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Maybe if Thorgrim had been more willing to reclaim Old Holds, he could have saved the Karaz Ankor. On the other hand, that's been an impossible-sounding challenge for millennia. And it didn't happen during the time of Magnus (or Sigismund the Conqueror, or Sigmar himself) so.
It should be noted that reclaiming Old Holds was attempted previously. Many, many, many times. Some salient quotes pertaining to dawi history:
Karak Ungor
The first of the great strongholds to fall, Karak Ungor was the 'Delving Hold' in the Dwarfs' own language, so called because of the network of caverns beneath the mountain. In the more than four thousand years since its abandonment, no fewer than three High Kings of old have been slain fighting to regain Karak Ungor's gates.
Mount Gunbad
[...]Gunbad Dwarfs fought valiantly when the Greenskins came, but defeat was inevitable, the Hold was lost. Eventually, Dwarfs came back to Gunbad in great numbers. Led by Logazor Brightaxe, they managed to retake the mines, but this victory left Gunbad isolated in the midst of a land still riddled with Orcs and Goblins, which turned it into a tempting and vulnerable goal. It was just a matter of time before Dwarfs were forced to relinquish their dominion over Gunbad once more. After this defeat, the Dwarfs didn't have enough strength to retake the mines to the East of the Worlds Edge Mountains.
Karak Azgal
[...]And then the Dragon came. Graug the Terrible arrived, slaying all who remained in the ruins. Then, sniffing out the hidden treasure vaults, the reptilian monster nested upon that piled hoard for many years, slaying all who dared seek out the wealth for themselves. Eventually, a Dwarf hero named Skalf, later called the Dragonslayer, clambered over the blackened bones and scorched armour of the many Empire and Bretonnian knights who had attempted to defeat the wyrm and clove the scaled hide of Graug's throat. Powerful runes glowed as the Dragon lashed out in a last violent death spasm. Unfortunately, there were too few Dwarfs to establish a firm hold on the city, and soon the ruins were overrun with greenskins who, it was said, were so rich that their Trolls fed on nothing but gemstones.
Karak Eight Peaks
Since [the fall of Karak Eight Peaks], descendants of King Lunn, the last to rule Karak Eight Peaks, have tried many times to lead throngs back to reclaim the hold — each time being repulsed with terrific losses.
Karak Drazh
[...]Although it survived the deadly earthquakes that began the Time of Woes, it could not resist the waves of Ores that assailed it. Its loss, to the massive Ore Warlord known as Zogbad the Destroyer, was a deadly blow to the Karaz Ankor. In their defilements, the Ores reshaped the ancestor statues that flanked the pass into crude totems of their own gods. Now, massive black granite faces leer over what has become the largest and most menacing of all Orc strongholds in the Worlds Edge Mountains. Many attempts to reclaim the hold have been instigated, but none have penetrated much past its befouled gateway[...]
I don't think "unwilling" to reclaim Old Holds is the correct description, as such. The dawi had been trying to reclaim Old Holds for four thousand years, and never had a single long-term success. While suffering terrible losses that left them weaker than before from each attempt. And then the Great War Against Chaos left them weaker than ever before, with the total loss of two additional Old Holds (the first such losses since the Time of Woes) on top of their battle casualties. Honestly, Thorgrim's attitude had vastly more grounding in precedent and conventional strategic assessments than Belegar's hopes did. It's interesting that Thorgrim took such a comparatively negative attitude here compared to how in canon he was the biggest believer and backer of Belegar's efforts right up until the end, but I can't honestly say he was totally unjustified in doing so.

It's tragic that Thorgrim's despair blinded him to how much potential the quest-version K8P reclamation actually had, but it's far from incomprehensible.
 
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It's tragic that Thorgrim's despair blinded him to how much potential the quest-version K8P reclamation actually had, but it's far from incomprehensible.

I agree, if anything I would call the 'foothold' comment not so much a failure of vision as one of diplomacy. He should have known better than to use the word in front of Belegar in public even if he believed it. The 'die well' note is less sympathetic, but then again he would not have known how powerful the Eye was or how useful magic could be. He did know what a hundreds of thousands strong Waagh was though, he knew all too well.
 
I agree, if anything I would call the 'foothold' comment not so much a failure of vision as one of diplomacy. He should have known better than to use the word in front of Belegar in public even if he believed it.
To be completely fair to Thorgrim there, if the Skaven weren't fighting each other we'd have been in a rather terrible position regardless of how well the expedition went. Sleek Sharpwit would have been a major problem.
 
Yeah, that was part of my point (or, well, intent I guess) -- reclaiming Old Holds had been attempted before, but never succeeded. Not in full. They got part way, they conquered one part or another, but each time they were driven back.

So yeah. If anything, thinking about it, "a foothold" was pretty much exactly the most to be expected from such a venture!

That was not a sign of lack-of-faith in Belegar at all, now that I think about it. That sort of assessment is not Thorgrim's fault either, nor a result of his own unique pessimistic views and knowledge. Because it's been the experience of the Dawi for countless generations.

Sp it is instead... 'pretty much exactly what can be expected from the situation, given the thousands of years of history to deal with.' Belegar got mad at that, but... yeah.

Our viewing things through the present lens, though seeing Karak Eight Peaks reclaimed and thus viewing it as "a Hold that is now reclaimed"... that probably biases us a bit. We see the situation the Karak was in 5 years ago and think, at the time of 5 years ago, "This is only a temporary situation; eventually, soon in fact probably, we will reclaim all of it." But in truth, it could have been entirely possible that Karak Eight Peaks never would have been reclaimed fully. That, 20 years from 5 years ago, 40 years from then, it would still hold the same amount of territory as it did then. And that 100 years from 5 years ago, some disaster or Waaagh or unexpected event or something happens and the reclaimed-2-peaks-and-the-Citadel's worth of territory-held-foothold gets obliterated or kicked out from Karak Eight Peaks.

That happened to the Dwarfs all the time.

They Dwarfs probably used to think "We'll get it back, we'll get it all back" and "This is doable. We can do this, we can reclaim this" too, when they managed to get a bit of territory back in a fallen Hold. And even when they weren't actively occupying and trying to reconquer a fallen Hold, they were probably brewing and stewing and thinking "One day..." (The way we probably thought the Karak was reclaimable in full, even when we only held just 2 of the peaks. And our having actually reclaimed it probably biasing or influencing or affecting our hindsight thoughts on the matter.) And some of them still hold revanchist hopes even now too. But... millennia of experience of being kicked in the face is a hell of a thing.
 
So yeah. If anything, thinking about it, "a foothold" was pretty much exactly the most to be expected from such a venture!

On the other hand it was Belegar's Ancestral Hold. He had a quasi-religious obligation to try to reclaim and thus to believe that it could be reclaimed. Calling the success a foothold in public was a sign of foot-in-mouth from Thorgrim to matter the hard eyed rationality it came from.
 
Karak Azgil doesn't QUITE belong in the same category as all those others. They've got a little mini hold up on top that they use to control access and send in human adventurers to bring back dwarven artifacts. It's not reclaimed but it's a fairly successful project at reclaiming old runed items and whatnot.
 
It is very easy to slip into protagonist centered morality.
Grand Theogonist does things we don't like, therefore we don't like him. Thorgrim does things we don't like, therefore we don't like him.
And it is so easy to go from "don't like" to "are bad/stupid/incompetent/evil".

How good or bad these people or their actions are need to really be examined in their own context, which we rarely actually get to know, instead of using after the fact reasoning that treats what happened as foregone conclusions.
 
Karak Azgil doesn't QUITE belong in the same category as all those others. They've got a little mini hold up on top that they use to control access and send in human adventurers to bring back dwarven artifacts. It's not reclaimed but it's a fairly successful project at reclaiming old runed items and whatnot.

The GM did not like the worldbuilding on that so he decided that got wiped out.
 
Karak Azgil doesn't QUITE belong in the same category as all those others. They've got a little mini hold up on top that they use to control access and send in human adventurers to bring back dwarven artifacts. It's not reclaimed but it's a fairly successful project at reclaiming old runed items and whatnot.

A tiny adventurer village surviving sandwiched between the Night Goblins of Karak Azgal and the Orcs of the Badlands for 1500 years didn't seem plausible to me, so in quest canon they only lasted until the Black Plague in 1111 when all the other Dwarfholds sealed their entrances.
 
We did start to have a bit of a problem when only Skryre and Eshin were left to face Mors, and neither were willing to easily make a move.

Also, Skryre and Eshin and Moulder were focusing on Clan Mors quite a lot, and prioritizing them above other threats and polities and new arrivals perhaps, due to... well, things.

Thankfully, the existence of the civil war meant that we were even able to turn a Clan Moulder skaven against Clan Mors and the rest, too. If it had been just business as usual, would Qrech had been as willing to go to some length to hurt Clan Mors? If he had not felt like a momentous time for his race were at hand, with yet another major civil war in it...
On the other hand it was Belegar's Ancestral Hold. He had a quasi-religious obligation to try to reclaim and thus to believe that it could be reclaimed.
Yes, but so was literally every other big-name hold. That's the point. They're all in that exact same boat.

So was Karak Ungor -- the first hold lost, ever. And that one, too, not only took centuries to fall in the first place (IIRC) but was tried to be reclaimed, again and again. And they got their footholds and they sometimes held on for decades or a century. But then they lost and were driven away each time.

Belegar reacted like a 70 year old youth ("youth") who'd tasted tantalizing success on a huge problem, and hadn't been knocked down to zero again and again over the centuries. Which... Thorgrim probably should have realized, should have noticed the emotional impact it had on Belegar or the like, but...

I don't even think it's "hard eyed rationality" lol. More like bleary-eyed fatalism or ability-to-have-basic-pattern-recognition.

And so Thorgrim noticed that his words hit on Belegar's emotions. And so he decided that Belegar needed something to tide him over. And also probably more support for his endeavor. And so he decided to give him some more that support, giving him command over a whole troupe of gyrocopters; an aerial fleet for Karak Eight Peaks to call its own.
 
Yes, but so was literally every other big-name hold. That's the point. They're all in that exact same boat.

I agree, and it would be just as much of a diplomatic error to say that to a 300 year old King in Exile who had just captured the entrance hall of his hold. If a dwarf is King in Exile and has not gone slayer it is because they believe the Hold can be reclaimed, it is axiomatic to their position so meeting any success with the word 'foothold' is a failure of diplomacy on Thorgrim's part. Even if he had been 100% right it would not have changed the fact.
 
Wizards start with no spells. And always have crappy fighting abilities. So she'd be left with some swordsmen, some spearmen and some crossbows. I don't rate her chances highly, I must admit. Also as Eric said, multiple wizards are bad because they draw from your winds pool, which is shared between all of them.

Also there, uh, there are no Gold Wizards. It's not a unit that exists in TW.
Uh, easy adjustment - the Amberlings were at the time basically mounted knights with improved mount coordination and the ability to heal their mounts, and they could fight a nerfed Dragon Ogre on their own. So was Mathilde if rolled back to early game.
And Johann of the Golden Guns has no battle applicable magic at all until just before Dum, except a bonus to artillery and his golden guns.
As a mount, she can have the Shadowsteed; I don't think a Gyrocopter fits that well but it's also an option if she needs a second mount.
I figure if she needs a second mount I'd probably advance the clock a bit, and have her use a variation on the Ulgu Ubermount Battlemagic. It'd be thematic.
Given the way Belegar's canonical expedition ended and that all the things that made this expedition different happened after getting turned down at the Electors Meet, I think the Grand Theogenist's decision not to spend lives on Belegar's reclamation attempt is perfectly understandable. Would a couple of companies of Imperial soldiers have changed the fate of the canon expedition or would they have just gotten trapped in the same endless siege and killed? I think it's pretty decisively the latter, which means the Theogenist's decision not to support Belegar was actually an exercise in good judgment and protecting the lives of his people.

Then Mathilde arrived and the dice got a bit silly.
We asked this before and its not really accurate to the situation - success breeds success.
Belegar with no help will have no help.
Belegar with a small army of human mercenaries, multiple wizards(if not particularly accomplished wizards at the time), and three independent imperial lesser armies opened the doors to the other Holds pouring their aid in.

If the Grand Theogonist had swung his weight around and you got an actual Imperial Provincial army or two backing him, mercenaries will flock to his banner and the dwarfholds would be shamed into contributing more too.

What do you think happened to Karak Dum?
Going off the tracks on heroquests leads to very silly places!
 
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I am incredibly sympathetic to Thorgrim.
Like, the worst mistake i can really call him out on is two bad choice of words, and even those would not have been that bad of Belegar was not so fucking stressed.
The poor guy is suffering from centuries of constant tinnitus (artificially induced, but that probably does not help), probably lack of sleep, and depression, and is unable to get any therapy thanks to cultural issues with secrets.
And still he keeps on trucking on, trying his best to set things in order as best he can, how they guy has not gone insane and just full on yolo'd his whole species into a nearby waagh i don't know.

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If the Grand Theogonist had swung his weight around and you got an actual Imperial Provincial army or two backing him, mercenaries will flock to his banner and the dwarfholds would be shamed into contributing more too.
And when the expedition fails, Karaz Ankor has been weakened even more than it otherwise would have.
Belegars success was not only incredibly unlikely, it was (i think?) unprecedented in a history going back thousands of years.
 
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I am incredibly sympathetic to Thorgrim.
Like, the worst mistake i can really call him out on is two bad choice of words, and even those would not have been that bad of Belegar was not so fucking stressed.
The poor guy is suffering from centuries of constant tinnitus (artificially induced, but that probably does not help), probably lack of sleep, and depression, and is unable to get any therapy thanks to cultural issues with secrets.
And still he keeps on trucking on, trying his best to set things in order as best he can, how they guy has not gone insane and just full on yolo'd his whole species into a nearby waagh i don't know.
Yea obviously. But good luck explaining that to Belegar.
 
I agree, and it would be just as much of a diplomatic error to say that to a 300 year old King in Exile who had just captured the entrance hall of his hold. If a dwarf is King in Exile and has not gone slayer it is because they believe the Hold can be reclaimed, it is axiomatic to their position so meeting any success with the word 'foothold' is a failure of diplomacy on Thorgrim's part. Even if he had been 100% right it would not have changed the fact.
No, not necessarily even then, actually.

It is only a failure of diplomacy if, and only if, the King in Exile reacts badly.

And we can't say how most of them would react. Because that 300 year old might be wise enough -- or have enough temperance with, or have a different relation to Thorgrim; one based more on "Having known each other, as fellow Kings or fellow Nobles or Adventurers, for 2 centuries" rather than "This guy raised me in his own house for decades!" See, somebody who knew Thorgrim more, might know not to take it personally, or might know Thorgrim's moods better, or might know what he really meant, or etc; or even just somebody who had a working relationship with Thorgrim, or somebody who was roughly the same age as him -- to see the "foothold" comment as being and meaning exactly what it is. Historically accurate and truthful.

We can only say how Belegar did react.

But we can't, necessarily, say that this means it was a diplomatic gaff on Thorgrim's part, just because of how it did turn out.

Of course you can, again, blame Thorgrim for not realizing "Aha, but then he should have taken all that into account, the thing about Belegar's age, and his being raised in his household, and not being a 300 year old King who's known him or been more temperate and etc" but that's just more goalpost shifting and more blaming of Thorgrim.

Truth be told, what happened is that a High King whose duties and secret knowledge weight heavily on him, ended up saying something that was taken poorly by another King, a young one. And then further future events widened the rift again.

All things which might have been avoided or butterflied. Both by either of the 2 people involved. And also by the events involved in the future. And by Mathilde's decisions and actions too.

And, truthfully, just because some of it is avoidable or understandable or butterfly-away-able does not mean that it some of the people involved do not bear some fault. ((And given Dwarfs, they probably will assign fault. :V))

But, like.

Imagine it from the other side.

Imagine if it was Belegar's comment of "How long can your's?" that fucked up the relationship with Thorgrim a lot, due to factors we had no knowledge or control over; namely the fact that Thorgrim is staring at a constantly-depleting battery level and thinking 'This is the end of the Karaz Ankor' every. damn. day. and that this results in an even testier reaction from Thorgrim.

We get less, or no, support.

Imagine if due to butterflies and causality (i.e. chains of events) the Battle of the Caldera doesn't ever even end up happening, or goes way poorly. Imagine something different happens.

Imagine if the extra support from Karaz-a-Karak could have made the difference 10 or 20 years from then, to our 2-and-a-half-peaks. If the air fleet that would have been loaned to us -- along with the radical engineer with a prince's connection to Zhufbar and all the extra guns and engineers from it -- but was not loaned in this scenario, imagine if it could have made a critical difference to Karak Eight Peaks.

Then, it would have been Belegar who made the diplomatic gaffe, no?

Or even just less speculatively than that! Let's go back to basics:

Thorgrim makes his offhand comment, Belegar makes his "How long can your's?", and Thorgrim gets mad and sends us away without the extra airforce (or extra runic gear, or extra brigade of Ironbreakers, or extra cannons, or whatever it might have been).

Who would have been blaming themself then? Who would have felt like they made a mistake then?
 
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