Karuadin
Vago Mundo
I did the math for this, although I left out the Interlude actions because I wasn't sure if QM rolled during the Interlude.So now that it's made it's appearance, I'll reveal the snakerolls: for every action there was a one in ten chance of the Thorned One manifesting during it. It's been a long time since I used probability mathematics but I figured a one in ten chance rolled six times a turn should prove to be a pretty substantial handicap.
It failed every single roll until this turn. The first time Ranald got it, and the second time was just in time for it to be trapped in eternal snake hell.
So, yeah.
Each action has a 90% chance of being safe, result is rounded to 2 decimal places.
End of Turn 1: 6 actions total, 53.14% chance of no snake.
End of Turn 2: 6 actions taken, 12 actions total, 28.24%
End of Turn 3: 6 actions, 18 actions total, 15.01%
End of Turn 4: 6 actions, 24 actions total, 7.98%
End of Turn 5: 6 actions, 30 actions total, 4.24%
End of Turn 6: 7 actions, 37 actions total, 2.03%
End of Turn 7: 5 safe actions, 1 action summons snake, 42 safe actions 1 snake action, 0.12%
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