Attempting to Fulfill the Plan MNKh Edition

Voted best in category in the Users' Choice awards.
This really sucks for the union and the fact that this is still a less violent reaction than what youd see in a southern us state to s civil rights march

ironically we kinda benefit from it as this will make knifing smelly extremely easy next turn
 
I want to see how other nations react to this.

I imagine countries more aligned with the USSR praising it on its non-violent break up of a protest. There is definitely going to to be news headlines from the USA about the suppression of free speech and horrible use of military forces on peaceful protesters.
 
Crisis report!

Protests (lower = more mild)!

Scale: 37
Violence: -3
Government response: 88

Who takes over the response?
Politburo: 120
Ministry of Interior: 28
Moscow Military District: 30
32nd Guards Motor Rifle Division: 19

How does the politburo respond?
De-escalation: 92
Protestor response: 48
Any incidents?: 19
My interpretation:

People find out all the dirty laundry the Goverment has been quietly trying to fix/hide, they of course are mad, but protest like Gandhi, but Government freaks out. Politburo takes over and sends in the troops and MOI, but they act with real restraint and the people respond, and the day is saved (kinda sorta not really)

At least no Tiananmen.
 
That seems to have ended relatively cleanly, and more importantly it ended in a way that doesn't make Klimenko's job harder. But the final arbiter of the '65 Incident's legacy will be what impact it has on the anti-corruption itself. A good outcome would be if it makes it easier to reorg HI and the govt starts publicizing results so it looks like the protesters got some of what they wanted. The worst case scenario would be if the investigations get scaled back or if they get obstructed in the name of preventing leaks, which would harm us and remove part of the point of getting The Voz replaced.
 
Well, ideally this wouldn't have happened at all. But as it is, it probably ended up much better than what the average outcome would be. And uh, don't worry about the investigations being scaled back or obstructed, the opposite will happen. Masherov is coming at the Ministry with a big fat sledgehammer. The govt won't be publicizing this stuff, if anything it will tighten information flows even more I suspect. This might not be the death blow to reform that it could have been, but it will definitely slow it down a lot and maybe cause some reverses.
 
Last edited:
Jeez what's up with Kuzbas? It's still at 94/400 progress- after the dice consolidation. That'll eat about 5 HI dice to complete, which is a lot with us at 1 turn a year now. Assuming the progress not getting slashed is intentional, it must've been combined with what would otherwise be stage 4. All that, for just -15 to coal price...
 
Jeez what's up with Kuzbas? It's still at 94/400 progress- after the dice consolidation. That'll eat about 5 HI dice to complete, which is a lot with us at 1 turn a year now. Assuming the progress not getting slashed is intentional, it must've been combined with what would otherwise be stage 4. All that, for just -15 to coal price...
Yep math doesn't add up, it still 400 progress, but it still double of Donets Mechanization - which is now halved in progress
 
Last edited:
The free bread's value is that it is a very clear safety net. That whatever happens, the system will make sure you have bread. Subsidized food by contrast, means that people can fall on hard enough times that they can't eat still since money is still needed. There's more reason to be anxious, even if a subsidy system actually reduced food costs for most people by more.
Again, in theory. I'm not sure the actual Soviet poor feel this way in practice.

This isn't an abstract argument. The question is whether the actual poor people on the ground feel more secure from knowing there is free bread (and ONLY free bread), or whether they would feel more secure knowing there is very cheap bread, cheese, onions, potatoes, and even doctor's sausage a time or two a week. Again, whether they actually do, not whether they should in theory.

Because either the argument is about logic, in which case logic will tell these people (who actually have to count the kopecks they spend on food) that unless they gorge themselves on Only Bread all day every day for the rest of their lives, they're still paying less for food than they did before...

...Or the argument is about emotion, in which case, well, the emotional desire to have anything other than bread to eat comes into play.

I think we may be overestimating the appeal and power of "FREE BREAD" because it resonates very poetically with us.

To make a broader critique of the plans I have seen so far: I think we should cut out ASU. We have a rather considerable budget crunch, and spending 7% of our available income on what is essentially just a subsidy for further electronics development is ill-advised in my opinion.
Further electronics development is the only thing likely to keep the labor crunch from squashing us in the reasonably near future.

Yeah, if the ASU is like those metro projects, and can get by for a year without the funding to scale up (and with computers, more time for bugfixing and to write software could actually help, assuming that programmers and engineers will be playing around with the prototypes while the project is delayed) it really sounds like we may have other priorities right now.

If not funding the program for a turn results in it losing critical momentum and dying, well, maybe we should push forward. But the ASU has always been a big boondoggle and letting go of it might also clear the way for something better made with newer hardware as well.
I'm a bit shaky on that hope. Remember that what killed Soviet computerization was, more than anything else, political pressure to avoid rocking the boat. Those pressures still exist in this timeline, so if the project loses momentum, it may be a long time before it acquires momentum again.

Jeez what's up with Kuzbas? It's still at 94/400 progress- after the dice consolidation. That'll eat about 5 HI dice to complete, which is a lot with us at 1 turn a year now. Assuming the progress not getting slashed is intentional, it must've been combined with what would otherwise be stage 4. All that, for just -15 to coal price...
Given that coal prices are on a scale of 1 to 100 and 40-60 is "normal" while 20-40 is "very cheap," a -15 to coal price is a pretty big deal.

Something do what to ask is our citizens still have a hard time getting to be allowed to have dogs or other pets like the original USSR or has pet policy been more lenient in this timeline?
In a society where much of the population lives in crowded apartments, letting just anyone easily get a dog is a recipe for a lot of very unhappy, very poorly rested, very stressed out neighbors. Because not everyone who loves dogs is willing or able to keep them from barking incessantly.

There is a good reason why in the United States, at least until the ADA was interpreted in such a way as to make doing so unsustainable, quite a lot of apartment complexes had "no dogs allowed" rules.

There are other pets that are quieter, but dogs bark. They can be an actual problem in dense housing where you share a wall or floor with someone else's home. Like, lived experience here. It's an issue.

The average result of a scared shitless government ordering in the tanks to stop a protest is people dead, mere beatings is an outlier
Red Army: "See, Politburo, we KNEW it would be a good idea to fund the tank chassis armed with dozens of spring-loaded boxing gloves! WE KNEW IT! AND YOU THOUGHT WE WERE MAD!"
 
Last edited:
The worst part of this entire thing was Vautin was just such a gigantic failure of human being that the tanks we send in were t-52's and not t-64's so when all the western countries are going to show pictures of these protest in the news the tanks are going to look like shit
 
I don't particularly think anybody is really going to care about what the specific model of tank's sitting around the protests with their guns aimed menacingly are gonna be...
 
The worst part of this entire thing was Vautin was just such a gigantic failure of human being that the tanks we send in were t-52's and not t-64's so when all the western countries are going to show pictures of these protest in the news the tanks are going to look like shit
Those are some fighting words. T-52 (54/55 OTL) does not look like shit.
 
Again, in theory. I'm not sure the actual Soviet poor feel this way in practice.

This isn't an abstract argument. The question is whether the actual poor people on the ground feel more secure from knowing there is free bread (and ONLY free bread), or whether they would feel more secure knowing there is very cheap bread, cheese, onions, potatoes, and even doctor's sausage a time or two a week. Again, whether they actually do, not whether they should in theory.

Because either the argument is about logic, in which case logic will tell these people (who actually have to count the kopecks they spend on food) that unless they gorge themselves on Only Bread all day every day for the rest of their lives, they're still paying less for food than they did before...

...Or the argument is about emotion, in which case, well, the emotional desire to have anything other than bread to eat comes into play.

I think we may be overestimating the appeal and power of "FREE BREAD" because it resonates very poetically with us.

It does depend on exactly how poor we're talking here.

If a poor person in the USSR of TTL's 1965 is buying a varied basket of things - bread, cheese, fruit, vegetables, sausages, a variety of toiletries - then a subsidy that impacts the whole basket of food and basic toiletries could be a neutral change. The loss of actually free bread not really a significant change in life because even the poorest have food security.

However, if we still have significant numbers of people who have real anxiety about where their next meal will be coming from, even if the subsidy is a neutral change, that there is no longer the relief from anxiety of the system saying "we've got you, you'll always at least have bread" will have a significant negative mental toll.

It's worth remembering that food insecurity doesn't just look like Holodomor Ukraine, it also looks like middle class Egyptians rioting because they are worried they won't be able to afford even onions soon and ostensibly middle class British nurses using food banks. People can experience food stress without being in danger (yet) of starvation. And even a monotonous diet is better than food stress.

I'm a bit shaky on that hope. Remember that what killed Soviet computerization was, more than anything else, political pressure to avoid rocking the boat. Those pressures still exist in this timeline, so if the project loses momentum, it may be a long time before it acquires momentum again.

In a narrow sense that has some truth to it, but you're missing out a few important factors and it matters what kind of boat-rocking was being avoided. The political "stability" element holding back Soviet computerization is excessive secret keeping (because information was a weapon for bureaucratic turf wars) which slowed the spread of technology, resulted in excessive production of custom units rather than standardization and mass production and also OGAS specifically being seen as a threat by the finance ministry.

What you didn't touch on is that Soviet manufacturing of computer parts was utterly insufficient for rolling out OGAS before it was decades obsolete and perhaps more importantly, that feelings of technological inferiority led to repeated decisions to kill promising local developments in order to re-direct skilled personnel into studying American or British designs in order to copy them - and of course, by the time those designs were copied they were even in the best cases half a decade behind the new cutting edge. Copying things that had already hit the American or British market meant that novel projects that could actually bring the USSR closer to parity were neglected.

Despite all of these issues however, investments continued to be made in the sector and some understanding that it was important remained. Indeed, Soviet personal computers were very interesting in the late 70s and 80s - some of the domestic designs sidelined in order to redirect resources to copying foreign designs were used in niche consumer products for tinkers, ordinary hobbyists were making home computers out of thousands of chips and dozens of boards with logic designed by either themselves or other hobbyists and copies of foreign designs got interesting local innovations added.

At the time that the Soviet Union collapsed, it's worth remembering that the IBM PC was only just starting to become the most common personal computer, machines like the Commodore 64 were still in common use, India was the largest semi-conductor producer in Asia and TSMC was 4 years old and pretty much unknown outside of Taiwan. The biggest reason why the Soviet computer industry failed is the entire system failed, they never really got the chance to either rise from behind like did TSMC or become largely irrelevant like India's domestic semiconductor industry. If we make a wrong choice on computerization, I am fairly confident that we'll have other chances, because that happened even with the multiple wrong turns the OTL USSR took and its happened in other countries around the world.

And heck, I think we've already made some significant bad choices, but I am not worried about the overall effort of pushing our electronics forward.

If the ASU falls by the wayside, the investments in transistor production and in designers and operators will remain, even without the ASU being pushed out the door, we'll still be able to apply those investments to other projects.

Regards,

fasquardon
 
Last edited:
The worst part of this entire thing was Vautin was just such a gigantic failure of human being that the tanks we send in were t-52's and not t-64's so when all the western countries are going to show pictures of these protest in the news the tanks are going to look like shit
If Vatutin had sent in the T-64s instead then the West wouldn't even have pictures of tanks menacing protesters to show, on account of the tanks all breaking down on the highway before ever making it into Moscow.
 
Last edited:
It does depend on exactly how poor we're talking here.

If a poor person in the USSR of TTL's 1965 is buying a varied basket of things - bread, cheese, fruit, vegetables, sausages, a variety of toiletries - then a subsidy that impacts the whole basket of food and basic toiletries could be a neutral change. The loss of actually free bread not really a significant change in life because even the poorest have food security.

However, if we still have significant numbers of people who have real anxiety about where their next meal will be coming from, even if the subsidy is a neutral change, that there is no longer the relief from anxiety of the system saying "we've got you, you'll always at least have bread" will have a significant negative mental toll.

It's worth remembering that food insecurity doesn't just look like Holodomor Ukraine, it also looks like middle class Egyptians rioting because they are worried they won't be able to afford even onions soon and ostensibly middle class British nurses using food banks. People can experience food stress without being in danger (yet) of starvation. And even a monotonous diet is better than food stress.
Given the economic conditions of the USSR and the fact that we're at full employment or close to it, my natural impulse is to think that the levels of food stress aren't that bad. I could be optimistic; my hope is that Klim will be able to give us a better sense for what is needed.

But what I'm reasonably confident about is that if the program were so popular that it was genuinely likely that ending it would cause major popular unrest, then the attempt to cancel it would be running into at least SOME flak from the Supreme Soviet. Notice that the anticorruption protests were protesting against the same corruption the Supreme Soviet has been demanding investigations into. The problem wasn't that the Supreme Soviet wanted to ignore the will of the people; the problem was that the Supreme Soviet, having correctly divined the will of the people and trying to follow it to remain popular, got in trouble for not doing enough.

If the Supreme Soviet is so eager to eliminate the free bread program, my gut feeling is that they are probably not wrong to think they can do so without causing enough people to freak out that we start needing to worry about food riots.

Especially if the program is replaced with something that is as good or better for the average low-income Soviet system even if it doesn't have that charming simplicity of "BUT THE BREAD IS FREE, COMRADE!"
 
Back
Top