Keep the natter on the subject of Advice and Trust or Evangelion or I will lock the thread.
Will do. Here's an Eva question, then, that might play into the endgame for A&T: in canon Eva, why did SEELE send Kaworu to NERV when they did? For that matter, why did they send him to NERV at all?
It seems to be generally accepted that, in the original series, Kaworu was sent to NERV primarily to be eliminated as the last Angel, so that SEELE's 3I plan could begin. I find myself wondering why they bothered to send him to NERV for this rather than trying to eliminate him themselves. After all, in sending Kaworu to NERV, there was the very real possibility that Kaworu might succeed in reaching Lilith, and respond to the deception by triggering 3I with Lilith anyway as revenge for being sent on this wild goose chase that could only end in his death.
SEELE had the MP EVAs and facsimile Lances; why not eliminate Kaworu themselves when they were otherwise ready to begin their 3I plan? After all, if Gendo doesn't realize the last Angel is dead, he can't begin his own 3I plan, and won't be on the lookout for a full-scale SEELE-directed assault yet. Did they think their own resources wouldn't be enough? Or did they think that Kaworu would be able to override control of a dummy plug piloted MP EVA, and they would either fail outright, or lose one or more of the MP Evas in the attempt? After all, they only completed nine MP EVAs, and need all nine to form the inverted Tree of Life to trigger 3I according to their designs. Losing one could be catastrophic.
Which raises my second question: why send Kaworu when they did? During Kaworu's run on Terminal Dogma, Gendo mentioned SEELE accelerating their scenario. Why?
The Eva Wiki mentions that SEELE was originally constructing 12 MP EVAs, but stopped short at 9 due to time constraints -- with 9 being the bare minimum for the plan to succeed, assuming they took no losses. What time constraint could SEELE be under? Neither they nor Gendo could initiate their 3I plan while Kaworu lived, and SEELE could control the timing of Kaworu's death by choosing when to send him to NERV. Why not wait until the last three MP EVAs were complete, then attack with all 12? Did they simply not expect to meet resistance capable of downing even one MP EVA? Granted, as it happened, they
didn't, but it still seems like an extraordinary risk.
I personally suspect that it was more than time at issue -- that SEELE's financial resources and political capital were more or less tapped out by constructing just the 9 MP EVAs, and they flat couldn't afford (or convince their political contacts to fund) more of them. We see reference to EVA construction being horrendously expensive -- the US (between 15% and 25% of world GDP depending on how you adjust for purchasing power parity) built two (03 and 04), and judging from one of Gendo's conversations early on, the expense was causing politically-sensitive levels of unemployment. Unless they somehow brought down construction costs by an entire order of magnitude, building nine EVAs must have been staggeringly expensive. If nine MP EVAs were all they
could build, then SEELE was as ready as it would ever be, and it might make sense to accelerate the timeline in hopes of catching Gendo before his own preparations were complete.
It seems entirely plausible that SEELE
can't build up enough money and favors in a timely fashion to replace
any of the MP EVAs if they lose one, let alone more than one. If they screw this up, a fair portion of the inner circle (especially Keel Lorenz) could be dead before they could try again. This has potential implications for stopping SEELE's 3I plans. NERV already has more EVAs active at once than they did in canon; if our heroes can keep them functional, and themselves sane, until endgame, they'd probably have the resources to bring at least one MP EVA down for good, and thus pose a credible threat of stalemating SEELE.
EDIT: Of course, neither the Pilots nor Misato would know of this. Gendo and Fuyutsuki, IIRC, do know about the MP Eva construction. Kaji might, as well. Kaworu might also know something about them. Heck, it wouldn't surprise me if Kaworu had some part in their construction; at the least, he was the basis for SEELE's dummy plugs.