Originally the Pearl attack destroyed most of the existing US capital surface fleet.
That means there are only three active battleships, but they cant reasonably be sent to the western Pacific like the carriers can.
Uhhhh what?
That's 20 battleships. I do believe that is a sufficient number to warrant a fight of Mahanian proportions. And yet, the US COMPACFLT decided to use his carriers, instead of requesting more battleships be brought to the Pacific.
You were right about exactly one ship. Alabama hadn't launched until most of the Pearl survivors were out of the docks. But, that's not anywhere in the same galaxy as having 'three battleships.' I shall list them all for you, in order of launch. Not counting ships which were on Battleship Row.
- USS Arkansas, launched 14 January, 1911
- USS Wyoming, launched 25 May, 1911
- USS Texas, launched 18 May, 1912
- USS Mississippi, launched 25 January, 1917
- USS New Mexico, launched 13 April, 1917
- USS Idaho, launched 30 June, 1917
- USS Washington, launched 1 June, 1940
- USS North Carolina, launched 13 June, 1940
Yes, the Norcals had problems, but Washington's had mostly been solved by the time Pearl happened, meaning the Navy could have cut the testing short. Also, three of the four SoDaks were in the water by the time war broke out. It certainly wouldn't be the first time a navy has used sailing to deployment as a shakedown cruise. Meaning, all told, that that is 13 battleships ready to go. The other six in my statement were in Washington State for repairs. Most of the battleships on the Row were released by the next February.
This is what forced the US Navy to develop and become more reliant on their carriers, the complete lack of a strong surface fleet at the start of the war.
Tell that to the Vichy in North Africa. They'll call you a liar. They got to meet that 'nonexistant' surface fleet, on the business end of their 14" guns.
This early in the war, the Japanese won't be thinking the long term effects of the war since they think its an assured victory. For the same reason they think they could defeat America in 6 months, they will use the Yamato.
I had to laugh here. That's not what Yamamoto's "Six-Month' prediction meant at all. He had been to the United States before, when the two nations were still allies, and seen all the shipyards that could churn out warships, and all the factories that could make whatever they wanted. Anybody who doubts the industrial potential of the United States back then is ignoring a major point in history. There were typewriter factories making parts for M1 Carbines. A boatbuilder in Louisiana went from one factory, and only about 100 workers to 24 factories and thousands of workers. Hitler called the man, Andrew Higgins, America's Noah, and his landing craft, which were chosen as superior to the USN's own landing craft by committee, were sent all over the world. Yamamoto's words were to the tune of 'if we can't get the US out of the Pacific in six months, they'll crush us.' Look how effective at holding back the IJN in the west were, with outdated ships. The USN's own Asiatic Fleet, and the League of Nations' own ABDACOM, or Australian British Dutch American Command.
Now, if more battleships do survive, your going to have battleship captains and admirals clamoring to fight the Japanese in surface engagements. This surface fleet would pull the Japanese out, or they would both meet in some strategic spot in the Pacific.
No, they wouldn't. Fair fights are for suckers. Make the enemy come to you, and make sure they pay the entire way. It's a tactic that has serve the US well since before it was a country. The whole reason Pearl was chosen as the new home of the Pacific Fleet was because it was closer to Japan than San Diego, but still ridiculously far from Japan. That's why the attack came as such a shock, and why the Brass thought the telegrams, and messages meant the Phillipines as the point of attack, but not Pearl. The Kido Butai did send the entirety of their oiler fleet along, because none of the ships had the fuel to make it to Oahu and back.
Also, Yamato finished her shakedown cruise and was commissioned on December 16.
She was still three weeks voyage away. It's really hard to economically cross the largest ocean on the face of the Earth in a timely manner, especially with how much fuel Yamato guzzled.
If given the chance so early on, I do think they would use her.
Except they did, and promptly scurried back to Kure after losing four fleet carriers. Then to Guadalcanal, where she did nothing but sit at anchor. And then, went to Wake, and sat around sitting on their thumbs for almost a week, then went back.
The cost of sending her to battle somewhere in the Pacific would be dwarfed by the chance of completely defeating the US Navy in battle.
Except that, if the IJN do the dumb, and send their top secret battleship to the other side of the hemisphere, there's a very real chance she'll be stuck there, either temporarily, or permanently.
Circumstances did pull the Americans west during WW2.
No way could anything in the first six months be called 'westward progress.' Everybody was moving south and east, out of the Japanese war machine's way. It was only after the beginning of the island-hopping campaign did any real movement west begin.
Essentially the point I'm making is that the survival of American battleships will keep battleships firmly in the center of US naval doctrine and keep the carriers in their pre war sidelines.
The battleships did survive, though. Only two battleships didn't leave Pearl. One of them has a memorial erected on top of it.
This would mean that eventually it would be American battleships sailing west to meet the Japanese, not American carriers.
They would be sailing to their deaths. The longest record of a hit from a battleship is from HMS Warspite, and Scharnhorst, both being 24 km. About 13 nautical miles. Most aircraft have a range of well over ten times that. As Coral Sea demonstrated, by neither fleet ever seeing each other, the war would be won by air superiority, not gun duels.
Battleships survived mean battleships keep the limelight and that means they will go to battle in the place of the carriers and loose because of it. Be it the Yamato and any other Japanese battleship or Japanese carriers.
Again, battleships
did survive. A lot of them. But they would lose to carriers. Maybe not every time, but enough times to show that they're the inferior weapon. And, after the war, those surviving battleships were scrapped, or used as targets, or even used as giant models in a nuclear weapons test.
If you'd like a story with very few carriers, and lots and lots of battleships, try Belated Battleships, by theJMPer.