Kilopage get! I wonder if Blackstar could have imagined this wild ride reaching a thousand pages, back when it first started in 2020...
In my opinion, scientific value of the program, successful or not, is secondary to the push for better electronics an ambitious program would create. Is there a reason to believe Staggered Launches would be better for that goal than Full Survey?
Even if Staggered Launches is not outright worse for electronics, you must seriously consider if it would be better
enough to be worth:
- Consuming an extra 5 RpY of our precious space budget for the next decade (which would also prevent us from running a nuclear drive program alongside getting the useful new Light Launcher right now)
- Being very likely to result in the space program getting a HUGE hit to its prestige and reputation after its most expensive project since the Lunar program sees most of its mission goals fail with the probes burning up after their long journeys.
I say it is not worth it. Especially due to the second point. I do not want to deal with SupSov glaring at us after spending a big chunk of the space budget on probes that crash because we were RECKLESS and tried a new maneuver without any checking of how dangerous it is!
Well, I looked at
wikipedia to try and find out when the first successful aerobreaking maneuver was and how many early failures there were and I read this:
"using the technique is difficult because a very detailed knowledge of the character of the target planet's atmosphere is needed in order to plan the maneuver correctly"
Oh dear gosh, we know barely ANYTHING about any of these atmospheres!
Well FUCK. Yeah, trap option. Very much a trap option. We're just going to burn up all the probes. Vote Staggered Launches everyone!
Fasquardon, you have a point about the aerobraking maneuver being very risky. I want to wait on a second opinion before I make up my mind, though.
Fasquadron is the space guy here, and I doubt anyone else in this thread has the knowledge to GIVE that second opinion. Heck, three+ days since the update and he's the only person who thought do basic research on the technique described in the options. We're total geniuses aren't we?
And unless one can find writings from a reputable Space Person on the subject, that
extremely damning Wikipedia snippet is as authoratative as we'll get on just how bad doing blind aerobraking is!
And note how our under-investment in the oil sector in this plan has led to intensified coal useage. "Drill baby drill" is better at least than "mine baby mine".
Wait when did that happen? I figured the coal demand was normal, where did we ramp up aside from for feeding the coal plants we agreed on at plant start?
Plan makers on Discord are assuming we will be throwing a ton of free dice at infra next plan. So he is certainly a viable pick. We need to ramp up housing, do airports, catch up on roads, do dams, maybe some other hydrological work etc
A big reason people are picking the LCI deputy is that they want to look like they're taking initiative on solving the oil production issue. They're frightened that if they don't, the Supreme Soviet will try forcing us into taking a Chemical Industry focus, which if we also take a HI focus for Atomash will leave us with
less infra dice next plan if we take the infra deputy.
I am of the opinion that even if the worst does come to pass, we can survive 5 years with only 12 Infra dice. But others don't see it that way.