Correct. And there are several engagements where our bonuses should be enough to change it, although a single-digit differential win for us probably is mostly a draw.
Do we know what our bonuses are?
The most major difference is in Military projects. Plan One Step Forward (my plan) has a strong Air Force focus, with three Air Force projects, while also building a frigate shipyard and doing the carrier conversions. Plan I Refuse To Give Up On Karachi Yet (Simon_Jester's plan) has a greater investment in Naval projects, in that it deliberately over-invests dice into a Frigate shipyard in order to try and force it to give ships soon enough for a 2061 Karachi push during wartime conditions. It also has a third die on the carrier conversions, making those likely to finish sooner.
I should note in my defense, my over-investment into the frigate yard is ALSO intended to provide the
fully general benefit of getting some more surface combatants into the water ASAP. I expect our existing surface combatant force to take losses in the next few turns, and by 2060Q4 or so, I fully expect that the Navy will be positively
salivating for new/more surface combatants of any kind.
Those frigates may come across as a godsend to some regional commander, even if we never breathe a word about Karachi ever again. I expect that they will.
Similar arguments apply for the conversion carriers- they are sorely needed
now and will be sorely needed
no matter what we do, at least until some time in 2063 or later when a couple of waves of light carriers have come out of the dedicated light carrier yards.
The other major difference is in the Steel Vanguard supporting actions. Plan One Step Forward attempts to get two phases of Yellow Zone Fortress Towns and two phases of Yellow Zone Tiberium Harvesting, while Plan I Refuse To Give Up On Karachi Yet only attempts to get one of each. The latter also puts two dice on Chicago, in the hopes of completing the next phase of the planned city in the future to further take North America.
I should note that the free dice Derpmind uses to
get two phases of Yellow Zone Tiberium Harvesting, I plow into building more fusion plants. Because regardless of our future build order, we're gonna need a lot more fusion plants to power the military factories created during this war.
So to me, Derpmind is prioritizing the fortresses in hopes of making the current round of Steel Vanguard more successful; I'm trying to prioritize deep infrastructure construction that underlies our overall military-industrial complex.
In summary, One Step Forward is focused on fighting the immediate war and is willing to risk the possibility of needing to delay the Indian invasion until 62, whereas I Refuse To Give Up On Karachi Yet is focused on increasing the likelihood of being able to do the Indian invasion in 61. Which option you'd personally support will depend heavily on your personal evaluation of how the war is going, and what your goals are for the war.
Again, nitpick.
Everything I propose, I propose because I sincerely believe it to be very important and urgently needed for the overall war situation. My position is at most
slightly tweaked out of a desire to avoid accidentally locking ourselves out of Karachi
if war circumstances permit (e.g. if Bintang rolls a Natural 1 and accidentallies her own fleet)
I am fully prepared to accept the reality that war circumstances may not, indeed
likely will not, permit. But I wish to leave us in a position to take advantage of good fortune.
