They can't take it though. That's the whole point, since either option inherently assumes that the current status quo stands when it comes to Middenland-Laurelorn relations, and that status quo is that Nordland cannot take the wealth and will never be able to.Remember that the Empire is operating under an economic/moral model that doesn't see wealth gained from trade as legitimate, or, fundmentally real. Legitimate wealth is produced by resource extraction, or to a lesser degree by physical manufacture. To a feudal mindset, all trade like this does is advertise the Eonir/Laurelorn's wealth to the Nordlanders, showing what they could have if they take it. Trying to make the Nordland nobility middlemen on a trade route is a fundamental insult to them. They don't want to be filthy merchants, they want to be feudal magnates.
That's dangerous. Particularly as it would make Laurelorn's economy partially dependent on a Nordland that doesn't truly recognise the value of trade, so they could chose to cut it without recognising how much it would hurt them as well as the Eonir.
If the Eonir are going to trade with the Empire, it makes more sense for them to put the investment in to do so via Middenland, and encourage Middenheim's merchant prices to hire mercenaries to keep the route clear. Middenheim's merchants seem to be significantly more influential in Middenland than Nordland's are.
Also, if Talabecland is able to regularly produce a credible candidate for emperor solely by dint of their position at the centre of the empire's river trade, and Marienburg is able to stay independent solely because of their trade position and the trade-related treaty with Ulthuan, then surely someone's figured out by now that their gold is in fact about as real as anyone else's.
When it comes to the investment on a Middenland trade route, there's also other questions to be asked, like the issue of building an entire new road in Laurelorn to connect to the Great Northern Road, either chopping through forest or draining the swamp. The route we've seen was traversable enough for Mathilde on a shadowsteed and with a guide, but not the best for carts.
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