[looks at last several posts]
Well, I'm flattered to find that I appear to be proven largely wrong about that, then. Thanks, y'all.
[tries and fails to find blush emoji]
Simon sure does make alot of Long Posts(which I sometimes enjoy, and sometimes just skip depending on how I'm feeling).
I am relieved to learn that people are smart enough to just skip my posts if they're not in the mood. Well, unless I'm replying to them in particular, though in that case it's probably
still for the best if they're not in the mood.
...
More generally, I threw together a 605 R
skeleton draft, which I'll pad out a little later on when we know what our income looks like. I hope people will be pleased to learn that I'm taking Housing seriously enough to have 5/5 dice on it in the draft.
I do have one question. If the nature of the critical failure on the
Leopard II Kagoshima yard doesn't affect Progress costs, it's at, uh, 152/350 as I recall. By my math, that means it's got
roughly a 1/4 chance of completing with two dice, and about a 3/4 chance of completing with three dice.
Finishing it faster would mean we could start on
Columbia sooner, but there is a nontrivial risk (about one in four) of wasting dice. And at 20 R/die, finding the money for even two
Leopard II dice would be a nontrivial exercise; a third would be tougher still.
What do people think about that? Again, there's some chance of the whole thing being rendered moot by the Progress cost changing or something like what happened in New York with the light carrier yard, but it's a reasonable subject of discussion if you ask me.
Two dice, or three?
...
(Meanwhile, the station bay can't complete on one die and has a 73% chance of completion with two, making the decision easy)
