Thing is, the consequence of me being wrong, and going for it, is... minor delay on other projects we do a turn later. The consequence of me being right, and us not giving Zocom the armor they need... probably ranges from PS loss, to those operations not being able to be completed/operational as expected.
Yeah. And if I figured that there was, say, a 50/50 chance of you being right about this, I would be taking no chances and would put a minimum of three dice on power armor factories.
But from my perspective, I'm pretty sure that the situation with only two dice will be, if not
good, at least
good enough to avoid any crises that demand 3+ power armor dice. We already invested several dice in the power armor factories intended to make the current surge of Red Zone expansion feasible; that's what we were doing in 2061Q3 and 'Q4. It's not enough to stabilize the situation indefinitely, but that's not the point, because I'm not stopping there.
Ithillid said:
It is not quite a bottomless pit, but you are going to need a lot more power armor in the very near future. Do you need it this quarter? No comment. Do you need it soon? Yes.
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I don't feel that this contradicts my view of the situation.
It would be foolish to invest
no dice in power armor factories this turn, or in any subsequent turn in the near future. We will need a lot more.
Something like doubling our total production of Zone Armor within a year sounds pretty good... which is about what we'd get by completing the remaining four Zone Armor plants between now and 2062Q4.
I'm tentatively planning around at least 2-3 dice per turn until we get the Set 1 factories wrapped up, as a minimum. If anything about how Q1 plays out makes it clear that this isn't going to be enough, I'm going to escalate from there. But the budget's tight for the time being.
Also, admittedly, I'm betting on the idea that both ZOCOM
and Ground Forces aren't making such disastrously bad estimations of likely consequences and force requirements as to make the letter they sent us last year complete nonsense. Assuming they know what they're talking about- not "are right about everything" but at least know what they're talking about- then we should have at least a little time to spool up production. Even if they're wrong, I'm reasonably optimistic that they're not so
completely wrong that their actions lead to an overarching disaster.