We have word of god they will. My inclination next turn is study metal+study tailings+study health (province). Maximum synergy, and also cutting a turn out. One less turn is one less chance for a health critfail to ruin everything.
Yep. If nothing demands our actions next turn I also strongly favor doing it all at one go.
Sooner we clear the event the less likely something fucks up after all, and we have confirmation that when there is a Challenge or Crisis, the provinces will do their best to support it.
Depending on province actions this turn we may just barely have enough Mysticism to do that. We will certainly have the Stability.
We should already have it, they're unlikely to spend mysticism I believe.
The Western Nomads lead by the Son are quite distant and I believe still busy repairing themselves. There is only a low chance we will receive raids from them.
And if we do, the two Marches can counter it as well. Probably not a problem.
There must be some Nomad tribes to the North. There is a very good chance they will show up. Whether they attack us or the Caravan is up in the air, the likely target will be both of us.
Unlikely. We wiped those out within a thousand miles. Those are not going to show up for 2-3 generations at least.
The Hathatyn escalate the situation. They seem to be gearing up to really try and smack us which will be a bit difficult over the seas. A good chance that they will escalate with the HK as well.
Seems more like a Border Troubles event. It's possible that Southshore will launch a Trade Mission or a Salt Gift(considering our vast excess of DIplomacy) to head off any troubles.
The Highland Kingdom has a Civil War again which interrupts their consolidation. I say this is a 50/50 chance. They can't seem to go at least two generations without one. Increasing as time goes by as it seems to be a feature of their political model.
The bane of the hereditary model. Uninterrupted succession is far rarer than electoral systems.

Looking at action options, I want to try a study tailings, with an expand black soil. See if we can get concrete.
Uh...does not compute. Tailings may have part of the makings of concrete, but we still don't have limestone, and black soil has nothing to do with it at all.
 
Inserted tally

We came so close to unanimity... :(
Adhoc vote count started by pblur on May 22, 2017 at 10:15 AM, finished with 39104 posts and 52 votes.
 
I still don't get that random vote that had nothing to do with the challenge. Heck, it didn't even change policy off offense!
 
Wait, I haven't voted yet!

[X] [Main] Expand Forests
[X] [Secondary] Expand Forests
[X] [Secondary] Expand Forests x2

It's important to keep in mind what's important!
 
Wait, I haven't voted yet!

[X] [Main] Expand Forests
[X] [Secondary] Expand Forests
[X] [Secondary] Expand Forests x2

It's important to keep in mind what's important!
We get nice things off of unanimity. Our last veekietrain drove off the nomads, got a legacy, an honour slot, and an honour policy. :(

And you want to give it all up? For trees? :cry:
 
[X] [Main] Expand Forests
[X] [Secondary] Expand Forests
[X] [Secondary] Expand Forests x2

Trees are all that matter!
 
I would rather Grand Sacrifice rather than try to do it all at once.

Thay way we stay in positive stability the whole time and don't allow instability to color the results.

Considering those losses would have been an order of a magnitude worse without our march, and the fact that this was an outright devastating blow to the local nomads, 10 martial was pretty cheap.

Also, we didn't just break a group of nomads, we broke pretty much every group of nomads within several months travel. It's not a permanent solution, but nobody ever claimed it was. But this was still a massive victory on our part, since we are already back to normal while the nomads need several more turns to return to what they were.

Honestly, I'm not even sure what you're arguing at this point. I mean, we live on the border of the steppes, dealing with periodic waaaghs is sort of expected, so building marchs to guard our borders makes perfect sense.
The problem is you're mixing two different arguments :V

The one we are having on whether it was a pyrrhic victory or not, and the one I am having with Necratoid on the consequences of not taking the March.

I never said that not having the Stallions would make it better. Those numbers were the cost of this little disagreement with the Nomads and why I don't consider it negligible cost that you claimed earlier

We broke the nearby nomads. It will take them several generations to recuperate. That doesn't stop more nomads from coming in from other places to claim the area.

They weren't nomads. They were a large Trade Mission from a far away civ.
Or a trader caravan nomad with trader ties to a far away civ.
 
Actually, thinking about it further, AN has told us that the Nomads have two settings, the first the raid ALL the things we've seen recently.

The second we've only seen hinted at once with our interactions with the first Thunder Stallions.

The Silk Road Nomads. The Trade ALL the things nomads

Source:
Well, you remembered that one of the two modes of operation that the northern nomads have is "raid" alongside "trade" and thus it is always possible that they will decide to take a swing at you.

Huh. They have a trade option?
Yup. They're nomads, they have two settings: attack everything around them, or Silk Road. Unless there is a strong presence to keep them generally in line, they sort of default to the former because any single tribe within the greater region deciding to be hostile slows down trade considerably, but a strong but relatively peaceful tribe can force its neighbours to not attack their caravans and get things done.
So that's who we need to look for and support.
 
[X] [Main] Build Iron Mine
[X] [Secondary] Change Policy - Balanced
[X] [Secondary] Grand Sacrifice
Solid plan, though next turn we should double Main Study Tailings. Just for synergy and to get it out of the way
 
[X] [Main] Build Iron Mine
[X] [Secondary] Change Policy - Balanced
[X] [Secondary] Grand Sacrifice
Solid plan, though next turn we should double Main Study Tailings. Just for synergy and to get it out of the way
If we Study Tailings + Study Metal next turn we also get synergy AND finish the challenge a turn early. :D
 
Actually, thinking about it further, AN has told us that the Nomads have two settings, the first the raid ALL the things we've seen recently.

The second we've only seen hinted at once with our interactions with the first Thunder Stallions.

The Silk Road Nomads. The Trade ALL the things nomads

Source:



So that's who we need to look for and support.
There is a third secret hidden state we just unlocked: Dead Nomads
At the cost of going into negative stability while trying to remove the belief? Anxiety will not help our cause.
Provinces can take Grand Sacrifices too.
And if they don't, things are lined up perfectly for a Restore Order on the third turn.
Stability -1 is minor as long as you don't intend to STAY there.
 
Best to get it done a turn early to free up action economy.
Not really?

It cost the same amount whether we do it in three turns or two.
Provinces can take Grand Sacrifices too.
And if they don't, things are lined up perfectly for a Restore Order on the third turn.
Stability -1 is minor as long as you don't intend to STAY there.
Still, the narrative it paints, when we go into instability while we are trying to discourage superstition...

It would be awesome if they raised Stability as well, but I rather not depend on that.

Especially since us doing a double study action means we go to Stability -2, not -1. So not minor at all.
 
There is a third secret hidden state we just unlocked: Dead Nomads

Provinces can take Grand Sacrifices too.
And if they don't, things are lined up perfectly for a Restore Order on the third turn.
Stability -1 is minor as long as you don't intend to STAY there.

Actually if we, again, land at -1 stability repeating the Grand Sacrifice and Restoration of Order turn would make sense, especially if we want to hit a golden age soonish.
 
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