That means you are assigning zero value to the conversion carriers. Despite them fulfilling an important role. They will be providing low-end platforms for basic naval aviation support on convoys through relatively secure waters, the exact same role that the escort carriers were supposed to fulfill.
It does not. It means that I don't think the economic, political and opportunities costs are worth less than the conversions.
The conversions are cheap, and the Navy will only allow it if we are held to ransom over it. This indicates that they don't really help that much.
Carrier Conversions are 3.3 dice, 66R and 10PS, that I think could be better spent on a net gain of ships.
Carrier Conversions shuffle things around, but don't actually produce new hulls. The Navy needs new hulls.
Even with the Conversion, we still need to push out the new Shipyards asap. I'd prefer to just do the Shipyards.

Less WoG, and more "as best I can figure out from the meteorological data available to me" Basically, from what I can find, there is a high intensity rainy season from June to September, and then a lower intensity one in October and November.
I've got a summary here that might help clarify if you haven't read it.
 
I have a question. SADN is kind of moot here no? Like it's defense sure but 1) Most of the fighting has been, for the most part, happening in the Green Zones and 2) the dice for SADNs can be better used in other areas like more Wingmans or Frigates.
The problem is that SADN eventually covers all our key targets from a very dangerous type of Nod attack: long-range attacks with cruise missiles carrying strategic weapons. Nod could at any time launch nukes at us with missiles that have quite long range and can hit our Blue Zone targets from the Yellow Zones directly. We have some air defense against such threats, but not enough to stop such an attack from getting through and spreading tiberium shrapnel or dropping a few nukes all over an urban area.

It doesn't matter if "the fighting's in the Green and Yellow Zones" if the enemy has weapons that can just bypass all that fighting, fly right over it or sneak right under it. That's the role SADN is for.

I see. Yeah I can see the logic. I personally think that it's unlikely that the areas listed would come under attack. Chicago is currently behind a solid line of Green Zones and soon Forts, Mecca is a city that has it's surroundings explode into civil war so the other warlords have bigger fish(Caravanserei) to fry and that last one is a concern but the ASAT has orbital backups so it's not really a massive concern for me.
The problem is that most of those defenses can be bypassed by weapons available to Nod, such as high-velocity cruise missiles launched from a distant land base or from a submarine.

We're well-prepared if Giddyboy plans to personally climb into an Avatar and stomp in the direction of Chicago at the head of his troops, or if the Shah of Nuke commands brigades of Scorpion tanks and buggies to retake Mecca from the GDI infidels. We're not well prepared for hypersonic cruise missiles aimed at the Medina or Chicago tiberium refinery centers.

Not all forms of defense are interchangeable.



Focusing on the navy and delaying Karachi are not mutually exclusive. If we try to rush this it will end badly, I will bet 5 internet bucks on it.
Honestly, I'm not saying "we absolutely must complete Karachi at all costs."

I'm saying, it's premature to give up on completing Karachi before the end of the Plan, given that the end of the Plan is 6-7 quarters away.

Furthermore, the only thing we'd be doing right now to prepare for Karachi is an aggressive naval buildup in an attempt to make up for the prolonged period of neglect since back when we finished the Governor yards... And, importantly, we need to do that anyway.

There's a reason my plan title is "I Refuse To Give Up On Karachi Yet." All words of that phrase should be weighted equally, including the 'Yet.'

It may well be that in 2061Q2 or 'Q4, the military situation will be such that it will seem apparent that we CAN go ahead with Eastern Paris in a reasonable degree of safety and confidence that the operation will succeed without undue disruption to our global naval situation or other military needs.

It may well be that the situation will be such that it won't be possible.

We don't know yet, but either way, we really need those merchantman carrier conversions and a crash program to get frigates into the water.

It does not. It means that I don't think the economic, political and opportunities costs are worth less than the conversions.
The conversions are cheap, and the Navy will only allow it if we are held to ransom over it. This indicates that they don't really help that much.
Carrier Conversions are 3.3 dice, 66R and 10PS, that I think could be better spent on a net gain of ships.
Carrier Conversions shuffle things around, but don't actually produce new hulls. The Navy needs new hulls.
Even with the Conversion, we still need to push out the new Shipyards asap. I'd prefer to just do the Shipyards.
The problem is that we're not trying to optimize for "how cheaply can we get X ships eventually." This is not a passive exercise in making a number go up.

The escort carriers were, and have always been throughout the '50s, needed. For reasons that were explained to us.

Now the escort carriers are needed urgently, for those exact same reasons. But they won't exist for at least another 18 months and in many cases quite a bit longer than that (since multiple waves of construction are involved). And the only way for us to square that circle is to rush-build something that can fill the gap in the time between now and then.

...

The carrier conversions are necessary. They are the tax we pay now, the price we pay for not having already built escort carriers.

The consequence of failure to pay that tax will express itself as a string of military prices paid. These will be paid as a consequence of there not being a fleet carrier in a place where there would otherwise be one, or as a consequence of there being no carrier where there would otherwise be a conversion carrier. They will look like "someone needed air support, but none was available" or "a surface action group was surprised by Nod attackers" or "the Navy remains unable to do anything decisive about those bases the raiders keep popping up out of" something like that.

...

And we are still going to spend the next 18-24 months paying that tax, during a war, even if we do as you say and ignore the conversion carriers so we can spend 3-4 dice on building light carrier yards that little extra bit sooner.

There's a big difference between getting 30-40 mediocre flattops now and good replacements in 21-24 months' time, and getting 30-40 good flattops in 18-21 months and nothing whatsoever before then.
 
This indicates that they don't really help that much.
To quote:
Yeah. The concerns are, in order.
1. We really absolutely do not want to be stuck with these things.
2. Losses are going to be high, because flattops are very high priority targets for the Brotherhood.
3. They are not going to be nearly as effective as proper carriers.
4. We really absolutely do not want to be stuck with these things.

So if you build the conversions, and finish the rest of the yards by the end of the plan, or at least by the end of 2063, they will grudgingly accept that needs must.
Now yes, they won't be as effective as proper carriers. Do you know what's even less effective than that? No carriers. The CVNs cannot maintain effective coverage of GDI's convoys as it currently stands. It feels like you're expecting this major issue to just go away by itself and I'm a little iffy on the viability of that strategy.

Carrier Conversions shuffle things around, but don't actually produce new hulls. The Navy needs new hulls.
And this is just flatly incorrect. To quote, again:
With the Merchantman conversions, switching a substantial number of ships to carry Hammerheads and Orcas instead of cargo, it is a both politically and practically problematic approach. While certainly theoretically possible, and something that GDI has the design specifications to do. It will be a stop gap measure.
This is shuffling ships from the civilian tab into the military(escort) tab. It directly increases the number of active fleet air hulls. If we had the time for new hulls, I'd be right there with you in support of them. But we don't, so we gotta pay the bill for shorting the Navy. Not blaming anyone's plans for this result, but this is the flat truth. The plans pushing for waiting two years for escort carriers are probably going to see tens of thousands of merchantmen die due to lack of fleet air cover and similar numbers (if not higher) of Ground Force and similar personnel die due to not being able to call for naval support during coastal engagements.

Pick your poison.
 
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[X] Plan One Step Forward
[X] Plan I Refuse To Give Up On Karachi Yet

Well, I said I'd vote for Simon's plan as well if I liked it and... I'm not thrilled at all that Chicago is in it. But I'm happy enough with the rest, especially the Escort Merchantman Carriers to overlook that. Because even shit escort carriers are better than no escort carriers leaving you to relegate fleet carriers to escort duty for even the safest routes. Because there's no truly safe routes, only safe enough thanks to the global nature of Nod and the fact they're using submerged designs. Needing to start our actual Light/Escort Carriers rapidly to replace them is a worthwhile compromise to get them now.

And yeah, because it also means we've got better odds of pulling of Karachi if it looks like we can do it closer to 'Go Time'. After all, we've got a year of war to go through before the best time to start Karachi next.
 
Stockpile and don't do risky shipping while Karachi settles.
If we rush out Frigates quickly, they'll be available in 2061.
We don't strictly need to do Karachi until Q4 2061.


Plan review, as I've update my votes:
[] Plan One Step Forward
Adequate, although I would prefer to see some Tick Tech Development, as it could be really handy for Karachi.
Not sold on Tactical Airborne Laser Deployment. We need Carrier Factories, not the part time shipyard.


[] Plan Shipyards, Tech and Industry
Isolinear Chips and Harvesting Tendrils are a bit too Blue Sky for in the middle of a war. Neither of those are likely to see use for at least a year.
But at least it continues the Steel Talon's project.
Why Security Review Agriculture?


[] Plan I Refuse To Give Up On Karachi Yet
Do we need investment into three Health projects right now?
Slow walk on Chicago is odd too.
Not sold on Carrier Conversions when we really need more of all ships.


[]Plan Second Vanguard, delaying Karachi, vein edition and kudzu edition
Only 2 dice on Fusion is a bit light.
Not convinced we need a reduction in Plan Commitments.
Extra investment in LCI is nice though.
No Kudzu please.


[] Plan Shipyards, Air Force and Tech
Actually starts Bergen, but leaves a LCI fallow.
Not convinced we need a reduction in Plan Commitments.
Do we need Tactical Airborne Lasers ahead of fixing our impending ship shortage?


[] Plan A Broader Step Forwards
Not enough in Industry or Shipyards.
Disagree with Bureaucacy projects.


[] Plan No think, Just do
I find the Infra and Military dice allocations unusual. (I'm slowly falling asleep here. Comment quality is not guaranteed.)


[] Plan: Factories, Refugees, Even More Vanguard-ees
Industry spending is good.
Spending points on dropping back on commitments is bad.


[] Plan You Must Construct Additional Pylons Fusion Plants
Did people miss that Fortress Towns rolled low and Rail Expansion rolled high last turn?
Why are we doing more Rail and less Fortress?
Good to see Railgun Harvesters and Mastodon though.


[] Plan Sunrise
Why are we doing more Rail and less Fortress? Again.
We don't need Kudzu or more Lasers.


[] Plan: Release the Krakens!
Nobody ever likes my plans. :(
I barely ever get feedback about why.


[]Plan: Where's My Supersuit 2.0
Broken formatting!
Why are we doing more Rail and less Fortress? Again. x2
Seems overkill on Health, and the Economic Census will likely just tell us that they need Capitol Goods available again.


[] Plan By Apollo and Poseidon
Also incorrect formatting.
Good Security Reviews.
Too much health.
Could push harder in Tib.
 
[X] Plan One Step Forward
[X] Plan Shipyards, Tech and Industry
[X]Plan Second Vanguard, delaying Karachi, vein edition
[X] Plan: Factories, Refugees, Even More Vanguard-ees
[X] Plan You Must Construct Additional Pylons Fusion Plants
 
I'm not going to argue against the CAMs right now because while i don't like them i am of the opinion that they are needed if karachi 2061 is going to be possible. That being said, i think they are woefully insufficient by themselves for karachi.
9 months for a frigate and 3 months for the yard means this is the last possible turn to have them available for karachi q2. 1 yard with less than a 100% chance to finish is just not enough. At all.
For a q2 karachi to be viable you need to focus entirely on the navy this turn, no half measures. 2 frigate yards + CAMs are maybe enough for karachi to be possible without huge negative penalties to our rolls
As for q4 karachi, a mass offensive operation in india during the monsoon season where thick mud will bog us down and we won't be able to quickly build fortifications while facing monsters built for this just seems like stacking every possible negative we can find against us. Is it impossible? No, not if we roll really well but i figure even average rolls won't be enough for us there
 
Stockpile and don't do risky shipping while Karachi settles.
If we rush out Frigates quickly, they'll be available in 2061.
We don't strictly need to do Karachi until Q4 2061.
This has nothing to do with Karachi.

All of our shipping is risky right now because we don't have enough CVNs to cover our current convoys. Light Carriers are used for escort duties in combination with Frigates because each do certain jobs very well but can't do them all on their own. You need the combination of air arm and surface escorts to properly defend convoys and you need both of them to be effective.

This is also completely ignoring how it's going to really hurt the ability of GDI to engage in coastal warfare sometimes. Unless you think that NOD won't take the opportunity to bombard engaged coastal Ground Force formations from the missile subs we know they have.

Or rob the Air Force of the ability to rely on Fleet Air to support them in crucial engagements - again, Murmansk.

Your entire argument against this comes across as "Karachi bad, must not do anything that could ever support it" when no one is advocating going all in on Karachi. This is about keeping our shipping safe in the short term. It's about providing naval support to the rest of our military going forward whilst doing so. And it's about ensuring that our naval lanes don't get obliterated when Bintang masterstrokes and we can't combine the South Pacific/Indian Fleet Carriers fast enough to respond because they're all on convoy duty.

Edit: to elaborate, I'm pretty sure that a huge part of the political cost of the CAMs is the Navy going: Yes, we need these, but you could've made us not need them so we're exacting a pound of flesh for your not understanding how slow the naval logistical chain is.

@Ithillid how close am I on this?
 
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Well, I said I'd vote for Simon's plan as well if I liked it and... I'm not thrilled at all that Chicago is in it.
My sympathies. I'm mainly pushing Chicago expansion because:

1) It can be done using only Tiberium dice, which we have plenty of.
2) While it is suboptimally efficient at meeting our mitigation and refining targets, it does help us to meet them.
3) Because it supports the North American aspect of Steel Vanguard.

Stockpile and don't do risky shipping while Karachi settles.
Steel Vanguard means we're already committed to doing exactly not that.

If we rush out Frigates quickly, they'll be available in 2061.
We don't strictly need to do Karachi until Q4 2061.
A frigate wave is not a full substitute for having carrier aviation on the oceans. If it was, the Navy wouldn't have spent the last five years or so asking us for escort carriers. They'd have asked for frigates instead.

[] Plan I Refuse To Give Up On Karachi Yet
Do we need investment into three Health projects right now?
Slow walk on Chicago is odd too.
I'm not investing in three Health projects, I'm investing in two. One is the neural interface surgery system, and the other is medical supplies factories. Both are needed to get our Health indicator, currently at a precarious +2 and likely to fall further, back up to a comfortable margin of superiority.

Also, both are needed as a matter of basic logic. The neural interface surgery is a basic, obvious enhancement of existing surgical practices, and a fairly cost-effective one. Plus, it's wartime, lots of people are getting blowed up and shit, so there's a lot of demand for surgery, so we might as well be doing it right. And the medical supplies factories are because we've got lots of soldiers getting hurt and lots of refugees who until now had like no access to medication, so our medical supply infrastructure is gonna be under a lot of strain, more so than usual. Again, it's a fairly pressing military need.

As to the slow walk on Chicago, we've got a bunch of other pressing commitments in Tiberium to support Steel Vanguard, so going all-in on that project is infeasible due to dice availability and budget constraints. Depending on how things play out, I might go more aggressively soon. I'm not planning to go past Phase 4 right now, though, so there's not a lot of point in a giant all-in spamming of the dice.

Not sold on Carrier Conversions when we really need more of all ships.
Carrier conversions are the button we push to have more ships, specifically more ships of the important "can launch Orcas" type, in less than about two years. Nothing else we can do instead gets us ships of that type in less than two years or so. And since ships are not perfectly interchangeable, we need that particular ship type, and in less than two years.

I'm not going to argue against the CAMs right now because while i don't like them i am of the opinion that they are needed if karachi 2061 is going to be possible. That being said, i think they are woefully insufficient by themselves for karachi.
9 months for a frigate and 3 months for the yard means this is the last possible turn to have them available for karachi q2. 1 yard with less than a 100% chance to finish is just not enough. At all.
For a q2 karachi to be viable you need to focus entirely on the navy this turn, no half measures. 2 frigate yards + CAMs are maybe enough for karachi to be possible without huge negative penalties to our rolls
As for q4 karachi, a mass offensive operation in india during the monsoon season where thick mud will bog us down and we won't be able to quickly build fortifications while facing monsters built for this just seems like stacking every possible negative we can find against us. Is it impossible? No, not if we roll really well but i figure even average rolls won't be enough for us there
For crying out loud, it's not during the monsoon season! We're operating in Pakistan, in Pakistan it stops raining in September-October!

The monsoon season isn't six months long in Pakistan!

I'd say yes. It's the deployment phase. It starts putting the lasers on planes now. Very good investment since that helps the air force a ton.
Air Force and Navy are both in trouble and urgently need help. My own "I Refuse To Give Up on Karachi Yet" plan specifically includes plans to set up production lines for the Apollo wingman drones, and I explicitly plan to continue helping the Air Force, but the Air Force can't get massive all-in 6+ dice of help-spam all at once while the Navy is too, and frankly the Navy is in even worse shape due to chronic underinvestment. The Air Force is, by comparison, benefiting from SOME recent investment.
 
Edit: to elaborate, I'm pretty sure that a huge part of the political cost of the CAMs is the Navy going: Yes, we need these, but you could've made us not need them so we're exacting a pound of flesh for your not understanding how slow the naval logistical chain is.
A fair bit of it is that. Escort Carriers have been on the docket since Q2 2055. But you spent three years ignoring it and two more wrangling over whether to do it with drones or not, and are only developing it as war kicked off.
If you had done Escort Carriers in, say Q3 2059, built a yard in Q4, and another in Q1, you would still have gotten the Merchantman conversion project, but at a much lower political cost. Because you need something to tide you over until the actual proper escort carriers start coming off the lines. But now, you have a problem, because the Navy is looking at the war and expecting to be fighting the entire thing with critically compromised designs forced on them by Treasury neglect.
 
Why are we doing more Rail and less Fortress? Again.
We don't need Kudzu or more Lasers.
If there are issues with naval logistics having an alternative route by rail could compensate.
Kudzu is a plan goal and i had enough R to spend dice on completing it
Lasers can be deployed a lot faster then new ships and if only the first wave of frigates are ready for Karachi i like them to have the improved lasers(but i plan to ask for a extension on Karachi so we can build the escort carriers first before launching that invasion).

Carrier conversions are the button we push to have more ships, specifically more ships of the important "can launch Orcas" type, in less than about two years. Nothing else we can do instead gets us ships of that type in less than two years or so. And since ships are not perfectly interchangeable, we need that particular ship type, and in less than two years.
Ships might not be perfectly interchangeable and i agree we should build a escort carrier yard this turn but they are interchangeable to some degree especially when looked at from a global perspective.
Build escort carriers free up fleet carriers and use them in the Indian ocean is the simplest and best way to free up ships.

But currently our convoys are escorted by a mix of fleet carriers and governors i am convinced that there are routes where we can replace governors with frigates even if its two frigates to replace one cruiser.
We might even replace a fleet carrier with 5 to 10 frigates and a cruiser freed up elsewhere by frigates at one of the places the fleet carrier is already overkill
Two yards are more then doable and would produce 40 frigates before the end of the plan.
We also have a logistics buffer and can say that there will be no convoys across the Atlantic the quarter Karachi is launched and that you need to order stuff in advance or have it flow over during the landings if you normally get goods that way.
 
For crying out loud, it's not during the monsoon season! We're operating in Pakistan, in Pakistan it stops raining in September-October!

The monsoon season isn't six months long in Pakistan!
Except that specifically goes against the only thing i've seen from ithillid about this. I seem to remember that was a lower intensity rainy season until November. That's very different to it stopping raining in September.
At the end of the day i'm going to assume he's right about the weather because he writes the quest
 
Serious question- why is NOD using mostly semisubmersibles instead of submarines?

I get it, easy to use and maintain. But you would think they would have used all their submarines to the max, especially with GDI Navy not in great shape.

Or is it because NOD doesn't have enough submarines? Can they actually be in the same situation as GDI - most resources were spent on ground forces to maintain their footholds on all continents and Navy was neglected?
 
Serious question- why is NOD using mostly semisubmersibles instead of submarines?

I get it, easy to use and maintain. But you would think they would have used all their submarines to the max, especially with GDI Navy not in great shape.

Or is it because NOD doesn't have enough submarines? Can they actually be in the same situation as GDI - most resources were spent on ground forces to maintain their footholds on all continents and Navy was neglected?
Semi-submersibles and submersibles are probably more easily operated by their second and third-string warlords. Less demanding.

It's sort of like asking why Nod still bothers driving around in attack buggies and using (admittedly somewhat tooled-up) militants, instead of everyone stomping around in stealth tanks, Avatars, and Black Hand armor.

A fair bit of it is that. Escort Carriers have been on the docket since Q2 2055. But you spent three years ignoring it and two more wrangling over whether to do it with drones or not, and are only developing it as war kicked off.
If you had done Escort Carriers in, say Q3 2059, built a yard in Q4, and another in Q1, you would still have gotten the Merchantman conversion project, but at a much lower political cost. Because you need something to tide you over until the actual proper escort carriers start coming off the lines. But now, you have a problem, because the Navy is looking at the war and expecting to be fighting the entire thing with critically compromised designs forced on them by Treasury neglect.
Yeah. The Navy is pissed.

I don't think they're going to be less pissed if we don't do the merchantman conversions in the long run; they're just going to be more actively blaming us for all the battles we lose, or win-less-well, because the Navy couldn't be there because we didn't build any flattops.

I don't know if that will manifest as Political Support costs, or as the Navy pushing the legislature to twist our arms into building a gigantic naval expansion in the Fourth Four Year Plan, or what... but we're gonna pay a price. We should be looking at the political price of doing the conversion carriers as part of the tax we pay for neglecting the Navy.

Ignoring the Talons had relatively few costs and downsides. They're small.

The Navy is big. What they do is a big deal, and no one else can do it. They have clout. They're mad at us. We're gonna take some hits from the beat-stick.

If there are issues with naval logistics having an alternative route by rail could compensate.
I don't know how many phases of rails we have to build before we get the option to dig subterranean rail tunnels connecting, say, Europe to Greenland (for Nuuk) to East Coast US to West Coast US... But I'm pretty sure it's not gonna help.

And the rail lines across Asia are exactly why we want Karachi in the first place; they're long, overextended, and Krukov likes to use them for a goddamn scratching post.

Rails are not a viable alternative to shipping for GDI as a whole. We can reduce the need for coastal shipping along a coastline a thousand kilometers or so, but that doesn't help much because those are the convoys that stay close to shore, within range of hydrofoils and land-based aviation. They don't need flattops in their escort, not of any kind.

It's the convoys crossing actual oceans that need flattops, and don't have them.

To solve that problem, we need flattops, and we need them right away, not two years from now.

...

As for kudzu, I'm not against it, though I prefer to spend the R and agricultural dice on food production because I anticipate a very large population surge from refugees who will need feeding, and also because if we don't bargain down the Stored Food goal, we're gonna need a LOT of extra Food.

Ships might not be perfectly interchangeable and i agree we should build a escort carrier yard this turn but they are interchangeable to some degree especially when looked at from a global perspective.
Build escort carriers free up fleet carriers and use them in the Indian ocean is the simplest and best way to free up ships.
Simplest, yes, best, no. The problem is that SOME flattop, SOME ship capable of launching aircraft, must replace the fleet carrier.

No flattops will be constructed for about 18-21-24 months if we don't do the merchantman conversions.

Therefore, if we don't do them, we're still screwed.

This is not a purely abstract exercise in "make number go up at minimum cost." We need flattops now. Even if they are unsatisfactory, we need them now. This is literally the exact situation in which the US and British navies historically built dozens of, well, escort carriers, slow small carriers built on merchant hulls, very much like our conversion carriers. Because they had a lot of convoys to escort, to protect from German U-boats and Japanese threats of all kinds. And they could never, never have enough full-size fleet carriers to be able or willing to waste them covering all those convoys.

So we, like the very successful WWII US Navy, are going to need to build cheap, small, quickly made, easily prepared conversion merchantman-based carriers that can close that gap. We will, like the WWII US Navy, predictably wind up abandoning the conversion carriers as soon as a more satisfactory model is available or as soon as the need passes. But the need is upon us now and we cannot afford to ignore it.

...

The problem is that more frigates or cruisers don't replace the fleet carrier in a convoy escort mission, whereas even a cheap and lesser-than merchant conversion carrier can replace the fleet carrier.

To make a peanut butter sandwich, you need peanut butter, and you need bread. If someone takes away your bread, you can't just use twice as much peanut butter to compensate. You must have bread. If that means there's no bread available to do something else later, it doesn't matter.

Which is why our fleet carriers are almost never available for anything except the peanut butter sandwich of all naval missions- convoy escort.

Two yards are more then doable and would produce 40 frigates before the end of the plan.
We also have a logistics buffer and can say that there will be no convoys across the Atlantic the quarter Karachi is launched and that you need to order stuff in advance or have it flow over during the landings if you normally get goods that way.
That may or may not be achievable. Even if it is, we can't declare that there will be no convoys for the duration of the war.

We need extra flattops now, and have needed them for a long time.

...

I Refuse To Give Up On Karachi Yet
 
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[X] Plan One Step Forward
[X] Plan A Broader Step Forwards
[X] Plan: Factories, Refugees, Vanguard-ees
[X] Plan: Factories, Refugees, Even More Vanguard-ees
[X] Plan: Factories, Refugees, MORE Vanguard-ees
 
I'm just going to say it again, and succinctly:

We are courting disaster by ignoring the merchantman conversion carriers.

The Navy has told us for five years that it does not have enough ships capable of naval aviation to maintain control of the seas. Now we are at war, and they still don't. We have developed the light carriers too late; they will not be ready in time. We will suffer military bad consequences because of this.

We can soften the blow by developing conversion carriers. They're not ideal, they're not going to perform as well as the light carriers might. But no matter what we do now, the light carriers will not be ready for 18-24 months or so. A lot of bad things will happen to us at sea in that time, if we don't take steps.

We need the conversion carriers.

...

There are only two plans that include the conversion carriers.

There is my plan, and there is also one other.

[] Plan By Apollo and Poseidon

As of this writing, "By Apollo and Poseidon" has only one vote, that of its author, @FrozenChosen . I praise FrozenChosen for having seen this crisis coming and having proposed that we take precautions. As soon as I post this, I will go back and approval-vote FrozenChozen's plan for this reason.

However, my own plan currently has (as of this writing) seventeen votes, which is enough to compete with the leading plans (as of this writing, they have 22-23 votes).

So if you (like me) support FrozenChosen's advocacy for conversion carriers, which we very much need to get the Navy through the next two years with as few disasters as possible...

You may also want to vote for:

[] Plan I Refuse to Give Up On Karachi Yet
 
On one hand, I do think that we are going to want to do Merchantmen conversions, whether or not we do Karachi.

On the other hand, I don't think that aiming for Karachi Q1 or Q2 of next year is a good idea. Our navy and airforce are going to be too underdeveloped, as even with excellent rolls this quarter we'll still only be in the first rollouts of many.

On the third hand, an invasion of Karachi in Q4 is tempting, as technically it could be possible, weather permitting. It likely wouldn't be enough to finish our current minimum of 3 phases completed, 4 allocated by end of plan (as it takes a full quarter during the dry season to finish 3 phases), but it might be nice to have an additional month of construction going into 62.

That said, we don't have on-the-ground data to plan around. Our military and engineers aren't going to know the local ground conditions prior to the invasion, and coming in during or shortly after the 'light' rain season has a much wider array of probabilities than waiting until the dry season has started in earnest. And not just from a flooding, or intermittent flash floods, perspective, but also a question of whether the earth is mud or packed dirt. It seems like a pretty large gamble to place so many lives and so much material on, when we could just pay some PS to safeguard both.
 
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[X] Plan I Refuse To Give Up On Karachi Yet

Even if Eastern Paris is delayed until the literal last minute, it is still worth the effort to rush out some hulls, any hulls, to help alleviate the current escort load. We need carriers yesterday. Are converted Carriers not Fleet or Escort Carrier, no they are not. However, they are Carriers, they are hulls, and, I cannot stress this enough, we need hulls.

A some has been said about how the Carrier Conversions are similar to the Casablanca Class Escort Carrier, and they are. Both are refitted merchant vessels, both had the Navy against them (indeed the Casablanca's makers went around Naval authorities directly to the FDR's advisors), both were rapidly pressed into service when the scale of the conflict was apparent, and like how just about all the Casablanca's were decommissioned immediately after the war, just like we expect the converted Carriers to be once the actual Escort Carriers come off the line. Just like the US in WW2 we need hulls.

A couple other interesting things about the Casablanca Class. They are most numerous class of Aircraft carrier ever built at a total of 50. 5 were lost in the conflict for a 10% casualty rate, and of those one was only damaged before being scuttled. The US carrier casualty rate in WW2 was ~11% over all so its not as if the Casablanca's losses were excessive despite being merchant hulls. Arguments that they are 'deathtraps' are exaggerated. They are not as good as the actual Escort Carriers, but we need hulls.

I completely understand the desire not to give the Navy an inferior product, but that is kind of the thinking that got us here in the first place, the navy needs hulls. We need hulls to keep the BZs connected. We need Frigate hulls. We need Carrier hulls. The only way to get more of the latter in time for the war is through Carrier Conversions. We need hulls.
 
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Isolinear Chips and Harvesting Tendrils are a bit too Blue Sky for in the middle of a war. Neither of those are likely to see use for at least a year.
But at least it continues the Steel Talon's project.
Why Security Review Agriculture?
I had 2 bureau dice and agri had idle dice (that and service but we just did service). As it is harvesting tendrils will help against our other enemy- Tiberium which unless we get the TCN will force us off the world. And depending on how long Isolinear takes to get setup we might get use out of it for this war, at worst it is useful after the war and gets us ready for the next war vs NOD while also upping our industry so we do better in the eternal war vs Tiberium.


@Simon_Jester for me at this point I am going for the merchant conversion next turn but I want to get some actual escort carrier production going and with the other demands on mil I did not have enough dice without removing free dice from HI which I think we need to do to keep support for additional mil dev next turn. I think I get a small bump in energy if everything finishes which is enough for a big mil spending next turn and provide cushion in both cap goods and energy against any NOD damage.


Edit- Also people were asking why the dedicated shipyard vs the battleship- the battleship option will be less carriers built as carriers are built in conjunction with supporting battleships while the other three are dedicated shipyards that will serial build escort carriers and not have interruptions. So for my- dedicated CVE shipyard Q2, Q3 Merchant Conversion maybe battleship CVE, Q4 battleship CVE/dedicated CVE shipyard, Q1 dedicated CVE shipyard- also why I am adding free dice to HI as the energy and cap good mil is going to need is quite high
 
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