@Glassware
I am declining to reply to the bulk of your paragraph because it contains nothing for me to refute. You are not citing evidence for your opinions about Halkh's opinions, nor about the Licori's motives for fighting the war. You have attributed numerous motivations and intentions, persistently failing to cite support either from my own words, or from the QMs who could conceivably override me by hijacking Halkh's character. There is simply nothing for me to say in response. There is, however, one
very accurate observation you have made, to which I would like to reply, because I agree with it. I am in no way refuting or attacking it.
I even had a minor epiphany when I saw you say it, because it's a very good point. You are
entirely correct to point this out:
Halkh can't possibly know the extent of this [that is, the OSA megacorps' fleet strength], or he'd realize how stupid it is to think the central government can do anything to affect the behavior of the megacorps at this point...
Simon_Jester said:
Halkh:
"...I am obliged to point out that from our point of view, it might be rather more appealing to mass all our forces for a single audacious attack into the orbitals of Ikeigenoi, in hopes of brushing aside the central government's fleet and forcing them to issue orders standing down the corporate raiders. I personally consider such a course of action rash and inadvisable in the extreme, but there are other members of the Imperial Council who advocate it. Should the Laio be in favor themselves- and they can be surprisingly fierce and daring when roused- the decision might be made to attempt the thing."
Why yes, yes he would have to realize that.
In fact, the best result he'd actually expect would be to trigger confusion and dissent among the megacorps' forces, hopefully causing some of the people manning those ships to mutiny out of loyalty to the central government. He's
very familiar with the dynamics of a weak central government that maintains a precarious rule over several large quasi-independent subordinate powers, after all. He's lived in one almost his entire life, remember?
But creating a situation where the megacorps, if they wish to fight on as armed bodies, have to fight on in defiance of the central government, is far less bad from his point of view than a situation where the megacorps are free to fight as they please, with at best the obstinate protection and at worst the active connivance of the central government.
Furthermore, such a scenario would also drag Federation attention to the scope of the problem that is in the process of spiralling out of control on their borders. Namely, the existence of a massive pirate fleet that the Federation only took decisive action to combat
after it became clear that the local powers were on the brink of war over the OSA megacorps' piracy.
Compare this to the status quo, which from the point of view of the Licori, is starting to look a lot like "OSA megacorps balloon into a pirate fleet that can do pretty much whatever it wants to the local powers. The rather rickety Arcadian Empire appears to be the perfect target for their invasion and exploitation. Especially since it has no defense treaties with the Federation, not even the easily-ignored kind of defense treaty the Laio allegedly have and which were not activated when one of their greatest ships was attacked and destroyed by the pirates."
Unlikely. If I remember correctly, the Licori have Wolf Pack and the Laoi Decisive Battle. So their approach will likely consist of a combination of raiding the OSA and forcing their ships into a battle before they target any planets.
Halkh:
"I prefer such a strategy. It's very effective. You used it on us, for instance, and you beat us like a drum- and did so
efficiently, I might add. Some attribute your victory purely to superior numbers, but there is an art to using superior numbers to good effect. T'Lorel, Thuir, and ka'Sharren have it."
"Though perhaps I should be attributing rather more of the credit to Eaton, or to Sulu."
[frowns thoughtfully]
Laio Fleet: C41 S30 H28 L37 P27 D48
Licori Fleet: C84 S? H45 L75 P? D44+
Combined Fleet: C125 S30+ H73 L112 P27+ D92+
Meanwhile the known OSA governmental fleet comes to:
C38 S28 H21 L37 P29 D38
So for this to be
anything but a complete and utter
curb stomp the OSA corporate fleet must literally be
twice the size of the government fleet.
That means we'll either see the OSA get rolled by the L&L alliance in a quarter or two or there never was an OSA government. The fundamental requirement for a government is that it
must maintain a monopoly on violence and the OSA government certainly doesn't have that if the corporate fleets are as big as is being suggested here.
Halkh:
"Point of order. The OSA and its merchant princes have quite a number of substantial heavy ships; we have a great many small, comparatively frail frigates. If we're not careful, we could lose many small ships in a battle that costs the merchant princes nothing more than the money spent replacing surge protectors on their shield generators. Like insects splattering off a windscreen. Something we'll be trying to avoid, of course."
And such an opinion is what makes their stance depraved, to a degree. The room I'll make for such a person is that they should be argued or educated into a stance that isn't fundamentally wrong, but that's all. I make zero room for accepting their justification
Like, I'm willing to accept a test of complicity (is there evidence the entire population knowingly complicit and is there strong evidence the government is knowingly complicit), but that's as far as I'll go, and the evidence is nowhere near passing that test. Firing on a crowd that you know are mostly not throwing rocks because one person is throwing rocks (or hell, firing rockets) is something I'll call out as wrong, and I don't see it as a straw man at all. It's actually quite a good analogy.
See, there's the two-step again.
There's a difference between firing indiscriminately at a crowd, and firing at a specific individual or group who is themselves using lethal violence, just less effective lethal violence.
There's a difference between declaring war on the armed forces of a private corporation practicing piracy (or the government protecting them) and causing wide slaughter among the civilian population that ignorantly allows the piracy to go on.
If you're going to attack the underlying premise here, attack the
real premise, not the cartoon version.
There is a real moral question here, which is, by what right do we ask the Laio and Licori to sit still and be killed while we get around to deciding to deal with the problem? If the Federation did not exist, they would have no recourse but to fight. Even given that the Federation exists, by sitting still and waiting for us to solve the problem, they tacitly concede Federation sovereignty over space the Federation
has not claimed and does not police reliably. We can demand that they not fight and wait for us to resolve the situation peacefully, but only by asserting a measure of authority over the situation. A level of authority that at least some of the major political parties within Federation space (e.g. the Pacifists and Developmentalists) almost certainly
don't want to assert.
Given the corporations seem to hire anything and anyone in the area we can probably expect for some leftover rogue mentats to suddenly appear.
Actually, the goal for them might be too install some friendly Kortennon business partner on the throne. The aftermath of our Licori war probably generated quite a bunch of wealthy "refugees" from the houses that lost hard.
It's entirely possible, and another reason for the existing Licori government to take a dim view of the rapid expansion of the pirates. We
DO know that Licori renegades are among the pirates that are out there, though I'm not sure it's clear if they're involved with the OSA megacorps to any noticeable scale.
Though I should note that there are nearly no 'true' mentats left alive, unless they were created after the end of the Licori War. Mentats live no more than about ten years, and it's been roughly nine years since the end of the war.
Because the Corps haven't attacked us so we just plain don't get to do an Anti-Syndicate style full campaign. That's why they don't attack us, focusing on Licori and Laio shipping, they realize how that might go.
Also the OSA government doesn't realize they have a crime and/or corporative problem at all so they are far less enthusiastic than the Orions with the idea of any kind of intervention.
Yeah, it bears remembering that the Orion Union government we actually dealt with was
after an entire round of violent revolutions that overthrew the old (TOS-era) Orion government that was
really in bed with the hypercorps.
By contrast, the OSA has not had that revolution yet.