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I am amazed you are not imaging a situation where there could be more than one barrel exploding together.

Even multiple barrels blowing up isn't likely to capsize a Monitor, doubly so as the fusing is going to be unreliable, and a lot of the gunpowder is going to be dubious after being soaked in water for a while.

Seamines are one of the least likely results here, just because it's an external attack that carries only the fire and pressure of the explosion, against a heavily armored steamer. A dedicated seamine yeah, maybe--but those are very distinct and also very hard to smuggle.
 
[x] Use Substance of Shadow to check the wrecked passenger ship for survivors

Save dwarves now and there's more dwarves around for wreaking hellish vengeance on whoever's so unlucky as to get caught in the crosshairs!
 
[X] Use Substance of Shadow to check the wrecked passenger ship for survivors.

Even if the odds of survival suck ... dwarves. I rest my case. See to the living, then avenge the dead. If we're really stupidly lucky, maybe we can save the head of the metalsmiths and further help avert dorf civil war.
 
Even multiple barrels blowing up isn't likely to capsize a Monitor, doubly so as the fusing is going to be unreliable, and a lot of the gunpowder is going to be dubious after being soaked in water for a while.

Seamines are one of the least likely results here, just because it's an external attack that carries only the fire and pressure of the explosion, against a heavily armored steamer. A dedicated seamine yeah, maybe--but those are very distinct and also very hard to smuggle.
You're the one who postulated that they used artillary, or a battle wizard, or sneaking into a dwarf ship yard and sabotaging things. To me all those are way way less likely way way more eye catching, then shipping enough barrels of gunpowder to make a large enough sea mine.

How big of a bomb would you need to sneak into a dwarf monitor to sink it and how lucky would you need to be for dwarfs not to spot it on their rounds?

How big of artillary would you need, and how far away would they need to be so that dwarfs don't mention it but rather a singular explosion?

Where would bandits even get a battle mage? I think the colleges keeps a close eye on theirs and any other mages that even have the potential of being battle mages outside their borders. And one just managed to get snuck into a group of bandits instead of being used as strategic deterrence?

I am amazed that you find a large floating barrel of gunpowder the most outlandish of these suggestions.
 
[x] Use Substance of Shadow to check the wrecked passenger ship for survivors

As much as I want to catch the people who did this the first priority should always be lives. The more we save the less we need to avenge.
 
When you put these two together like this I am left thinking skaven rather than Marienberg. They have the bombs and the guns and the plagues and the desire for war between humans and dwarves.
Not just that, they've seen assaults on their territory recently too. Eight Peaks, Nuln and Ubersreik in the Empire, and Mousillon and somewhere else in Bretonnia, all in a short time? It's possible the Skaven are hitting back, possibly in an attempt to put holes in any closer Empire-Karaz Ankor, or trying to engineer a situation similar to the Skaven civil war to give them an opportunity to retake lost territory.
 
Chaos Dwarves have submarines?
That's what the story quote implies. The more I think about it the more plausible it becomes. We know they have the motives to attack the Karaz Ankor. We know they have the technological means to destroy a monitor, they even enjoy using disposable proxies who they can equip. The bandits reportedly had muskets, and those are relatively difficult to procure.

The one problem with my theory is that you'd expect the dwarves to recognize a Chaos Dwarf munition.
 
That's what the story quote implies. The more I think about it the more plausible it becomes. We know they have the motives to attack the Karaz Ankor. We know they have the technological means to destroy a monitor, they even enjoy using disposable proxies who they can equip. The bandits reportedly had muskets, and those are relatively difficult to procure.

The one problem with my theory is that you'd expect the dwarves to recognize a Chaos Dwarf munition.
I somehow managed to completely miss what you were quoting. No idea how.
 
[X] Try to track the bandits

Just in case this isn't Marienberg's fault and is instead a third party trying to start a war.
 
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[X] Use Substance of Shadow to check the wrecked passenger ship for survivors.

This is something only we can do and it isn't like Rangers don't have the eyes to scout and track in the dark.
 
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