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This will probably be effective at driving Victoria to the peace table, but I feel that we'll lose a lot of moral authority when we, well, abandon the people we claimed we were conquering.

...though it occurs to me, as I write these words, that part of the settlement we're trying to force is freedom of movement, and if we follow that plan, we'll be able to say "bye everyone, Victoria is keeping this land, but if you liked it under our rule we have wonderful news for you."

Aaaaaand that's the rub. But, yes, this would be followed by the "and if you liked what you saw, we have a special offer" pitch. Also good for comedy bits for the local communities.

Neighbors: Watches Commonwealth go in with an army
Neighbors: Peace announced, watches Commonwealth leave.
Neighbors: "Weren't their less of you coming in last time?"
Commonwealth: "We made friends"
Neighbors: "You what?"
 
Non-Canon Omake: The Ballad of the Devil’s Archer Part 1
The Ballad of the Devil's Archer Part 1

<Translated from Finnish>

The Snipers Sight

2038

You looked out across the current battlefield with a hint of satisfaction. "Hmm, 437." Quietly you took a moment to observe the line of sight to see if anyone was hunting him so readily after the last one.

The glint told you everything you needed to know about how idiotic these guys were. You had expected an artillery or drone strike by now, but you didn't deserve that sort of reception...the Vicks did not believe in drones...but the Russian drone operators operating as contractors certainly did.

And you had been lucky so far...hell you'd been lucky for the last nine years of your job, a job that was not pretty, glamorous or safe. A Sniper was to be as detached as possible from a battle and cause as much harm as possible from its edge.

The rifle was perfectly weighted, flawless in craftsmanship and had been personally optimized to kill at long range.

The Barrett XM500 was an old and heavy rifle. Perfect for your line of work.

And the brass wanted someone dead...they wanted many people dead these days, and you were going to do it...One moment.

You saw the glint of the poor countersniper and fired. The pink mist told you everything, he was dead...and everything was as it should. "438...got five today, it's been a busy day."

Quietly you looked up and out across the battlefield, closed your left eye and surveyed the world around you. Atlanta was at your back, quiet and peaceful.

It was despite everything a quiet Saturday night, one that let the stars peak out across the sky. You looked at Atlanta and smiled. "Well, you'll be safe and sound tonight."

You had made the wise decision to move your family out to California with the other refugees and waited to fight the war on your own terms, and give them a home where they could sleep at night.

It had been nine years...with intermittent visits and family photos in between.

And it got lonely. "Well...at least the stars are out tonight." You still made sure your eye was closed as you counted with your weaker right eye. It was an exercise you developed as a teenager to make sure your depth perception wasn't thrown out of whack by anything important.

You started counting and lost count at around 300 as you heard an alarm.

"What in God's name." You looked out and peered with your right eye slightly as the flash of the mushroom cloud expanded.

You were 11 miles away...you'd be safe from the initial fallout...all you had to do was keep running west. You'd be blind in one eye now...and here you'd thought you lose it to a bullet.

It looked so...unnatural, so unnerving and so bright...you had seen pictures of Hiroshima and the records of the survivors describing the flash.

It was unspeakable...monstrous. As your eye went dark...you don't feel the pain of the flash as it burns your retina...but then again, you knew that it didn't feel pain.

You thought you heard the screams of the dying on the shockwaves as it rolled over you. It was terrifying.

"Would Russia allow the monster they created to use such evil? If they did...If they did there is no more hope. For any of us."

You crawled out of your hiding place and packed everything you had, even bandaging your eye.

It wouldn't be long before they came to kill the survivors...and they will kill them, you could mourn the dead later, once you're in a safer position and won't be able to hear the screams of the blinded men any longer.

------------------------

Nearly 15 miles of running later you sat down and finally let what had happened to you settle.

They were dead...they were all dead...THE FUCKING VICTORIANS killed them all!! Atlanta was a city of several million people and they killed them all!! Sure the plague had lowered that population by a good percentage but the Vicks had killed millions of people...if not immediately then in the next 20 years...radiation was a bitch like that.

"<Let it all out...LET IT ALL OUT!!>" You shouted as you heard the screams of the dying in your mind, you were crying as you felt the weight of what had happened hit you.

It was a technique your parents used on you when you were sad, and you had used it on your own children whenever they were scared or frightened.

Look at you now...a grown man crying like an infant.

What would your father think of you? "<Let it all out and the pain will leave like a winter breeze...spring will come again...spring will come again.>" It was part of a lullaby from Finland your mother used to sing...before the bad days...before the Northern Confederation came and took her life in the early days.

You curled up into a ball for five minutes "Victoria does not have nukes...Victoria doesn't have nukes...VICTORIA DOESN'T HAVE NUKES!!"

It was true no man, not even the tyrant Alexander would allow such an unstable attack dog like Victoria to possess nuclear weapons, he had learned a great deal from the lessons of rogue states like North Korea and Iran going off on their own to the detriment of the world.

Giving Vicks nukes was irresponsible at best, hazardous for all of humanity at worst.

And from what you knew about the CMC's Master in Russia, he was far from irresponsible with the world. Probably because he doesn't want to rule over a pile of ashes

You had to calm the hell down and reorient yourself...the stars are out tonight, let's count them.

You counted all the innumerable stars in the sky and calmed your mind and then started walking.

It was a long walk back...To the Republic.

It took you all of five months. You had found scattered units, formed new ones and fought the Northern Confederation all the way to the Rocky Mountains.

When you saw the Border guards you smiled. "Captain...I'm Lieutenant Adamska Arola, American Confederation Army...formerly of the 101st Airborne Division of Kentucky. We are all that is left of the Confederation Units near Atlanta."

You were saluted by the captain. " Lieutenant I bear good news for you and your men, You are not the only ones that made it out… We have the First Battalion, sixteenth infantry regiment among many others that ran after Atlanta went up in nuclear hellfire."

That was good news...very good news, the first bit of good news in 5 months.

You sighed. "I understand the need for a full debriefing sir...but If I may use a phone I and many other men, need to make a call."

------------------------------------------

You breathed in and let her answer her phone. "Hello…Arola residence...Hey put that down I'm on the phone...sorry, how may I help you."

"I'm coming home....sorry I'm late." You said shyly as you heard something clank into the ground.

"Oh god Adam..They said you were dead...and the fear of Radiation...and please tell me you are okay?" She sounded both in joy and terror.

"Doctors gave me a good bill of health...I don't have any issues from radiation, though the doctors say the Flash blinded my eye." You said sheepishly.

"Oh...are you coming home soon?" She said.

"After I talk to some of the officers and get my friends in order… then yes." You said smiling.

"The steak house you like is still open, you wanna make a reservation after we tire the kids out." She said calmly.

"That would be great...I'd love that." You said.

And so you got changed and put your rifle in its case… put it into the car you requested and then for the first time in nearly a decade you had come home and intended to stay.

If only you knew how bad things would get in the future.

Name:Adamska Arola the First.

Nickname: The Immortal Sniper of America. The Devil's Archer.

Description: A lean short man of 5'4 (Formally 5'5), with a strong body despite his considerable age but he's slowing down due to his life of action and constant traveling catching up to him. He is of Finnish descent and remembers the good old days of the United States of America at its peak. He is blind in one eye, the testament of being a survivor of the Battle of Atlanta. His entire adult life has been spent fighting the forces of the Collapse, from the Victorian's to the Russian's that hunt whomever is left.

Before the Collapse he was an Olympic level sharp shooter, and went to the Olympics three times.

He is notable for the 3 olympic medals he keeps on his person, 1 Bronze from the 2020 Olympics, 1 Silver from the 2024 Olympics and 1 Gold from the 2028 Olympics. His hobbies include skiing, Teaching children the Finnish Language and telling stories.

Biography: Adamska was born in late November 2002 (He is 75 years old) in the city of St Paul Minnesota to retired Finnish military reservists and remembers the last days of America as a superpower. He took up competitive sniping and sharpshooting at a young age, getting scouted for the US Olympic team and being a very successful shooter at home. Then the Collapse happened and he was drafted as a sniper.

He survived every war the American collapse threw at him. Over the course of his service, he has out sniped the likes of Blackfang Bill and The Blood Eyes (The six of them had a combined kill count of 575) and Russian Spetsnaz snipers teams (Considered the best sniper units on earth).

He alone over the course of his service (2029-2047) he had well over 457 confirmed kills by the Confederate Military, 200 Kills in the Pacific military and then at the height of his fame and in 2047 he disappeared into the Midwest in his own words to retire quietly.

The Tsar of Russia even attempted to hire him before he disappeared into the midwest, saying that a man of his talents is wasting away in a corpse of a nation.

Adamska...refused and the Tsar placed a bounty of Five Million Rubles on him as he fled into the midwest.

The Okhrana, Victorian Sharpshooters, and Russian proxy soldiers jumped at the opportunity to hunt "The Devil's Archer '' and for nearly an entire decade tales of sniper duels and a pile of soldiers and marksman littered the Midwest with dozens of variations of the same thing.

"Here the Devil's Archer stood, here...was where the men who hunted him died!!"

And then as if hounded by the march of time and energy...they stopped… his legend cemented and the fact his last "known" location was carpet-bombed made the whole of the world think he and his family were dead.

As of the 2060's he has all but disappeared from the face of the earth, occasionally with supposed sightings popping up across the Midwest, becoming something of an urban legend to the Midwest, but never truly confirmed if he was dead or alive.

An American Legend born from the death of a Nation, like a cowboy of old.

Family: He has 4 children, Arthur (Born 2025) Ashly (Born 2027) Ruby (Born 2029) Ben ( Born 2031). And 10 grandchildren and 2 Great Grandchildren. His wife of 42 years (Maria) is deceased, having died in 2071.

Political Affiliation: None...he is Apolitical for good reasons. His true calling is Sniping...politics get in the way of him doing his job.

AN: Inspired by the tales of Simo Hayha and Hellfire Burns...I had come to the obvious conclusion that America still had its hero's and Legends even as its nation turned into the closest thing to hell that they could hope for.

So I took it upon myself to fill those pages of Hero's and Villians.

Thank my Beta @Pittauro for edit work and fleshing out our next American myth alongside me.

Hey...The boss said there were people out there like Burns wandering around...I took that as an opportunity to fill in some blanks.

The Collapse gave rise to far too many monsters and villains...many that will never see the meaning of justice for their crimes.

Why can't this great tragedy have given us heroes to inspire and save us too?

Thank you...and good night.
 
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Aaaaaand that's the rub. But, yes, this would be followed by the "and if you liked what you saw, we have a special offer" pitch. Also good for comedy bits for the local communities.

Neighbors: Watches Commonwealth go in with an army
Neighbors: Peace announced, watches Commonwealth leave.
Neighbors: "Weren't their less of you coming in last time?"
Commonwealth: "We made friends"
Neighbors: "You what?"
Shoutout to Liechtenstein who during one war had a positive body count, due to only sending a couple of dudes to guard a mountain pass, where they became friends with a local who then came back with them.
 
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Honestly our best option is to just back away and leave the city. We don't need it. We just need the canal. We caught Victory disease just like I was worried about and started seeking fights just because.

Fall back, stick to the plan.

Haha well, hopefully we can stamp out the frickin' mafia if they come to town, because fuck their noise.

Run out town by the local communities, Clergy, and R A D I C A L Unions for even thinking of trying to set up shop! (One of the main reasons why organized crimes was able to get so many of their hooks into American unions was that the True Believers had been driven out or killed in the various red scares allowing careerists to take control, and to turn towards... other sources of support and self-enrichment.)

Also, one of the benefits to expansive programs that exist in the Commonwealth is to eliminate the immiseration that leads to powerful organized crime syndicates. And you can't take advantage of banned vices to grow strong if everyone is already free.

If Sex Workers are free to organize their own business without harassment or censure, there's no room for organized crime. If there's no restrictions on alcohol, or other recreational substances (I'm talking like, weed.) there's no need for organized crime. If everyone has a voice in their communities to be heard, there's no room for organized crime to pretend to answer those hushed voices. If no one is desperate and immiserated in wage slavery, there's no room for organized crime. If the poor and needy are taken care of by Chicago's Liberation Theology Clergy and local community mutual aide groups... there's no room for organized crime. If people have intact families and communities there's no room for organized crime to worm its way in.

The Social Democratic and Democratic Socialist project underway in the Commonwealth of Free Cities means that there must be no room for organized crime to set up unjust exploitative hierarchies that murder and steal and cement their own power by giving crumbs to the desperate and outcast. There should be no room in the Commonwealth for economic parasites to drain people of their livlyhoods and rip apart the community bonds that have made the CFC the strong, democratic, and resilient beacon of hope that it is.

(I will admit that in its current state, there may be room for corruption to seep into the CFC, but as this new polity settles in and grows ever stronger and more confident, our inherent advantages will render us powerful opponents to the evils of organized crime)

Honestly, basically, fuck organized crime.
 
Honestly our best option is to just back away and leave the city. We don't need it. We just need the canal. We caught Victory disease just like I was worried about and started seeking fights just because.

Fall back, stick to the plan.

1.We didn't catch victory disease, we tried to determine what was going on.
2. We just won.
3. Nothing is going to guarantee Blackwell doesnt come to the table like retreating from a force half our size. We retreat, we let him know this worked and we are no threat.
 
Honestly our best option is to just back away and leave the city. We don't need it. We just need the canal. We caught Victory disease just like I was worried about and started seeking fights just because.

Fall back, stick to the plan.
This fight isn't one we picked "just because." It barely even looked like a fight from a distance, and the part where the Victorians actually thought things through and went all Werwolf on us was a bit of a surprise. We have reasonable hopes of being able to deal with specifically this problem as long as we don't get swarmed by militia, and there are not a lot of signs of the militia swarming.

Victory disease isn't what happens when you keep pushing forward until you encounter resistance. It's what happens when you keep going after you hit resistance, until you're so deep in enemy country that you cannot extricate your forces and have managed to let them hit you with something stronger than you.

If we just stop here and try to deal with the nest of vipers we (admittedly unwittingly) just pitched our tent over, that's about right.

It's if we then started trying to execute plans like others were suggesting before the Victorian guerillas hit us, stuff like mechanized raids on Rochester, that we'd be getting stupid. As long as we stay in Buffalo, well... worst case we can evacuate the garrison if we really have to.
 
Retreating now when we've failed to encounter any meaningful resistance is the worst possible move. It makes it look like we're too weak to continue prosecuting the war, when the whole point of this campaign was to bluff Victoria into thinking otherwise.

We have to make a strong showing here to convince them to come to the negotiating table; that's why we didn't just hole up behind the Niagra and advanced to take Buffalo.
 
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Backing out of the city at this point would be problematic, since it denies us the use of the fortified terrain and makes us look rather weak (and thus not worth meeting at the table).
 
Babylon On The St. Lawrence

Montreal, Victoria

The Belle Epoque did little to advertise itself. Tucked away in an alley on the riverside, there was no signage save for a small plaque over the otherwise totally nondescript door. From there, down a few flights of stairs and down a similarly unassuming hallway. The only thing one might pick out as strange was the heavy steel door at the end of it. All told, it was hardly an inviting introduction. But then again, a business like the Bell Epoque had no business drawing attention to itself in a city run by the Victorians.

They frequented it too, of course, as the sea of flannel that immediately came into view when the heavy steel door finally swung open showed. They came, supposedly, for the food, although in reality they likely came more for the free choice of alcoholic beverage served with it, or the various young women hanging around the bar who proved very free with their affections towards any young soldier who bought them a meal and a drink as well. The younger troops blushed and awkwardly picked away at their poutine and tried not to pull faces as they sipped their scotch or gin, while the veterans left their meals forgotten and headed straight for the back rooms with their new paramours. Montreal was a long way from home, after all, and maintaining abstinence and a sobriety pledge was tough enough when you weren't stuck in a cold, Northern city full of people who held you in deep and eternal contempt.

It wasn't all Vicks of course. There were dockworkers from the port, though not as many now as there had been, and sailors in from cargo ships from the Great Lakes, although if the tide of dockworkers had ebbed they had reduced to a trickle. Locals went elsewhere, preferring to avoid rubbing shoulders with their occupiers when they were trying to unwind. And of course, there were the three young men in their suits. Always filling up at least one table, they chatted and drank and smoked, and both the Vicks and the other patrons gave them a respectful distance. There was an air of danger about them, an understanding that they weren't as likely to just roll over if a militiaman tried to throw his weight around. And it was only polite, after all. They owned the place.

"So anyway," says the tallest of the three, knocking back his scotch, "We get to the Basilica, Pierre sweating bullets the whole way, he heads up at the alter, out comes Marie all dolled up in her dress- gorgeous, y'know, I couldn't have been happier for him- and then right as she starts up the aisle an Inquisitor barges into the church!"

His two companions lean forward. "No shit!" "So what'd you do?" The tall man signals a waitress for another round. "Well, you know how Pierre gets when somebody messes with family, I had to drag him back down into his seat and jab him in the ribs to keep him from tearing the guy a new one. So I get up and ask 'Is there a problem? We're just having a wedding here, no pagan rituals or nothin'.' And he says, get this, 'Don't mind me. I'm just observing to make sure the proper rites are being performed.' Can you fuckin' believe that? 'Crusaders' my ass, they're fucking policing us to make sure we worship how Augusta wants us to."

"At a wedding?" The one on the left says. "Tabernak, these guys have no sense of decency." "Fuckin' A." agrees the other one. "So go on, Marco, what happened next?" They pause for a moment as the waitress arrives with their drinks. "Well," Marco continues, "Pierre, if you can believe it, almost forgot to practice the speech in English as well as French. If I hadn't busted his balls about it all through the wedding planning he'd have either had to speak French in front of the Inquisitor or say nothing at all." The other two pause for a moment to digest that verbal hand grenade. "Jesus, he could have gotten himself killed!"

"Yeah, that's what I told them. You want a light there, Armand?" The man on the right shook his head. "Nah, I'm good." "Okay. Francois?" the other man just waved it away. "Alright, so," Armand began, leaning forward. "What happened afterwards? Did you go to Davis?"

"Yeah, of course I did, I went straight to him like 'what the fuck?' right, because he promised me the churches wouldn't get any hassle. Guess what he tells me? He says that with all the shit going on with the CMC and the fact they got their asses kicked by the Commonwealth, the Inquisitors are breathing down his neck. He only has 'limited control', he says."

"Christ."

"Only fuckin' Vicks could lose most of their army and figure that they weren't being hardcore enough."

"You said it. So I figured we were gonna try and keep a low profile for a little while, y'know? We've dealt with Inquisitors before, after all. Just sit back and wait until we've got some leverage over 'em."

Francois nodded. "Seems like a good plan." Armand scoffed. "Yeah, we thought so too, until fuckin' Carcetti-"

"-Oh, don't get me started on that prick." Marco sighed, taking a long drag on his cigarette. A look of confusion crept across Francois' face. "Wait, what'd Carcetti do? I thought he'd been making a killing selling the surplus the Vicks dumped when they were marching home."

"Yeah, he was, but apparently that wasn't enough for him. He's not happy with just owning Toronto and splitting the rackets in Buffalo with the Postmen. So when the CMC march into the city, the dumb prick gets it into his head, "Hey, these guys have plenty of morphine they're not using, they need guns-"

"-No fucking way. There's no way Carcetti's that stupid."

Marco slammed his hand down on the table. "Carcetti went to the fucking commanding officer offering to sell the arms from the baggage train in exchange for their morphine." Again, the table was struck with horrified silence. Armand let out a low whistle. "Did he think the Vicks wouldn't recognize their own equipment?"

"I heard from one of the guys that got out of Buffalo that he made a half-assed attempt to scratch off the maker's marks and serial numbers. That didn't save him, though, I hear they shot him in the middle of fucking Fountain Plaza."

"And the rest of his guys?"

"Some shot. Most conscripted. The way I hear they just grabbed 20,000 guys and marched 'em into the woods. More cannon fodder to face Blackwell's militia. Anyway, that's why I invited Armand here, Francois. He says he's got a guy who can help us get out of this jam, I've got an idea of what we should have him do, and you've got the smuggling connections to get him where he needs to go. We sort this out, quietly."

The skepticism was plain on Francois' face. The halt to trade brought on by the war had squeezed him badly, and he was obviously loathe to gamble even more resources. "I dunno. Tell me about this guy of yours, Armand. Is he some button man or what?"

"Oh, he's better than that." Armand said. "Smart, tough, every job or racket I put him on, it runs just right. Y'know what happened to Charlie Brooks? He's the guy who pulled the trigger."

"He did Charlie Brooks? I thought that was some Russians from out of town. Spetsnaz types, that's what people were saying, the price of getting too deep into New York."

"Yeah, they think it was Spetsnaz because he shoots like one and he was smart enough to keep quiet about it. He doesn't like talking in general, but he can do that too or find a guy to do it for him when I need him to. If only he were Italian I'd adopt the kid straightaway. Anyway, you'll get a chance to meet him tonight."

"Here he is now." Marco said, and the three men turned to see a young man enter and swiftly kick the snow off his boots. He was built like an NHL defenseman, tall and broad-shouldered, with placid brown eyes and a lean, chiseled face. Armand waved and he swiftly went to join them.

"Monsieur Annunzia, Monsieur Bianchi." he said, nodding respectfully to Francois and Marco in turn. "Boss." he said, turning to address Armand as he stood and kissed him on both cheeks. "Gentlemen." Armand said. "This is Moose Dupont, he's a friend of ours."

"That's one hell of a name." Francois said, grinning. Moose looked unperturbed. "My mother was a big hockey fan." He said with a shrug, his face impassive. "I understand you have a job for me?"

Armand and Francois turned to Marco. "Look, I'm not sure how much you've heard about what's going on in Buffalo, but it's pretty bad. We've lost our main foothold in New York state and our primary contacts with the Victorians who distribute our heroin, meth and pornography to our customer base in Victoria proper. Now they're saying the Welland Canal might be sealed up, and that's killing our rackets at the docks. To top it all off, we've got Inquisitors sniffing around and our usual contacts in the administration can't protect us like they used to." He paused to make sure the gravity of the situation had sunk in, and found Moose's face remained as serious as ever.

"So we've talked about this, and what I figure right now is that for the short-to-medium-term, we're finished in Buffalo, and that means we're finished in most of Victoria until the war's over. It's just too dangerous to try and re-establish anything when we have no idea who's gonna be in charge next week. Once we can see a clear winner, we'll support them, but until then we have to look elsewhere, or we're starving." Another pause, this time gauging Francois and Armand's reactions. Both seemed willing to hear him out, though Francois still looked skeptical.

"So, where do we go? Well, before Buffalo went down Carcetti told me our friends in NYC got a look at the chick running the Commonwealth when she made her state visit, and they liked what they saw. They've gotten Detroit and Toledo by standing up to the Vicks, and they've got the kind of country my old man used to tell me about: democratic, industrialized, big urban population, so all on its own it's a pretty big market. But here's the real rub: This same guy who saw their President also has friends of friends in high places, and one of the rumors coming down is that they asked for a free trade clause with Victoria. And even more than that, Carcetti swore blind they've insisted on the Seaway being opened for international trade. To everyone."

That got a reaction. Moose blinked and let out a huff of surprise, while Francois let out a rather less reserved "Fuckin' A!" and exuberantly slammed his glass on the table. Montreal right now was a backwater: the busiest of Victoria's ports, but as Marco's father had once said, that was kind of like being the liveliest corpse in a morgue. But if this went through, all that trade from the interior and from the outside world coming down into the Lakes could only go through one place- Montreal.

And they owned Montreal.

"So, Moose." Marco continued. "Here's what you're gonna do. Francois' people are gonna put you on a boat or a truck or whatever and get your ass to Detroit. And you're gonna get the lay of the land there so we can start bringing in people there. Figure out who owns what, try and scout out a good place for us to set up shop, maybe a bar or even a proper club since the Commonwealth aren't such fuckin' prudes. And once you're done there, ideally after a couple of weeks, we're sending you on to Chicago to do the same thing. Find us or build us a front, we'll send the money. And then from there, you start doing what our grandfathers did. You give to charity, or better yet, set one up. The Vicks say these guys are communists, so maybe they've got unions. You get involved in those too. You shake hands, you meet politicians, celebrities, businessmen, whoever, and you pitch opening the Saint Lawrence to them like it's one of the Ten Commandments. You understand me?"

Moose paused for a moment, taking it all in. "It's the biggest job I've ever done." He said. "But if you give me the money and the men, I can do it no problem. It might get bloody, though, if we have to kick out whoever's already set up shop there."

"I'm told you've got no trouble with that sort of thing." Marco said coolly. "Look, this could make you, big-time. You'll have all three of the Montreal families behind you, and you'll be our man in the Commonwealth. So long as you pay back our investment, and you always remember who you work for. Comprenez vous?"

"Oui." Moose said, nodding. "When do I leave?" Marco turned to Francois. "How soon can you get him out?"

"Tonight." He said, his old caution now abandoned. He turned to Moose. "Head down to the docks around ten o'clock tonight. We'll get you on a boat to Hamilton, bring you overland from there." The young man turned lastly to Armand, who dismissed him with a nod. The table was subdued for awhile after: thinking about what had happened in Buffalo, about the Inquisitors barging into churches, the perils of an uncertain future. About the money that might be waiting on the far side of the Great Lakes, if only they could reach out and grasp it.

"We had an outfit in Buffalo before, didn't we?" Francois spoke up, glancing over at the bar thronging with militiamen. "In the old days, I mean. Before Victoria."

"Yeah, we did." Armand spoke up. "They had a special name for it too. They had different names for everywhere. I think they used to call the Buffalo families the Arm or something. Can't remember Chicago's for the life of me though."

"The Outfit." Marco said, stubbing out the remains of his cigarette in the chipped ashtray. The smoke still hang heavy in the air. "They called it the Outfit."

Interesting. I like how the guys seem like regular citizens at the beginning... and then it slowly turns out that, nope, they're gangsters. And yet they're still more sympathetics than the Vics! Also, I've been thinking of making my own omake about the situation in Québec (and maybe the rest of Canada while I'm at it), and while it may clash a bit with your story and most likely what the GM has planned (because in it, Québec would be a puppet state of Victoria rather than being part of its territory), I think it would be worth writting... eventually.
 
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Honestly our best option is to just back away and leave the city. We don't need it. We just need the canal. We caught Victory disease just like I was worried about and started seeking fights just because.

Fall back, stick to the plan.
This seems both dramatically unnecessary given the threat we're facing, and a horrible idea even on its own merits. Wouldn't giving up the moment we faced any kind of effective resistance completely invalidate the bluff we are trying to pull?

Hell, on a positive note, fighting an insurgency doesn't actually burn through our artillery stockpile, which was the key limitation on our strategic endurance.
 
Retreating now when we've failed to encounter any meaningful resistance is the worst possible move. It makes it look like we're too weak to continue prosecuting the war, when the whole point of this campaign was to bluff Victoria into thinking otherwise.

We have to make a strong showing here to convince them to come to the negotiating table; that's why we didn't just hole up behind the Niagra and advanced to take Buffalo.
OK, but no more major advances.

The key point here is that while we can probably deal with THIS specific problem, because it doesn't involve burning through a jillion artillery shells or anything... this is it, this is as much as we're going to take on.

We saw what appeared to be a vacuum. We pushed forward; we encountered some serious resistance. We stop here, deal with the resistance directly under our position as best we can, and keep an eye out for Blackwell trying to reinforce his assets out in our area of operations.

Even this is more trouble than we wanted out of this raid, probably- but it's not unmanageable as long as we don't let our problems grow out of control by overextending further. No more aggressive action aside from, say, raids to cut railroads and hamper Blackwell's ability to reinforce and make things even worse for us.

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It's like, if we'd been aggressive and pushed even farther out into New York, as a few of us advocated, these guerilla tactics by the Victorian militia would have been a lot harder to cope with. We'd be spread out. Our best divisions might have come physically into contact with larger formed Victorian units we couldn't pull away from easily. And these guys would be bushwhacking our supply columns.
 
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Retreating now when we've failed to encounter any meaningful resistance is the worst possible move. It makes it look like we're too weak to continue prosecuting the war, when the whole point of this campaign was to bluff Victoria into thinking otherwise.

We have to make a strong showing here to convince them to come to the negotiating table; that's why we didn't just hole up behind the Niagra and advanced to take Buffalo.


I think the way we do that is starting up the propoganda machines.

"The Vics are so broken and weak, they just rolled over and gave us a city, just by us showing up"

They have controlled the Americas by having an aura of invincibilty, that if you start trouble, the vics will roll right over on you, and you can't win.

We break that illusion, and everything they have starts coming apart.
 
Honestly our best option is to just back away and leave the city. We don't need it. We just need the canal. We caught Victory disease just like I was worried about and started seeking fights just because.

Fall back, stick to the plan.

Our aims are directly served by forcing a decisive battle. We need to do something flash and scary to force blackwell to the table. If we took the canal and stopped it would let him ignore use and focus down the CmC.
 
Honestly our best option is to just back away and leave the city. We don't need it. We just need the canal. We caught Victory disease just like I was worried about and started seeking fights just because.

Fall back, stick to the plan.
If we're not going to make any further advances or heavy raids on infrastructure then forget about pulling back to the Niagara, we should just pack up and go home. The entire point of this operation was to shock the Victorians into accepting a peace treaty - sitting around sucking on our thumbs doesn't do anything towards that. Blackwell's already picked his poison and taken the rep hit for letting us occupy Victorian territory for however long an insurgency can delay us - there's essentially nothing we can do in the territory we've occupied he hasn't factored in by now.

Neither Buffalo itself or the Welland Canal are particularly economically useful to hold due to Ontario being hostile and having been repeatedly looted, even if the local population wasn't hosting a reasonably effective insurgency. We don't have the supplies, military buildup, or logistics train to be seriously thinking about holding the territory we've taken once the Civil War has come to a conclusion, and waiting around til then takes resources away from building up that we desperately need. If we're not accomplishing our strategic aims, there's no tactical benefit to make our effort worth the candle - the canal was never the end goal.

Victoria has called our bluff, then called it again after we took the Welland. The fact that we can occupy Buffalo for a significant period of time is a useful tactical tool, but strategically speaking we need to either keep escalating somehow or stop throwing good money after bad.
 
Victoria has called our bluff, then called it again after we took the Welland. The fact that we can occupy Buffalo for a significant period of time is a useful tactical tool, but strategically speaking we need to either keep escalating somehow or stop throwing good money after bad.
Hmmm. I think it's a little too soon to be sure that we're stalled as-is; our occupation of territory in the area hasn't been going on long enough for Blackwell to have fully figured out how he's going to respond, and the war situation is chaotic and uncertain until we get some proper aerial reconnaissance.

We DO have a few more options to escalate without endangering our ground forces- seize electrical power plants, air raids, naval raids in Lake Ontario.
 
When occupying hostile territory the general rule of thumb is that you want to maintain a ratio of at least 1 soldier to every 40 civilians. I'm unsure as to the population of Buffalo, but I suspect we have over that ratio. The biggest challenge for our occupation will be logistics, not resistance.
 
When occupying hostile territory the general rule of thumb is that you want to maintain a ratio of at least 1 soldier to every 40 civilians. I'm unsure as to the population of Buffalo, but I suspect we have over that ratio.

Most of the male fighting age population was conscripted already, which mostly leaves the women children, and the elderly.

Given Victoria is literally built on misoygny, there's almost zero chance they'll allow women to fight.
 
Then it's fortunate that Buffalo is a nice port, which allows us to unload directly there...

It'll still push our limited shipping to the edge, but you're quite right.

Most of the male fighting age population was conscripted already, which mostly leaves the women children, and the elderly.

Given Victoria is literally built on misoygny, there's almost zero chance they'll allow women to fight.

Oh, quite so! That makes it much easier. The OTL population of Buffalo is about a quarter of a million, assuming lower populations for the city in general and the mass conscription the Victorians did, there could be as few as 120,000 people in Buffalo. Two infantry division are about 40,000~ personnel, so we could have a ratio of 1:3, soldiers to enemy civilians, and as you say the civilians in questions are mostly going to be old, young, infirm, or women who are culturally discouraged from fighting. I agree with the assessment from other users that what just happened was an attempt at asymetrial urban warfare, not guerilla warfare or partisan resistance.
 
Oh, quite so! That makes it much easier. The OTL population of Buffalo is about a quarter of a million, assuming lower populations for the city in general and the mass conscription the Victorians did, there could be as few as 120,000 people in Buffalo. Two infantry division are about 40,000~ personnel, so we could have a ratio of 1:3, soldiers to enemy civilians, and as you say the civilians in questions are mostly going to be old, young, infirm, or women who are culturally discouraged from fighting. I agree with the assessment from other users that what just happened was an attempt at asymetrial urban warfare, not guerilla warfare or partisan resistance.
Lets not start thinking that Victoria's insurgency will be short lived. That would be dangerous and cause us to underestimate them. Due to the decades of propaganda, our actions may just cause the women to take up arms against us even though Victoria went to great lengths to discourage just such a thing. And as for the young fighting us. During the final days of World War 2, Kids as young as 12 were handed weapons and encouraged to fight. and they did for the most part due to the Nazi's propaganda efforts. In short don't be lulled into a false sense of security over our victories so far. We need to be careful of our surroundings and the population.
 
Lets not start thinking that Victoria's insurgency will be short lived. That would be dangerous and cause us to underestimate them. Due to the decades of propaganda, our actions may just cause the women to take up arms against us even though Victoria went to great lengths to discourage just such a thing. And as for the young fighting us. During the final days of World War 2, Kids as young as 12 were handed weapons and encouraged to fight. and they did for the most part due to the Nazi's propaganda efforts. In short don't be lulled into a false sense of security over our victories so far. We need to be careful of our surroundings and the population.
I mean, the theoretical possibility is relevant.

But realistically? The Nazis didn't try to do an about-face and flip from "children and women are completely incapable of fighting in any way and should be ashamed of themselves for thinking about it" to "GO BE HEROES FOR THE FATHERLAND!"

Victoria has spent decades drilling passivity and self-misogyny into its female population. It's had to, because to run their country the way they do, they've had to pretty much reverse all the product of an entire century of change in gender relations.

I won't rule out individual women picking up rifles at some point, but I don't think it's realistic to expect them doing so on a significant scale. We're in more danger from the teenage boys.
 
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