I've always wanted to do an analysis on the Gambler, including going back and looking at the earlier Ranald's Blessing, but I never had the time for it... I don't think these are all equal. A lot of times we get good luck in ways that aren't as impactful as others. But it would take me a lot of effort I just don't have today to go through everything and try to make that kind of analysis. Still, than you for this, it's very useful.
You are welcome. For what it's worth I think you are right, things like the Life Patriarch showing up do not seem to be something you would really need the god of luck on and it could well be that they did not change his mind in any meaningful way
...Which is why the vast majority of the sentence, the parts you cut off, is spent on judging its in-universe likelihood of stacking.
Could you please not cherry pick?
Then why are you choosing not to engage with the rest of my value judgement where I specify the in universe reason for believing the effects will stack? It being lame is an aside, not the main point, and I specify that main point in the same sentence.
It is incredibly unlikely that a non ulgu apparition will use the same mechanisms of action as our ulgu spells so they should stack on those spells rather than be redundant with them. Separately, I discuss how the utility of red riders as a trump card to get ourselves out of trouble is dubious when they share mathilde's primary weakness.
That it being "lame" was worth mentioning at all was to provide a reason to be optimistic that the risk that new reasons are created to say it won't work might be low, separate from there being existing ones I haven't considered. It was window dressing, 17 words and not even a single sentence out of the nearly 400 I wrote.
Seriously, what just happened here?
Er... the reason I did not argue with the rest of your post is that I have no issue with it, I was just arguing against expecting the GM to carry our choices, the rest seems entirely reasonable.