I have to say that of all the options with a shot at the top I rather dislike the Ranald one, it feels sort of impious. What I mean by that is that is assumes that Ranald is watching and has nothing better to do than to send us stumbling into a social encounter. In my opinion that is a misunderstanding of what Ranald is. He is the god of Luck not the god of Fate, he does not arrange for what will happen to you, he gives you a little extra luck once you have made the gamble, made the choice.