We were the assholes who put a straw on their back.
And then made this sucking motion.
They seem to be sort of using that, but the issue is that they started out as a bunch of assholes who went out and knocked over the leadership of local tribes. Right now they are a somewhat fractious group of petty kings who are congealing into a larger overstructure, basing some of their stuff on the way things were done back home, but with far less central control.
They are probably going to be vassalized by the Storm Tribes, providing a direct pipeline for the People's technology to steppe tribes.
Figured as much. Key elements are Cavalry(the charioteers going probably brought our horses along and gave their breeding programs a couple of centuries kick), Case Hardening and Pattern Welding(ambitious smiths looking for their big break, but lacking the hammer mills to do so on a large scale barring luck). A lot of the other techs can't be effectively transferred without a cultural or infrastructure change.
We'd probably be fine. The steppe bordering civilizations are going to be going ;_; Whyyyyy though
Suppress Faction[Traders] negates the civil war, because the Traders are suppressible.
It doesn't, because we don't have enough Stability to suppress them safely...
You make the mistake of thinking that invading Trelli is a guarantee of no civil war. It isn't. If we fail to conquer Trelli, the Trader mission will fail and we will be plunged into civil war.
Yes, it's a risk, but look:
Western Ymaryn are too far away and will not be participating. Freehills probably doesn't have the strength, but they are the closest organized group, so they probably have the best chance of current possible competitors.
Freehills actually has a chance. Yes, the tiny micronation of escaped slaves with less than a century of military experience and development.
You're getting the prediction from the Study Stars action this turn, but that's not what it means. It means that every time you get a prediction for the next five turns you get the roll number.
This turn's prediction is "Now is an opportune moment to strike" (38)
And the Prediction says now is the best time to strike.
So current factors in favor of attacking Trell:
-Divination on an average roll(which is unlikely to spur us to a suicidal course of action) says this is the time to strike. Strike WHAT is unclear...but there's only two things to strike and one is a civil war, which AN had also said is too little too late.
-Pirate Hero is moving West. He is likely to become an irrelevant footnote unless he takes some kind of naval infrastructure. Like Trell's Grand Docks.
-Word of AN is that the best chances of taking Trell are Ymaryn > Freehills > Pirate King. Western Ymaryn will not be participating. Khemetri will not be participating.
-We have naval superiority. The Pirate Hero escaped annihilation purely because he's a Hero. Yes, even at our current levels of Martial, we outgun him.
-We do not have enough Stability to Suppress the Traders. We are more likely to successfully attack Trell than to avoid imploding from Stability.
-This was the exact same circumstances that AN had said we should have taken in the Trelli war previously. Go straight for the city before they knew there was an attacker, land our Banners and then nobody's going to be taking the city from the Banners behind Trell walls.
It's almost like AN is dropping large hints.
It is absolutely bizarre to me. What exactly are our passive policies thinking, for them to keep building GPs and Aqueducts everywhere instead of the thing that gives us income?
I expect it to get simultaneously better and worse with the new projects, though. Better, because I think we are getting a project that reduces Panem costs (which effectively provides income) - and our provinces are likely to take it. Worse, because - well, they still aren't going to be building Salterns, are they?
Because as we've seen, disease is becoming more and more of a problem. The passive policies address social needs. We've been flush with wealth for centuries IC, they see no reason we'd need more money.
We've also been struck by disease and plagues for the same timespan.
Why WOULD they build Salterns compared to health infrastructure?