Well, those are worrying when taken together.
Going with the TV show conceit, the Biophage showing up for a two-parter wouldn't be entirely impossible.
It wouldn't be. On the other hand, the Qloath outpost and ship are on entirely the opposite end of our space from the incident with the Romulans. If we hadn't had the reference to "old Biophage battle sites" of a decade ago to remind us to
think of the Biophage, I doubt we'd be making the connection.
Random question.
Would our "modern" Federation curb stomp the previous biophage (like, if we just copy pasted our current situation into the previous event), or would it still be a costly affair?
On the one hand, we could fairly easily roll up with twice as many explorers, and some modern cruisers. We wouldn't have to rely so heavily on
Mirandas and
Constellations with 2's and sometimes even 1's in the relevant stat lines. So just in terms of having physical ship numbers we'd be doing pretty good.
On the other hand, we'd ALSO be less likely to see the Klingons riding to the rescue as they did at Kadesh, and an incident like the one over the Klingon colony of Tregh'bak would be very likely to touch off the Romulan-Klingon War. The Klingons, already primed to fight, would be far less likely to stop and think about the situation before getting entangled in war with Romulus after a Romulan squadron attacked one of their (biophage-infected) colonies.
The Romulans wouldn't trust us any more now
if we copy-pasted the incident than they trusted us back them. But their situation would seem totally impossible after Tregh'bak.
The worst case scenario is that they'd be so paranoid, they wouldn't tell us what they knew, and would somehow hope to destroy the Inflictor on their own,
while fighting the Klingons, and warily watching us, assuming that we were irretrievably allied with the Klingons. In other words, that the whole universe was screwing them over, what with an Inflictor outbreak AND the Klingons going to war AND Federation ships siding with Klingon ships at Tregh'bak.
Even if the Romulans had a sudden rush of sanity to the head, they'd basically have to grit their teeth, beg us to deal with the Inflictor while they were busy fighting the Klingons, and hope we wouldn't stab them in the back too hard. We'd have more of our own ships to spare, but we'd NEED them, and the Cardassians and Sydraxians would almost certainly try to land a few 'well-placed' blows in our back while we were dealing with the Biophage.
So in terms of raw capability we'd have a better chance of resolving the crisis ourselves. But the deterioration of the astropolitical situation means that we'd need all of that capability just to make up for the gaps opening up as a side effect of other things going on. Some of which have been directly caused by the Federation's rapid growth from 2303-12.
Looks like me that Nash is being prepped to be the GBZ commander.
e: That or if this exercise is her idea, she found an new excuse to get herself out of the office.
She's probably got more experience convincing the Apiata to do things than any other single person in Federation space who hasn't got a critical job elsewhere. Plus, her job DOES give her good reason to be called on as a liaison with an Explorer Corps ship for a special mission.