Y'know, for a people who'd 'never' conduct such an offensive, we sure did conduct a lightning offensive against the Sydraxians.
Oh, you misunderstand. I'm not saying "we were never going to launch a lightning offensive to push the Cardassians because we're too gosh-darn nice."
I'm saying "the Cardassians are too big to knock over this way."
With the Sydraxians, two big thwacks from a Combat 40-60 fleet was enough to effectively wipe out their presence in the Gabriel Expanse and wreck so much of their navy that they couldn't re-establish that presence. Even if they'd wanted to, we could have just kept doing it over and over until they ran out of ships. We could fairly easily bring more ships to every battle than them, so the Lanchester Laws were on our side. We could rack up a favorable rate of attrition until their fleet was just
gone, so minimal that they could no longer pose a threat in the Expanse while retaining even minimal self-defense capability.
We can't do that to the Cardassians. Their fleet is just about the same size as Starfleet, and their other commitments aren't a lot heavier than ours. While we have the member world fleets as an emergency backup, we can't just throw 100% of Starfleet into the Gabriel Expanse, blow up 50% of the Cardassian navy, and force the Cardassians to give up occupying the Expanse themselves. We'd need a bigger fleet than we physically
have, to do to the Cardassians what we did to the Sydraxians.
And that's been the case ever since we went into the Expanse in the first place. Realistically we were
never going to hammer the Cardassians hard enough to drive them out of the Expanse entirely, not in a single overpowering lightning offensive. Even doing it gradually, a step at a time, would probably run us up against the limits of our political support. Because the Council, and for that matter the playerbase, probably isn't going to unanimously agree on being willing to keep fighting and sacrificing indefinitely. Not just for the cause of keeping the Cardassians from getting ANY of the Gabriel Expanse's resources.*
________________________
*It's like, if the Cardassians just straight-up
talked to us and said "okay, let's sign a partition agreement and rename the contested region the "
You mine your side, we mine our side, and nobody mine in the middle Expanse," the Council would probably agree to that if the partition proposal itself were reasonable.
If the option to delay hadn't come up, the lightning offensive option was winning. Also, we blitzed the Sydraxians. And the Licori. Actually, this would be the first offensive we've ever undertaken that hasn't been a lightning offensive.
Again, to clarify my stance, what I'm saying is that we were never realistically going to plan a campaign in which we amassed overwhelming force and wiped out the Cardassian military presence in the Gabriel Expanse. Even now, we're talking about driving them out of a single subsector.
Plus fleet strength reveals enemy priorities and thinking. It's crucial in several ways.
It's
important, but it's not the only important thing we have to think about in a given year. The overall economy of the Cardassians matters too, so does their overall fleet strength, their diplomatic posture, their ship classes and shipyards...
The amount of information we need is too large for us to single out any given thing for a report
every year.
Our Federation is awfully proactive about helping the people of other empires throw off tyrannical overlords. A somewhat... Culture-ish... attitude.
Leslie:
"Tell it to the Klingons. We pried a fair number of planets out of their clutches on the border, don't get me wrong, but we were never going to go crusader on them and we wouldn't if we could. You kids sometimes forget, when I was born we didn't think we could
stop the Klingons if they tried to conquer the whole Federation and just kept pushing as hard as they could. We could make it expensive, we could hold out until the Klingons started fighting among themselves, we could set them up to get torpedoed from behind by the Romulans or whoever else. But we weren't even one bit sure we could fight a war with the Klingons and stalemate 'em for very long. They're tough, and they were getting stronger fast back in those days."
"And nowadays? Hell, the Licori got their monarchy kicked down because that monarchy decided to play with firecrackers on our front porch. Not exactly "
de oppresso liber." Same goes for the Sydraxians."