Both would be great, but the claws are probably about three turns from the development stage. And personally, I'm in favor of developing tendrils later, war isn't the time to be looking at Harvester redesigns anyway. So do we want to put them off until tendrils and claws can be codeveloped?
I suspect we can reasonably develop them separately. What would need/'need' to be delayed is rolling out any
harvester designs based on the tech. That's the thing to think about...
Basically, I want the tendrils soon in case there are specific applications we don't know about. The big, obvious one to me is (again) improved vein mining efficiency. Since we
will probably have good reason to want to do a lot of vein mining in 2062,* that's something we want to gain access to sooner rather than later if it's an option.
But then we wait a bit to actually redesign any harvesters, and until the immediate current war ends to design the second-generation MARV.
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*(ZOCOM is still going to be under strain, glacier mining will be
possible but there's no guarantee that we can do a lot of it safely, and we'll be awash in Capital Goods unless we utterly splurge on spending it on AEVAs, so there may never be a better time to do a lot of vein mining)
I think one of the lessons we needed to learn from the navy debacle is to develop stuff when we can.
I don't think we are committed to any particular design until we actually build them.
So we can research tendrils now. See what we can get from them. If stuff passively gets phased in. If we need to do redesigns or retrofits, or if we get something totally unexpected like T-Glass.
I don't think anyone wants to do redesigns at the moment (unless they are so amazing we absolutely want them now) so those can sit for a bit.
We research other stuff. Get the claws. Maybe level hovertech up. THEN commit to a redesign.
Shouldn't be too big of a deal.
I'm a bit confused by what you're recommending here. Develop stuff when we can, but don't do designs until we want to... That's pretty much how we were doing things before. Arguably it contributed (slightly) to the naval debacle, because we had quite a bit of thread resistance to developing light carriers until we could "future-proof" them by designing them for the prospect of eventually having Orca wingman drones. Since it took us a while to get around to wingman drone development, that in turn meant we only got the option to even build carrier yards in 2060Q2, by which time it was too late, realistically, for the Navy to get any for the Regency War. Also that the drone-capable carriers are big 'light carriers' compared to the smaller and more easily manufactured 'escort carriers' the Navy originally envisioned, slowing construction at a time when the Navy is hammering the "we need hulls NOW dammit" button as hard as they can.*
Anyway, if you're right, then the argument is that we should do new platform developments
sooner and rely on refits and retrofits to put the most important tech onto our newly developed platforms, instead of waiting for all the technological ducks to be in a row.
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*(I am a bit salty about this because I specifically predicted parts of that outcome. I missed the specific point that bigger, slower-completing ships would probably take longer to get into the water and that this would be a big deal
during wartime, but I predicted the rest. I became persuaded that it was important and not really a problem to wait for the wingman drones, so I can't be
very salty about the consequences of a decision I came to accept and indeed argued in favor of myself... but I'm still a bit grumbly about this.)
We followed that strategy with the Navy, and that was the problem. The Navy has a 3-6 turn delay between when we finish the shipyard and when the ships enter service. So it might be best if once we finish this yard rush for the frigates and carriers that we develop another ship and then start investing in the next set of yards.
Although notably, we were talking about harvesters and MARVs, which are different (though I bet MARVs have nontrivial production lead time since they're practically land battleships).
The trick, though, is that there's a strong virtuous economic cycle to developing better harvesters. If we can gather more tiberium and push it back more aggressively
sooner rather than later, that pays off in many other ways. As such, I don't think we should wait "until there is a need" so much as "until we have the foundational tech we want" when it comes to developing the next generation hover/tentacle harvester and the third-generation MARV. The third-generation MARV is particularly likely to become an issue because those are militarily exposed. So far, none of the big warlords have tried to tangle with a fully operational MARV fleet, but as their tech continues to improve and the MARVs' tech remains static, they may reach a state where fucking around and finding out starts to seem desirable to them.
I won't disagree that our Karachi invasion timeline was poorly considered. My contention is that each quarter of delay without a commensurate improvement in our navy significantly increased the riskiness of the endeavor. And that we kept pushing back the Karachi invasion to the earliest possible date, rather than pushing it out to the last possible moment in the plan meant that any naval investments would only be useful in the post-Karachi invasion environment (in which they would still be important, but not the necessity that they would be if they were projected to be used for Karachi itself). Leading us into the situation that we are in now.
But the initial topic was only doing developments immediately prior to their intended deployment. Developing carriers or frigates earlier in the plan, but leaving the deployment until now, would leave us in just as bad or worse position than we are currently in. Our problem was the timing of when we started deploying ships, not that we didn't develop the ships early enough.
The trick is that until we develop a ship, we don't have a realistic appreciation of what it's going to take to
build it in the first place and it doesn't seem psychologically 'available' as an option to pursue. Projects we've developed usually at least
start to take shape as a deployment (there have admittedly been exceptions), but projects we haven't developed can sit around for years and years quite routinely because we're already aware we can't develop everything and tend to prioritize the stuff we know.
Its not even like we're going to be doing Karachi for another 2 years anyways, we need to unfuck our Naval forces and also begin getting ZA out to Ground Forces.
Military Procurement List Cost - 100 Energy, 25 Cap Goods Ground Forces Procurement 2060 Q4 - Mastadon + Zone Defender + Lancer + Railgun Munitions Development 2061 Q1 - Mastadon Factory 1 + Zone Armor 1 + Infantry Recon Support Drone Development + Medium Tactical Plasma Weapon Deployment...
forums.sufficientvelocity.com
Like in here, I've planned out a somewhat flexible 8 Year system for all 4 Military forces procurements.
I'm not sure I'm entirely happy with such a comprehensive plan for the future in that area, because the enemy gets a vote too and we may not be politically free to make all our own decisions.
With that said, I will note that I don't consider Ground Force power armor to be a prerequisite for Karachi. I say this because
Ground Forces themselves doesn't consider it a prerequisite. They were ready to go for Eastern Paris without power armor; it was only the Navy informing us of the requirements and the price we'd have to pay because they lack the hulls to go on the offensive without stripping the convoy routes bare that there's even a problem.
There really should have been a pivot immediately after selecting Karachi but while a great deal of brainpower was put into the dice probabilities and construction challenges the perils of the operation to get in there were broadly dismissed.
Were you arguing for those perils at the time?
Because I feel like your position leans heavily on the idea that you're watching a bunch of idiots be idiots for not being willing to do what is obviously necessary, when in reality you're just the person who's most willing to lecture the rest of us on how idiotic it would be to do something we're all grudgingly agreeing we may not be able to do.
There's a significant incentive to wait on renegotiation until the war situation clarifies a bit, because we want to only have to do renegotiation
ONCE. If Nod does something that makes, say, the Capital Goods target unreachable in 2060Q4, we don't want to have to go back and go "well shit, we need another round of renegotiations."