I think the tendency to take things that really should not be mysticism, and turn them into mysticism, is somehow built into the Vulcan species and its offshoot.
I mean, they managed to turn
logic into a religion, as far as I can tell.
I don't consider the Cardassian state of affairs likely to blow up soon-tensions with them are not noticeably higher than before. This is the plan of someone who has seen intel session after intel session come and go with the Cardassian tactics report getting picked without any significant skirmishing. You could say that they are just waiting for us to drop our guard, but that seems a bit silly. We've done them a favor by using our reports to get the short-term benefit over and over again.
I agree about not getting the Cardassian tactics report, and I've said so in the past. The benefit we gain from other strategic information is much greater than the benefit we get from a +5% combat bonus we don't know if we're going to get a chance to use.
What I'm doing is questioning some of your other priorities. I think some of your other reports are equally an example of us seeking out information or opportunities that we have no way of benefiting from.
Ship stats are one of the pieces of information we are
most likely to get through means other than intelligence reports, and one of the
least important to know. We're not going to design any new ships soon in the near future except the
Kepler, and the
Kepler isn't going to be designed with an eye to countering any foreign design. What exactly do you expect us to do with the ship design reports on the Klingon ships, that you consider to be more important than knowing whose side the Yrillians are on or things of that nature?
The class of information we're most hurting for is "where do our potential rivals and enemies stand, what is their posture, what are their capabilities?" The Cardassian tactics report is weakening our ability to know this information and has been for years, but there are other ways for us to sacrifice that information- and Klingon ship reports are one of them.
(As an aside, why does everyone think a fleet-based power which we suspect drives its economy with raiding and slaves won't have a multiplier on the size of it's fleet? I don't think these guys are a typical small power simply because they lack planets, outposts, and starbases-all that construction and power goes back into their fleet instead.)
I, for one, do not. I consider the Hishmeri a serious threat likely to have a great many armed ships. The reason I am opposed to seeking a report on their fleet strength isn't because I consider that information undesirable, it's because I don't expect us to be able to learn it this year.
We have a bit of breathing space-I don't think we're going to have an immediate war, and if you all think we need another report on how divided the Yrillians are and how we can't count on them to form a united bloc for anyone, that's your prerogative. Hell, maybe everyone else will vote for that. But I can write you what I expect our results will be. "Despite significant gains in popular and organizational support, the Federation-friendly bloc of the Yrillian nation cannot be expected to sway their neutral or Cardassian leaning fellows to our side, and a war would likely trigger either a full civil war or low-level unrest as both sides attempt to supply aid without attacking each other at home."
We were explicitly told last time we sought such a report, or around that time, that in the event of war the Yrillians would side with the Cardassians with at most a minority of pro-Federation defectors.
So actually? A report like the one you describe would be
good news, because a Yrillian species that fights its own internal war paralleling our larger war would be a great improvement over a Yrillian species that mostly falls into line on the Cardassian side of the war.
These Intel votes almost constantly demonstrate why more reports is so crucial, even to the tune of the 70pp we might pay for them in the coming years. I can see at least 4 reports I'd like to have in the ones I'm not voting for.
To be fair, and speaking as one who doubted you...
You are
painfully correct.
I don't expect a full fledged report (or indeed anything if the situation doesn't change that drastically) but I expect that we would get some kind of information if there were any truly signifcant/massiv changes to the war and I don't see how endless reports of "they are still maneuvering against each other and conducting small raids" are very interesting or informative.
For one, Oneiros tends to factor in what we've gotten intelligence reports on as a way of determining what to apply mechanical bonuses to. If we stop seeking information on the war, this may penalize us if-and-when we wind up somehow
involved in the war. Say, because one side is losing, or because we're trying to negotiate a cease-fire but one side is trying to pull a fast one on us by banking on our ignorance of the conflict. Or because the war triggers political shifts in one or both empires that change the postwar political calculus, and we didn't see it coming.
Secondly, "Go back to bed, Starfleet Intelligence will wake us up if one side or the other wins the war" isn't a good policy. It may result in us not learning about some important development until it's too late to do anything.
Seriously, this is basically what David Weber had the Solarian League do about the Manticore-Haven War. Ignore it, on the assumption that if anything REALLY important happened, they would automatically notice.
Weber's Sollies are morons. Let's not be the Sollies.
Hopefully we'll see the Cardassian Tactics Report climb back up the ranks; I assume we'll be crossing swords with them in the GBZ either this year or next.
We've been making that assumption again and again for years. Consequently, we've sacrificed
several intelligence reports worth of information, including subjects many people are curious about and subjects where we are woefully out of date in our information. All for a bonus we've hardly ever used.
Adding +5% Combat in the Gabriel Expanse is about like sending a
Miranda-A or two extra there, at best. Is it worth remaining clueless about the progress of the biggest war in the quadrant since the TOS era, for that? Is it worth not knowing whose side the Yrillians are on? Is it worth not knowing if we've got an opportunity to shift the Dawiar or the Sydraxians out of the Ashalla Pact?
I think a number of us are overvaluing the combat bonus because it's mechanical, while neglecting that we can't make intelligent gameplay decisions or exploit opportunities that arise in-game if we lack
information. Having mechanically powerful fleets is useless if we don't know what to do with them.
We can't admit that.
Remember that Starfleet classifies and buries temporal antics so deeply that the President of the Federation and Commander, Starfleet aren't cleared to know about a lot of it.
Honestly, the people at the very top of the organization are arguably the LAST people you want to inform about time travel that might clue them in about future events. Because even a small amount of information about the future will cause major butterfly effects if the people in charge know about it.
Like, if Captain Kirk had filed a report to the CO of Starfleet back in his day, detailing his observations of the
Enterprise-B... that would very probably have resulted in acceleration of the
Excelsior project.
Excelsior would have launched earlier or been in better shape when she did launch, causing butterfly effects that would probably in turn have changed the
Enterprise-B or resulted in her never even being in the Aga Carmide system in the first place. Paradox. By contrast, if some bureaucrat in Temporal Affairs finds out about the
Excelsiors AND KEEPS IT SECRET, the problems are minimized.
Of course, there's always Scotty's Self-Consistency Conjecture: "For all we know, he's the guy who invented the stuff." But the point remains. I can easily see temporal affairs being a setting where mid-ranking officers are cleared to know more than high-ranking ones not already part of the organization.