I have been swayed by the trait creation fearmongering.
[] Seal him in a less imposing physical body, with his powers sealed as well (somewhat harsh, renders him almost completely harmless while still giving him physical freedom. Implement chibi Dazarel).
I honestly don't feel like it's fearmongering in the usual sense of the word, because we get new traits in this quest every single time anything important happens.
It's pretty much a given that we will experience some major trait changes; the question is
which ones. Speculating that the trait which decisively changed the outcome of a vote that would be the one that evolves in reaction to that vote seems to me like a pretty straightforward possibility. Sort of like how "Pacifist" was the trait that evolved when Kakara saved millions of people from a nuclear attack and then got into a pitched battle along with her friends when aliens attacked her, and talked them all down
without killing anyone.
Oh no, THAT is how I read your argument. But that was after Poptart went out of his way to point out that it was closer to a two plus two situation instead of higher mathematics and you explained that while the sorcerers are as sure as it is possible for them to be, there were cases before in which a paradigm shift caused "truths" in science to be questioned, which is admitedly a good argument.
However, that came after several pages of arguing how complicated the sealing procedure actually was, whether it was a new thing to try or not and whether we could afford our experts being wrong. The conclusion reached would not cause the evolution I referred by itself but it doesn't change the fact that what led to it were several pages of argument regarding whether we could trust how sure they could be about that and the conclusion reached was that people are falible, even in things regarded as truth. Since I don't see Kakara suddenly questioning all fields of science in that way and since she does have a prior example of a magical spell going hilariously wrong when supercharged, it is not so out there that the several pages of discussion might cause an evolution that would let her to be distrustful of sorcery...
To do so would be a
wildly inaccurate interpretation of the arguments I made, insofar as those arguments gave rise to the aforesaid belief.
Now, I could totally see my position giving Kakara a trait like:
"
Epistemic Doubt: You are keenly,
constantly aware of how surely or unsurely you know the things you know, and how often other people lack this awareness. Bonus to Intrigue and Deception checks made to detect inconsistencies in the generally accepted consensus version of the truth. Penalty to Communications checks, because everyone thinks you're being a contrarian fool half the time for even bringing up your doubts in the first place. Arguably, they're not wrong."
And that would arguably
suck, but at least it'd be fair.
Whereas a trait like "
A PLAGUE UPON ALL SORCERORS!" would just be unfair.
Plus, as you have pointed out before, I think, we can't really predict how her traits will develope, citing Protector and the results of Garenhuld II. Thus what I meant was that, if your argument was that we can't really predict how traits will develope but this is a pivotal moment in which ambitious is the more visible trait and thus it is likely that if we choose an option that uses ambitious it is likely to be the trait that developes then, by that same argument, if we don't choose the ambitious option and one of the arguments against choosing said option, which involved several pages, was fear that they might be wrong anyways then that combined with a previous character trait against sorcery has as much chance to evolve into a further anti sorcery trait. Since they both use an argument during the vote as a reason even if it wasn't the only argument and both have to do with an already existing character trait.
I'm not a fan of the argument "some things are unpredictable, therefore everything is unknowable and we shouldn't worry about it."
Trait development isn't
random, it makes sense in hindsight. Reading the Garenhuld II story, it was easy to see why Kakara got the trait she did. Reading the story of the nuke shootdown and the fight with the scouts, it was easy to see how Kakara started that fight as a troubled pacifist and ended it as a Protector.
And if you read the story of how Kakara bested and absorbed into herself the dragon Dazarel, while there are certainly other possible outcomes,
it would hardly be surprising if you learned "aaand this was the day when Kakara showed her first signs of a slightly unhealthy thirst for power." Such a narrative might not unfold, but we can hardly claim that it 'wouldn't make sense.'
So basically I am against "it might develope a power hungry trait" as an argument for not choosing chibi since you could also with a similar reasoning make a "it might cause a distrust sorcery trait" argument in favor of not voting against the ambitious option. Saying "it might evolve our ambitious trait" doesn't seem to me like a fair argument to make. The reply was meant to be in the context of whether a choice might cause a trait evolution, not an attack against you.
The thing is, I think you're making an unfair comparison here. There are specific reasons to think an ambition-driven,
partially power-motivated vote would evolve the Ambitious trait. And to not assume that a vote NOT based primarily or even secondarily on fear/distrust of sorcerors should evolve into an anti-magic trait.
Still find Simon's callback to his engineers example as to why we can't trust the sorcerers about the seal to be hilarious* (unless he made another example since -- thread is moving really fast)
Look, you can say "blame the administrators, not the engineers
That is a fair quibble, but it is not my point.
The point is,
systems can result in large crowds of people going "yep, this system is perfectly safe," and
no one really questioning this, until suddenly the system abruptly goes 'boom' and nearly everyone except a handful of Cassandras is shocked.
And it usually turns out that the system had acted in such a way as to marginalize the Cassandras.
With the space shuttle, the management culture and the desire for rapid turnaround and a fast launch schedule silenced the Rockwell/Thiokol/etc. engineers who made a major point of "never launch in sub-freezing weather."
Here,
well. You have Yammar Vegeta not-so-subtly menacing the massed ranks of the sorcerors in an attempt to get a quick decision in a timely manner. I can't blame him for that- but look at the way the decision worked out. Pair off, discuss, find another pair, discuss, repeat. Whatever opinions floated to the top of the heap must have survived something like 10-13 consecutive
hurried discussions. They would not be the result of detailed analysis, but of falling back on first principles, simple concepts, and conventional wisdom. Given that a quick solution to the problem was urgently required, this was arguably the only choice. Yammar cannot fairly be criticized over it. But if somewhere in that crowd of ten thousand sorcerors is
one person who noticed that the prevailing ideas are based on assumptions that may be invalid for a psychic dragon, or at power levels in excess of ten billion... We probably wouldn't find out about it for days, maybe even years.
The system acts in such a way as to marginalize the Cassandras, and the people now speaking to us are spokesmen who won 10-13 consecutive debates about what to do,
very fast. Hopefully that means they've stripped out all the fancy chancy stuff from their plan, but it could
also mean they've overlooked something important.
Probably not. Hopefully not. But I'd much rather hedge my bets.
But really at this point, both sides have dug in and are shooting at each other. They've got points that they care about (either in the benefits of their option, or their dislike of the other) and no arguments by anyone will change them at this point.
I for one am a HELL of a lot less sure that "head-dragon" is a bad idea than I thought.
If you'd taken the me of two or three days ago, and told him "I looked far into the future of the quest, and head-dragon ends well," I would have been
very surprised.
If you took the me of right now and told me that, I'd say something like "Phew, boy is THAT a relief," but not be massively surprised.
Ah, not what I meant. The ritual we are doing now is supercharged by the genki dama. So for our sorcerers to modify it later on if we choose chibi now, they would need a power source in the same ballpark of the genki dama for them to be able to change it. So we would need to convince the exiles to lend us our energy to undo the chibi seal, which might be harder to swing. That is why I said that if we choose chibi we are unlikely to be able to unseal Dazz if we think he is reformed. It is possible but considering that we would have to convince the majority of the exiles that he is, not very likely.
In fairness, you're not wrong- but it's likely there will be far more energy available in a few decades. Just a bit of mandatory training could probably increase the average power level of the Exiles from 1.5-2 million to, oh... I don't know, more like four or five million? A major increase.
If we can find a way to get away with relaxing the ban on super-saiyan transformations without having Garenhuld torn apart by civil war, that goes up
hugely further.
So there may come a point in time at which we could unseal Dazarel with only a fraction of Garenhuld's energy, having persuaded the rest of the planet to stand aside. We couldn't do it
now, but we don't need to do it now. Dazarel's immortal and we're young yet. There's time to play with.