[X] Pretend that you have not noticed their duplicity and play polite for as long as possible to draw out information. Subtly set yourself up to counterattack their ambush.
You don't extend trust to a known enemy that's preparing to jump you in the dark. If these spiders had intentions of being friendly with the Cai, they would have renewed their contracts instead of hiding in a broken down Hui fortress.The best strategy in the iterated prisoner's dilema is tit for tat. Which is to say, reciprocation. How it works is you try to cooperate first, and then reciprocate whatever they did.
We should extend trust first.
You don't extend trust to a known enemy that's preparing to jump you in the dark. If these spiders had intentions of being friendly with the Cai, they would have renewed their contracts instead of hiding in a broken down Hui fortress.
We know the Hui spiders went three routes after the Cai took the Hui's place. Some submitted to the Cai, others refused and got exterminated, while others fled.Do we know they're an enemy? "They haven't left their home to submit to a lord thousands of miles away" is a pretty weaksauce reason to say they must be enemies in my opinion.
This!These spiders used to work for the Hui, and are known for being duplicitous. I really see no reason to give them the benefit of the doubt when we can just get this over with by catching them off balance before their preparations are ready. We have Xia Lin with us after all, and I doubt she's prepared for this whole intrigue thing, and that the spiders will take kindly to her presence.
You're right that their having not submitted to Cai in the past is not really a reason to consider them an enemy. but you know what is a good reason? Them planning to attack us when we only said we wanted to speak with them. They don't really have a way of knowing who we are, they're just jumping straight to violence.Do we know they're an enemy? "They haven't left their home to submit to a lord thousands of miles away" is a pretty weaksauce reason to say they must be enemies in my opinion.
We know the Hui spiders went three routes after the Cai took the Hui's place. Some submitted to the Cai, others refused and got exterminated, while others fled.
These spiders are of the 3rd category. Refusal to submit to your would-be conquerors by fleeing is a act of rebellion, and signals that you really do not like your new overlords and don't want to talk to them in good faith. So yeah, we do know they're our enemies.
We know the Hui spiders went three routes after the Cai took the Hui's place. Some submitted to the Cai, others refused and got exterminated, while others fled.
These spiders are of the 3rd category. Refusal to submit to your would-be conquerors by fleeing is a act of rebellion, and signals that you really do not like your new overlords and don't want to talk to them in good faith. So yeah, we do know they're our enemies.
Actually I wouldn't say that. Maybe they felt that they wouldn't get a fair chance because they'd be too much associated with the Hui. Maybe they fled b/c they were scared for their lives. While I agree with you on the other stuff, using politics from two to three centuries ago to immediately label them as an enemy now...is very much hurting our argument for option 2. Frankly their preparing to attack us when they've been given no reason to ATM. Thats reason enough right there. Lets leave it at that.We know the Hui spiders went three routes after the Cai took the Hui's place. Some submitted to the Cai, others refused and got exterminated, while others fled.
These spiders are of the 3rd category. Refusal to submit to your would-be conquerors by fleeing is a act of rebellion, and signals that you really do not like your new overlords and don't want to talk to them in good faith. So yeah, we do know they're our enemies.
I never accused them of being evil? Or that the Cai are good?"They fled from people who wanted to conquer them! They must be evil!"
Are you listening to yourself?
I never accused them of being evil? Or that the Cai are good?
I said they're our enemies. Like it our not, we now represent the Cai. The people who ran from the Cai won't like it when the Cai are on their doorstep and will want to kill us before we reveal their location to our glorious overlord. These people are probably gonna be a bit paranoid, and prone to rash action.
The best strategy in the iterated prisoner's dilema is tit for tat. Which is to say, reciprocation. How it works is you try to cooperate first, and then reciprocate whatever they did.
We should extend trust first.
They are setting up a trap. Iterated Prisoners dillemmas also require punishing people for behaviour like that.
Anyway Option 2 is the diplomatic option, while option 3 is the ignore diplomacy, just try to get information out of them option.
How is going in, letting a trap and the ensuing violence happen, while only pretending to be diplomatic actually the diplomatic option? Like, we wouldn't be going in there with the sincere intent of negotiating in option 3, we're just using the chance to milk them for as much info as possible b4 the fight starts.If they set up a trap, then us telling Zhengui to be ready to collapse the place is us setting up a trap. My read is that 2 is gunboat diplo, and 3 is actual diplo.
Alright I already explained why its extremely unlikely that they would try to spring the trap if given the chance in an earlier post. I pointed out how there's no proof or indication that they would choose not to ambush and every indication that they do intend to ambush us. Not gonna repeat it.3 is letting them not spring the trap if they are merely afraid.
Whereas 2 tells them that they must spring it if they hope to make it out of this.
Three is the only option that accepts that they might not be hostile by default.