn't become a Nara puppet.

Both those things indicate that people think Shikaku wants the hat so what makes you certain that he wouldn't take it if given the opportunity?
 
@faflec

If the QMs are to head our arguments regarding "we should have about ~100 of rhese actually in all likelihood" then 1/4 should suffice to boost them each by aboit 70.

I think this is more than sufficient.


At worst they can kill Kiba.
We...shouldn't. We got 1 after the Swamp Event and 66 between us and ISC, assuming we took everyone else's word-halves. 67 total. IDK.
I read that as Mari saying "Wait until Jiraiya is back from Mist, then we can decide whether we need a different Hokage or if he can stay as proper Hokage" and for that there would, presumably, be a new vote instead of a Yes/No decision to keep Jiraiya.
Fair point, I was focused on the impression from the other clans.
 
From the same Interlude:


I read that as Mari saying "Wait until Jiraiya is back from Mist, then we can decide whether we need a different Hokage or if he can stay as proper Hokage" and for that there would, presumably, be a new vote instead of a Yes/No decision to keep Jiraiya.



I also think Hiashi is out of the running but I have to wonder about why the Raikage thought that once Jiraiya's time as interim Hokage runs out naturally that it would be a Nara in his place. That and when Mari mentioned she had to stay in Konoha to make sure Jiraiya doesn't become a Nara puppet.

Both those things indicate that people think Shikaku wants the hat so what makes you certain that he wouldn't take it if given the opportunity?
Nara was the first candidate nominated in the referenced vote update, which he immediately declined.
 
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