I beg to disagree.
This is a threat to the Federation as a whole, a potentially very dire one. There is the mere physical threat that has seen a city gutted by a weapon of mass destruction, and there is every reason to suggest that the Syndicate will try it again. How many hundreds of thousands of our citizens have to be immolated before it becomes an emergency for you? How many cities need to be destroyed?
If the threat of the
Kadak-Tor, which as far as any Federation person knew was very likely to kill many millions, did not constitute a state of emergency... this really, really does not either.
I recognize your argument that there is a threat to the Federation
as an idea, but that is very different from a threat like "get eaten by the biophage" or "get assimilated by the Borg" or even "get conquered by the Dominion."
If the Cardassians actually attack us, and I mean with all their forces not just a little skirmishing,
then this becomes an emergency.
Then there is the threat to the Federation as an idea and an organization. If we do not respond in a sufficient way the Amarki will quit They will leave and attempt to handle matters themselves. And that would be a very bad position for use to be in. We would be forced to choose between allowing the Amarki to attack an affiliate, undermining the confidence and belief in our ideals, that would see our existing affiliates leave and possibly other members too.
Or we would have to fight the Amarki to defend the Union, which would drive the Amarki into the arms of the Cardassians, Which when the ever more certain war with the Cardies comes, would put us in a disastrous position.
Both of these are outcomes that only come about
after we would have (hypothetically) mismanaged the situation. We can't declare a state of emergency because something very bad might happen
if we screw up.
The Amarki must be satisfied that we are handling this matter seriously, and the Orions cannot be persecuted for the action of the Syndicate. Making the destruction of the Syndicate a Federation wide priority though member world fleet federalizations, accomplishes this by getting the Amarki into the fight agsint the right targets, and under our direction. It gives us far more resources to extend and pursue our current anti-syndicate campaign. Already handling this within the normal political process is becoming untenable as the cost has mounted to very high levels, this will drastically sap our politcal power and ability to further prosecute the campaign. A state of emergency and a Federation wide effort will get us what we need to end this.
Because the alternatives are a campaign of WMD bombing agsint Federation cities, or total war against a peer power.
We clearly need a very effective response. My point is that a declaration of war isn't it. And that a Federation-wide mobilization
as implemented through the state of emergency isn't it, either. Trying to give all power to Sousa so that she can 'end the Syndicate threat' isn't going to work, because the Syndicate's going to be around for a very long time even if we utterly crush its strength down to a tiny fragment.
It would be almost the
textbook case of some overly ambitious person trying to come up with a 'permanent emergency' as an excuse for ruling as a dictator.
And yes declaring war is only symbolic, and for propaganda purposes. But right now I think the Amarkians need that propaganda. They need to know that we feel their pain as well, and that we will all act to seek justice together.
A declaration of war is a rather unwise way to achieve this goal.
It still reeks of a kind of action that had external help though. I mean, sure, it'll play to die-hard Syndicate crowd, but I imagine the whole rest of Orion space will be horrified.
It's one thing to do buisness with Syndicate, and saying that they're a traditional Orion society that promotes traditional Orion values; it's something entirely different from doing buisness with a society that has mandated (or was at least actively complicit) WMD attack on civilian target, killing hundreds of thousands.
It depends on point of view. Hopefully it'll be omaketime for me, giving me a chance to address it.
Actually no, a good lawyer would get away with it.
I'm not sure how Star Trek spess law works, but normally you can make a case that it is permissible for a state to violate another's sovereignty if its territory or citizens had been used to launch an attack, and the other party is proved to be sufficiently unwilling, or unable to do something about it.
Granted, Orion Union is fighting the Syndicate, but frankly its handling of the situation has been fairly inept, and the sheer levels of corruption at highest levels can make for legitimate case that "no, it's not really trying".
It's of course one of those "from certain point of view" arguments, but international law in general is exceptionally poor in preventing conflicts, due to how it can be interpreted, and the wrangling that ensues.
One big issue with that is,
whose lawyers? Earth's international law has taken a generally agreed-upon shape. I'd bet large sums that no other alien civilization has exactly the same ideas that 2000-era Earth does. Certainly the Orions won't.
Why is it acceptable not to involve the Federation at large? Were thousands of Federation citizens were not just murdered? If the Federation does not have a response of their own and limits to managing the Amarki and Union then the entire foundation it is built on becomes weaker. And that is what the Cardasdians are hoping to erode. We play into their hands by not doing something as a Federation. That is why I cannot support Briefvoice's vote.
What the Federation can/should do under Briefvoice's plan is mediate- and continue to do exactly what it's already doing against the Syndicate, only harder.
Of course if you'd actually read the rest of that post (and the following ones) you'd realize this isn't likely and this has already been addressed, several times.
I think that particular point deserved to be addressed more than once. One of the very serious threats we face in this crisis is that if we
don't act in a way that satisfies the Amarki need for a response, certain species, the Amarki chief among them, may decide that Federation membership is pointless because it does not provide any collective security against direct attacks on their soil. Without the promise of collective defense the Federation
completely falls apart.
So we can't really even
bar the Amarki from responding (unless our own response revs up so ferociously that they themselves agree to let us handle it). And we certainly can't respond to their attempt to respond by attacking them. If we do that, then we're effectively allying with the enemy of one of our own member worlds, against one of our own member worlds.
A warhead that hit a supposed target in an uninhabited wasteland. While I hate to be the one to make this kind of argument, you can reason that firing on a bunch of empty mountains with a proton torpedo is a grand gesture, but one that amounts to...what exactly? The Orion Union says it has been a Syndicate base, but was it really? Anyone can torpedo a bunch of wastelands and say "we're totally fighting against our space terrorists, here be craters", which is very convenient when the blast wave would annihilate any evidence.
It is eyerolling yes, but then you have to consider that Union has been really obstructionist with its actions against Amarakia lately, and it is very, very corrupt.
I think you're grossly misreading them.
It looks as though Iron Wolf's omakes on the internal politics of the Union government are pretty close to canon. Look at them as your guideline. The Union government (barring maybe a couple of Cabinet officials)
WANT to fight the Syndicate, with Federation backing. They'd be happy to fight it without Federation backing, but they honestly don't have the strength to do so, because they're a recent revolutionary movement that overthrew the corporatocracy, while the Syndicate is a centuries-old organization that is deeply entrenched and has had ample time to subvert many of their officials.
"The Union" is not obstructing us. They're caught between a rock and a hard place- they can't even claim to their own citizens that they ARE the Orion government unless they take ownership of the anti-Syndicate campaign themselves. They can't cede ownership of that campaign without ceding their claim to run their own society, at which point their government dissolves, and blows up our anti-Syndicate campaign with it!
That's why they've been insisting on the right to try Orions captured by the Amarki navy. That's why they've committed troops to Duaba.
But the top levels of the Union government are pretty much free of Syndicate influence, or as free of it as we can possibly hope for. There is no way we could get a 'better' government except by invading Orion space, toppling the entire government, and replacing it with people we'd vetted by telepaths. Which may sound great to you...
but no one would listen to that new government. They would have LESS legitimacy and popular support, in all likelihood, than the Cardassia-puppeted government currently claiming to run Bajor. At least the Bajorans don't have grounds to complain that the 'Bajoran government' in question was brainwashed by psychics before taking office!
Which is where a second point comes in: the current campaign has pretty much proven that Union is pretty much rotten through. There have been corrupted officers on almost every level. Sure, Union grunts have killed and died in the street fighting, but what has that actually achieved?
They've captured numerous high-ranking Syndicate leaders, targeted some of the most powerful corporations providing aid
to the Syndicate,
The fact that they aren't achieving much isn't because they're incompetent or pro-Syndicate. It's because the task is
just that hard. The Syndicate isn't like the Mafia in the US, a group that the overwhelming majority of the population would be happy to get rid of if they thought they could. It has significant popular support, large numbers of people prepared to die for it, a pre-existing cell structure that makes it extremely hard to unravel, and extensive links to the top levels of Orion's corporate hierarchy, in a society that is
even now dominated by hypercorporations to a large degree,
despite having already had a revolution to greatly reduce the level of corporate power!
If anything, Amarakia can make the case that fighting has been effective only because Starfleet is following it every step of the way, providing neccessary capability to a government that would be unable to root out its internal troublemakers on its own.
An Amarakian-Federation invasion of Orion territory could restore stability, remove the clearly bloodthirsty and gung-ho Aerocommando and Hypercorp troops, preventing further massacres, secure Syndicate targets more effectively and have an easier time accessing the sectors of Orion society that are at most risk.
I'm saying "could" of course, because it's a very much "They said-we-said-they-said" argument, but it will have a strong appeal. Not to entire council, but it will certainly split it.
This is... no. Just... no.
The Amarki are going to be more bloodthirsty and gung-ho than the Aerocommandos and ISSU forces,
especially if committed in the numbers (think tens of millions of troops) required to entirely replace the existing security forces of the Orion government. Furthermore, if we invade openly, there will
be no Orion government anyone is willing to take orders from... except the Syndicate. It would be a disastrous change in the rules of the conflict. It will not restore stability, it will ensure that Orion space either collapses into anarchy. Or worse yet, becomes an ungovernable mess where we unsuccessfully try to prop up a puppet government no one on the ground cares about, while a guerilla organization organizes the population, probably with outside support, until it is in a position to take over by default as soon as our (tens of millions) of troops leave for any reason.
Right now it's Space Afghanistan circa 2004 with us cast as the US; you're proposing to turn it into Space Afghanistan circa 1984
with us cast as the Soviets.
These are outcomes
even worse than the civil war Orion space is now experiencing.