Attempting to Fulfill the Plan MNKh Edition

Voted best in category in the Users' Choice awards.
[X] Plan: Survive The Shock
-[X]Formulation
--[X]Heavy Industry: (+6 HI Dice) (Required for Competitive Domestic Lithography Machines, Intensive Automotive Production, CNC Machine Building Plants(Stage 2-3) and the Domestic Technologies Industry Target) (+5 Steel, +5 Non-Ferrous Price Shift when Active)
--[X]Services: (+6 SR Dice) (Required for Population Distribution Programs(Stage 3-5), Computerization of Finance, Retraining Programs, Distribution of Professional Services, and the Services Catchup Target)
--[X]20+15% GNP: (10900 RpY)
--[X]Domestic Technologies Industries: (30% MFPG, 35% Capital Goods, 35% Consumer Goods, 10% Agricultural, and 40% Service Sector Valuation Increase)
-[X]Infrastructure
--[X]Housing Construction Efforts: 5 Infrastructure Dice: (850 RpY Modified by Steel Prices)
--[X]Passenger Rail Network(Caucasus): (1 Infrastructure Dice) (180 RpY)
--[X]Rail Electrification: (3 Infrastructure Dice) (480 RpY) (Estimated 120 RpY Return) (-2 Petroleum Fuels)
-[X]Power Plant Construction
--[X](Hydroelectric) Volga Reservoir Systems: (1 Infrastructure dice) (-120 RpY Modified by Steel Prices) (+40 Electricity per Year) (Completion across 1977-1981)
--[X](Nuclear VVER-1000): 3 Heavy Industry Die: (-920 RpY) (270 Electricity -1 Coal per Year) (Completion across 1980-1984) (Estimated 90 Rpy Return)
--[X](CPSC): 2 Heavy Industry Dice: (-620 RpY) (240 Electricity +4 Coal per Year)
--[X](CCGT): 1 Heavy Industry and 2 Chemical Industry Dice: (-1000 RpY) (350 Electricity +8 Petroleum Gas per Year)
--[X](GEP): 1 Heavy Industry Die: (-200 RpY) (30 Electricity per Year)
-[X]Services
--[X]Healthcare: 3 Services Dice: (600 RpY)
--[X]Education: 3 Services Dice: (300 RpY)

6 FR/1 IN/9 HI/6 LI/4 CI/4 AG/10 SR
930 EpY
5630 RpY

I don't care for it, but following Blackstar's comments about institutional decay if something is unsupported, I am switching to HI/Services.

Consumer computers are not the be-all-end-all. They're a necessary development, yes, but they can afford to be later if it means competitive industry. This is a fundamental foundation we must at least equalthe US on. Furthermore, the HI focus will make the future LI focus more effective.

Beyond that, we need to hold up everything that we want to see develop. That means yes to electrification, yes to HSR, yes to gas turbines, and yes to GEP. Put Bala's brainworms out of your mind and remember to actually do something before entering into political knifefighting. Keep the ball rolling.

The weight of these investments will likely buckle under the oilshock, but there's no avoiding that aspect. What this will allow us to do is to respond to that buckling in an effective manner, and with some cushions of energy to manage the shift.
 
The question is WHO? Who is going to buy the shiny new expensive chip you guys are clamoring to build with the HI focus?
It's the Military, that's who! They are the only one who would buy them.
We must build up our consumer base first by expand it to enterprise with our good ol' tradition: super-good-for-its-price (in this case prob the Z80)

View: https://youtu.be/P1aqtfXUCEk?si=q4a56doIiXTcBDOm

You want economy of scale, you don't want to just supplying top-of-the-line chip to the frikking black hole that is the military.
The common ppl haven't even seen a mainframe yet, let alone a personal computer.
We need to get ppl to see them in their daily life first, if not at their job then at their post office or their bank.
Can't leap frog this I'm afraid. Say no to supply side Jesus.

[X]Plan Silicon Dreams
[X]Plan Bracing for Impact
 
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LI-Services is the only way forward. Anyone attempting to squeeze in HI at this turning point is a damn wrecker.

[X]Plan Silicon Dreams
-[X]Plan Focus (+6 dice): LI/Services
-[X]Spending: 20+10% GNP (+11200R)
-[X]Target: Services Catchup
-[X]Infrastructure Autodice (-9 Infra/-2 Ag dice, -1840R base but modified by steel prices)

--[X]Housing: 5 Infra dice (-850R)
--[X]Passenger Rail Network(Ural Region): 2 Infra die (-350R)
--[X]Rail Electrification: 1 Infra die (-140 R)
--[X]Modified River Reversal, 1 Infra + 2 Ag die (-500R)
-[X]Power Autodice (-5 HI/-2 CI dice, +634 power, -2200R)
--[X]Krasnoyarsk-Irkutsk Hydroelectric Zone: 0 Infra Dice, +60 power from last FYP's program (-0R)
--[X]Nuclear Power: 3 HI dice, +64 power from last FYP's program (-920R)
--[X]Coal Power: 2 HI dice, +240 power (-620R)
--[X]Gas Power: 2 CI dice, +240 power (-660R)
--[X]Power Plant Construction(GEP): 1 HI dice (-200R)
-[X]Services Autodice (-5 Services dice, -660R)
--[X]Healthcare: 2 Services dice (-360R)
--[X]Education: 3 Services dice (-300R)
-[X]Total Discretionary pool: 6 FR/3 IN/5 HI/12 LI/4 CI/4 AG/11 SR, 6300 R


[X]Plan Bracing for Impact
-[X]Plan Focus (+6 dice): LI/Services
-[X]Spending: 20+10% GNP (+11200R)
-[X]Target: Consumer Electronics
-[X]Infrastructure Autodice (-9 Infra/-2 Ag dice, -1840R base but modified by steel prices)

--[X]Housing: 5 Infra dice (-850R)
--[X]Passenger Rail Network(Ural Region): 2 Infra die (-350R)
--[X]Rail Electrification: 1 Infra die (-140 R)
--[X]Modified River Reversal, 1 Infra + 2 Ag die (-500R)
-[X]Power Autodice (-6 HI/-2 CI dice, +634 power, -2400R)
--[X]Krasnoyarsk-Irkutsk Hydroelectric Zone: 0 Infra Dice, +60 power from last FYP's program (-0R)
--[X]Nuclear Power: 3 HI dice, +64 power from last FYP's program (-920R)
--[X]Coal Power: 2 HI dice, +240 power (-620R)
--[X]Gas Power: 2 CI dice, +240 power (-660R)
--[X]Green Energy Programs: 1 HI die, +30 power (-200R)
-[X]Services Autodice (-5 Services dice, -660R)
--[X]Healthcare: 2 Services dice (-360R)
--[X]Education: 3 Services dice (-300R)
-[X]Total Discretionary pool: 6 FR/3 IN/4 HI/12 LI/4 CI/4 AG/11 SR, 6300 R
 
[X]Plan Silicon Dreams
[X]Plan Bracing for Impact

Anybody that votes for Infra/LI, or material conditions forbid, Heavy Industry is getting something stolen from their house !!
 
[X] Plan Silicon Dreams
[X] Plan Concrete Dreams

I would prefer a version of Silicon Dreams that goes for 3 Housing dice and/or 20+15 GDP, but I'll take it.
 
The Congo practically officially being a free fire zone with likely the worlds last free port like times of old, is still something I didn't expect to happen when starting to read this quest.
 
@Blackstar - are there any projects that we would get only if we chose Consumer Electronics or Services Catchup? Or do these targets only influence what thresholds we need to meet to fulfill the plan?

We will be able to do something like a HP 2640 with the hardware that's coming in, we have mass production of Intel 8080 equivalents incoming, and our larger wafers/yields are an advantage as well apparently.

Bigger wafers and higher yields are a huge deal for production costs, yes.

And for microcomputers, production costs are certainly important, especially for the first generation, where it isn't clear what people would use them for. If our 6μm is cheaper than the American 3μm, we win that generation.

Anyway, I think this plan is your jive, consider voting for mine or Agumentic's plan (he's made the exact same plan but with the consumer target lol, and does everything you want).

Yup, both look like exactly what I was thinking of.

We'll need to choose a target eventually of course, but at the moment, I think I am good with either. Just in case I asked Blackstar about it above...

[X]Plan Silicon Dreams

EDIT: due to the importance of cars to our consumer goods sector, I have withdrawn my vote for Plan Bracing for Impact.

Regards,

fasquardon
 
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Thinking about focus unlocks:
[]Infrastructure: ... (Required for Northern Resource Development, Second Generation Urban Renovation, Baikal-Amur Line, and Basic Infrastructure Target) (+10 Steel Price Shift while Active)
Northern Resource Development
- it's northern oil (not much I think, e.g. whole Yamal is like 1000x smaller than Samotlor) and gas (and these, otoh, are pretty big deposits)
- impressive amounts of non-ferrous metals, including gold
- some not very economic coal
In general, not very important this plan but could be a good setup for taking world non-ferrous market by storm next plan. I don't think we really want to go this way, though.

Second Generation Urban Renovation - nice cities will keep morals strong, will help us reorganize cities to have less oily commute, make some jobs for general labor. Not really important this plan.

Baikal-Amur Line - pretty important long term for our far east, but I we can just forget far east instead and we will be fine.

Basic Infrastructure Target - not a bad idea, especially if we're doing RR anyway. We have easier time to reach Infra target than any other IMO.

[]Heavy Industry: The heavy industrial sector is still necessary to catch up to the Americans and achieve total domestic independence in the production of advanced machinery. CMEA cannot develop without a stable source of the latest machines and technologies and by increasing spending in the area domestic industry can finally be prepared and brought to the latest techniques. The spending required will be immense along with the energy required but the Soviet Union did not become a superpower without radical and decisive action. (+6 HI Dice) (Required for Competitive Domestic Lithography Machines, Intensive Automotive Production, CNC Machine Building Plants(Stage 2-3) and the Domestic Technologies Industry Target) (+5 Steel, +5 Non-Ferrous Price Shift when Active)

Competitive Domestic Lithography Machine - how important that is had been beaten to death. But it's not good timing and we will have more opportunities on that.
Intensive Automotive Production - we don't need more cars but we might benefit from less hungry cars and more public transport. Overall I'd not go there this plan.
CNC Machine Building Plants - super important for modernizing industry. I think we can delay it one plan but we're like 10 years behind on that and we can't make our industry cheaper on energy without it. Also the effects of it will be lagging one plan beyond that at least, so if we take it next plan, we won't have results before 15 years in the future. This is probably the worst option to miss.


[]Light Industry: Neglect of the consumer sector would have caused the collapse of the last plan if not for the plastics revolution and there is little reason to enable a slowdown. The increasing allocation of the chemical industry and the mass production of new solid-state machinery will be revolutionary before the end of the decade and the Union must be at the forefront of the revolution to maintain parity. Much of this would go towards what has been derided as inefficient consumer devices, but the demand and technical base from consumer electronics will rapidly translate into trained workers in all sectors. (+6 LI Dice) (Required for Microcomputer Plants(Stage 2-4), Expansive Discrete Transistor Production, Consumer Electronics Plants(Stage 2-3), and the Consumer Electronics Target) (+5 Non-Ferrous Price Shift when Active)
Microcomputer Plants - a bit premature for current lithography, tbh. If it was 8088-like we could go to town on it, these chips would have been selling way into 90-s. But it's better than nothing and can get our IT industry and education going.
Expansive Discrete Transistor Production - not super important - these would be easy and moderately safe to just import - but unlike the rest of electronics it's something that if done well can print money well into 2k.
Consumer Electronics Plants(Stage 2-3) - good enough to work, something that can make our plans go well profitability-wise, and would work great with putting a lot of services dice into culture, content production etc.

[Locked Out]Chemical Industry: Energy independence during the current plan is a question instead of a certainty and that requires several further efforts to maintain the situation. A strong expansion of oil production and the development of new methods will be able to maintain domestic oil independence for another plan, possibly two. New methodologies can only somewhat compensate for the depletion of deposits and increasing demand for petroleum. Some efficiency and industrial expansions can be undertaken to reduce the increase and direct it to less used fuels, but the system is fundamentally not sustainable. (+6 CI Dice) (Required for Shale Experiments, Massive Hydraulic Fracturing(Stage 3-8), CNG Vehicle Fuel Conversions(Stage 1-3), and the Domestic Chemical Industries Target) (+5 Steel Price Shift when Active)

We can't take it, sadly, but there are a few real gems here. CNG Vehicle Fuel Conversions(Stage 1-3) could shave like a quarter of oil demand down. So bad we can't take a single stage of it. And shale/fracturing could take an edge off on supply side.

[]Services: The service sector has been something of a mixed state as despite increased investment across the economy it has failed to attract much profitable investment. State services have expanded significantly alongside transportation but professional and distribution services at the lowest level have been ignored. A focus on the service sector will build out the Union's financial and professional networks, improving access to all services. On the most basic end, it is expected that every worker has access to a reliable and well-stocked store, capable of providing any common necessity without major delays or unavailability. (+6 SR Dice) (Required for Population Distribution Programs(Stage 3-5), Computerization of Finance, Retraining Programs, Distribution of Professional Services, and the Services Catchup Target)
Computerization of Finance - don't understand well what it'll get us concretely, but at least it'll be demand for shiny new electronics.
Retraining Programs - very important as a lot of jobs will cease to exist at all and
Distribution of Professional Services - also don't understand concretely what these are. Hairdressers? Lawyers? Should at least employ a lot of people.

I only definitely dig Retraining Programs out of the list, and I'd appreciate if there would be cultural directions we could explore together with setting a consumer base for it via cutting edge electronics.

Also - we're not getting Olympics this plan yet, are we? It's usually decided 7 years before they start, unless the selected country for some reason reconsiders, right? If we get surprise olympics it can definitely throw a 700-ish resources sized wrench in infra gears.
 
Despite the advice of the senior Brezhnevite economic cadre to ignore our economic problems and the oilshock on the horizon
to continue pumping investment into HI, I suggest we pick a different course.
[X]Plan Silicon Dreams
 
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