I feel like Mirror T'Lorel is also a big fan of orbit to ground photon torpedo strikes.
No, that would be Mirror T'Rinta.
And real T'Rinta.
He's not going to be punished. He simply might not be chosen again. It's a different thing.
EDIT: And again, this is how things are done in the real world. Are real world militaries just really dumb for considering loss of a ship kind of a black mark against a captain, even if he was formally cleared? Or do they perhaps have their reasons?
The biggest difference is that in real life, we don't routinely order warships to go poking around desolate islands that just
miiight have batteries of gigantic undetectable antiship missiles on automatic watch waiting to sink the first ship that comes near.
The conditions of the sea, while potentially strange and treacherous, are fundamentally predictable and have been known for thousands of years. When a ship sinks outside of wartime, it's a good bet that
someone made a serious mistake. Sometimes the ship's designers, but usually the captain- or both. If a ship sinks at sea, and the court-martial formally clears the captain, there's a distinct possibility that the motivation was a political whitewash, or that important evidence of the captain's incompetence didn't come to light. Or
something. Because the ship must have sunk due to known threats like wind and wave and navigation hazards- and a
good captain would, axiomatically, have been able to avoid all those things somehow.
The prior probability of "the captain messed up somehow," given the fact of "they lost a ship," is very high. Even if there isn't enough evidence to prove a case of negligence,
Whereas in
Star Trek, the variance of threats to a ship's safety is much higher. There are many kinds of crises we can routinely expect captains to handle... but sometimes the gods hand you a no-win scenario, especially when alien ultratech is involved. And we deliberately send our exploration ships to places that are unlike anything else known, exposing them to hazards never before experienced by our fleet.
This makes the finding of the court-martial all the more important, because "the captain's ship was destroyed by a force
no one could have foreseen or overcome" is much more plausible. There is ample precedent for such things happening to ships in the historical record. And blindly assuming the captain must be a screwup in some way the court-martial simply failed to detect becomes less supported by the evidence.
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So yes, a real navy might well decide that Mbeki is is just Not Promotion Material. But then, a real navy wouldn't have subjected Mbeki to the Kobayashi Maru scenario as a trainee. They'd make the first decision for the same reason as the second one- because a real navy doesn't
expect its ships to end up against impossible odds once in a while in the routine course of peacetime operations.