Step 1: Econ 5 -> 5(+3 from mine +1 from Southshore)(-3 Econ from Provinces: Garden). Diplo 7(+2)[+1] -> 9[+1]. Martial 8. Stab 3. Cent 5 -> 4. Myst 8 -> 9. More Econ slots.
Step 2: Econ 5 -> 5 ~(+2)(+1). Diplo 7(+1). Martial 8. Stab 3 -> 3 ~(-1). Cent 4. Myst 9.
Step 3: Econ 6 -> 6(+1 from Stewards, +1 from Garden, + 1 from New Settlement)(-2 from Province: Garden at worst,-1 from trails). Diplo 8(+1). Martial 8. Cent 4 -> 5. Myst 9 -> 10. More Econ Slots.
Stab may be at 2.
Step 4: Switched to Offense, resource drain of some form. Call it 2 Econ.
Step 5: Econ 4 -> 4(-2 from Us: Dam, -1 Provinces: Dam, +2 from Provinces)~(+ 2). Diplo 8(+1) -> 8(+1). Martial 8 -> 9~. Cent 5. Myst 10. Stab 3 or 2 -> (3 or 2) - 1.
Step 6: Resources in flux, sacrificed to Murphy.
Step 7: Econ 3 -> 3(+1 From East Hills, -2 Province Dam, +1 from Dam complete, +1 from Stewards). Diplo 9(+1) -> 9(+1). Martial 9~. Cent 5 -> 4. Myst 10 -> 11. Stab 1 is probably optimistic.
Step 8: Mid turn. Dam is done for sure. Switch to Expansion.
Step 9: Econ 4 -> 4(-1 from Trails, -2 from Festival)(+4 from Province actions). Diplo 10(+1). Martial 8~. Cent 4 -> 5. Myst 11. Stab 1 or 2.
Step 10: Take it on our faces.
Step 11: Econ 5-> 5(-2 from Boats, +1 end of turn, +1 next turn). Diplo 11(+2). Martial 8ish. Cent 5. Myst 11. Stab 1 probably.