How precise are we talking here? Just curious.
There are rumors that one Syndicate mid-ranker surrendered after T'Lorel gave her an unfashionable Vulcanesque haircut. From orbit.
Her words were "message received and understood."
I think the only way the Federation can accept Celosi independence is if the Syndicate basically accepts that it has to stop being the Syndicate and become a cross between a normal hypercorp and a political fraternity. That is to say, no slavery, no smuggling, no terrorism etc.
Allowing the Syndicate to win Celos without selling its soul to the UFP is, I think, more expensive in life and liberty (in the long run) than orbital bombardment.
That said, allowing some Syndicate cells to "sell their soul to the UFP". allowing some of the Syndicate to "go legitimate", rather than grinding them all down to dust and bloody paste may also be a good strategy for ending the Syndicate as as threat quickly and effectively.
The big problem is that we have basically no way to "de-Syndicate" the legitimate organizations, other than
maybe having them vetted one at a time by a telepath. We risk fighting the war all over again in twenty years, if we aren't careful.
Letting Syndicate cells surrender peacefully is a great idea- the catch is that we can't let them go on being a "not-Syndicate" organization.
One of my real worries with the anti-Syndicate war is basically feeding an Orion civil war when the Federation isn't willing to fight the civil war to the end. I think at this point, we're now seeing a highly political civil war unfolding among the Orions now. Offering another route for Orion conservatives could be one way of avoiding such a civil war spreading to Alukk, at least.
fasquardon
All our actual Orion characters
predicted this would become a civil war.
Honestly, i think we're going to have to provide an out for Orion 'conservatives' that ISN'T the Syndicate. To signal to the very powerful corporations and the transorionist factions that no, lining up with the Syndicate is not a good idea, it protects them, not you. But for the Syndicate itself, the only message we can really afford to send is "surrender, and find something else to do."
I wok up two hours ago and tossed and turned in bed, resisting the urge to run downstairs at 5 and 6 AM to check this site.
I KNOW, RIGHT?
It's not even that unjustified, if you live in the Americas; a lot of the interesting posts to this thread happen in the morning.
If the Federation recognizes Celos' independence, we're launching a fucking coup.
What who wait what?
A thought on Bajor:
People seem to have given up on Bajor and said "welp, the occupation will go as badly as it did on the TV show, will end, and we'll come in and sweep up the pieces".
Well, what if it doesn't go like it did on the show? What if the occupation were better? Or worse?
It occurs to me that one of the opportunities we have in the Celos crisis is an opportunity to get the Cardassians to agree to standards for treating clients which might greatly stabilize the Cardassian-Federation borderzone. However, almost certainly the cost will be to strengthen the Cardassian position on Bajor.
That may not be an entirely bad thing if we can make it so that the Cardassians have some buy-in to accord Bajorans with some modicum of respect and allow them a decent degree of autonomy. To make the occupation of Bajor more like the experience Poland had as a Soviet "ally" rather than as a Nazi occupied region.
fasquardon
Do you think we can trust the Cardassians to keep any promises they make regarding the status of Bajor? I'm quite sure they've made promises
to the Bajorans, and I'm equally sure some or all of those promises haven't been kept. And we're only about two years into the occupation.