1) Because finding the budget to do it in 2062 will be difficult. The budget will be lower, and we'll be strongly pressured to use our Tiberium dice on income-gaining activities, not on building planned cities. Easier to do it in '61.

2) Because we promised, and Treasury's reputation for keeping promises is valuable. The only one of our promises that I really want to renegotiate is the Stored Food promise, because the strategic context in which that promise was made no longer makes sense and we need the food production to help the refugees.

3) Because even if it turns out we can't do it, if the naval situation is still too bad in mid-2061... Well, we can make that decision then. I refuse to say now that we won't be able to do it then, until I have further evidence one way or the other.


Because, and @HousePet already covered this at some length, that's not how the "retreating monsoon" season works. Unless their research is wrong, rains largely stop in Pakistan- not necessarily entirely but largely, to the point where it's "normal weather" and not "holy shit this is unusually rainy."

"Retreating monsoon" means the monsoon rains are retreating from west to east towards the Bay of Bengal. Pakistan is on the extreme west end of the Indian subcontinental region; it is where the rains retreat from first. Q4 may not be perfect weather for massive construction, but it will start out more or less adequate and only get better over time.

Furthermore, from past statements by @Ithillid , we will be fulfilling our promise if we actually invest the dice and Resources to do the construction in 2061, even if the outcome of the project is "troops are still there and construction is ongoing but the resources are fully allocated to finish the job."

So, so far as I know and understand, it is valid for us to push enough dice into the project to make enough Progress to clear Phase 4 in 2061Q4, and that fulfills our promises and is not somehow negated by the monsoon season being a thing.

...

Also. Um. Ahem.

Hang on, gonna have a bit of a manic episode here. I just realized something. Eheh.

en.wikipedia.org

Nuuk - Wikipedia


I mean shit, we just put seven dice into building a giant robotics factory in Greenland between the months of January and March. In frickin' Greenland! Nuuk! Eighty kilometers south of the Arctic Circle! On January 1, there would have been less than five hours of daylight! For all three months, the average daily high temperature would be around five degrees Centigrade below zero! Forty days of snow in the quarter!

WINTER IN GREENLAND!

I don't think it even registered on us that we were building a giant factory (which is even now churning out Capital Goods on a modest scale) in Greenland in winter.

And yet... here we are!

...

I'm not saying I would go out of my way to build railroads in Pakistan during the worst of the monsoon season.

But the retreating monsoon?

Ahahahah. We've dealt with worse.

...

Sorry. Just, ah, that just hit me.

We just built a giant factory in winter in Greenland.
Cyclones, Simon.
 
I'm not saying I would go out of my way to build railroads in Pakistan during the worst of the monsoon season.

But the retreating monsoon?

Ahahahah. We've dealt with worse.

...

Sorry. Just, ah, that just hit me.

We just built a giant factory in winter in Greenland.
In a blue zone, with robots. In a yellow zone, with far fewer robots, and less planning, things may be less forgiving. Also, the monsoon conditions in northern pakistan near Islamabad or wherever the northern Terminus of the Karachi Corridor is may also need to be accounted for.

Still, I'm glad to know that Cat 5 tropical cyclones hold no fear for you.
 
So, because I am okay with the concept of doing Merchant Conversions, but do not think it is a reasonable expectation that we'll be able to get work done on Karachi after the Regency War, while still meeting the commitment we have currently, I'm making a third variant:

[X]Plan Second Vanguard, delaying Karchi, balsa flattops
Infrastructure 6 dice +34 110R
-[X] Yellow Zone Fortress Towns (Phase 4+5) 232/550 4 dice 80R 72%
-[X] Rail Network Construction Campaigns (Phase 3) (Upated) 159/300 2 dice 30R 84%
Heavy Industry 5 dice +29 170R 3 Free Dice
-[X] Nuuk Heavy Robotics Foundry (Phase 3) 118/640 4 dice 80R
-[X] Continuous Cycle Fusion Plants (Phase 5) 232/300 2 dice 40R 100%
-[X] Crystal Beam Industrial Laser Development (New) 0/80 1 die 10R 70%
-[X] Isolinear Chip Development 0/60 1 die 40R 90%
Light and Chemical Industry 5 dice +24 120R 1 Free Die
-[X] Reykjavik Myomer Macrospinner (Phase 4) 378/640 3 dice 60R 74%
-[X] Medical Supplies Factories 0/225 3 dice 60R 60%
Agriculture 4 dice +24 40R
-[X] Wadmalaw Kudzu Plantations (Phase 2) 3/300 4 dice 40R 61%
Tiberium 7 dice +39 125R
-[X] Intensification of Green Zone Harvesting (Stage 5) 63/100 1 die 15R 100%
-[X] Yellow Zone Tiberium Harvesting (Phase 7+8) 183/600 5 dice 100R 76%
-[X] Railgun Harvester Factory (Dandong) 45/70 1 die 10R 100%
Orbital Industry 6 dice +26 110R
-[X] GDSS Enterprise (Phase 4) 456/765 5 dice 100R 96%
-[X] Orbital Cleanup (Stage 9) 41/85 1 die 10R 98%
Services 5 dice +27 40R
-[X] Neural Interfaced Operating Theaters 0/160 2 dice 40R 60%
Military 8 dice +26 245R 4 Free Dice
-[X] Apollo Wingmen Drones 0/210 3 dice 60R 75%
-[X] Heavy Support Laser Development 0/50 1 die 20R 100%
-[X] Shark Class Frigate Shipyards (Quonset Point) 0/300 4 dice 80R 64%
-[X] Merchantman Carrier Conversions (High Commitments) 0/200 3 dice 60R 81%
-[X] Neural Interface System Refits (Talons) 83/105 1 die 25R 100%
Bureaucracy 4 dice +26
-[X] Request Reduction in Plan Commitments DC 120/160/200/240, DC 240 4 dice 24 PS 89%

960/965R
7/7 Free Dice

3) Because even if it turns out we can't do it, if the naval situation is still too bad in mid-2061... Well, we can make that decision then. I refuse to say now that we won't be able to do it then, until I have further evidence one way or the other.
Furthermore, from past statements by @Ithillid , we will be fulfilling our promise if we actually invest the dice and Resources to do the construction in 2061, even if the outcome of the project is "troops are still there and construction is ongoing but the resources are fully allocated to finish the job."

So, so far as I know and understand, it is valid for us to push enough dice into the project to make enough Progress to clear Phase 4 in 2061Q4, and that fulfills our promises and is not somehow negated by the monsoon season being a thing.
Ithillid has said that if we get Karachi to Phase 3 by the start of the monsoon season, and have enough progress for Phase 4 banked, then Gulati will consider that as okay. We cannot do that if we start Q4. It is not valid to go "okay, we'll bank the progress, and start building in December when the ground finally is no longer mud, but don't worry, we've allocated the funding." That will not meet the commitment we are being held to.
In short, your understanding is wrong. Major construction will not begin until November, at the earliest, and that's if we're lucky.

[X]Plan Second Vanguard, delaying Karachi, vein edition
[X]Plan Second Vanguard, delaying Karachi, kudzu edition
[X] Plan One Step Forward
 
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Maybe if you weren't planning on building during the late monsoon season that would be feasible. As it is, you are, and frankly any possible victory is going to be significantly bloodier than if we did karachi during the next year when it's actually dry.
I refer you to @HousePet 's research on the timing of the monsoon season in Pakistan.

I have to disagree on this, battleship yards is not going to get the full serial build bonus going and is going thanks to also needing to do maintenance and repairs on the battleships. Better to get a dedicated yard online more so since it sounds like the CVE will be useful post war as well.
If we had infinity dice or the Air Force had no needs, I would agree with you. Instead, I'm going to be trying to crank out a second frigate yard and start SOME light carrier production in 2060Q3, then do the dedicated yards afterwards as quickly as practicable.

If the Navy didn't want to convert those battleship slips, it wouldn't have offered the project. I can only assume they have other docks that they use for the repairs, among other things perhaps because (grimly) so many of the original battleships have been sunk that the remaining force no longer requires the support of those particular docks.

Merchant conversions can fit in next turn for me- mainly because I am looking at mid 2061 for the launch point of Karachi as at that point we should have wingmen drones and the other air upgrades online and have some of the frigates rolling out. It also is likely enough time to roll out ECCM and stealth disruptors and have better success at hunting the enemy naval units as well as finding their operating areas. Now if you are going for Q4/Q1 Karachi I can see the conversions needing to be done this turn.
Again, the problem is that the conversion carriers aren't just about Karachi, they're about the war. We need them now, not just for Karachi.

IIRC, Karachi construction is phases 1-3 in a single turn of the dry season, phase 4 (plan commitment) in the next turn of dry season, and phase 5 in the following turn of dry season (so minimum of two years to complete), regardless of the amount of dice and resources invested. Pre-investment isn't wasted, but it doesn't complete the phases any faster than allocating the dice and resources as needed.
I think we can still satisfy Gulati by doing the pre-investment, or at least keep her from quitting in disgust which is all I really care about.

While I'm tempted to poke India with a stick to find out what's going on in there, because I am dying of curiosity to find out what fresh horrors the qm has cooked up for us.

I don't think we should, until at least we get escorts and frigates built and the ships entering service.

Because, worst case, we have way underestimated how hard a target it will be. If we do end up losing the fleet we send we might not have the naval forces to protect our shipping. Nod gets the opportunity to crush our global logistics for however long it takes to get enough hulls out to replace our losses. Which would be particularly bad if the war is still ongoing.

So my take is build the frigates and carriers even though we will miss our window for this plan, unless something drastically changes with the regency war
If we're going in in 2061Q4, we'll have a global shipyard infrastructure churning out cruisers, light carriers, and frigates at a high rate. Unlike the current situation, we'll be able to replace naval losses- and I don't think the Indian warlord will be able to just delete our fleet without taking damage themselves of all kinds, either.

Staying away from Nod India for fear that they're too strong isn't going to be a winning strategy, and by the time we can afford to really build up Karachi in 2062-63 without crippling our attempt to reconstruct our budget, they'll be even stronger.

Unless the naval war goes actively badly, I say we go in. I'm prepared to allow for us not going in, but I don't think anything I've seen tells me that Karachi will be a bad idea in 2061Q4, except insofar as it was always a bad idea and we were always screwed... in which case we might as well find out sooner rather than later and have more time to react.

Besides...

So my take is build the frigates and carriers even though we will miss our window for this plan, unless something drastically changes with the regency war
Finishing the full production run of frigates and carriers will likely take several years. It's not just one wave of ships out of the yards. Do you plan to wait until 2064? '65? How much will Nod-in-India do with that much time to prepare?

This is problematic, because we will not actually achieve 1-turn construction of Karachi, regardless of how much effort we put in. IIRC, Ithillid said that if we did achieve full Phase 5 progress (in the context of starting it Q1), it would complete Phases 1-3 in the first turn, Phase 4 the next turn, and then finish Phase 5 Q4 or Q1 the next year, depending on how bad the rains interfered.
Which is fine. For purposes of our plan commitment, as I recall, @Ithillid ALSO told us that if we have fully funded the relevant phases of the project, we are considered to have fulfilled our promises even if our engineering crews haven't finished pouring concrete and laying rails and whatnot as of December 31, 2061.

BUT I acknowledge that I may be wrong about this, and will be looking for QM clarification- see below.

Karachi is a full-year+ project as far as naval support goes. Now, that's not saying that I think it's absolutely impossible to meet our goal - but I think that it's narratively a good idea to recognize that we have a good chance of not being able to responsibly do it, and if so, renegotiating things as soon as we can seems like the best option. (Again, from the narrative point of view.)
I'm prepared to accept that we may be in no position to fulfill that goal. But I don't think we can predict our inability at this time. The warlord dogpile is still ongoing. Assuming that GDI follows its usual pattern of becoming more effective against Nod as its industrial advantages and global coordination begin to tell against Nod's lower strategic endurance and greater fragmentation, it's quite possible that by 2061Q1, the warlords will be mostly on the back foot, the naval raiding against our forces will be struggling, and that it really does look like we can take a poke at Karachi. On the other hand, the reverse might be true- Bintang might be tweeting insufferably about how she's the ion-proof Pirate Queen of the Seven Seas, and our troops might be struggling on all global fronts.

Then is the time for us to say "uh, maybe we can't do Karachi."

Now is the time to just grit our teeth and build ships (which we'd need anyway) and hope we can do Karachi.

So, because I am okay with the concept of doing Merchant Conversions, but do not think it is a reasonable expectation that we'll be able to get work done on Karachi after the Regency War, while still meeting the commitment we have currently, I'm making a third variant: ...
While I am opposed, at this time, to trying to call off the Karachi commitment, I will, as per my earlier word, soon be approval-voting for this plan variant since it has the merchantman conversions.

Though in the subvote, barring information that changes my mind between now and then, I'm going to not be voting to give up Karachi.

Ithillid has said that if we get Karachi to Phase 3 by the start of the monsoon season, and have enough progress for Phase 4 banked, then Gulati will consider that as okay. We cannot do that if we start Q4. It is not valid to go "okay, we'll bank the progress, and start building in December when the ground finally is no longer mud, but don't worry, we've allocated the funding." That will not meet the commitment we are being held to.
In short, your understanding is wrong. Major construction will not begin until November, at the earliest, and that's if we're lucky.
@Ithillid

Let me make sure that I understand the situation.

Suppose that, in 2061Q4, we start funding on Karachi. We pour a lot of dice into it, enough to fully complete the project through Phase 4. Obviously, construction will still take time, I'm not expecting us to shock all of that into place in three months (which would make building a giant factory in Nuuk, Greenland seem easy by comparison, I agree!)

Anyway. Suppose that, with no prior investment in the project, in 2061Q4, we pour in enough dice that enough Progress lands that Karachi is done through Phase 4, or will be done pending ongoing construction work, or whatever you call it, you know what I mean.

Would Gulati definitely consider that to be us keeping our promise, or definitely consider that to be us breaking our promise?
 
[X]Plan Second Vanguard, delaying Karchi, balsa flattops
[X]Plan Second Vanguard, delaying Karachi, vein edition
[X] Plan One Step Forward

I am not a fan of the Q4 Karachi strat, and delaying it a couple quarters is reasonable in my eyes. We didn't fund the navy before and now this is the consequence, trying to force a landing in the monsoons will be entertaining to read, especially the reactions of the thread, but suboptimal in the extreme.
 
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[X] Plan No Develop, Only Deploy
Infra 6/6 110R
-[X] Yellow Zone Fortress Towns (Phase 4+5) 232/550 4 dice 80R 72%
-[X] Rail Network Construction Campaigns (Phase 3) (Upated) 159/300 2 dice 30R 84%
HI 5/5 100R
-[X] Continuous Cycle Fusion Plants (Phase 5) 232/300 2 dice 40R 100%
-[X] Nuuk Heavy Robotics Foundry (Phase 3) (Updated) 118/600 3 dice 60R
LCI 5/5 100 R
-[X] Reykjavik Myomer Macrospinner (Phase 4) 378/640 2 dice 40R 17%
-[X] Medical Supplies Factories 0/225 3 dice 60R 60%
Agri 4/4 60 R
-[X] Blue Zone Aquaponics Bays (Phase 2) 3/140 2 dice 20R 74%,
-[X] Freeze Dried Food Plants 73/200 1 die 20R 13%, 2 dice 40R 80%
Tiberium 7/7 115R
-[X] Yellow Zone Tiberium Harvesting (Phase 7) (Updated) 183/300 3 dice 60R 100%
-[X] Intensification of Green Zone Harvesting (Stage 5) 63/100 1 die 15R 100%
-[X] Railgun Harvester Factories (Bissau) 0/70 1 die 10R 85%
-[X] Railgun Harvester Factory (Dandong) 45/70 1 die 10R 100%
-[X] Liquid Tiberium Power Cell Deployment (Phase 1) 41/140 1 die 20R 56%
Orbital 6/6 110R
-[X] GDSS Enterprise (Phase 4) 456/765 5 dice 100R 96%
-[X] Orbital Cleanup (Stage 9) 41/85 1 die 10R 98%
Service 3/5 60 R
-[X] Neural Interfaced Operating Theaters (New) 0/160 3 dice 60R 96%
Military 14/8+6 freedice 275R
-[X] Apollo Wingmen Drones (New) 0/210 3 dice 60R 75%
-[X] Plasma Warhead Factory (Phase 1) (New) 0/90 1 die 10R 52%
-[X] Escort Carrier Shipyards (Battleship Yards) (New) 0/120 2 dice 40R 87%
-[X] Merchantman Carrier Conversions (New)
--[X] High Commitments 0/200 3 dice 60R 81%
-[X] Neural Interface System Refits (Talons) 83/105 1 die 25R 100%
-[X] Shark Class Frigate Shipyards (New) 0/300 4 dice 80R 64%
Bureau 3/4
-[X] Request Reduction in Plan Commitments DC 120/160/200/240, DC 240 3 dice 18 PS 49%

930/935 R
72 to 39 PS
Bit late, but I'm throwing something out. Only real noteworthy thing is throwing all free dice into completing deployments/rollouts of military projects, and not doing any development projects. Also, only 3 die on reducting plan commitments, because we're really burning though our PS, and I don't think we need to reach 240 to delay Karachi anyways.
 
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It would not count as keeping your promise to her.
I see.

I must have misremembered or misunderstood some of your earlier words on the subject.

Well, in that case, while I still think it's slightly premature to jettison the Karachi promise, it does mean that the "cutoff" time for when we will realistically have to fish or cut bait moves up to, at the latest, Q2.

To be clear, @Ithillid , would having everything up through Phase 4 be completed (in the Progress sense, as in we've rolled enough dice) in 2061Q2 count as keeping the promise?
 
Hi, thread. I'm back, and after reading through and stuff, I've decided I want to make two edits to Plan One Step Forward. If I don't hear much objection, I'll make the edits in... eight hours from now. Or sooner, if lots of people support these changes.

First: Taking a die off [] Yellow Zone Fortress Towns to do [] Tick Rapid Digger System Development. The Tick seems fairly popular to try and boost our Infra projects, and hopefully it won't be too hard to implement. I'm not super happy about taking a die off YZ Fortresses, but it's still likely to finish, and as seen in the previous Results post, even a mostly-completed Fortress Town should be ok enough.

BEFORE
--[] Yellow Zone Fortress Towns (Phase 4+5) 232/550 5 dice 100R 97%
--[] Rail Network Construction Campaigns (Phase 3) 159/300 3 dice 45R 99% (3/5.5 Phase 4)

AFTER
--[] Yellow Zone Fortress Towns (Phase 4+5) 232/550 4 dice 80R 72%
--[] Rail Network Construction Campaigns (Phase 3) 159/300 3 dice 45R 99% (3/5.5 Phase 4)
--[] Tick Rapid Digger System Development (New) 0/40 1 die 20R 100%

The second change I want to propose is a much more controversial one. I want to switch from doing the [] Escort Carrier Battleship Yards to the [] Merchantman Carrier Conversions, and switching a die off Frigates to get the Conversions done sooner. Specifically the following:

BEFORE
--[] Frigates (Quonset Point) (New) 0/300 4 dice 80R 64%
--[] Escort Carrier Shipyards (Battleship Yards) (New) 0/120 2 dice 40R 87%

AFTER
--[] Frigates (Quonset Point) (New) 0/300 3 dice 60R 14%
--[] Merchantman Carrier Conversions (High Commitments) (New) 0/200 3 dice 60R 81%

There are many reasons why people want to do the Merchantman Carrier Conversions, as seen all over the last few pages. Many people feel that the conversions are necessary to keep open the possibility of Karachi in 2061. Others simply believe getting the conversions this turn will give more value to the Navy than frigates will. Regardless, it's got very strong support. What I'm unsure about is if pushing the Battleship Yards, or prioritizing Frigates this turn also has strong support or not. I need you (yes, you!) to tell me if you're for or against this change to my plan.

One compromise might be the following, to prioritize Frigates while still doing the Conversions. As even if it takes an extra turn, reportedly finishing the Conversion project next turn will still have them ready for a 2061 Karachi, should we choose to do that.

ALTERNATIVE
--[] Frigates (Quonset Point) (New) 0/300 4 dice 80R 64%
--[] Merchantman Carrier Conversions (High Commitments) (New) 0/200 2 dice 40R 23%


That all aside, there's something else I want to talk about. Something that's gotten disappointingly little discussion since the update. The Air Force. I wanna be real clear here: I am not taking a single die off of Air Force projects. I am staunchly against the other leading plan's intentions to short-charge the Air Force this turn. As we're still trying to take land-based territory under Steel Vanguard, the military's immediate overwhelming need is for Air Force projects. This is why we did all those Development projects last turn: To reduce pilot casualties and increase our air superiority while Steel Vanguard is still ongoing. We cannot afford to slowly trickle in Air Force projects one-by-one over the next year, not when we're bleeding pilots each quarter. It's the same reasoning I have for pushing two phases of YZ Harvesting this turn, instead of only one: GDI needs us to maximally support the war that's happening right now, not just the (perceived) minimum amount needed to fulfill requirements. And the window of both greatest need and maximal impact for Air Force projects is while Steel Vanguard still continues.

(Mechanically speaking, we're going to have more battle rolls this turn. Completed Air Force projects will give bonuses to many of those rolls. Completed Navy projects, much as I'm still doing those, won't have an impact until the ships have completed construction. Again, my plan aims to do multiple projects for both.)
 
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As for Karachi, I strongly disagree with the idea that we can go in '61 even if we do crash-build frigates and CVE's. If everything goes absolutely perfect and neither the frigate yard nor the CVE's fail their rolls, and they both build as fast as theoretically possible (in the middle of a world war with an enemy actively trying to blow them and supporting industries up), then we'll barely have 50 hulls in the water with their paint still wet to support a badly timed Karachi that's probably going to get bogged down halfway to Tibet because we landed too close to monsoon season. Too many "if everything goes perfectly" for me, because something will inevitably go imperfectly over the next 9 months and then our scenario that was already right on the edge of infeasibility becomes totally infeasible when we're two dozen hulls short thanks to them taking 12 months instead of 9 or something.
If the naval situation is still ugly in 2060Q4-2061Q1, then we may not be able to spare the ships, for the same reason that we can't spare the ships now.

On the other hand, the naval situation may or may not still be ugly.

Bintang could roll badly on her masterstroke, losing a lot of ships and generally shooting her bolt, reducing the level of probable naval threat in the Indian Ocean.

Our overall naval situation might improve with the fleet carriers being freed up to go hunting in 2060Q3 and/or 'Q4 because of the merchantman conversions coming into service, resulting in a lot of little pirate groups elsewhere in the world getting rolled up, in turn reducing the pressure on our convoy system so that we can afford to accept the consequences of concentrating force in the Indian Ocean to support Eastern Paris.

I dunno. I want to wait to see how the war goes before deciding whether or not the plan "has to" be deep-sixed.

Hi, thread. I'm back, and after reading through and stuff, I've decided I want to make two edits to Plan One Step Forward. If I don't hear much objection, I'll make the edits in... eight hours from now. Or sooner, if lots of people support these changes.

First: Taking a die off [] Yellow Zone Fortress Towns to do [] Tick Rapid Digger System Development. The Tick seems fairly popular to try and boost our Infra projects, and hopefully it won't be too hard to implement. I'm not super happy about taking a die off YZ Fortresses, but it's still likely to finish, and as seen in the previous Results post, even a mostly-completed Fortress Town should be ok enough.
In keeping with my promise, I will approval-vote any version of your plan that has merchant carrier conversions, even at the two-dice level.

And yours, and Lightwhispers'.

(I am partly doing this just so I have a list of all the plans I've promised to approval-vote, when I go back and do the edit)
 
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@Simon_Jester I was looking up the climate of Pakistan and I found a wrinkle in the retreating-monsoon that might interest you. It seems that if you arrive in Q4 the monsoon *is* retreating from Karachi itself, but that just means that the tropical cyclones are moving into the area. We know that Tiberium-earth has a bad case of climate change, and has had to extend the Categorization of hurricanes and tornadoes because of the extreme numbers of Cat 5 events of both. In other words, between 15 September to 15 November, and 15 May to 15 July, Karachi is on the line to be hit by huge cyclones, of enormous size and power. The odds of any given hurricane in the Arabian sea heading it's way are about 30%, so if there are 3-4 cyclones in a season, odds are good that one of them will hit the construction or worse, the over-the-beach landings.
So Q4 Karachi has Cyclones. Sounds like a great time for a naval landing
 
I've decided I want to make two edits to Plan One Step Forward.
Rapid digger development seems like it could be a boon to our construction and who knows what else, I 100% support it.

On the Navy: I believe prioritizing Frigates and Carrier Conversions is the option which will get the most hulls in the water in early 2061, in order to reinforce our supply lines and prepare for a landing in Karachi, so I'd go with that.
 
I refer you to @HousePet 's research on the timing of the monsoon season in Pakistan.
That is completely irrelevant to the climate in 2061 tiberium ravaged Pakistan. The only thing that determines that is the QM and he has already said that November is still monsooning.

Also, your plan does not have nearly enough hulls ready in Q2 for that to be reasonable. You might even have 0 new actual military hulls.
 
Jeep carriers and SADN? It will be a pleasure to approval-vote you.

If we want to apologize to the Navy for making them take the CAMs, let's be sure to get all the CVE yards done by end of plan regardless of commitment level, all the frigate yards if possible (I'd sacrifice a yard or two here in order to complete Plan goals like developing and deploying the Mastodon), and hopefully Orca or Hammerhead drones. Probably Hammerhead if we could only get one. Because they'd be our ASW helos, and having more helos in the air would really help locate a sub or discourage them from getting closer. Also, make sure we get the inferium lasers developed, and depending on resources, at least design either the assault ship (gee, what would be useful for a naval invasion to build Karachi.... ;) ) or the monitor, even if we don't build any yards for them until next Plan.
I'm pretty sure Orcas are even more useful for maritime warfare, because they can deploy ASW munitions themselves, and are also the general-purpose maritime strike aircraft flying off a lot of our carriers. Only the fleet carriers carry Firehawks, and I think they also carry Orcas.

And yeah, the fleet carriers are ugly; I can only assume they work better in practice than their game model would indicate.

Basically, let's not let it languish in an effort to unlock more shiny tech to throw at [the Mastodon]
I agree, but because the vast majority of our Military dice are being thrown at the Air Force and Navy for the immediate future, I may or may not support Mastodon development in 'Q3.

I figure that getting the Enterprise a full mix of metal inputs so it can stop relying on Earth for shipments of vanadium etc. is better for our space industry than a bonus stage of orbital cleanup that we don't super need.
The extra orbital cleanup is meant to push us closer to the advanced stages where we get extra project options (including space-based solar power and military support satellites), plus that nice little +5 PS and cheaper satellites cherry on top for clearing all stages. That's how I see it. As to the mines... eh. Given that we have a tiberium economy, spacelifting rare alloying metals made from tiberium to Enterprise may well be more economical than spacelifting them from the moon where they're dug out of the ground.

You use that stuff in the hundreds of kilograms, not the hundreds of tons, so it costing several hundred dollars per kilo to lift from Earth to LEO, as opposed to less than that from the moon to LEO, may not actually make much difference compared to the sheer ease of sourcing the stuff from a Hewlett-Granger tiberium refinery.

I'm not saying don't do rare metals, but I don't think it's really bottlenecking Enterprise compared to a general lack of advanced processing equipment and low scale of operations.

The time to build the ships for this war was last plan. Unless a war lasts more than 2 years, you always need to have the navy you need already build.

Now, I had believed that the Governors would've been enough, but I also had not believed the Karachi sprint would've been a thing, and I had believed that, when we started speaking of the Karachi sprint GDI would do so at a time of heightened activity but not the dogpile we are in.

But now?

Karachi this Plan is unlikely at best. Even with carrier conversions, Karachi this Plan is unlikely at best...
I will make that assessment after the war has had some more time to play out, and that's all I can say that isn't redundant. You may be right, but I'm not going to make a decision whether you're right or wrong yet.

because for Karachi this plan we need to have the merchant carrier conversions or CVEs ready for operations by Q1 2061. And they won't be. Even if we slammed out all the yards this turn, we'd be lucky to have either of them by Q2, far more likely is Q3, or early next Plan.
I am pretty sure the merchant carrier conversions will be ready for operations well before 2061Q1 if we actually bother to build them.

Thinking over the debate: It looks like Simon_Jester is primarily saying "Let's get more botes now", with a secondary message of "and not give up on doing Karachi before we have to".
While my argument is "Let's ensure that we can put off Karachi until after the war is over," with a secondary message of "and ensure the Navy gets the botes they want, since we can get some of them out in about a year. They seem to think they can hold the line until then, so long as we don't make any further asks."
Even if we can't or won't do Karachi in 2061, we still need the conversion carriers ASAP, because freeing up any fleet carriers is going to have significant impact on the war at sea. I want those fleet carriers to start roaming the oceans and bullying Nod raiding squadrons and minor ports in 2060Q3 and 'Q4, not have them tied down ushering convoys back and forth from Nuuk.

If you want to postpone Karachi why isn't your plan actually trying to postpone Karachi is my biggest question I guess. Yeah we could try to do the renegotiation action next turn but then the argument has to be had all over again...
"Renegotiation" is an easier sell than "don't do merchantman conversions."

Like, I would be largely peacing out of this discussion if the prevailing plans had included merchantman conversions from the beginning. Because even I see ways to benefit from the renegotiations even if we keep Karachi, because I think the Stored Food requirement is kind of stupid and counterproductive given our predictable need to feed all those refugees.

Now, I'd put up a fight during the subvote on whether or not to give up on Karachi, but even then I might not fight so hard because after all, if things look good in 2061Q2, we can always give Gulati a happy surprise and do it anyway, right? We exceed expectations all the time, at least in some categories. I don't mind having the wiggle room.

Though I do honestly think it's unrealistic to think we'll be well positioned to do anything about Karachi in 2062 with the budget situation being rough. Even if we just do nothing but aggressive vein/glacier mining in 2062Q1-Q2, we'll still be low-income, and fully funding a Karachi Sprint to the tune of ~260R per turn for two turns would be tough and painful.

[] Plan I Refuse To Give Up On Karachi Yet

So glad i waited till i woke up to vote. We finally got a department head (plan maker) that actually realizes that we need to stop waiting for the wunderwaffen, and build what we need now. And yes i am talking about the carrier conversions.
Also, if Bintang somehow accidentally winds up re-enacting the Battle of Samar against a little cluster of our conversion carriers, only with her cast as Admiral Kurita and her giant-ass ion-proof plasma battleship cast as the Yamato, I'm going to fucking laugh.

But that would be too much to hope for.

[] Plan I Refuse To Give Up On Karachi Yet

Simply put, we are at war.
We need more escort carriers now, not tomorrow or any other time.
Converting cargo ships into escort carriers is certainly not ideal, but it is still better than having no additional ships to relieve our fleet carriers of the task of escorting convoys so that they can do something more useful in this war.
Nitpick: we need more escort carriers now and tomorrow and at future times. That's why all my draft plans after this one will include like three dice per turn on building escort carrier shipyards. :p

I, frankly, do not consider current winning plan to be particularly terrible from "how to respond to the immediate issues" perspective, but I have no one iota of desire to try to push Karachi through under current circumstances. I disagree with long-term intent behind it.
Nitpick: There is nothing in my plan that commits us to Karachi.

I'm just trying to avoid a self-fulfilling prophecy where we could have done Karachi except, despairing of any chance of doing Karachi, we give up on building the conversion carriers we would need anyway, but especially super-double-plus need if we're going to even consider doing Karachi.

@Simon_Jester Why are you going for high commitment instead of low in the conversions?
Because I intend to spend the entire rest of the Four Year Plan kicking and screaming and demanding that we finish the escort carrier yards well before 2061Q4 anyway, so I figure we might as well not needlessly expend five points of Political Support to get permission to delay building the yards longer when we really really shouldn't delay building those yards.

@Simon_Jester I was looking up the climate of Pakistan and I found a wrinkle in the retreating-monsoon that might interest you. It seems that if you arrive in Q4 the monsoon *is* retreating from Karachi itself, but that just means that the tropical cyclones are moving into the area. We know that Tiberium-earth has a bad case of climate change, and has had to extend the Categorization of hurricanes and tornadoes because of the extreme numbers of Cat 5 events of both. In other words, between 15 September to 15 November, and 15 May to 15 July, Karachi is on the line to be hit by huge cyclones, of enormous size and power. The odds of any given hurricane in the Arabian sea heading it's way are about 30%, so if there are 3-4 cyclones in a season, odds are good that one of them will hit the construction or worse, the over-the-beach landings.
Giant-ass hurricanes, admittedly, I would prefer to avoid, and they do certainly give me pause.

That is completely irrelevant to the climate in 2061 tiberium ravaged Pakistan. The only thing that determines that is the QM and he has already said that November is still monsooning.
I trust HousePet, I was listening to @HousePet on this. And my understanding of @Ithillid 's words was that there would be rain, but not necessarily enough rain to stop the engineering teams who, again, built a giant factory in Greenland in February.

Giant-ass hurricanes, or their trusty cousins the cyclones, mind you, I would probably prefer to give a miss to, even if I think we could cope because you can see them coming a long way off.

Also, your plan does not have nearly enough hulls ready in Q2 for that to be reasonable. You might even have 0 new actual military hulls.
We'll see. I wouldn't be surprised if the military impact of the conversion carriers is out of all proportion to their nominal combat capability, simply because they free up fleet carriers.

And the sharks, wingmen, airborne lasers, masterdons, SADN, ASAT, OSRCT, URLS, shell plants, ablat and any surprises from the war?
And that's just from the military we have other things that need dice, power and cap goods.
We have in hand more than enough Capital Goods to do all the shipyard projects, and with Nuuk Phase 3 we will get enough all over again to do them all again if we had to. Energy is an issue, but we're gonna be cranking it out by the ton anyway. It's not that much of a problem.

As to all the rest, yes, it's a lot. On the other hand, we have 56 more Military dice to spend between now and the end of the Plan, plus realistically a lot of Free dice. We can do it.

If you take one dice from this and put one on Harvesting Tendrils I will vote for it, although I may vote for it anyway.
I'm not gonna do that exactly because finishing that is actually important to me; it's a Steel Vanguard target. I'd be more likely to take the die off Green Zone Harvesting Intensification and make up the extra 15 R I needed by canceling the hallucinogen research in Services, which I only did in the first place when I noticed I had an extra 15 R left over.

But I think I'd rather not do changes like that at this late stage.

Yeah, I've spent the last 90 minutes in a frenzy trying to catch up with thread discussion, because I spent the two hours before THAT heavily preoccupied with a lot of medical stuff and only vaguely aware of what was going on. I missed the cyclone stuff until a while later.

I still think we could do it, but it'd make things a lot harder and it'd be desirable to avoid it.

In a blue zone, with robots. In a yellow zone, with far fewer robots, and less planning, things may be less forgiving. Also, the monsoon conditions in northern pakistan near Islamabad or wherever the northern Terminus of the Karachi Corridor is may also need to be accounted for.

Still, I'm glad to know that Cat 5 tropical cyclones hold no fear for you.
I completely missed your post in the thread discussion, and all posts downstream of it that included the same information. As noted in the post above, as soon as I became aware of your post, I took it into account.
 
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We'll see. I wouldn't be surprised if the military impact of the conversion carriers is out of all proportion to their nominal combat capability, simply because they free up fleet carriers.
That's a big maybe right there. I expect Karachi to be a very high risk operation and I absolutely do not want to do it without every advantage we can get. Due to time spent building hulls that would mean absolutely prioritising navy to the exclusion of everything else right now so that we can possibly have more hulls by Q2. Even then I'd honestly rather a delay so when we do it we can do it right, not going at it half cocked. Anything else can come after the frigates simply because this is the only chance we have for them.
 
That's a big maybe right there. I expect Karachi to be a very high risk operation and I absolutely do not want to do it without every advantage we can get. Due to time spent building hulls that would mean absolutely prioritising navy to the exclusion of everything else right now so that we can possibly have more hulls by Q2. Even then I'd honestly rather a delay so when we do it we can do it right, not going at it half cocked. Anything else can come after the frigates simply because this is the only chance we have for them.
Again, we'll see. I'm going to be withholding judgment on what the naval situation looks like in 2061 until we get closer to 2061.

You have a plan name with "Karachi" in it.

/exceedingly dry tone of voice
My exact words are "I Refuse To Give Up On Karachi Yet."

My exact words are important.

My long term intent is to refuse to give up on Karachi yet.

That "yet" is doing enough heavy lifting in that sentence to need a myomer allocation.

My long term intent includes ascertaining, at some future time, whether to give up on Karachi. I am prepared emotionally to acknowledge that this may be necessary, but I nonetheless wish to make the necessary naval preparations in case Karachi proves feasible, among other things because we need very much to make those preparations whether we do Karachi or not.
 
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