The ship for closed doors cultivation has sailed. Oh well, @PrimalShadow 's plan is fine too.
[x] Plan Breakthrough: Start!
[x] Plan Breakthrough: Start!
It is because it does nothing that is particularly urgent and is about purposefully pushing breakthrough back 1 week at no discernable gain in order to have a specific actions that does not relate to breakthrough 1 week early (Favor).(Sigh).
So, at this point, is the only reason people are rejecting my plan because "It doesn't try to breakthrough this week?"
33 we were just traumatised by Sun Liling and the action to talk to Meizhen about it was more important than Zeqing this week. We also had our first meeting with Cai Rexiang that week.Honestly I'd say that most of the weeks you listed have only one action that we couldn't sacrifice if we were going into closed door breakthrough cultivation.
33 Fu is most important (and even that could be left a week) if we were going into a safe spot to cultivate.
34 Ok yeah. Apologisisng to Zequing and Xiulan were both important.
Week 35 I see nothing that couldn't wait a week.
36. Now if I didn't know Meizhen was about to go and kill Yan Renshu that week (I don't think we did) I'd say that only Zhengui was the major issue.
Also we can tell Meizhen about it with our one minor next week if we really must. Personally I'd rather see if the dragon is up for negotiation at all and then let her know or at worst do it at the same time, which would push back things anyway.
Once we get to green it's fine to ease into bronze, in my opinion. The most urgent thing to cultivate is EPC. Eight Phase Ceremony is difficult to accelerate, has always given us good stuff in the past, and offers the tantalizing possibility of free green stones. We have plenty of other stuff to cultivate such that not being able to immediately hit SCS won't hurt much. Limiting our breakthrough efforts to two actions a week (breakthrough + breakthrough/recover) would let us break through in a reasonable time frame without choking our actions too badly.The reason I am not is that in week 38, if we go with Start! and succeed on getting Green but no successes in Physical as seems likely it seems a poor idea to put less than four or so actions into physical. Considering this, from my perspective the benefit from hitting Green doesn't really open up till week 39 because Physical is likely to be "in the way" as it were. We'll probably have one action to spare, but its not completely guaranteed.
Considering this I judge Last Stop to be slightly more favorable, though it does pay for it by dropping that possibility of one action(or maybe a little more) entirely.
Counter argument: a lot of these minors involve Ling Qi taking the initiative to interact with someone/achieve some goal.Oh for heaven's sake, PS' plan is mechanically identical to a plan that says 'breakthrough x5' with the same pills we are taking, and the exceptions is only in results that get us to green.
You are completely ignoring context if you are saying that arguments about minors are not relevent. I'll re-iterate: Please give me a single example of a week, in the past month, that didn't have at least two minors as contextually important as Zeqing this week:
It's been a lot rarer for someone to actually call us out and ask for our time, and most of the times it's happened that I can remember it's been important. The one exception I can think of is the GG ambush for Ji Rong, though it could be argued that that helped drive Sun to the negotiating table that much earlier.(minor) Zeqing has been quite busy, but you received a message inviting you to meet her... at her home?
...Please excuse my inability to read. Clearly I'm not paying enough attention.My plan doesn't have a Cai action?
Unless you mean the locked Council Meeting? Because that is non-optional...
I'm not going to challenge the first sentence/point, that's Alectai's job I think. I will however counter the second. Can you show me the math which says it brings it down? I would assume since these are independent rolls, and dice don't remember things, that it does not affect the probability at all of next week, unless it succeeds. In which case it increases the probability on week 38 that we get through to green and bronze because we will have a success sitting there. Not sure how to address the necessary things and the post breakthrough. As to the minors I think its entirely subjective, especially with regards to Suyin. I judge that one as being immaterial when it comes to if we do it in yellow, or green. As for the puzzle box I don't know how likely it is to effect breakthrough. The last direct gift from Xin I remember had both pills and the jade slip which gave us FVM so I figure it could have either pills or arts, or both. I do not think they will affect breakthrough as that has only come from one, non-Empire source so far and involved actual life and death combat which I think of the box as neither.It is because it does nothing that is particularly urgent and is about purposefully pushing breakthrough back 1 week at no discernable gain in order to have a specific actions that does not relate to breakthrough 1 week early (Favor).
Your plan doesn't increase probability of breakthrough next week (in fact it brings it down), it doesn't have a single action that take care of necessary things before breakthrough or which makes post-breakthrough easier, and the only minor that arguably is important that other plans don't have is Double Cai, but your plan also doesn't have important minors (Suyin, Moonbox) that are necessary for breakthrough.
It's basically "I consider it more important to do Fu Xiang heist now than to breakthrough now".
Considering that pushing back breakthrough by one week means not getting EPC5 one more week, as well as SCS6/FVM6, and that we are entering crunch time, well...
Yes, but whatever is in the music box might be that art, and it is reckless to get something from the archive before we are done with the music box. And it isn't like we have a dearth of other things to train, either.There's an argument to bemade that we need a spiritual buff arts for us to be able to land our spiritual debuffs on peer enemies, and Yrsillar has confirmed we'd be able to pick up a Wind/Water spiritual buff art from the Third Floor at no penalty to training it (due to our previous experience with those elements).
Barring potentially another music art, the 4th Argent art or some form of stealth utility art I think that that's a pretty good art to get even with our current selection.
I know? I didn't mean to give the impression that it was a priority, just that the option was there and as a potential reason for why a mission was felt to be necessary.Yes, but whatever is in the music box might be that art, and it is reckless to get something from the archive before we are done with the music box. And it isn't like we have a dearth of other things to train, either.
Alright. I was mostly arguing against, as you say, where the argument originally came from, ie PrimalShadow's plan. I do agree getting terms right is important because we don't want confusion; that's why I made my post, because it's important that people know that PrimalShadow's plan has the same chance of reaching green as doing 5 breakthrough attempts.I'm... confused.
That post is in regards as to how to define a single breakthrough action. Which admittedly was spawned off of an argument regarding whether Primal's plan had 4 or 5 actions dedicating to breaking through.
The post wasn't about the likelihood of breaking into green or bronze, or how the effect of the actions are almost identical to each other, it is about how to define a "breakthrough action."
Furthermore, trying to define something by what the probable effect it has runs into problems. I want to have a rubber ball disappear from my sight. In one instance I place it under the couch and turn away from it. In the other instance, I launch it into the sun. Both instances have achieved the effect "the rubber ball disappearing from my sight" but that does not make the two actions similar in definition. How one achieves an effect is a much better place to start when working on definitions (but even then that can get wonky).
I'm not arguing against the efficacy or whether the action is good or bad. I'm just arguing that the spiritual cultivation action should not be considered a breakthrough action.
Stop... just stop.
Primal Shadow's spiritual cultivation action, which is the 5th major action in the plan, has a 0% chance of breaking through into Bronze or Green. It is not an attempted breakthrough action, it can not mechanically get us a 2nd bronze success.
It is logically impossible for it to achieve the 1/3 aspect of a breakthrough needed to get 2/3 done with the Bronze breakthrough. The reason why it is logically impossible is that mechanically it is incapable of doing so, as it is not an "Attempt Breakthrough" Action.
It is able to allow us to recover successes needed to attempt another breakthrough action at a later point, and an "Attempt Breakthrough" action has the potential to do the same thing, but that does not make the actions the same.
First of all, jacobk has a good point above about training EPC being rather important. Secondly, while it's true that we'll have to use actions towards breaking through to Bronze week 38 if Start! wins week, it's likely that we'll have to use actions towards breaking through to bronze week 39 if Last Stop wins. It all gets complicated depending on when we get successes and how many actions are taken, of course, but the basic idea is that Start! devotes more actions towards breaking through now, and as such will likely break through on both quicker than Last Stop.I completely agree its a necessary step, but part of my reasoning like I said is in that clogging our pipehole as it were with more options seems stressful. I can only really comfortably participate in quests when they aren't stressful like that, and I'd like to participate in this one. Another important thing which needs both Green and Bronze is SCS, which regardless of the plan is not getting trained next week. I think.
Actually as a refinement of this particular point. Last Stop has it so that we try to get one success in Green, or two if we are lucky and art levels or at least progress in week 37, with a possible Bronze success floating around. Then the idea I get from Alectai is that in week 38 we double breakthrough in good order and on week 39 we start our regularly scheduled normal cultivation which includes EPC, FVM, and SCS. In Start! we have a decent chance to get 3 Green successes and no Bronze, and a 27% or close to that chance to get the maximum number of successes at 3 Green and 1 Physical on week 37. We can then start cultivating EPC and FVM, and work on breaking-through to Bronze in week 38 and start training SCS on week 39. We get a bit of a earlier start on EPC and FVM. I think somewhere on the order of one action we have to choose between? I'm not sure.
The reason I am not is that in week 38, if we go with Start! and succeed on getting Green but no successes in Physical as seems likely it seems a poor idea to put less than four or so actions into physical. Considering this, from my perspective the benefit from hitting Green doesn't really open up till week 39 because Physical is likely to be "in the way" as it were. We'll probably have one action to spare, but its not completely guaranteed.
Considering this I judge Last Stop to be slightly more favorable, though it does pay for it by dropping that possibility of one action(or maybe a little more) entirely.
While we were told that TRF eventually gets a metal meridian, we were never told it was the spine meridian used by TRF 4 (as far as I'm aware anyway). It could easily be the heart meridian needed for TRF 6.@yrsillar Shouldn't we have a Spine Meridian aligned to metal due TRF?
For some reason it has lost its Metal element?
I assumed you meant that if we were ready for breakthrough that week what would I feel could be sacrificed.33 we were just traumatised by Sun Liling and the action to talk to Meizhen about it was more important than Zeqing this week. We also had our first meeting with Cai Rexiang that week.
35 we had Cai being on lockdown, and if we hadn't gotten the contingencies we might have died this week. Pretty important.
36 we knew Meizhen was trying to kill YR this week, and we hadn't had a direct minor with Xiulan alone since week 31.
I mean, the two latter items are actually important, since our meridian-opening capabilities are starting to degrade and our arts at Green are going to have new meridians. And both SCS and TRF we'll want to push 1 or even 2 levels by tournament, so the more weeks to let us do that the better.Once we have broken through to Green, can someone tell me what the real urgency of breaking through to Bronze is? I mean, we will absolutely want to keep working on it, but do we want to rush it or is it okay for the breakthrough to stretch out for a couple of weeks?
As far as I can see, here are the benefits that a Bronze Breakthrough will bring:
- Increased combat abilities,
- Bonus to meridian-opening,
- Ability to cultivate Physical, SCS, and TRF.
... Are you having weird expectation on things again? Because really even a single on of the things you listed is stuff we would want asap. So yes we want bronze as soon as we can. No nothing else we can do at the point when we hit green will give us as much gain as this. Pushing it out over several weeks is just bad planning when some of our best arts and so much gain is gated behind it.Once we have broken through to Green, can someone tell me what the real urgency of breaking through to Bronze is? I mean, we will absolutely want to keep working on it, but do we want to rush it or is it okay for the breakthrough to stretch out for a couple of weeks?
As far as I can see, here are the benefits that a Bronze Breakthrough will bring:
- Increased combat abilities,
- Bonus to meridian-opening,
- Ability to cultivate Physical, SCS, and TRF.
Oh, totally. But those only really get important once we start investing heavily in our arts, and that is going to take a bit of time.I mean, the two latter items are actually important, since our meridian-opening capabilities are starting to degrade and both SCS and TRF we'll want to push 1 or even 2 levels by tournament.
In the last 4 weeks, we had 2 minors that were people asking us things: Gan Guangli and Xiulan. They are not rare... and it doesn't matter if it's the case or not as long as they are very, very important. And we had at least 2 of those every weeks.Counter argument: a lot of these minors involve Ling Qi taking the initiative to interact with someone/achieve some goal.
It's been a lot rarer for someone to actually call us out and ask for our time, and most of the times it's happened that I can remember it's been important. The one exception I can think of is the GG ambush for Ji Rong, though it could be argued that that helped drive Sun to the negotiating table that much earlier.
PS's plan will have 5 breakthrough actions this week with the drugs, so the only result where we don't literally try to breakthrough 5 time is if we are Green. Alectai's plan increase our odds of getting to green next week than if we do no breakthrough attemp this week, but that's all. it doesn't increase our odds of getting to bronze in an appreciable manner, especially if we don't do 6 breakthrough actions next week.I'm not going to challenge the first sentence/point, that's Alectai's job I think. I will however counter the second. Can you show me the math which says it brings it down? I would assume since these are independent rolls, and dice don't remember things, that it does not affect the probability at all of next week, unless it succeeds. In which case it increases the probability on week 38 that we get through to green and bronze because we will have a success sitting there. Not sure how to address the necessary things and the post breakthrough. As to the minors I think its entirely subjective, especially with regards to Suyin. I judge that one as being immaterial when it comes to if we do it in yellow, or green. As for the puzzle box I don't know how likely it is to effect breakthrough. The last direct gift from Xin I remember had both pills and the jade slip which gave us FVM so I figure it could have either pills or arts, or both. I do not think they will affect breakthrough as that has only come from one, non-Empire source so far and involved actual life and death combat which I think of the box as neither.
SCS 6 will have to wait for week 39 as far as I can tell with both plans. FVM 6, it depends on how well we do.
None of those are post facto justification.Anyone else who was voting for [] Give the dude a chance it's probably time to jump on whichever plan you dislike least.
I assumed you meant that if we were ready for breakthrough that week what would I feel could be sacrificed.
I feel like you're doing a lot of post facto justification.
Week 33 I certainly didn't realise just how traumatised Ling Qi had been by Liling until we actually took the action. I also would probably have thought that we wouldn't get much out of a singe Cai minor.
35 - Cai would have been the one we would still have in closed door. We didn't know we would need the escape contingencies at a specific time and they could have been gotten the week after. Plus green might have let us see through the ruse sooner and dodge or tank the trap.
36. No we didn't know. I just looked through the pages immedietly after week 35 finished. We were concerned about her eating into her cultivation, but that could easily have been put off for a single week, and Xiulan would have understood if we went into closed door. We only found out once we confronted her she was going to attack his base that night.
In practice I wouldn't be that fussed anyway. If we're only working on 1 breakthrough, then we don't really want to be spending more than 3 actions on it - and that's only if we're starting the week at peak. e.g. going Breakthrough -> recover -> Breakthrough is fine, but Recover -> Breakthrough -> Recover isn't.Once we have broken through to Green, can someone tell me what the real urgency of breaking through to Bronze is? I mean, we will absolutely want to keep working on it, but do we want to rush it or is it okay for the breakthrough to stretch out for a couple of weeks?
I think there are a couple of aspects within the Empire's culture.Once we have broken through to Green, can someone tell me what the real urgency of breaking through to Bronze is? I mean, we will absolutely want to keep working on it, but do we want to rush it or is it okay for the breakthrough to stretch out for a couple of weeks?
As far as I can see, here are the benefits that a Bronze Breakthrough will bring:
- Increased combat abilities,
- Bonus to meridian-opening,
- Ability to cultivate Physical, SCS, and TRF.
Going closed door for Bronze would mostly be about looking badass. Not that there's anything wrong with that.Once we have broken through to Green, can someone tell me what the real urgency of breaking through to Bronze is? I mean, we will absolutely want to keep working on it, but do we want to rush it or is it okay for the breakthrough to stretch out for a couple of weeks?
As far as I can see, here are the benefits that a Bronze Breakthrough will bring:
- Increased combat abilities,
- Bonus to meridian-opening,
- Ability to cultivate Physical, SCS, and TRF.