If I run Puella Magi Madoka Ascendenti, just making a contract will explicitly not be a loss condition.* The only explicit loss conditions would be your death or permanent loss of sanity, though there's a wide variety of potential events that might cause Madoka to see herself as having failed.

*It will, however, make convincing Homura to stay in your timeline much, much harder.

As I see it, the only reason Homu would leave the timeline is either Madoka dies or she witches. She certainly wouldn't be happy if Mado contracts but that isn't by itself cause to leave. If Madoka is alive, hell or high water, Homura will protect her to the best of her ability.
 
"Wishes are cheating, and cheating never has the biggest reward. You want to make a difference with your life? Forge history with your own hands, grasp power with your own will, and bend the Universe to your whims on your own merits! Cheating is for the weak, the foolish, the selfish, or the dying! You are not Foolish! You are not Selfish! And you are not dying! Are you WEAK?"


Shounen Hero Sabrina agrees that Madoka shouldn't Wish.
Err...problem with that is that her mortality says no. Wishes allow the normal limitation in scope caused by a human life to be ignored. So...yeah, she's dying. Also weak in every sense but the spiritual.

Really, Madoka not Wishing is a waste...but Homu complicates it all.
 
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Well, in the objective view of the story, mado-contract no. But I'm saying from the view of the character? Very very difficult to keep her from it. I can guarantee you she has a couple in her back pocket so far as wish ideas already.

Based on all evidence, as long as Madoka knows that things are OKAY, and she's not pushed into thinking her wish is necessary, she'll hold off. We already made her promise to take it seriously and for most contractbait that's all she needs. What really pushes her is shit like her best friend in the world giving her a superhard guilt-trip, Homura having no help against Walpurgisnacht and/or being dead, and generally the whole situation being hopeless.

Sabrina in of herself has shut down most contracts, and if everyone is alive and they beat Walpurgis, she WON'T contract (I mean, unless someone guns down her family or something?)

As I see it, the only reason Homu would leave the timeline is either Madoka dies or she witches. She certainly wouldn't be happy if Mado contracts but that isn't by itself cause to leave. If Madoka is alive, hell or high water, Homura will protect her to the best of her ability.

According to Homura's Revenge, Homura's promise to Madoka means she'll loop anyway, but will take a small smidge of comfort that at it's her best so far.
 
Based on all evidence, as long as Madoka knows that things are OKAY, and she's not pushed into thinking her wish is necessary, she'll hold off. We already made her promise to take it seriously and for most contractbait that's all she needs. What really pushes her is shit like her best friend in the world giving her a superhard guilt-trip, Homura having no help against Walpurgisnacht and/or being dead, and generally the whole situation being hopeless.
Well, her not contracting in the first place requires constant pressure from Homura. Mind you she'll contract over p much anything before she knows better, and over a still long list of things afterwards. 'Course, here we have more people to exert pressure, so desperation is likely the only thing to bring her to contract at this point, yes.
 
On a Rail pt. 32
"I'm gonna try," you say. "I said I would right?"

"Just a reminder!" Kirika says with a shrug and a sheepish little grin.

"Yeah, well." You don't glance up at the trees. You don't sense Homura anywhere nearby, but that means very little with her timestop. In all likelihood, she's probably burning Grief right now checking between Oriko, Madoka, and Sayaka. "Probably not for a couple of days yet, unfortunately, with the way thing with Sayaka went."

Kirika nods, smile dimming a little. "Thought so. I get it." She leans forward to stage-whisper to you. "Who's her oujo?"

Mami makes a strangled noise that's most definitely not a laugh. Because if that was a laugh, then the noise you made was a laugh and you're not laughing at Kirika, certainly not. Because that would be rude. So Mami wasn't laughing. Definitely.

"Welllll... you see, Kirika," you manage. "It's possible for two girls that are not an oujo and a... not-an-oujo to like each other."

"Scandalous!" Kirika says, straight-faced.

"Yeah, well," you say, shrugging. "Anyway, I had a thought - since I'd be doing shopping, do you want me to get you stuff for a date? You can do a candlelit dinner and stuff, if nothing else."

Kirika's grin returns full force. "I'd like that. Though, uh, get me a recipebook as well?"

"Yeah, I can do that," you say.

"Cool. Later, then!" Kirika says. "Later, Miss Tomoe!"

"Goodbye, Miss Kure," Mami says, nodding politely at Kirika.

"Later, Kirika," you say, waving with your free hand as the black haired girl turns and heads back into the house. You turn to Mami, meeting her eyes and smiling warmly. "Are you OK?"

Mami bites her lip, and nods.

You maintain your smile, gently pulling her over to the table that Oriko has in the garden. You eye the rosebushes, particularly the one you'd uprooted - apparently neither Kirika nor Oriko care enough to move it anywhere else, so there it remains to rot. You briefly consider covering the hole back up, at least.

Eh, maybe later.

You nudge two chairs side by side, sitting so that you can slide an arm around Mami's waist and pull her into a hug. "Alright. Give me a few minutes to check in on Hitomi and Sayaka, and we'll talk properly?"

She nestles against you, half turning so she can tuck her head against your shoulder. "Alright."

"Hitomi, are you alright? Get home safe?" you reach out with your mind. Telepathy is one thing Kyuubey's good for, you suppose. Though you have vague notions of figuring out your own telepathic relays so that you don't have the specter of the alien listening in on your private communication.

"Ah, yes, thank you, Sabrina," Hitomi responds. "I took a taxi, and I've reached home."

"That's good," you say. "Sorry, just checking in."

"I appreciate it," Hitomi responds, and pauses for a second. "Again, Sabrina, I apologise. I... overreacted."

You bite back a sigh. Some part of you isn't happy at all with her, still. You're not sure if you should have just... knuckled down. You do doormat a bit. But you can be the bigger person and forgive her, and you already have, anyway.

"It's fine," you say. "Anyway, talk to you later. I just wanted to do a quick check in."

"Mm. Goodnight, Sabrina," Hitomi says, ending the call.

You smile at Mami. "Hitomi's fine," you say. "And now for Sayaka..."

You could have called them both at once -even talking to them individually, it's not like you can't manage parallel conversations- but that feels disrespectful when you're doing this out of concern. "Hey, Sayaka?"

"Hmmm? Oh, Sabrina," Sayaka says. "Hey, uh, I ran into this red-haired magical girl, name of Sakura Kyouko. Says she knows you."

"Yeah, I know her, she's from Kasamino," you say, debating with yourself whether to tell her that you've asked Kyouko to train her.

"Right... she says you've asked her to train me?" Sayaka asks. There's an audible wince in her voice. "Uh, actually, she said she's been asked to train someone in Mitakihara and it's gotta be me?"

Which resolves your dilemma nicely.

"Yep. That's her," you agree. You turn to lean your cheek against the top of Mami's head. Reading between the lines, it sounds like Kyouko probably insulted Sayaka's skill. And then turned it around, into something like 'yeah, I see why you need training'. A wonder that didn't turn into a fight, really.

"... are you sur- one moment-" Sayaka says, breaking off midway. "Are you sure about this? She's kind of..."

"Rough?" you suggest. "She is. But she's also really good at the melee thing." The fact that she survived this long running on pure skill says a lot, you feel. Of course, you can't tell Sayaka that in so many words.

"Right," Sayaka says, sounding rather dubious. "Also hey, uh, about Yuma..."

"Not my story to tell, but take it from me - she's better off with Kyouko," you say.

"Uh... OK then," Sayaka says. "She called Sakura tsundere."

"Her new favourite word, I'm given to understand," you say gravely, tamping down hard on the giggles threatening to burst from your chest.

"I... see?" Sayaka says. "Uh, she's giving me funny looks. Later."

"Bye!" you say, and end the call. Looks like Sayaka's cooled off a bit - or at the very least, had her train of thought so thoroughly derailed she can't be angry any more. Which is good enough for you, and something of a surprise.

Mami makes a little noise, looking up at you.

"Sayaka's fine, too," you say with a warm smile. "Now, talk to me, Mami?"

Mami bites her lip, looking down. "I'm sorry," she whispers.

"Don't be. It's OK, Mami," you say, squeezing her around the waist. "Talk to me?"

"I-" she shakes her head, mask cracking. "Sabrina, I- you're just... putting so much effort-"

"Breathe," you encourage, smiling at her. "Breathe, slow down. You don't have to get it all out at once."

"It's- it's hard," Mami whispers. "I just- Kyouko is just- I fought with her and I, I- I might have killed her but I couldn't do it."

"That's a good thing," you whisper fiercely. You fumble for her free hand, lacing your fingers together and squeezing, trying to convey comfort and reassurance.

"I- I know," Mami says.

You pull her into a tight hug. Her head finds the crook of your neck, buried there like she's trying to hide from the world.

She doesn't need a speech right now.

You stay there. You let her shake, let her breathe. Let her regain her balance. It's an old pain and not one that you need to reopen right now. You want to reconcile her and Kyouko, but... not now. This is not the time.

It takes a few minutes before Mami pulls back a little. "I'm sorry," she whispers.

"Don't be," you say, tightening your hug.

"I..." Mami smiles at you, wobbly but sincere. "What's next?"

[] Write-in

=====​

What is next?
 
[x] Continue hugging Mami
[x] Thank Homura for keeping watch.
-[x] Gently broach the topic of granting parole to Oriko and Kirika, under her discreet guard, that is.
 
[ ] It might be a faux pas, but what does she think of dropping by Madoka's place? You want to talk with her about everything that's going on.
-[ ] If necessary, explain how you asked Doka to help everybody talk about their problems, so she can be involved and help without contracting.
 
[x] Apologize in turn. Explain that with Kyouko thawing out (because Yuma), you wanted to poke her in the direction of possible reconciliation. But you might have overreached. Can Mami forgive you?

[x] When Mami does, explain what you asked Kyouko to do in more detail. Explain your reasoning as well, if asked. Ensure she's actually okay with it, and if she is, decide how things are going to work - will Kyouko come to Mitakihara, Sayaka go to Kazamino or what? Who'll be supervising.

[x] Telepathy Homura and thank her for keeping watch.

[x] Head home. Clear up the area, and jokingly bring up the idea of using magic to repair the table. If Mami seems amused, go for it, otherwise just clean it up and set up a time to go shopping for a new one.
-[q] Marvel at the apartments non-Euclidean geometry.
-[x] If there are any knick-knacks shaped like QB around, tuck them out of sight.

[x] Try doing some enchantment practice while Mami does her homework.
-[x] Make your grief construct enchantment booster, then try making:
--[x] A grief 'stabilization' enchantment - something so the enchanted grief doesn't dissipate outside your range.
--[x] A grief attraction enchantment.
--[x] A grief containment enchantment.
---[x] If it all works, try putting it all together into a Genuine Imitation Grief Sphere, the Ethical Grief Storage SolutionTM​.
 
Now's not a good time to talk to Homu about Oriko, she'd already be stressed with both her and the encounter between Sayaka and Kyouko.

@Redshirt Army

The update pretty much said, talking anymore about Kyouko is too soon. Too raw. Mami needs a bit more time.


[x] Next we need to finish your homework. But first we should tell Homura we're good.
[x] Telepathy Homura we're done here tonight. Thank her for keeping an eye on Sayaka. She should be okay. Ask her if she needs a cleanse. Also offer to refresh her seeds.
[x] Go back home. Do homework. If there's still time afterwards, ask Mami if she could help you some more with enchantment magic.
 
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We need to give Homu ALL THE HUGS, for a cold, tense night awaits her... and she's gonna be sitting on a tree, basically. How uncomfortable.

ALL OF THE HUGS.
 
We need to give Homu ALL THE HUGS, for a cold, tense night awaits her... and she's gonna be sitting on a tree, basically. How uncomfortable.

ALL OF THE HUGS.
If the night's going to be that cold, we should give her a sweater and blanket.

Unfortunately we don't have any on us right now, so we'll have to ask her for timestop so we can knit her a sweater.
 
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