Sorry, my mistake, it just seemed like you were suggesting we actually go quicker than 9 turns which sort of requires doing it in three or less.
All evidence is that we can get building and stuff done pretty fast if we invest in it. Exact details are unclear but we're two turns into building the fence and from description that's gonna be maybe another two? Definitely not more than three. Getting the Tricks done is four more turns for Utility and five more turns for Residence, and we can start building the same turn we complete them. With the nine turn clock, we would then have a minimum of 5 turns to build Residence stuff and 6 for Utility. That seems entirely sufficient to me, especially since we should be able to spend multiple Research dice to build multiple things simultaneously.
So, we're not pregnant, but we wean Hallbjorn at the end of the year, at which point, based on how things have gone previously, we probably start rolling for pregnancy again starting in the new year. Those rolls require 10 successes on a combined Hamr roll between Halla and Abjorn...we have 15 dice or more on that combined roll. We're, uh, very likely to get pregnant there very quickly. It's not technically a sure thing, but it's the way to bet by a lot that it'll happen within the first couple of turns. And, for rules simplicity (and possibly magic!) all babies are born at the end of the year, so once we're pregnant, we're pregnant for the rest of the year.
We could try and just not get pregnant, but honestly, I'm skeptical that we the Questers can stop Halla from doing so...those rolls continued even while we were out raiding last time and a lot of references have been made to her being very invested in both the process and the result. We also need to have additional kids some time and now seems as good a time as any.
From what you've said, it seems like if three turns is too much, we could probably get to the next Realm in four or five turns? Personally I don't really think there's a big issue with breaking through to the next realm if we're like, a month pregnant at the time. Honestly that would be kind of metal.
I'm also a bit worried, based on the figures you've presented, that if we try and build everything at the last minute we'll discover it takes longer than we hoped, or there will be other reasons to delay the Tricks, and we'll overshoot the nine turn target you've outlined here.
How long is a turn, anyway?