Attempting to Fulfill the Plan MNKh Edition

Voted best in category in the Users' Choice awards.
It should be considered that accepting either river reversal sucks down essential infra dice, making "just use the free dice" no longer a really viable solution. This one element may have locked infra in as the primary focus next plan.

So...if we do keep CI, it kind of has to be secondary focus. And that means no services focus.

Or we could break this dilemma by sending Balakirev to hell, thus allowing Services/CI. 🤝
 
Bear in mind that killing river reversal will cause an ecological and humanitarian disaster in one of our most developed and influential regions.

It's just that, well, one version of river reversal also causes that, via poisoning rather than water shortages.

To better clarify the significance of the threat unmodified river reversal poses to our caviar supply: 95% of all caviar is harvested from the caspian sea. Sturgeons don't like chromium, mercury, cadmium, lead, or dioxins any more than we do. Our strategic resources would collapse without that caviar, I swear it to you. More importantly, our minister would be doomed.
 
The Politocs will sack us if we send it to committe, but the Catfish will revolt and turn us into Caviar if we do the standard RR. And as I am a true supporter of the inevitable Catfish Revolution and them taking their rightful place as the Owners of the world I must refuse anything that hinders that.
 
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It should be considered that accepting either river reversal sucks down essential infra dice, making "just use the free dice" no longer a really viable solution. This one element may have locked infra in as the primary focus next plan.
Nah, even with RR we can afford to skip Infra focus. It's 8 autodice if we take RR and keep treading the water on housing, which still leaves 3 Infra dice before free ones or any additional options - which is what we had this plan, and we still did plenty of things done.
 
Honestly I think it might be worth considering leaving plastics to the enterprises, because we know very well that an oil crisis is coming, especially if Levant implodes and it escalates into a regional crisis. Let them throw all their money into building out the industry right before the crash and then claw back some of their power when they go under.

My worry about that is that leaving it to the enterprises expressly involves loosening of our already famously tight environmental regulations.

See here (emphasis on the regulations being cut):

[]Let Enterprises Take Initiative: The current profitability of plastic production and the demand for plastics production is the best argument to allow incentive funds to do their work. Every enterprise is expected to surge funding into plastics development and increasing production with only simple regulations needing to be cleared to enable significant gains in production. As long as investment is constant the ministry can focus on other matters through the next plan, working primarily on the development of other areas of production and energy security. (Locks out CI Focus)

we don't have the money (or electricity) to actually fund any of the more advanced CI projects anyways.

Note that taking "Commit to Plastics" or "Revolution of Soviet Petroleum Industries" DO NOT oblige us to have a CI plan. The choices simply focus our options in different directions.

Committing to plastics looks like the best choice to me. The revolution option assumes a heavy spend on CI, which we know we can't do. Instead, committing to plastics will give us options to advance our plastics industry, and if they are too expensive to do next plan, we just don't do them.

Sure, leaving promising projects languishing for years would waste the crit, but I am happy enough to waste a crit if that's what we need to do to chart the storms ahead.

Industrial chicken farming is heinous. Apparently poultry don't get prion disease like sheep or cattle do, but it's still kind of horrible despite not being a public health crisis time bomb.

Lovely update and well done on the game as a whole. I've spent the past few weeks reading up to present, and it's been lots of fun!

Welcome to the quest!

And yes... We've been the midwives to alot of evils through our various ministers.

well, also it sounds like they just murdered every socialist in Chile, but that was an IRL thing too.

Yeah, OTL Chile has a pretty cursed political system as a result. It is a testament to the Chilean people that modern day Chile isn't alot worse.

Well, let me put something else on the scales before we make any hasty conclusions: if we do the unmodified river reversal the caspian sturgeon population will go extinct, and the caviar supply will collapse. The supsov will absolutely not accept that result.

Not just that, murdering the Caspian harder is gonna tank relations with Iran. It is one thing to have slowly killed (picks random number) 90% of all life in the Caspian over decades, but it is quite another to suddenly flood it with a wave of toxins that kills off anything left.

And whatever our current relations with Iran, getting a major oil producer feeling vengeful right before we expect the mega-oil crisis that's coming is a dumb move.

At the very least, the more expensive option may start impacting the sea after the crisis has hit...

And speaking of the oil crisis... Both river reversal options have some notable impacts:

+2 Petroleum fuels per Year 1977-1981
+2 Petroleum fuels per Year 1979-1983

Even worse than simply poisoning Central Asia and drying out Siberia. It would push up fuel prices in the middle of the oil crisis! That doesn't just make life worse for Central Asian nobodies, it would make things worse for people in Moscow and Leningrad. It would make vast swathes of our industries unprofitable (with political consequences). And it would mean we're less able to support our fraternal allies through the crisis. A successful or even nearly successful counter-revolution happening to one of our allies would be catastrophic for the minister at the time and deeply damaging to the Soviet position in the Cold War.

Or we could break this dilemma by sending Balakirev to hell, thus allowing Services/CI. 🤝

For real. If sending the thing to committee is what it takes to avoid that fuel price spike (and the far worse political consequences of what we expect to be a brutal oil crisis being made even more brutal) I am absolutely willing to sacrifice Balakirev.

Plus, sending the thing to committee because the minister isn't willing to give Central Asia heavy metal poisoning might actually spur the SupSov to invest serious political capital in cleaning the environment up.

Turning this crit into the birth of the Soviet EPA would be fantastic.

And if the committee only manages to delay the construction for a decade, well, by then the rubble should have stopped bouncing from the oil shock, meaning we'll only have to wrestle with construction costs, river pollution and the Siberian wetlands drying, instead of those three AND higher fuel prices in the middle of a crisis!

Regards,

fasquardon
 
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My worry about that is that leaving it to the enterprises expressly involves loosening of our already famously tight environmental regulations.
I'm about 99% sure that's happening in all 3 options, just do we want a bunch of advanced projects on top of that as well or do we want to put the sector on autopilot for an FYP. The entire value of the crit is letting us put the whole thing on autopilot while we pivot to a much lower spending Services focused plan IMO, previously if we did that the sector was going to languish from lack of funding but this is our window to set it up ahead of time so the managers know not to expect much central funding and we won't totally crater the petrochemical industry we just spent 5 years building at great expense. Taking an option that promises them sustained funding, then inevitably not coming up with that funding because of some combination of lower budgets (guaranteed), no CI focus (guaranteed), and a potential oil crisis (not guaranteed technically but more likely every single year) is the worst of both worlds.
 
Caution, LOOOONG post.
President Ashbrook has so far been unable to provide a return to the old prosperity either real or imagined as the American economy has proven immutable on the rapid term. Tax reductions alongside increases in spending to stimulate economic growth have seemingly under-delivered with growth continuing but at a reduced place. Several novel economic theories can be written about the presence of high inflation alongside unemployment as the state is considered a major challenge of current theories. Drops in American demand pressure have caused a mild contraction of economic activity but nothing that will be relevant in the longer term. What likely will be is that the domestic race situation has continued to simmer with conflicts over civil rights forming a key issue towards the next election.
More economist will surely solve this lol
Global instability has been somewhat dampened in Asia as the INC-led Indian government has continued consolidations and the signing of a new clearer standard for provincial and central powers. Indonesian economic efforts have started to peter out with the immediate increase in growth from expanded capital investment slowing, but not stopping with the economy more stable than previously. Increased military investment along with the mass purchases of modern anti-shipping arms by Indonesia has been denounced by the West, but Indonesian national defense has provided a significant market for modernized older munitions. Competition and a more capable environment have led to several enterprises starting the establishment of local branches as a part of diplomatic outreach, improving extraction and local production. Conflicts between Vietnam and its neighbors have somewhat flared but not terminally with several mild border incursions but no sign of general warfare.
India still holding on strong, Indonesia slowing down but with new spicy ASM and more of our "diplomatic outreach" 😏 Vietnam continuing "nothing ever happen".
The war in Algeria has continued without much to buffer or stop it as increasing mobilization of the countryside has enabled the partisan forces to continue inflicting attrition on French units. Mainline military resistance has collapsed in favor of continuous partisan strikes leading to mass retaliation on the part of the French. So far it has been identified that the French forces in the region have started the wholesale movement to a special village system, relocating Algerians to confined areas in the South of the country to utilize as labor assets. Resistance to the measures internationally has been fierce with even the British willing to make diplomatic notions about it but in effect do little to prevent the act. The unreliability of Libya has not helped, as conventional routes of arms import have required greater fees and local attrition to get through the country.
Algerian death-camp is meet with hot air, Libyan swimming in bribe money.
Eruptions of violence in Sudan have in effect separated the country into North and South has proved a key destabilizing factor and led both Ethiopia and the East African Federation to intervene. Compared to the initial wars of decolonization the increase in mobilization capacity has led to something approximating military action by organized formations rather than militia. Capabilities across both sides are lacking due to limited motorization, logistical trains, and poorly trained officers incapable of managing their forces. Aid missions to the East African Federation have increased focusing on the sending of capable trainers alongside surplus equipment on credit. An American pivot towards the wholesale backing of Ethiopia is unlikely, but loosening arms supply regulations has led to excess Western equipment being made available to the Ethiopian military.
The technical age has begun.
In a shock to several diplomats sufficient to call an emergency UN meeting, South Africa has achieved a successful nuclear test. The underground test only had a yield of 9-12kt with a paltry release of radionuclides but the test has been seismographically confirmed. A near-universal CMEA response to strengthen the embargo has been implemented with the cooperation of much of the UN. France has imposed an embargo of weapons and delivery systems alongside the US but trade has not entirely ceased as both nations are unwilling to take the necessary steps for the preservation of global peace. Current military operations conducted by South Africa are expected to succeed to at least a nominal extent, securing Namibia's primary rail corridors despite a general Portuguese retreat. The nuclear test itself has likely been a show for international observers to limit intervention and secure local political gains.
In November 1986, South African Minister of Defense Magnus Malan secretly approved the "Kramat Capability" document, which set out an official national nuclear strategy for the first time.The strategy was to apply three successive phases of deterrence:


  • Phase 1: Strategic Uncertainty - official denial of nuclear capability
  • Phase 2: Covert Condition - nuclear capability covertly revealed, as a means of inducement, persuasion, and coercion
  • Phase 3: Overt Deterrent - consideration of the following:

  1. Overt announcement
  2. Display of force
  3. Demonstration (underground or atmospheric test explosion)
  4. Threatened use
  5. Battlefield application as deterrent against conventional assault forces
SA is super ahead of schedule, actual real shocker no cap, on phase 3 already, but still at step 1, mainly to deter super power intervention, cementing their reputation as the pariah state and Worse North Korea moniker ITL.

View: https://vimeo.com/674931809?share=copy
Delayed, underfunded, and damaging for the design of several airliners the general airport program has been pushed to something approximating completion. High throughput terminals in core areas have been built alongside a more advanced system of runway control and direction to cover the entire Union and avoid rough field landings for the heaviest aircraft. Utilization has already increased rapidly with vast crowds of passengers ready to move across the union. New aircraft are going to be needed alongside a continued increase in routes and throughput both in central and remote areas is only expected to accelerate with the effective collapse of ticket prices.
Bruh, the SOEs are complaining that they can't sell us worse civ airliner bcs our runway isn't just dirt field anymore and their planes don't need rough landing system, real funny shit. Less chance that our ministry plane doesn't have an accident like OTL coupled with the fact that our military pilot can have a civ career are the real benefit imo.

The supply of gas to CMEA has been funded with construction started on both ends of all three pipelines to provide energy security for all of European Comecon. The Northern route crosses Poland with the expectation of supplying Polish and German cities with reliable heating fuel and stabilizing energy policies. The central route instead cuts into Czechoslovakia and then continues into Southern Germany, providing a stable flow of heating fuel. On the Southern approaches, the pipeline crosses through Romania and into Bulgaria with a branching line to Yugoslavia and Greece, stabilizing local energy policies. Actual construction off all three lines is likely to last until 1978 with the first flow of gas to start that year.

A lot of these are being constructed 10-20 yrs earlier 🥳
Petro-Euro 😎
New container cars have posed a critical issue for development but one that is less challenging than the current state of cargo rail stock. Legacy storage cars have so far been used in a vast number of applications with few measures taken towards expediting their retirements. Comprehensive modernization of the stock has started with the retirement through effective non-overhaul of a significant portion of available rail stock in favor of new, lighter, and more capable equipment. Line updates have consisted of a steady program to replace sleepers with more modern concrete ones to improve stability, reduce shake, and increase loadings. Far more work still needs to be done though as a more comprehensive program of bridge modernization will be required to standardize the use of double container cars on most routes.
We still use wooden sleeper in the 70s? :jackiechan:
Also, double stacking container in cargo train is totally new dev for Soviet and even Russia afaik, can anyone find evidence to the contrary?

Networking between Erbrus-6M units has been a major technical undertaking even with the most innovative technologies applied to the process. The primary goal of the program has been the formation of a series of hub and spoke systems capable of sending text and information electronically across the entire system between mainframes. Initial construction programs have been finalized in Moscow with pioneering protocols for the movement of files copied partially from American examples. New multiprocessor units breaking away from mainline Erbrus units have been increased in demand, bringing a lighter mainframe for network communications. Design for the network itself is expected to focus on a limited number of major technical-scientific cities with an extended branch to Saratov and Sverdlovsk planned. Throughput limitations at hubs have driven several novel technical solutions but little immediately implementable.
The age of the "as per my last e-mail" has begun.

The fundamental issue is that there is not enough coal production to reach the thousand-megaton target set for the end of the decade as an idealized round number.
Soviet planning on crack

Current provisions in production are sufficient for the production of twelve cores per year once the workers are sufficiently trained.
Production is still ramping up, not 12 cores/yr yet.
Construction of new high-capacity yards capable of building ships up to 3500 TEU as a standard heavy shipping asset has been authorized and funded.
We are at 3rd gen, a bit ahead, for comparision:




Efforts to standardize and provide capital for the high throughput production of the six-micrometer standard circuit design have reached several technical and political challenges. Chips can be made in the laboratory to a sufficient quantity but mass production of the new design is continuing to pose major technical and economic challenges. New K6806VS base model microprocessors in several variations alongside K5606RP memory modules are expected to be produced through domestic second-generation machines. Current production of the initial machine systems is expected to start by the end of next year with scale production of modern ICs not expected until at least 1977. Down-node production has gone better as more mature domestic machinery has been able to improve significantly, producing a two-and-a-half thousand-transistor microprocessor and accompanying 10-micrometer memory modules at scale. System integration and fabrication of discrete semiconductor elements still need far more funding but machinery development and production have been stabilized.
We are going to be staying behind at the trailing edge for a while I guess. Wonder if we switched to the new Winchester HDD yet?

Many of the cars currently produced have several features from the last decade with an inadequate use of modern materials, safety standards, or engines.
Seat belt and air bag are invented in the 1970s.

The question of actually flying a nuclear boost stage has involved continuous discussions of its practicality, abort procedures, and the insistence on additional shielding on the lower stage to protect the engine in case of a breakup. Losses in mass efficiency have been judged as acceptable with the first mission expected to fly with a nuclear stage to mercury planned for the next year. Developments for a high capability upper stage have, if anything, posed more issues, in effect stretching the RLA-3 with the addition of a central 35m nuclear-hydrogen stage. If system testing confirms capability then payloads of up to 14 tons can be launched into either Jovian or Mercury intercepts. From there missions including orbiters or even landers can be conducted on most bodies in the inner solar system with several plans calling for the assessment of asteroids.
4m wide, 35m long, so cursed, like a long ciggy😩



en.wikipedia.org

BepiColombo - Wikipedia

We are not just doing flyby or even orbit, we are capable of LANDING 😵

Further industrial and technical work on a positioning system has started with work on high-precision timekeeping that can be used to compare relative positions. The concept itself is valid and only heavily depends on the localization of satellites into precise orbits and the development of receivers that can calculate the triangulation of signals. Army interest in the program is immense but they have moved towards the creation of a parallel program acting on the separation of civilian and military funding. One of the two is expected to be canceled by the time results are available but the system is too important to reduce funding.
On schedule and with civ usage considered from the start, very nice.
In the early 1980s, NPO PM received the first prototype satellites from PO Polyot for ground tests. Many of the produced parts were of low quality and NPO PM engineers had to perform substantial redesigning, leading to a delay. On 12 October 1982, three satellites, designated Kosmos-1413, Kosmos-1414, and Kosmos-1415 were launched aboard a Proton rocket. As only one GLONASS satellite was ready in time for the launch instead of the expected three, it was decided to launch it along with two mock-ups. The American media reported the event as a launch of one satellite and "two secret objects." For a long time, the Americans could not find out the nature of those "objects". The Telegraph Agency of the Soviet Union (TASS) covered the launch, describing GLONASS as a system "created to determine positioning of civil aviation aircraft, navy transport and fishing-boats of the Soviet Union".
😂
Enough compressor units have been made to catch up with the rate of new construction of homes if not enough to supply the growing demand for new units entirely. Current programs have focused on supplying a vast and continuously expanding housing program more than they have on the public demand for systems. Expanded programs are going to be essential for continuing to improve living conditions for the average worker. The large plants have also partially expanded in specialization, working to produce an adequate quantity of refrigeration and cooling systems. Prospects for further production increases can be partially accomplished through the use of incentive funds but if a broader housing program is underway then decisive spending will have to accompany it.
We kinda overbuilt AC plant in prep for more housing, be a shame to not do that in spite of the electrical cost.

Delays in the synthetic fiber revolution have been endemic with inadequate funding and a lack of focus on achieving total domestic independence in modern textiles. Cotton use is wasteful and inefficient as even the cheapest labor struggles to be competitive for domestic cultivation of cotton at a large scale. Current work towards the inclusion of synthetic fibers along with standards for a minimum percentage of synthetic fibers has come slowly as the Supreme Soviet has hesitated to implement effective policies to encourage it. Current funding programs have led to the establishment of four new enterprises to specialize in the chemical industry providing a stable quantity of new fibers capable of making clothing modern and more comfortable.
Dude, calm down with the brain worm.

Increases in paper goods demand has been partially met through the use of incentive funds but that in itself is an indicator of lacking investment. Paper goods of all varieties have been more expensive than comparative goods in the West as underfunding of the industry has reduced domestic competitiveness. Increases in the consumption of paper goods have been underestimated as new products have found a vast number of consumers in the domestic sector. Current plans have called for the establishment of a complex of nine new pulp mills and an expansion of forestry industries, providing local labor with jobs and industrial involvement. On-site pulping in heavily forested areas will reduce the runoff of production and enable high rates of efficiency in industrial production.
The Soviet ppl can now have 2 ply toilet paper, 3 and up is for party member only.

Several enterprises have already pioneered the techniques involved, re-utilizing waste wood and secondary quality wood products for the manufacturing of furniture. Composite wood materials with bindings have lowered manufacturing costs through standardization and molding allowing the lower-end furniture industry to be expanded and iterated domestically. Most homes do not need hardwood furniture of the highest quality and even those wishing for high-quality goods are fine with composite non-structural elements. This has led to the establishment of four dedicated enterprises to meet the demand as an enlarged housing project is expected with furniture forming a growing market sector.
The student cadre would like to thank the party for new OurKEA furniture for their new crib, this will surely increase our birthrate for the next plan.

Clones of goods from the Americans from those capable of improving food storage to cheap and reliable piping are now accessible to the average soviet worker.
Takeout box and PVC piping on the cheap.

Processing systems for runoff oils from the Saratov refineries and some of the facilities to the north of Novokuznetsk have achieved significant gains in fuel utilization efficiency. The heaviest fractions of fuel oil can now be cracked instead of being directly combusted creating novel technical solutions for previously not undertaken issues. Easier-to-refine factions that are cracked using thermal products from impossible-to-refine factions that must be burned for any usable production. Waste products from cracking are expected to be sold into the chemical industry as demand shifts with plentiful synthetic materials used in several industrial areas to expand and improve production.
Waste not, want not.

To compensate for grid under-spending and the rapid growth of core industrial indices a comprehensive program of new combined cycle plants has entered construction. These are large-scale turbine units capable of supplying thermal recovery units to salvage significant quantities of otherwise wasted heat.
Green policy in the 70s

Efficient sorting and processing of hundreds of tons of chicken production waste along with improvements in both variety and feed efficiency have continued. Localized mass production facilities are adequate for the production of lower-grade fertilizers as a bulk processing system with runoff maceration yields cooked into food to increase protein content along with soy scraps. New varieties of chicken have steadily gained in weight, allowing a more compact and higher throughput model of producing both eggs and meat to provide for the growing demand of the public. Tight integration with farming and farming waste processing is expected to achieve an improvement in the yields of meat in local areas, bringing the cheapest forms of meat to every home.
Increasing hydrological efficiencies through a dual campaign of improved irrigation and a shift towards crops that demand less from the soil than conventional varieties of wheat have achieved some success. Onions, Peas, Beans, Cabbage, and Soy have all been typically used as bulk crops with the latter forming the principal protein supplement for mixed-factor meats and several meat industry products. Continued efforts and a focus on increasing tillage along with the provision of farmers with new varieties have steadily worked to move wheat cultivation to more hydrologically favored regions while the Southern belt has received a greater drive towards efficiency. The improvements in rail and shipping infrastructure are expected to secure further gains, likely resulting in cheaper general commodities, especially in meat varieties that demand high protein feeds.
Our agri policies are meshing well.

Allocations towards local small meat farmers and agriculture on otherwise subpar land have been implemented to improve local production of higher-quality meats. The majority of industrial meat has been seen as something of a lower quality with a significant sector leftover for higher quality varieties. Increases in sales from a mixture of misguided moralism or lack of capability to use garlic and herbs are expected as smaller farmers are expected to move into the segment at scale. Much of the production is expected to start up in areas with worse land otherwise unsuited for agriculture, bringing more of the Union into agricultural productivity and adequately modernizing the countryside.
Ofc Bala think we are too stupid to use spice 🤡

Development of Population Services(Stage 1/3): The rural workers have considerably been ignored by any development in general services and practically left in the dust outside a small set of tepid handouts. This needs to be overhauled and amended to bring the countryside into some sense of modernity. The lower density in the countryside cannot be fixed at any rapid pace and will inform conditions but that does not mean that daily bus routes cannot be established or even some basic service officers. The program itself is large and ambitious but it represents something of a first step towards equalizing town and country. (439/250 Stage 1 Complete) (189/250 Stage 2) (-15 CI2 Electricity +2 General Labor +1 Educated Labor)

Starting the ambitious program of expanding services to the countryside and ensuring that even the smallest towns have access to a grocer, bureaucratic services, and reliable postal services is a massive and comprehensive project. All three are essential for daily functionality and for many villages, these have been entirely unavailable to any extent with current funding essential for overcoming the limitations of lower-density construction. Little of the effort will yield a profit and some in the ministry have argued that it will maintain a loss but the improvement of rural life cannot be ignored. If the countryside is abandoned the same excuses will be used for smaller cities in a decade or two.
He is pushing for this HARD!

Shift Refrigerants: Moving to non-fluorinated refrigerants is expected to reduce direct damage to ozone formation and can serve as a capable political move to undermine the narrative of the ecologically obsessed. The Union committing itself largely and decisively can be easily played up to any number of student groups as doing something for their misguided perception of the environment. It can be conducted for a meaningless and minor cost from ministry funding. The international impact would further allow the Union to produce a bludgeon towards the capitalist nations as those unwilling to follow science, a progressive system of organization, or listen to their ecologists. (73)

A five-year program to eliminate long-chain fluoroalkanes has started with the expected result of modernizing domestic industries away from them as primary refrigerants. Several fluoromethanes and ethanes have remained as they are believed to have a negligible potential for ecological harm with the victory treated as a significant step forward for general ecological progress. Already the effort has achieved both international and domestic attention from important cadres popularizing the view that the Soviet system is willing to decisively act on ecological causes. Practical effects or costs from the ban are expected to be negligible with minor drops in efficiency for several cooling units but nothing noticeable on the grid or personal scale.

Agricultural Land Reassessment: Going out into the countryside and determining the exact value of the land available has not been done at scale since the immediate post-war plans. Local assessments exist of course but a comprehensive Union-wide one does not. Taking the steps to amend it will not be that much of an allocation and it can be used to proverbially wave the flag for rural party interests. (22)

Formal assessments of agricultural lands on quality, water access, and several other factors have started to improve the capacity of farming and farming enterprises. Instead of the original goal of using the program to boost rural interests and increase the focus on them, many local farmers have seen the inspectors as something invasive instead of helpful. Accurate and comprehensive assessments of course would only help them, but due to the previous experiences involving the ministry, the benefit of the doubt has generally not been provided. Even when talking to the farmers, several have only seen the program in the light of increased taxes instead of increasing agricultural efficiency.
We kept rolling low on every assessment iirc, even this rural guy, the option is cursed.

Expand Town Classification Codes: The tiers of cities and the distinctions between types of towns are an obsolete system that is a holdover from the limited mobility of peasants. Now that the situation has changed, small towns and agricultural areas can move to a more district-based model, allowing for party and state leadership to be consolidated. The program is comparatively popular amongst rural interests and will allow for far better representation without too many complaints. (70)

Large-scale changes in the countryside have passed as a compromise with rural interests and Ryzhkov himself spearheaded the change. No longer are towns in the countryside separated due to a series of classifications but now districts are generally unified in administration with the district authorities given equivalent capability. This has increased the scale of governance with several new positions opened but it has created a massive reform in the organization of the provinces that has been taken up as a case of equivalence between the rural and urban party and state organizations. Local administrative divisions in towns are not going to be equivalent to the massive ones in cities, but regional-level authorities can now manage all necessary day-to-day tasks with few exceptions.
This is huge, why are ppl not cheering?

Clarify the River Reversal: Party members across the Central Asian republics have continuously championed the cause of river reversal to revive the parched steppe and to solve the coming agricultural crisis. Getting together a block of concerned representatives and party functionaries now will smooth the path toward the adoption of the total plan for river reversal, ensuring that it will be approved and encouraged. There will be some opposition from those from the Urals, but that will be comparatively minor given the rest of the Supreme Soviet. (-5)

It can be said that a significant number of party members do not understand the scale of the undertaking involved nor the science behind it as the initial proposals for the redirection of the Northern Rivers have if anything been amplified. Instead of moving with the project as a sensible scheme to divert some of the Yenisei into the Ob and five percent of the Ob to the South, the project has been significantly amplified in scale. Demands for the implementation of programs to divert a full tenth of the Yenisei into the Ob with ten percent of the now unified river proposed as essential to recharge the parched lands of Central Asia. Conversion of the mistake of nature to a local reservoir is planned along with major local hydrological works to begin greening and stabilization of soils, shifting the runoff to the already useless Caspian for use as a waste reservoir.


[]Send it to Committee: The program has escaped from the control of the ministry and taking measures now to reduce the scale will be prudent. Referring the entire initiative towards a combined ecological-technical committee will certainly kill it at the cost of support from rural workers and the likely political loss of any connections to party members from the Central Asian republics. Theoretically, the ecologists may come to a line in support of the program but purchasing a decade on implementation can direct resources towards more important areas. (??? Effects)

[]Reversal of the Northern Rivers: Starting the program in the next plan will involve the construction of the fully proposed Ob-Irtysh hydroelectric cascade as a first step with the further preparation of canal work. The heavy construction program would continue at full pace for the next few years to link the rivers as the project itself was initiated in full in approximately 1985. This in total would be the largest industrial measure ever undertaken by a nation and would redefine the use of energy and water across a broad region of the planet. Transfer potential is expected to be in the order of forty cubic kilometers of water per annum, transferring demand away from the Aral and providing enough water to maintain current levels of industrial activity. Additional efficiency programs would be implemented to continue growth, effectively avoiding major disruptions. (3 Infrastructure dice across the 10th and 2 the 11th Plan) (-380 RpY Modified by Steel Prices) (+300 Electricity -8 Non-Ferrous in 1980) (+2 Petroleum fuels per Year 1977-1981)

[]Modified River Reversal: The expanded program faces several risks in the form of environmental pollutants from the majority of the Ural industrial belt, funding the program in its entirety is less of an issue than the useability of the water. Implementing stricter standards across the Ob can be done in the first two years through the allocation of funding to clean up the water as it is washed out to the ocean. These measures would be treated as starting preparatory ones and come at a significant cost but one that can be met by current industries. As the plan is being implemented the infrastructure can be built up to adequate amounts with the damming of the Ob used to stabilize local access to freshwater sources. The redirection of pollutants to the upstream Ob will involve some additional funding but it would offer an effective compromise between the ecologically misguided and the radical expansion of the project. (3 Infrastructure dice across the 10th and 11th Plan) (-500 RpY Modified by Steel Prices) (+240 Electricity -6 Non-Ferrous in 1980) (+2 Petroleum fuels per Year 1979-1983)
Even worse than simply poisoning Central Asia and drying out Siberia. It would push up fuel prices in the middle of the oil crisis! That doesn't just make life worse for Central Asian nobodies, it would make things worse for people in Moscow and Leningrad. It would make vast swathes of our industries unprofitable (with political consequences). And it would mean we're less able to support our fraternal allies through the crisis. A successful or even nearly successful counter-revolution would be catastrophic for the minister at the time and deeply damaging to the Soviet position in the Cold War.

Do not put toxic waste in the water that the Party's caviar comes from. Modified RR is the only real option imo.
I would only add that if you poison the caviar then we may get our EPA even faster.
Well, let me put something else on the scales before we make any hasty conclusions: if we do the unmodified river reversal the caspian sturgeon population will go extinct, and the caviar supply will collapse. The supsov will absolutely not accept that result.
More room for catfish.

Campaigning work has been a consistently tiring series of travel using the old ministry Tu-126 to fly to several destinations.
Tu-126 OTL

 
Various opinions on the river reversal already I see, so I'll take a look at some aspects as well... which actually led to skimming through a few academic papers...

- These dams seems to use a fair bit of the power production of non-ferrous production considering it will push the prices down on that. So it will offset any production increases one might do in that area at least. How ever the Soviets actually built dams in these rivers as well and used them for electrical power. Not sure what to make of that.
- Total diversion amount is said to be about 10%, a lot less bad then I expected. And due to global warming the Northern rivers in our timeline most likely gained something like 10% more flow, plus or minus a fair bit on which ones exactly. Ob and Yenisei possibly being on the lower end of the spectrum here. For the coming 50 years for now I will thus estimate there will be a small net loss of total water on these rivers from this project, 6% perhaps.
- Ob and Yenisei due to having major dams built in to them with large reservoirs by the Soviets actually, though of course not the full river reversal idea, has data to look at. Major effect from reservoir usage for power generation was to even out water release, summer floods became less bad, winter dryness far less severe. There is still a rather large difference between winter and summer though, still at first glance this actually probably helps the wetlands in the North as their environment becomes more stable.
- Total annual water volume of Ob is over 400 cubic kilometer on average, Yenisei over 500 cubic kilometers but little of the Yenisei will be diverged. So most of the load is presumably on the Ob River.
- Aral Sea once in the early 60s got about 50 cubic kilometers a year, so 40 cubic kilometers should be a very large increase of water availability in central Asia.
- Obviously even with this much water gain one can't really splurge water on the vast grass fields of Central Asia as the total area is huge, but it would allow more to be done and might lead to some overall greening with some of the extra water cycling around in the area. Still water efficiency programs will probably remain important if one wants to get the most out of it and make the return on invested resources at least a bit less bad.

Overall this seems a pretty large project, with a lot of large and thus expensive dams to build. Though they will generate power as well so presumably economically at least compensate for it. But probably a significant fraction of the cost is the river reversal scheme itself, maybe some one has an idea how much of the whole it would be? Though I suspect the water diversion part will probably not be considered the most cost effective investment that could have been made in the infrastructure area.


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Two other things that stood out to me is that the gas turbines are becoming more efficient combined cycle, which at least brings them to a more modern standard and lets us stretch the gas as far as it will go.

Our enormous aircon production for heating and cooling made me wonder just how much of our total power usage they cover. I suppose they are probably in part to blame for the enormous electrical demands on the Soviet Grid. Though on the plus side, I guess if one can change the grid to less polluting solutions, that many civilian heating systems will not have to be converted as well.
 
I think we should not nuke the minister until at least he completes the rural service program, and maybe the city waste program.

Also, the gamble may result in us still doing the contaminated water project, because the people wants river reversal and there would not be anyone ready to push a modified plan.
 
We are getting a Semyonovite guy who has a degree in political economy forced on us as a deputy. He is essentially intended to keep us in line.
That hasn't happened yet though, if Balakirev gets fired right now there is no obvious successor which means it's a knife fight in the SupSov over who gets to pick it. Whoever wins will naturally be a political hire installed for the primary quality of loyalty to his patron though, not any actual administrative or technical ability. And that guy will likely just do RR anyways. If Balakirev gets fired over not doing river reversal then obviously the politicians care rather a lot about river reversal and will be installing a replacement that actually listens to his orders when told to do it.
 
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Wouldn't that potentially wreck the plan to transition energy from coal to other options? Political hires aren't usually known for long term planning and more for doing more of what worked so far.
 
Wouldn't that potentially wreck the plan to transition energy from coal to other options? Political hires aren't usually known for long term planning and more for doing more of what worked so far.
Yeah, Balakirev literally wrote the book about the upcoming energy crisis, there is quite literally nobody in the state apparatus at this level who is more motivated to address it than him. Any replacement would inherently be less worried about the energy cliff and would do river reversal anyways if the thing that gets us fired is trying to kill river reversal.

This decision is the product of a negative 5 quality roll, it's all bad choices. There's no secret way to thread the needle with a -5, just picking our poison.
 
Do we have any idea who would replace Bala if we nuke his career?

It looks like dont have any deputy atm
We are getting a Semyonovite guy who has a degree in political economy forced on us as a deputy. He is essentially intended to keep us in line.
To expand on this, with the political rolls last turn, we're entering the new generation of the party-state struggle between Semyonov and Ryzhkov respectively. As Bala is Ryzh's guy and MNKh is the biggest ministry, Sem is going to force his own guy in using the plan we just failed as an excuse. He is very much a politician and not an administrator, and thus will have something like -15 to all non-politics dice instead of Bala's +10.
 
Again none of this is guaranteed, it's pretty likely given the election rolls and non-canon stuff Blackstar has said in Discord but nothing is canon until it's actually in an update, Semyonov could always get a nat 1 next turn or something.
 
If we do the River Reversal and get an additional 8 Petroleum, doing a heavy focus on oil derived products by the ministry now seems dangerous.

Would a plastics crash and a wave of bankruptcy following the surge in spending from enterprise intiative be more dangerous than just the economic damage from the normal oil crash?

Cause if we let the enterprises move into the breach on plastics and then let them get burned while we focus on our service transition seems ideal
 
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Again none of this is guaranteed, it's pretty likely given the election rolls and non-canon stuff Blackstar has said in Discord but nothing is canon until it's actually in an update, Semyonov could always get a nat 1 next turn or something.
Next turn would be after the plan vote and that's when we get personnel changes, however. But yes, it's info from Discord that isn't 100% sure until It's in the thread, as usual.
 
Wouldn't that potentially wreck the plan to transition energy from coal to other options? Political hires aren't usually known for long term planning and more for doing more of what worked so far.

AtomMash is so enormous that I have a hard time seeing any minister being able to divert from the nuclear power roll out now.

Maybe that's wishful thinking.

To expand on this, with the political rolls last turn, we're entering the new generation of the party-state struggle between Semyonov and Ryzhkov respectively. As Bala is Ryzh's guy and MNKh is the biggest ministry, Sem is going to force his own guy in using the plan we just failed as an excuse. He is very much a politician and not an administrator, and thus will have something like -15 to all non-politics dice instead of Bala's +10.

Hm, if us failing the plan puts Balakirev in danger anyway, maybe we don't have much to loose on sending the river reversal to committee.

If we do the River Reversal and get an additional 8 Petroleum, doing a heavy focus on oil derived products by the ministry now seems dangerous.

Just to make sure you have it straight, it's not that we get petroleum, it's that we loose so much of it that the price jumps up by +8.

Various opinions on the river reversal already I see, so I'll take a look at some aspects as well... which actually led to skimming through a few academic papers...

This is very informative. The size of the scheme seems environmentally manageable... Well, relatively speaking at least. Are the papers you found things you can link to? Would be very interested to read the detail on this...

Yeah, Balakirev literally wrote the book about the upcoming energy crisis, there is quite literally nobody in the state apparatus at this level who is more motivated to address it than him. Any replacement would inherently be less worried about the energy cliff and would do river reversal anyways if the thing that gets us fired is trying to kill river reversal.

This decision is the product of a negative 5 quality roll, it's all bad choices. There's no secret way to thread the needle with a -5, just picking our poison.

I get the temptation to go with the modified river reversal...

Can we increase our oil production enough to offset the +8 price rise tho? And at the same time increase production to cope with prices spiking as CMEA demand relies even more on us?

If there's a way to have our cake and eat it, I am all ears. But my instinct is that trying to buy our way out of this hole by throwing steel, concrete and money at our problems and undermining our fuel situation when an oil shock is immanent is a bad play, and we are better taking the risk on the Comittee.

Regards,

fasquardon
 
Cannon Omake: A Report on the Allocation of Ministry Funds During the 9th Planning Period
A Report on the Allocation of Ministry Funds During the 9th Planning Period

A Report on the Allocation of Ministry Funds During the 9th Five Year Plan
InfrastructureHeavy IndustryRocketry LICIAgricultureServices
19709.29%35.21%0.00%11.82%29.34%8.80%5.54%
197112.53%42.83%0.00%6.58%24.43%7.52%6.11%
197210.87%34.78%0.00%15.65%24.49%3.77%10.43%
19739.86%30.54%0.00%12.65%29.52%5.31%12.11%
197416.31%26.34%0.00%11.57%29.78%9.60%6.40%
TOTAL11.95%33.47%0.00%11.74%27.63%7.02%8.20%


Authored by Vladimir Fedorovich Balakirev, Head of the MNKh
Published January 9th 1975


In light of the previous plan's shortcomings in the provision of heavy industry, political agitation towards achieving energy independence and the increasing importance of the chemical industry as one of the pillars of economic development, this plan has naturally prioritized these sectors in an attempt to bring Soviet industry into modernity through intensive development. The goal of developing high technology industries in the automotive and electronic sectors has borne fruit, allowing for a new generation of consumer products to be developed, and progress in bridging the gap in petrochemical extraction and refinement has been significant. However setbacks in foreign policy have undermined those efforts somewhat, as a policy of heavy tariffs and the limitation of technical exports to the Union being implemented by the new American government have imposed limitations in the import of next generation equipment and expertise. To that end, the development of trade ties with the rest of the developed economies, increased development of local technologies and a more permissive internal regime on the acquisition of intellectual property has become paramount.

This plan's biggest beneficiary in terms of funds allocated has been the heavy industrial sector, with a level of investment not seen since the fifth five year plan. Priority has been given to the development of the semiconductor industry, with the efforts culminating in achieving scale production of units in the 6 micrometer node and the start of the transition into solid state circuits. Progress has also been made with the modernization of the automotive, tooling and shipbuilding industries. More notable, the heavy dependence on coal for energy supply has led to the extensive development of coal deposits, with limited avenues for increased economic production. This in turn has lead to the Ministry pursuing bold new avenues in alternative energy sources, the highlight of which has been the atomic energy program. The founding of a massive new facility in Rostov has not only provided almost a hundred thousand well paying jobs and revitalized the local economy, but has provided new horizons to electricity production, with the promise of 12 VVER-1000 cores being produced every year, effectively enough to supply a quarter of new demand.

Following the split in the light and chemical industry department, the chemical industrial sector has followed the heavy industrial one in receiving budgetary priority. About a quarter of funding has been utilized in providing for the steady increased in the production of plastics, agrochemicals and synthetic rubber to feed the engines of the national economy. With the foundation of the Saratov plant and the import of American expertise, strides have been made in increasing the sophistication of petrochemical extraction and refinement. The application of new techniques in the exploitation of new fields in the West Siberian basin and the modernization of extractive infrastructure in previously developed ones has consistently increased output. Additionally, with the massive demands on the power grid following high industrial growth and ever increasing amounts of natural gas being taken out of the ground, combined cycle gas plants have been built to account for shortfalls, providing an important alternative to the strained coal sector. Despite all these successes however, extraction of petroleum is beggining to reach its limits, and despite record setting increases in production, demand is almost certain to outpace it. Furthermore, cheap oil from the Middle East has overcome Soviet imports in the European CMEA market, setting a worrying trend in outsorcing energy from out of the bloc, undermining energy independence and exposing it to shocks in demand.

Investments in infrastructure have decreased, but the sector has remained an important part of the budget, receiving the third highest amount of funding. The housing program has continued to receive steady investment, water and sewage links have been expanded upon, and the development of a main electrified rail trunk has been completed. The western high speed rail network has also been expanded to connect areas of industrial importance, and a new highway has been constructed to connect Siberia and the Far East to the new road network. More notably, a great focus was put on the expansion of airport infrastructure throught the whole Union. These new airports have connected isolated areas and drastically cut travel times. Allowing for a week long trip from Moscow to important cities in the Far East to be cut down to mere hours. Already, a significant increase in business travel has been noted, and important administrative affairs can be conducted much more swiftly. Efforts have also been made in improving the bureaucracy, with a ministry wide program of modernization through the issuance of more computing units and the introduction of tabletop calculators, considerably lowering overhead despite high initial capital costs and cutting down on human erros. This program of modernization has also been extended to academic institution, with a computing network being set up between several universities and institutes.

Matching investments in infrastructure, light industry has proved important in the provisioning of consumer goods, both through direct production of finished goods and in producing the feedstocks necessary for their manufacture, though not enough to counteract the lacking investment in the automotive sector's in regards to the failure in achieving the targets set for the ministry. Increased competition from foreign enterprises in more durable, high quality products has begun to show itself, particularly in regards to home appliances. As such, increased funding was provided for enterprises to expand production and produce new, more competitive product. Air conditioning production has increased significantly, meeting the needs of the housing program. The development of engineered woods has also created opportunities in the development of new cheaper and lighter furniture products and with new synthetic fabrics entering the market, opportunities have also opened up to move away from cotton and the creation of new enterprises focused on utilizing them for a new generation of cheap clothing. Furthermore, with the foundation of a supply chain for semiconductors being established, significant opportunities have been opened up in the domain of consumer electronics, efforts in breaching this market have been dominated by new, compact calculators, but several new products have been introduced internationally and can be produced locally with some effort.

With the increased focus on the industrial sectors, the services have somewhat fallen to the wayside, receiving second to last in budgetary priority. A misguided drive for the expansion of childcare early in the plan created difficulties in fulfilling the targets assigned by the Council of Ministers, culminating in a failure to do so. Despite the relative lack of political importance of the sector, efforts must still be made to not repeat this failure in order to avoid further embarassments to the Ministry. Nonetheless, some important projects were completed during this five year plans. Most important of which was the significant expansion of road based transport, allowing for businesses to expand their reach, decrease costs and connect the Union. Aditionally, general stores and petrol stations have both increased the quality of life and created jobs in smaller settlements and served to service both trucks and agricultural equipment locally. Furthermore, enterprises have been established to supply grocers with easy to store and high demand food products.

In light of the achievements of the previous plan, the agricultural sector was afforded the least resources in the budget. However, this figure is slightly deceptive in that significant efforts in the chemical industry to supply ever increasing amounts of fertilizer and other agrochemicals have been made, as well as infrastructure projects aimed at solving hydrological issues inherent to much of Soviet agriculture. This has allowed for yields to consistently increase, and with the potential advent of river reversal, Soviet agriculture faces the prospect of decisively breaking from the constraints nature has imposed on it. Despite all this, much funding and effort has been put into improving water usage through improved irrigation techniques and moving away from more water intensive crops in Central Asia in favor of more forgiving vegetable and fruit crops. Aditionally, great strides have been made in the production of meat products, which are always in great demand.
 
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