Larger re-organization will lead to a greater degree of unemployment nearly inherently, the question is if it is judged as worthwhile to just go in decisively slim down enterprises immediately, or to try and do slower plans towards them achieving profitability.@Blackstar: Say, how many people are made unemployed by "Aggressive Restructuring"? Does a more aggressive approach to the bankruptcies actually lead to less unemployment? I wonder since only "Bailouts and Restructuring" explicitly mentions that we'd have lots of jobless people in the form of "likely immediately spiking workforce turnover".
Larger re-organization will lead to a greater degree of unemployment nearly inherently, the question is if it is judged as worthwhile to just go in decisively slim down enterprises immediately, or to try and do slower plans towards them achieving profitability.
On the other hand, even during recessionary conditions, we've got some serious advantages in living conditions over the OTL Soviet Union, and we've kept in place core reforms (e.g. nobody's gonna lose their home because they aren't working anymore).Wow. The Soviet Union really has gone full Dengist. It is really amazing the way that TTL's Soviet Union has allowed the business cycle to operate. Especially as this undermines one of the key claims of systemic superiority at a time when the Cold War is intensifying.
OTL's Soviet Union never entered a recession and we are on our second.
A distinct point. They may actually start channeling meaningful funds into the Comecon space program.My prediction is that the repressed aerospace ambitions of Germany are going to push what we let them fly through Intercosmos to the absolute limit, with large implications for the overall space race.
One possibility is that the Japanese car industry is underdeveloped and that part of what we're seeing is Japanese engineering talent looking for an outlet.Huh. VERY interesting that there is a Japanese car industry worth talking about at all. If I remember rightly we didn't have a Korean war, which in OTL was absolutely key for spurring the US loosen its occupation regime and flood Japanese industry with money, allowing for the post-war recovery and revolution in the Japanese economy.
To be fair, all the road construction would do something for the rest of the USSR, but that doesn't mean it's enough or the best choice or what we want to do.The arguments I am seeing right now to bow and go road-crazy are so much like those that steered us towards over-building our rail network. The issue isn't that we won't build those roads eventually (just as we'd have built those rails eventually) it is that bowing to the SupSov here will lead us to lop-sided development. To keep up with the road mandate, we'd have to gut the rest of the plan and burn at the altar our ambitions of unfarking the rural Soviet Union.
Eminently reasonable.We need to Deviate Towards Labor Policy SO frickin' badly.
Also, getting forced labour out of the construction sector will do alot to raise quality of work over the medium to long term.
If we can afford it without triggering a game over I'm all for it.[]Aggressive Restructuring: Failures have more often than anything else come from systematic problems in leadership and organization rather than economic causes. Committing towards ensuring that leadership is brought under control, entirely replaced, and enterprises subdivided into areas that can be allowed to collapse and be bought up by other enterprises and those that are economically viable. These divisions will cause massive disruption, but they will decisively fix the economy and allow its healthy segments to continue operation. (-650 RpY)
It's not the same type of jobs, but going with this might also help a bit with unemployment?[]Hiring Drives: The time for mobilization is now, but that does not mean that every idiot and pensioner needs to be dragged back into service kicking and screaming. Hiring a larger number of students and accelerating the tracks towards promotions can help to replace valuable lost expertise and ensure that the ministry can continue functioning. Inexperienced personnel all over the place will cause problems, but we have dealt with worse with the anti-corruption investigation. (+2 Dice to Heavy Industry and Infrastructure) (-3 to Experience Bonus)
Hitler, Stalin and "insert suitable Polish man here" go into a bar...As some variation on a strange joke, the next flight has been planned to have a German, Pole and Georgian as the first intercosmos flight
tempting. this is basically "argue against quasi-forced labour, and delay road target as a side effect". They're BOTH things we want... but can we afford to do this?[]Deviate Towards Labor Policy: Throwing another political controversy at the Supreme Soviet may be in bad form and a politically risky step, but there are few better times then to argue against the quasi-forced labor used for most of construction. Raising concerns in closed doors about the employment of prisoners will signal concerns to several important personnel, delaying large scale construction projects at least into the next plan while proposing a lesser program conducted with only "clean" labor. (???)
I'm absolutely sure that none of the people arguing in favor of not being too harsh on the corrupts is corrupt themselves, of courseThe commonly held opinion in the ministry is that anti-corruption has gone too far and done too much damage to the integrity of the Ministry and the integrity of the Union. With every investigation important personnel are lost and the general damage to the economic system only steadily mounts. The ministry itself cannot be expected to endure more if it is to be held together and most of the high ranking personnel are in agreement. Either the investigation itself is brought to a controllable tempo or the entire ministry will be brought down in front of it, especially as no offense is expected to be treated as too minor in time. The most obvious and most corrupt will still be thrown out, as they are political dead weight, but the nation needs to move on rather than chasing the phantoms of the past.
On the other hand, even during recessionary conditions, we've got some serious advantages in living conditions over the OTL Soviet Union, and we've kept in place core reforms (e.g. nobody's gonna lose their home because they aren't working anymore).
And we have the capitalism but without the ideological attachment to capitalism. I have hope.
If we can afford it without triggering a game over I'm all for it.
I'm absolutely sure that none of the people arguing in favor of not being too harsh on the corrupts is corrupt themselves, of course
tempting. this is basically "argue against quasi-forced labour, and delay road target as a side effect". They're BOTH things we want... but can we afford to do this?
Discussion on the discord went that it is a gamble that we can unironically win but it would make all the projects more expensive to build. At least that's how I understand it.
Yeah my speculation (zero confirmation ofc) is that the "trap" with taking a shot at prison labor is probably not that it'll be an unwinnable political battle, but that it will shoot our Infrastructure costs through the roof when the budget is already barely hanging on. Like yeah it's good that prices go up because we have to actually pay people money (so they can participate in the economy), but we do still have to actually pay people money and that's going to be quite painful.
Turning the enterprises into pseudo-capitalists was the devil's bargain we made to overcome the inherent limits of pre-internet central planning. Despite this mess, it's mostly working... so far. At least the managers are nominally still vassals of the Vozhd so we have authority to whack them if they cause too much trouble, as oppose to the west where their right to fuck around without finding out is legally enshrined.Wow. The Soviet Union really has gone full Dengist. It is really amazing the way that TTL's Soviet Union has allowed the business cycle to operate. Especially as this undermines one of the key claims of systemic superiority at a time when the Cold War is intensifying.
OTL's Soviet Union never entered a recession and we are on our second.
Could you give some examples that are similar to the current road problem? Most of the cases I can think of where a critfail has led to benefits is when something has physically gone wrong, and one of the options is "At significant political cost, remove the structural issues that incentivize creating this sort of mess". Problem is, with the roads the politics ARE the critfail and it seems unlikely we can convince the politicians who already are Doing The Stupid to improve things for us.Indeed, we've already had "failures" that led to more positive change over the long run.
Regards,
fasquardon
Interesting.... What does "gamble" and "can" mean in this context, and what does a failure look like? Is it more "This is not an outright trap option, but it still risks directly kicking off a 'Voznesenesky versus the managers'-tier messy political crisis" or is it more "Klimenko is guaranteed to safely get the labor reform this turn, but if the increased costs mean even less roads get built the politicians will be up his ass in 3 years"? The latter is a perfectly ok outcome, the former is a risk I don't want to take.Discussion on the discord went that it is a gamble that we can unironically win but it would make all the projects more expensive to build. At least that's how I understand it.
Well, we don't know for sure. But Blackstar has alluded us to the fact we can lose our job this turn, this set of crisis are where we make it or break it so if we make the wrong choices thats it for Klim. So even if it isn't an immediate "commit political suicide" button it is def a gamble in that regard. So is extensive restructuring I imagine.Interesting.... What does "gamble" and "can" mean in this context, and what does a failure look like? Is it more "This is not an outright trap option, but it still risks directly kicking off a 'Voznesenesky versus the managers'-tier messy political crisis" or is it more "Klimenko is guaranteed to safely get the labor reform this turn, but if the increased costs mean even less roads get built the politicians will be up his ass in 3 years"? The latter is a perfectly ok outcome, the former is a risk I don't want to take.
We're not "ending" anti-corruption efforts, alright. We are decisively acting on the wishes of the people to visibly purge corruption once and for all.Ending anti corruption efforts on the same turn as we make lots of people unemployed has obvious consequences that can fall on Klim.
Well, we don't know for sure. But Blackstar has alluded us to the fact we can lose our job this turn, this set of crisis are where we make it or break it so if we make the wrong choices thats it for Klim. So even if it isn't an immediate "commit political suicide" button it is def a gamble in that regard. So is extensive restructuring I imagine.
Ending anti corruption efforts on the same turn as we make lots of people unemployed has obvious consequences that can fall on Klim.
We're not "ending" anti-corruption efforts, alright. We are decisively acting on the wishes of the people to visibly purge corruption once and for all.