I've been pressing reply and answering to various people as I read along. As I continued I have become less of an avid No supporter, out of a mix of pragmatic reasons from Mathilde's pov and because Boney clarified why the Grey Order is the way it is (which is quite frankly a horrifying way to be but currently to Mathilde's advantage).
I still am not quite leaning Yes. I am also a bit uncomfortable with the various additional arguments of why this is totally justified, trying to make Vladimir look worse than we actually know he is, to the point of branding him a likely Khorne worshipper or the absolute monarch of a slave state or a traitor to his people in a way that is not true for all nobility. Vladimir isn't stellar, but he's not even close to as bad as Dieter IV. I don't need moral arguments in order to convince me of the merits of assassination in order to be swayed, but seeing moral arguments that are clearly lopsided and biased in favor of the conclusion makes me, if anything, less likely to vote in favor.
If we do this then we are a supernatural secret agent commiting assassination for a regime change, because we like the new ruler more and think, based on three or four personal testimonies of people we are sympathetic towards, that said new ruler would be a better ruler while also being good for our own interests and goals. Any inkling that Boris actually will save countless Kislevite lives is marred in OOC knowledge and on screen biases.
There's a reason why Regimand and Elspeth von Draken killed the former Empress and kept quit about it.
That was against a Vampire plot (so no real ethical question of whether it was right) and in a case where the Emperor was compromised. It was also technically high treason regardless and something none in the nobility could let slide, for precedence reasons. Not even a hypothetical Emperor that would not be highly emotional about the whole thing.
I would like to remind people about the current Tzar- he hates ice witches (a sure sign of shit taste), and drops his duties at the drop of a hat to go play with his new trophies. And by all accounts, he does sweet fuck all ruling, prefering to spend his time trying to get into as many fights as possible, ignoring everything after it's done.
Just to play devil's advocate:
He hates the semi-religious and super secretive single gender order that has ambitions to be the power behind the throne it used to be in the past. He is an excellent war commander that has the loyalty of his army and the nobility. He knows his weakness when it comes to administration and is happy with a more decentralized state instead of aspiring to absolute monarchy. The Boyars agree with him.
There's no toes to be stepped on. Relationships with Kislev have barely improved since the era of Kattarin the Bloody, and the only international project between the Empire and Kislev of any substance is the Waystone Project.
We know this? Heidi has not been doing some clandestine diplomacy through whoever ended up being High Priest of Ranald in Kislev instead of us or something?
Sorry. That's not quite fair. Neither Algard nor the Emperor would know about this either, so its not relevant to the case at hand. But this still seems like something the Spymaster should at least know about before it happens.
... Is there any way to get the Boyars on board with the Waystone Project instead, then? If the Tsar won't order this because it's an Imperinyi project -- and because the payoffs are incremental and slow -- then can the Boyars be convinced to do this somehow?
I like it. We should try the Boyar of Erengrad first, since we have an in with him. The Boyar of Praag is also likely to say yes to anything that helps even a bit.
Or possibly because it's good for the Empire if we're feeling nationalistic.
We don't even know in what ways this is good for the Empire, except insofar Boris currently seems easier to talk to and negotiate with than Vladimir. But even if we go full "pay the Empire", we don't know what the Empire would actually like in payment for something like this. And we can't ask, because we can't even tell Algard.
His death is inevitable, what we're voting on is whether or not we want to influence the details toward a better outcome than a Kislevite civil war.
His death is not inevitable. He might fend off the assassins/win the civil war and behead his own son for treason.
Heads of state really don't like it when you deliberately bypass them to start directly negotiating with regional powers. It's a direct challenge to their power and legitimacy.
Does this also go for Baba Niedzwenka and/or the Ice Witches making deals with various Boyars? Neither of them agreed to be Mathilde's official subordinates in the Waystone Project after all. Officially they are all partners.
Unless, of course, he is secretly a worshipper of the Blood God. He's not a perfect fit for the profile, but between his love of killing things and his hatred for magic users, he might be close enough for government work. Of course, in the unlikely but not totally impossible event that the Tsar is a Chaos worshipper, that just makes the need for his removal all the greater.
Maybe old Tzar Vladimir who is yet not known as Vladimir the Bloody is a secret Khorne worshipper. And maybe we are currently meeting with the Changeling in Erengrad. Who knows
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So presumably we cannot call on the resources of the College, because they would have to deny it.
And of course, if we fail, they can truthfully state under deep magical scrutiny that it was not sanctioned or authorized.
I agree that we cannot call on additional resources for this. That's too conspicuous and we have all the resources we need available to us anyway.
But no way in hell does any Kislevite get the right to apply "deep magical scrutiny" to a Magister Patriarch, not that it would help in any way when used on a brain of solid Ulgu.
I would argue that in such a situation, we would still be better off agreeing to this assassination. Whatever the Tsar's hypothetical merits of rulership may be, and however tied the Tsarevich may find his hands afterward, the damage of a single assassination pales in comparison to the damage a full civil war in Kislev may cause, both to its population and to the world as a whole.
In such a lopsided situation we could also choose to assassinate Boris instead. Or just warn Vladimir.
'The old Tzar has died, and now Tzar Boris is proposing some diplomatic deals with us? Well, that's certainly a nice change of pace from his predecessor'.
That seems like too little payment for something like this.
Yeah, I mean, we could miasma his whole unit while they're fighting something and get them all killed with out a trace. But that's pretty tragic in its own way.
That's cruise missile levels of collateral. On people that would have otherwise been loyal to the new Tzar. Please lets not.
We didn't. When Mathilde was working for Stirland, there was a noble who refused to pay taxes. He mysteriously disappeared, and we asked his successor for his taxe ledger, and he was very happy to give it to us. Here it's not taxes that are at stakes, it's the very existence of the Old World's buffer against Choas.
That wasn't political. It was a police action against someone in league with Vampires, sanctioned by his league lord who was also our legitimate employer. And he didn't die before pretty much admitting that he's in league with Vampires.
No, he's currently unmarried and without children.
No siblings or fraternal uncles either? If so, that's another reason not to go through with it. If we fail, Kislev is fucked.
We'd have to flee to Eight Peaks, if not farther!
How do you think Belegar and his Council would feel if this got out?
The Grey College being a mystic order of state sanctioned assassins isnt a secret.
The Grey Order LMs assassinating on their own recognizance with no oversight to the point where they can say "yes" to a foreign dignitary's regicide mission with little deliberation and no investigation is a secret, I'm pretty sure.
- The Tzar is an absolute ruler. He has great power and privilege
- He's been using it... incompetently (source: every Kislevite we've spoken to). He's not a Dieter, but he's definitely doing the absolute minimum in all areas outside of killing things for fun.
These two are counteracting each other if you think about them in the framework of his Kilsev's government has worked before Vladimir and will work after he's gone. An absolute monarch that leaves ruling and administrating to provincial nobles is not an absolute monarch. He's just a monarch.
I have respect for the argument that the Tsar is mediocre and the Tsarevich is good, so we should be utilitarian about murdering mediocre people in power to replace them with good people in power. I disagree, but at least I see where it's coming from.
But the principle that we should minimize the fallout is one that can equally well be used by a mediocre Tsarevich against a good Tsar, who's going to launch a usurpation attempt anyway so we'd better help the usurpation. I don't believe that at all.
Two arguments to counter yours.
1.) If Tsareviches coming to the Grey Order becomes the normal way regime changes happen in Kislev then that would probably be to the advantage of Kislev and definitely be to the advantage of the Grey Order, at least until the day that the International worker's revolution finally comes to pass.
2.) If a mediocre Tsarevich asks a Grey LM to assassinate a good Tzar, the LM can choose to assassinate the Tsarevich instead.
No, we don't. Canon is explicitly off the rails, Karl Franz will never exist. Metagaming is unwelcome.
In this case, if you really can't let this go, Chaos is marshalling its forces for another Everchosen right now which it certainly did not at this time in canon. He outright says this is his reason in the update.
Multiple people have already spoken about the reforms Boris will implement. There's very few reforms we could even guess at based purely on IC knowledge. Bit unfair to single one person out for it.
But frankly, I'm not happy trying to dig up or conjure dirt on him, so the decision is easier. From all we have heard, he's good at fighting, and uninterested in everything else. Not malevolent, he's happy to let his son do stuff like that. Just negligent. And yes, that's not great. But "does one thing well and doesn't actively fuck up other things", at least historically, already puts him into the range of better rulers. I think taking the attitude "he had it coming for not being good enough" is morally worse than saying "it's not his fault, but we will kill him anyway". As far as I'm concerned, he's close enough to innocent for government work. Trying to invent reasons why it is not so actively makes the choice/story less interesting.
Well put. It's exactly what irked me with many arguments even as other arguments nudged me closer to Yes.
If you want to give strictly ethical considerations more emotional oomph, just imagine how Belegar, despite his Goraki and Realpolitik traits, would feel if he ever found out (including either proof or confession).
Something you're missing is the cost of not doing it.
Boris has pretty much stated that if we don't remove his father he will. That's gonna be messy as shit and could potentially lead to a civil war. If that happens then Kislev is weakened. Kislev is the Empire's best shield against chaos invasions
Honestly? If Boris can't find any decent alternatives at all to Mathilde, despite being evidently willing to ask foreigners, then I question his value as a Tzar.
Except you're still arguing entirely based on gut feeling. Assigning numbers to it doesn't change that it just attempts to disguise it as numerically logical
They aren't disguising anything. They clearly stated the purpose of the numbers and how they help them with their own thought processes despite being mostly made up. "Very sure" and "95% sure" simply have different effects on some people's minds.
There is always a risk of failure, there's a risk of failure to fucking everything, but unless we roll a statistical marvel and nat 1 multiple times in a row, our chances of success are extremely high, even if it results in a hack job.
Do you really think that the only way we get exposed is multiple nat 1 in a row? As opposed to, say, one nat 1 at an important roll and/or multiple normal failures (like not beating a DC of 35 despite our bonuses) in a row? Like, you think a near flawless assassination is more likely than Abelhelm surviving the charge on the town of Drakenhof?
I mean that as an honest question, not an accusation. You may well be right, given Mathilde's many advantages.