So the pool of 16 has 3 monsters, 7 other Greens or partial Greens, and 6 Yellows. It's pretty indefensible to make 2 Yellows fight in the r16, so that suggests there will be two matches within the pool-of-7, taking up four of them, and the other matches will be likely blowouts.
The pool of 7, to refresh memories, is:
- Ling Qi
- Kang Zihao
- Ji Rong
- Chu Song
- Gu Xiulan
- Wen Ai
- Shen Hu
(the other 9 are the 3 monsters, Han Jian, Han Fang, and 4 peak yellow NPCs)
Due to reasons of being a commoner and also narratives, I think it's likely we're in one of these fights. It won't be against Shen Hu since we just showed everyone a good fight with him. I doubt it'll be with Wen Ai as that'd be a brutal beatdown. Probably won't be Gu Xiulan, as making friends fight like that would be fairly insulting given the diplomatic connection we made pre-tourney. Also, the other three are connected to Sun Liling, who wants to show us up. So probably Chu Song, Ji Rong, or Kang Zihao. And I think everyone knows there is way too much risk of us beating Kang, so probably not him. Chu Song's ties to Sun are flimsy at best. My money is on Ji Rong.