Umi-san
Procrastinating.
- Location
- ꙮ
The NTP is unnecessary and will require a merc company that leaves us exposed.Econ Projection assuming the current winning composite of
[PSN] Bit more black soil (Sec Black Soil, -1 Centralization)
[Conq] Take the northern lowlands (Thunder Speakers become vassal, Txolla annex additional territory, gain Ruined Thunder Horse as vassal, remainder fragment, -4 Econ and 4 temporary Econ damage from supporting wrecked vassal)
[Refugee] Send out runners that you have food and intact farmland (6 temporary Econ damage, -6-8 Econ Expansion, -1 Stability, chance of further loss, +6-8 Econ next turn)
[PttS] 0 Stability
[Diplo] Send out reassurances (Sec Trade Mission to Khemetri, Trelli, and Harmurri)
Base stats:
Econ: 18 (+1) [-3+14]
EE: 11 [+3-14]
Black Soil: +2-3 EE. Conservatively, lets say 2 EE.
Conquest: -4 Econ, 3 EE refunded due to true cities. -4 additional temp Econ damage.
Refugee: Gain 6-8 Econ next turn, at the cost of 6-8 EE damage now, plus 6 temp damage now. Pessimism in this case is losing EE and gaining Econ, so assume 8.
Diplo: no effect on Econ.
So the result becomes:
Econ: 14 (+9) [-3+14] {4}
EE: 8 [-3+14]
Then, if we spend no Econ next turn, we would go to 14+9+11 = 34 Econ and 8-11 = -3 EE. Of course, overflow means that it would actually be 18 Econ + 16 (overflow to other stats), and EE would be 0 (since we get 3 EE refunded by true cities). HOWEVER, the truth is that we would trigger the overflow-to-colonies bit from Population Explosion, so our acutal result would be more like 18 Econ + 8 (overflow) with 8 EE.
this is the whole depth astronomy thing veekie is bringing up
It can be performed w/o relying on a still pool, w/ no loss in accuracy because whatever we build can be made to accommodate our standards, whereas the pool is much harder to change.
Horse Valley also has cultural benefits via being in the neglected Stonepen and bordering the Heavens Hawks - who have recently taken in new nomadic tribes-, better sight lines in case we do want to study the sun and moon or the wider horizon, etc.
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